When comparing the standing of national leaders in their own countries, Australia's Albanese beats America's Trump hands down when it comes to job performance & public approval

 

NEWSPOLL, published 17 August 2025

Voting Intention at an Australian Federal Election*

*Newspoll survey of 1,283 respondents undertaken by YouGov Australia from 11-13 August 2025. Margin of Error ± 3.

First Preference (Primary Vote):

Labor (ALP) 36 (0)

Coalition (L/NP) 30 (+1)

Australian Greens (GRN) 12 (0)

One Nation (ON) 9 (+1)

Others 13 (-2)

Two Party Preferred Vote:

Labor (ALP) 56 (-1)

Coalition (L/NP) 44 (+1)

Preferred Prime Minister:

Anthony Albanese 51 (-1)

Sussan Ley 31 (-1)

Leaders Approval Rating:

ALBANESE: Approve 49 (+2) Disapprove 46 (-1) Uncommitted 6

LEY: Approve 35 (0) Disapprove 44 (+2)

Uncommitted 23

Comparing US President Donald Trump .......

PEW RESEARCH, 14 August 2025:

President Donald Trump’s current job approval rating stands at 38%, with 60% of U.S. adults expressing disapproval of his performance. This is a modest decline from two months ago, when 41% approved.

And perceptions of some of Trump’s personal traits are more negative than they were following his election victory (or in 2024 preelection polling). For instance, 37% of Americans today say “cares about the needs of ordinary people” describes Trump well. That share is 8 points lower than it was shortly after the November election, and 5 points lower than it was in late-summer preelection polling....

Much of the change in Trump’s approval rating over the last few months has come among his own 2024 voters and people who did not vote in 2024.....

NOTE: Australia's next federal general election occurs in 2028 as does the next US presidential election.

Newspoll April 2024 sees little wind in political parties' sails

 

Federal Primary Voting Intent:

ALP 33 (+1)

L/NP Coalition 38 (+1)

Greens 12 (-1)

One Nation 7 (0)

Other 10 (-1)

Federal Two Party Preferred Prediction:

Click on image to enlarge

ALP 51 (0)

L/NP Coalition 49 (0)

Better Prime Minister:

Click on image to enlarge

Albanese 48 (0)

Dutton 35 (+1)

Net Approval Rating

Anthony Albanese:  -6 (+1) 

Peter Dutton:  -15 (0) 

Newspoll was conducted by YouGov on Monday 15 to Friday 19 April 2024 and survey pool was 1,236

Battle of the Political Opinion Polls November 2023

 

Two very different sources, two very different results, published two days apart - who does one believe?

Roy Morgan Research, Market Research Update, email, 28 November 2023:

Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows support for the ALP recovering – up 3% points: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5%

The ALP has regained the lead on 52.5% (up 3% on a week ago) ahead of the Coalition on 47.5% (down 3%) on a two-party preferred basis according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention conducted last week.

The result halts a run of three straight weeks of declines for the ALP.

On primary vote the Coalition is now on 35%, down 2.5% from a week ago, ahead of the ALP on 32%, up 2.5%. The Greens are unchanged on 13.5% and One Nation is on 5%, down 1.5%.

There has been a gain in support for Independents on 9%, up 2%, but a drop in support for Other Parties on 5.5%, down 0.5%.

The latest Roy Morgan Poll is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,379 Australian electors from November 20-26, 2023.

The Australian, Latest Newspoll, 26 November 2023:

Newspoll Two Party Preferred results
10.02.19 to 25.11.23
Click on image to enlarge

Federal Primary Voting Intention:

ALP 31 (-4)

Coalition 38 (+1)

Greens 13 (+1)

One Nation 6 (no change)

Other 12 (+2)

Federal Two Party Preferred:

ALP 50 (-2)

Coalition 50 (+2)

Preferred Prime Minister:

Albanese 46 (no change)

Dutton 35 (-1)

Leaders Approval Rating:

Dutton: Approve 37 (no change) Disapprove 50 (no change)

Albanese: Approve 40 (-2) Disapprove 53 (+1)