Showing posts with label national response. Show all posts
Showing posts with label national response. Show all posts

Friday 3 May 2024

State of Play for Women and Girls in Australia, 2024

 

The very ordinary street in which the first murder of a woman occurred in 2024. IMAGE: yahoo! news, 3 January 2024 






To date this year 2024, one woman is murdered every four days somewhere in Australia.


Nationally, in the twelve months between July 2022 and June 23 there had been 34 women killed by an intimate partner, according to the National Homicide Monitoring Program.


By 30 April 2024, 28 women had died of gender-based violence, with 10 of these murders occurring in New South Wales - sadly five being killed in the same place on the same day in Bondi Junction and one being a 60 year-old woman found bundled into the boot of a car outside her home at Evans Head in the Northern Rivers region. Her son has been charged with murder and interfere with corpse.


NOTE: Media reports now cite the number of women murdered nationally to date in 2024 as between 33 and 34. If the current rate of women murdered by men this year continues, then the Australian toll of 75 femicides in 2022-2003 may be exceeded by 31 December 2024. Although it is not expected to reach the 1990-1991 terrible high of 148 femicides.


The year before in New South Wales there were 15 adult women who were a victim of a Domestic Violence (DV) murder in the 12 months to December 2023. While DV assaults recorded by NSW Police increased significantly over the two and five years to December 2023, up by 6.7% over two years and up 3.6% per year on average over five years.


The year-on-year increase was higher in Regional NSW than Greater Sydney (7.6% vs 6.0%), and substantially higher over five years (5.5% vs 2.0% average annual change).


In the Clarence Valley, NSW, from January through to December 2023 there 320 domestic violence related assaults recorded, of which 276 involved female victims of which 250 were aged between 18 and 40+ years and 26 were aged between 0 to 17 years of age.


The gender of offenders across all domestic violence murders and assaults is overwhelmingly male.


According to the NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (BOSCAR) since 2019 the Clarence Valley rate of domestic violence related assaults has risen in the last five years from 354.3 per 100,000 persons to 686.0 per 100,000 persons in 2023. In the wider NSW Police Coffs Harbour-Clarence District the 2023 domestic violence relate assault rate was 816.1 per 100,000 persons, making the rate more than 50% but less than double the NSW average.


The response of federal and state governments to this increase in gender-based violence has been announced.


*******************


Dept. of Prime Minister and Cabinet, PM Transcripts, 1 May 2024:


Released by The Hon Anthony Albanese MP, Prime Minister of Australia


Meeting of National Cabinet on gender-based violence


National Cabinet met virtually today to discuss the national crisis of gender-based violence.


First Ministers are committed to stopping the homicides and achieving our shared goal of ending violence against women and children in a generation.


National Cabinet agreed to a number of priorities for all our governments, building on efforts under way under the National Plan to End Violence against Women and Children 2022-2032, including:


  • Strengthening accountability and consequences for perpetrators, including early intervention with high-risk perpetrators and serial offenders, and best practice justice responses that support people who have experienced violence.

  • Strengthening and building on prevention work through targeted, evidence-based approaches.

  • Maintaining a focus on missing and murdered First Nations women and children, and the impact of domestic and family violence in First Nations communities.


First Ministers heard from Commonwealth Domestic, Family and Sexual Violence Commissioner Micaela Cronin. Ms Cronin reflected on her work as Commissioner, including discussions with people with experience of violence, and key priorities for shared effort to address gaps in the current system.


Premier of Victoria, the Hon. Jacinta Allan also shared lessons from the Victorian Royal Commission into Family Violence.


National Cabinet noted the importance of housing reforms in supporting women and children escaping violence.


National Cabinet agreed to strengthen prevention efforts through targeted, evidence-based approaches and to be informed by an expert led rapid review of best practice approaches. This will allow further and effective action on preventing gender-based violence, building on the considerable work under way.


The Commonwealth will deliver the Leaving Violence Payment to help people experiencing intimate partner violence with the costs of leaving that relationship. This acknowledges financial insecurity is closely linked to violence, and can prevent women leaving a violent relationship.


The Leaving Violence Payment builds on existing measures being delivered to improve financial security of women, including expansion of the single Parenting Payment, 10 days paid domestic violence leave, and investment in crisis accommodation and affordable housing for women and children escaping violence.


The Commonwealth will also deliver a range of new measures to tackle factors that exacerbate violence against women, such as violent online pornography, and misogynistic content targeting children and young people.


New measures will include legislation to ban deepfake pornography and additional funding for the eSafety Commission to pilot age assurance technologies.


First Ministers agreed that system responses need to be strengthened, with a focus on high-risk perpetrators and serial offenders to prevent homicides. This will involve work across governments and jurisdictions. First Ministers have agreed to undertake a range of work that will report back to National Cabinet later this year.


  • Police Ministers Council and the Standing Council of Attorneys-General will be tasked to develop options for improving police responses to high risk and serial perpetrators, including considering use of focused deterrence and fixated threat strategies.

  • First Ministers agreed to improve information sharing about perpetrators across systems and jurisdictions, led by the Commonwealth Minister for Women.

  • First Ministers agreed that States and Territories will explore opportunities to strengthen national consistency and drive best practice approaches across jurisdictions, including relating to risk assessment and responses to sexual assault, led by Victoria and South Australia.


We will continue to listen and learn from those with lived experience of violence. We recognise they have intimate first-hand knowledge of services, systems, and structures that are meant to support. They know from experience the weaknesses and strengths of interventions in practice.


First Ministers are listening to the experts, identifying where the gaps are, and acting with urgency. We want violence against women and children to stop.


This media statement has been agreed by First Ministers and serves as a record of meeting outcomes.


*******************


What is yet to be revealed is the degree to which federal and states governments are willing to address the legislative inadequacies demonstrated within the Commonwealth Criminal Code & state laws covering personal and domestic violence.


Here are a number of points currently being discussed in the wider community:


1. The advisability of legislating a) increases in fines and prison sentences for crimes identified as falling within the range of crimes of violence against women and b) making a prison sentence mandatory for repeat offenders;


2. Reviewing legislation covering Apprehended Violence Orders (AVOs) & Apprehended Domestic Violence Orders (ADVOs) to ensure the conditions contained therein reflect the gravity of crimes of violence against women;


3. Reassess with a view to strengthening bail eligibility criteria & specific conditions, so as to avoid a) police failure to refuse bail or failure to set appropriate police bail at time of arrest before first appearance in local court and b) magistrates allowing bail for repeat offenders - particularly when the charges asserted violence or threats;


4. By way of legislation, a mandatory precautionary measure be established requiring all persons charged to wear a monitored ankle bracelet until the matter is progressed through the courts to a final judgment.


5. Where residential occupancy of the shared home's title is in the name of both parties or where the rental lease is in the name of both parties then a legal obligation be established by legislation requiring the offending party to immediately vacate the premises and find alternative accommodation.


6. That serious consideration be given to removing the relationship between the current amount of parenting payments received by the primary caregiver and a partner's income, setting a new across-the-board base rate and making it tax free for unpartnered parents on low to middle incomes. Thereby giving women with children more certainty and flexibility when seeking to leave violent relationships.


Sunday 8 August 2021

Nationals Senator Matt Canavan from Yeppoon near Rockhampton shows his distasteful and offensive political persona to the world


From 25 January 2020 when the national confirmed cases count began in Australia to 15 June 2021 (the day before the Delta Variant outbreak began) the COVID-19 pandemic had infected 30,274 individuals, At that point 910 people or 3 per cent of all those infected had died.


www.health.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/2021/06/coronavirus-covid-19-at-a-glance-15-june-2021.pdf

















New South Wales was in Day 51 of the Delta Variant Outbreak with 4,610 people having been infected between 16 June to 5 August 2021 and 22 people dead as a result, when The Financial Review published the results of sums done on the back of an envelope by former & short-lived Executive at KPMG, former & short-lived Director at Productivity Commission, former Chief of Staff to Barnaby Joyce & a current Nationals Senator for Qld, Matt Canavan (left).



In this opinion piece Canavan states that; Each life saved by the Sydney lockdown costs $330 million. It’s an unjustifiable expense that imposes large and disproportionate burdens on small business and the less well off. [my yellow highlighting]



The reason for this "Sydney lockdown" is hard to ignore. On 16 June 2021 the NSW SARS-CoV-2 Delta Variant Outbreak began with 2 daily cases of local community transmission reported. On 13 July NSW Health reported 97 daily cases of community transmission and at the end of the month that number had risen to 239 cases of community transmission reported in the last 24 hours. On 5 August there were 291 daily cases of community transmission reported and the cumulative number of confirmed locally acquired COVID-19 infections had risen by 4,610 people since the outbreak began, including 22 who had died from this variant infection. However, Canavan does his best to ignore those particular numbers. 



Leaving his dodgy costings aside, Canavan appears to firmly believe Scott Morrison’s position that the best way forward to ‘open up’ the economy and he wants us all to learn to live with the SARS-CoV-2 virus despite low vaccination rates.



Or as he expressed himself on 5 August; We should end the lockdowns and replace them with sensible social distancing requirements and testing and tracing.



All his latest opinion piece proves is that Canavan did not understand the implications of what little he actually read in The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity modelling report.



It was made very clear that the report assigns a Transmission Potential (TP) to the Delta Variant of 3.6. It is also observed in its pages that the ability to reduce this variant’s TP to less than 1 needs both to contain community transmission in the current suppression phase (A) and to prevent cases from exceeding health sector capacity in phase B. Currently personal risk reduction behaviours and constraints on social mixing known as Public Health and Social Measures (PHSM) are the levers employed to manage TP in response to incursions and outbreaks [Doherty Modelling Report for National Cabinet 30 July 2021, pp. 7, 10].



However, the report also points out that in the four scenarios with only baseline levels of social and behavioural restrictions in place (ie minimal density/capacity restrictions), epidemic growth is still expected at the yet to be reached 50%, 60%, 70% and 80% national vaccine coverage. In these scenarios reduced effectiveness of the public health ‘test, trace, isolate, quarantine’ (TTIQ) response is anticipated due to high caseloads [Doherty Modelling Report for National Cabinet 30 July 2021, p.10].



In all four vaccination scenarios coming out of lockdown and having only baseline density/capacity restrictions operating across the population, leaves Australia still facing a predominately Delta Variant epidemic. One where the Transmission Potential is likely to be a problematic 2.0, due in part to fading of vaccine efficacy in vaccinated individuals and the need to rollout a national vaccine booster program – which on past performance will possibly be as chaotic as the original vaccine rollout.



The vacillating Morrison Government's two most favoured vaccination coverage scenarios now appear to be the 70% and 80% of all adults. These graphs show epidemic growth to 180 days given transition to Phase B leading to established community transmission:


Epidemic growth to 180 days given transition to Phase B leading to established community transmission for the threshold coverage targets of 70 and 80%, with vaccine allocation according to the ‘All adults’ strategy  [Doherty Modelling Report for National Cabinet 30 July 2021p.14]












This is not helping Australia’s economy get back on its feet in the foreseeable future. Neither is it likely to reduce the real cost to federal and state governments or to society generally of this COVID-19 global pandemic.



The Australian Treasury has costed nationally applied Strict public health order restrictions to cost $3.2 billon a week. Mild nationally applied restrictions are costed at $2.35 billion a week, Low restrictions at $0.65 billion and Baseline at $0.1 billion a week.



Treasury’s financial analysis of the four vaccination scenarios in the Doherty Institute modelling report appears somewhat superficial  - given it refused to model the economic implications of predicted overstretched test, trace and quarantine systems in order to produce these optimistic key findings for the National Cabinet:


  • Continuing to minimise the number of COVID-19 cases, by taking early and strong action in response to outbreaks of the Delta variant, is consistently more cost effective than allowing higher levels of community transmission, which ultimately requires longer and more costly lockdowns.


  • As vaccination rates rise, significantly less lockdowns and other restrictions will be required to continue to minimise cases of COVID-19, reducing the economic cost of managing the virus.


      • Moderate or strict lockdowns are still expected to be necessary to continue minimising outbreaks until Australia reaches 70 per cent vaccination rates for Australian adults (16+). As a result, the costs of managing COVID-19 will remain high.


  • At 50 per cent vaccination rates, and based on the assumptions outlined in this paper, the direct economic cost of minimising cases is estimated to be around $570m per week. At 60 per cent, the estimated cost remains high, but falls to around $430m per week.


  • Once 70 per cent of Australian adults (16+) are vaccinated, and assuming the spread of COVID-19 is minimised, it is expected that outbreaks can be contained using only low level restrictions, with lockdowns unlikely to be necessary. This will significantly reduce the expected economic cost of COVID-19 management to around $200m per week.


  • At 80 per cent vaccination rates, these direct economic costs are expected to fall further still, to around $140m per week, and costs are lower under all scenarios.


  • Treasury has not modelled the economic costs of a severe and widespread outbreak that breaches Australia’s health system capacity. It is expected that such a situation would carry very significant economic costs. International experience indicates that it would lead to significant behavioural changes regardless of the level of official restrictions, and longer outbreaks. [my yellow highlighting]



From 25 January 2020 to 5 August 2021 the national percentage of confirmed COVID-19 deaths was 2.63 per cent of the infected population or 927 people. During that same period the NSW percentage of confirmed COVID-19 deaths was 0.77 per cent of the infected state population or 79 people.



Senator Canavan can play with all these numbers all he likes, it doesn’t make his devaluing of potential lives saved and actual lives lost any less distasteful nor make his ‘politiking’ any less offensive.