Thursday 12 March 2009

Are we rolling with the economic punches or just running scared?


While Federal Labor, Liberals and Nationals are all still arguing about what degree of gloominess is appropriate for discussing the Australian economy and the global financial crisis, it appears that average Australians may have made up their minds.

Although the Melbourne Institute announced that
"The median expected inflation rate, reported in the Melbourne Institute Survey of Consumer Inflationary Expectations, fell to 2.3 per cent in February from 2.7 per cent in January", it also released news that the "The Westpac–Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment fell by 4.6% in February from 89.9 in January to 85.8 in February".

Seems no matter how much money the Rudd Government throws at the situation or how the Reserve Bank acts on interest rates, we're all determined to expect the worst for this year if not the next.


I suspect that many would feel a lot more cheerful if those with personal or corporate agendas didn't use a megaphone to label the current global financial crisis as the Great Recession, which is a self-fulfilling prophesy if ever I heard one.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Clarencegirl:
I wish they'd stop worrying about recession (which relates to GDP) and increase sentiment by saying "we can actually make people more comfortable with a lower GDP by increasing efficiency of converting GDP to happiness... just like we shouldn't measure transport by the amount of petrol we put in a car"

Countries vary in efficiency of turning GDP into meaningful outcomes like low infant mortality, higher education levels, etc. The politicians like talking of GDP because it helps them avoid responsibility for desirable outcomes.

(See some examples of different efficiencies of GDP to Human Development Index here at the UN, even though per cap GDP is included as part of the HDI)