Only 32 days out from the 2019 federal election and the losing streak is not yet over for the Morrison Government.
The last time the Coalition were ahead on a Newspoll Two Party
Preferred (TPP) basis was on 2 July 2016 when the Turnbull Government
stood at 50.5 per cent on the day of the 2016 federal election.
Which means the losing streak has now stretched to a little over 33
months.
52nd Newpoll results – published 15 April 2019:
Primary Vote – Labor 39 percent (up 2 points) to Liberal-Nationals 39 per cent
(up 1 point), The Greens 9 per cent (unchanged), One Nation 4 per cent (down 2
points).
Two Party Preferred (TPP) - Labor 52 per cent (unchanged) to Liberal-Nationals Coalition 48
per cent (up 1 point).
Voter Net Satisfaction With Leaders’ Performance – Prime Minister Scott Morrison
1 point (down 1 point) and Opposition Leader Bill Shorten -14 points
(unchanged).
If a federal election had been held on14 April 2019 based of the
preference flow in July 2016, then Labor would have won government with a
majority 82 seats (unchanged since 7 April poll ) to the Coalition's 63 seats
(unchanged since 7 April poll) in the House of Representatives.
According to Antony Green's Swing Calculator the 11-14 April 2019 Newspoll results will see Labor gain the Page electorate and retain the Richmond electorate, with Cowper electorate being retained by the Nationals.
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