The report states:
This is a seat that would not normally be regarded as marginal. The National party holds it by a margin of more than 5 per cent. But Labor is strongly contesting it, hoping to capitalise on a changing demographic in the area.Read the full report at http://abc.net.au/news/stories/2007/11/03/2080830.htm
Interestingly, the National Party candidate Chris Gulaptis doesn't reside in the electorate. How then, can he describe himself as a "local"?