Saturday 17 November 2007

Just how far Howard has led the Libs astray on climate change targets

Crikey.com.au yesterday gave us a glimpse of Liberal Party climate change goals before John Howard managed to reintroduce this party to the Dark Ages.
"A reduction in 'greenhouse gas' emissions of at least 20% by the year 2000" being its core promise in 1990.
In 2007 Australia can't even get a vague reduction percentage out of Howard's Liberal Party.
 
Copy of Liberal Party campaign leaflet from the Peacock era:
 
 

Exactly when did Howard lose his political instinct?

Peter Hartcher's view of John Howard's lack of political instinct in The Sydney Morning Herald yesterday.
"Howard's $9.5 billion in new commitments on Monday took the Coalition's election promises to a stunning total of $65 billion. This is an extraordinary 6 per cent of the nation's total annual output as measured by GDP. It's the size of Vietnam's economy. It was a fundamental misjudgment.------He trusted in three things. First, he trusted in our greed, that we would grasp every dollar of handouts that we could get and be grateful to get them.------
Second, he trusted in our stupidity. Australia would understand cash handouts, but surely the country could not grasp some arcane economic point?------
Third, he trusted that his spending would pressure Kevin Rudd into matching him or even outspending him. If Rudd had followed suit, any outrage at crazy spending promises would not have had any partisan power but would have applied to both parties."
The Sydney Morning Herald article:
 
Peter Hartcher gives a canny account of John Howard's recent missteps and mistakes, but exactly when did the Prime Minister lose his famous edge? 
 
I don't think it can be pinpointed to one specific event. I think Howard's instinct began to fatally blunt over the period in which his government held a firm majority in the Senate. With senate numbers allowing the Prime Minister and Cabinet to ram through almost any legislation they chose to treat in this manner, both Howard and his ministers lost the ability to critically evaluate their own performance as a government.
 
Time and again, the Coalition ignored community concerns and cautions given by expert bodies.
The nature of Australian society began to warp under the weight of John Howard's personal prejudices and flawed theories.
 
After eleven years of a Coalition federal government, many MPs had also lost touch with the heartbeat of their own electorates. Additionally, hubris began to replace commonsense - Tony Abbott being a perfect although not singular example.
 
If the Coalition loses power on 24 November it will have no-one to blame but itself. The Coalition lost touch with democracy and reality, while Australia lost its trust of a parliament dominated by the far right of the political spectrum.

Campaign Day 34

Even John Howard is feeling that this is a long election campaign. Yesterday he was reported to have confused the number of days left until polling day. Not twelve, John - definitely not twelve!
I've managed to get to the tail end of this federal campaign without being doorknocked once by anyone from a candidate's team. This has to be a personal record.

Friday 16 November 2007

Smart money is on Labor's Justine Elliot in Richmond

Centrebet Sports at 12.48pm today had the smart money on Labor in the seat of Richmond.
ELLIOT Justine (ALP)    1.08   
PAGE Sue (NATS)          6.50
 
For the seat of Page odds were within a whisker of each other.
GULAPTIS Chris  (NATS)  1.83
SAFFIN Janelle   (ALP)    1.87
 
In the seat of Cowper the odds were a bit long for Labor.
HARTSUYKER Luke (NATS)   1.27
SEKFY Paul (ALP)                 3.40

Coalition spin doctors have lost control

Campaign spin doctors for the Coalition must be nearing a complete psychotic break as they rush to patch up ever increasing holes in the Howard Government facade.
Yesterday was one of their worst days yet, with WorkChoices exposed, massive porkbarrelling uncovered, no real bounce across the opinion polls after John Howard's lacklustre campaign launch and 60% of voters in the latest Neilsen poll predicting a Labor win.
 
Throwing money at the electorate, negative campaign advertising, multiple dog whistles, even a few dirty tricks - none of this appears to be working. A headline in today's The Australian appears to say it all, "Little fight left in dispirited incumbents".
 
With only seven more agonising days to go until the election, many Liberal and Nationals candidates must be praying for the pain to end. I'm sure most of their spin doctors would be on heavy medication by now.
 
News.com.au:
Cumulative Newspoll 16 November:
The Australian today:

Campaign Day 33

Switched over to Aunty before hitting the horsehair last night and saw a tape of Federal Minister Tony Abbott telling Liberal Party foot soldiers that Work Choices had stripped away workers' basic rights and that it was now harder to discover how employers were treating their employees.
John Howard is telling us that he has the ticker to continue to govern and that we should all vote for the Coalition. The real question is - do Australian families have hearts strong enough to survive three more years of his destructive rule?