Wednesday 7 November 2007

Are the Libs imploding halfway through the election campaign?

John Howard's election campaign strategies appear to be causing disquiet among a number of Liberal Party insiders.
 
This last week we have seen a suggestion that should the Coalition Government gain re-election, there would be an immediate move by his party to oust Howard from the position of prime minister.
Also making it into media reports is the fact that some Liberals believe that Howard's presentation of a Howard-Costello prime ministerial team was a fatal mistake.
Then we see that other Liberal insiders are unhappy with Tony Abbot's performance showing a government which is arrogant, blase and too long in office.
Another Liberal leak suggested that John Howard's attitude to this election was all 'me, me, me'.
 
The fact that Liberal Party members are leaking to the press in the middle of a tight election campaign suggests that they are indulging in a bit of early payback for what they see as John Howard's unwinnable position.

Nationals candidate Chris Gulaptis thinks North Coast workers deserve lower wages

From the man who once said that housing 2,000 people on flood-prone land was OK because what was a flood here or there, comes another breathtaking opinion uttered during his debate with Labor's Janelle Saffin last week.
 
When defending WorkChoices Chris Gulaptis said: "Northern Rivers residents moved to the region accepting they would be paid lower wages as part of the trade-off for living in one of the most desirable parts of Australia".
 
Firstly, not everyone moved to the North Coast - a great many were born here.
Secondly, why should we be expected to accept lower wages along with reduced access to major social infrastructure and higher across-the-board costs? Scenery doesn't pay the bills.
 
What makes this Nationals candidate's opinion doubly offensive is the fact that he has previously boasted about his own comfortable income.
 

Campaign Day 24

Caught John Howard yesterday comparing Coalition pollies running for re-election to horses racing in the Melbourne Cup.
Small difference John - in Australia we like and respect our horses.

Tuesday 6 November 2007

Melbourne Cup Day Newpoll release


Not-the-Mebourne-Cup cartoon in Crikey.com.au today

For this Newspoll 1,708 people were interviewed by phone.
Federal Labor leads the Coalition 53% to 47% two-party preferred.
Rudd remains the preferred prime minister leading Howard 47% to 43% with 10% uncommitted.
Of those interviewed 63% have decided exactly which candidate or party they will be voting for on election day.
Newspoll 2-4 November 2007:
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/files/newspoll-6nov.pdf

Where will all those right-wing pundits go after the Federal Election?

Something I haven't thought about before, but this question by Rodney Tiffin deserves an answer.
"IF John Howard loses this election, which journalists might follow him into the sunset?
Although the topic rarely receives media attention, many media identities have a vested interest in the outcome of an election. The media are uncharacteristically shy about exploring the extent to which journalists' careers are sometimes tied to political fortunes.
One difference in the media compared to when Labor last won power in 1983 is the plethora of columnists in the press, expressing largely predictable opinions only minimally disciplined by any evidence that does not fit their prejudices, and overwhelmingly skewed to right of the political spectrum. The News Limited trio of Janet Albrechtsen, Andrew Bolt and Piers Akerman constitute a conformist echo chamber reliably savaging all critics of the Howard government while amplifying the main themes the government wants to promote.--------Loss of perceived political clout and the subsequent ego sagging may also encourage Howard's strongest radio supporter, Sydney shock jock Alan Jones, to retire to the Surrey countryside. Jones, who has complemented his on-air crusades with behind-the-scenes letter writing and lobbying for causes he believes in, is likely to find the new Labor government – especially given the geographic spread of its leaders – less accessible and less inclined to stroke his ego.------While the doyens of the gallery, such as Michelle Grattan, Laurie Oakes and Paul Kelly, are adept at dealing with all sides of politics, some journalists have built their reputation on their closeness to the Howard government. According to Howard's biographers, Peter Van Onselen and Wayne Errington, Howard thinks Dennis Shanahan can be relied upon to report his views accurately. Certainly the prime minister could not ask for interpretations of political developments and polls more sympathetic than Shanahan has provided. His tetchy and world weary account of the leaders' debate suggests he is looking forward to a holiday. "
 
Another question springs to mind - will our NSW North Coast newspapers develop stronger spines if the litigious local Nationals are no longer in Parliament after 24 November?

Byron does its bit to highlight climate change during election campaign

Cape Byron saw 250 concerned people gather last Saturday for a white Mexican wave to highlight global warming issues during this federal election campaign.
Like other towns on the North Coast, Byron Bay worries about coastal inundation and storm damage due to climate change.

Not much has changed since Australia 2004

A Mungo MacCallum perspective on John Howard in 2004. The years since have indeed been a 'crying time' for those looking for good government, political accountability, inclusive society, full consultation, environmental responsibility and a fair Australia.
The Northern Rivers Echo:
 http://www.echonews.com/1051/politics.html

Campaign Day 23

Still chuckling over Joe Hockey's promise to resign his ministry if a re-elected Howard Government substantially changed WorkChoices.
All this means is that the long mooted extension of this industrial relations legislation would be portrayed by Hockey and others as 'minor adjustments', 'removing inconsistencies', 'consolidating the intent', 'administrative matters', or even 'modernising the language'.
To trust the Coalition on this would be as wise as trusting the rabid wolf to act like a family pet.
A re-elected Howard Government (not having to face voters for another three years) would go for the jugular.