Tuesday, 9 September 2008

Is it beat up on pensioners week?

* First we had Today's Apathetic Youth making a case that pensioners are whingers who caused some of their own financial problems by allegedly voting for John Howard.

While older voters have traditionally been thought to vote for conservative parties, this tendency has been somewhat overstated across time (largely because available data can only indicate tendencies for age populations) and just like other age groups voting intentions can vary markedly across election years.

Newspoll data on stated voter intentions from 1987-2007 show that over all election years a combined total of 38.9% of those 60 years+ intended to vote ALP, 51.2% intended to vote Coalition and 9.9% to vote for other parties/independents.

In the same period the data showed that a combined total of only 45.7% of 18-24 year olds intended to vote Labor.

* Then we had the mainstream media writing about the gambling habits of pensioners and suggesting limiting elderly access to poker machines, based on a 2007 survey of 414 people over 60 years of age conducted by the University of Queensland Social Research Centre and published online last January.

What the media articles failed to understand is found in the following survey report observation:

The analysis undertaken suggests that certain age-related circumstances of older people—such as being without a partner, having a disability that impacts on everyday activities, having a low annual income, and no longer participating in the workforce—are associated with higher overall levels of motivation for playing EGMs and greater reliance on EGMs to meet social, recreational and mental health needs.

Some significant factors associated with clinical depression are contained in that sentence, but all the newspapers could say was ban pokie specials on pension days and Poll: Do older people need pre-set limits on poker machine use? Vote below.

All ran with an unproven possibility:
"Compared with younger segments of the population, older people are more commonly retired and thus have more limited opportunities to replenish savings once they are used," the report said. "It is thus conceivable that long-term regular electronic gaming machine use may gradually whittle away older people's financial security."

One has to wonder whether this media response was a targeted beat up coming from Senator Fielding and the Family First stable.

It reeks of blame and punish the pensioners, instead of wondering why a large sector of Australian society is so socially isolated and inadequately supported that some individuals turn to gambling to make themselves feel better.

It also ignores the fact that a great many pensioners have no assets, savings or investments and couldn't afford to enter a social or gambling venue even if they wanted to.

Snakes alive! It's the start of that season again

With the nights getting warmer and the days sunnier, it's time to take care when out walking through scrub or long grass on the NSW North Coast.
The start of Spring will see snakes begin to move about more often and some may cross our paths or that of our pets.

A snake's body temperature - and so its level of activity - is controlled by the temperature of the air and the ground. It will try to maximise body heat, by basking in the sun or lying on or near warm surfaces such as night-time roads or even, on occasion, household water heaters.
In the more temperate climate along the coast they shelter in rock crevices and logs during cold weather and come out on warm days to soak up the heat of the sun.

Monday, 8 September 2008

Dirty deeds done dirt cheap

I can't say that I follow American politics all that closely, but it is not hard to recall the Bush-Gore presidential race of 2000 and the debacle surrounding electronic voting and flawed vote counts.
With the November 2008 polling day coming ever closer, the first concerns are surfacing about irregular
purging of voter registration rolls in at least three US states.

"The purge issue is only going to rise in profile in the coming weeks. Several voting rights groups are studying the process in a number of swing states and hope to issue reports later this summer. Among the issues being studied is the accuracy of the database matches used to purge voters. When California first implemented a data-matching program in 2006, some counties had error rates as high as 40 percent, meaning a registered voter who appeared to have moved would have been incorrectly purged without further efforts to confirm their residency and voter registration status."

It has been reported that last month in Colorado a Bush appointee purged one in every five voters registered in that state.

There is
no uniform eligibility requirements for voluntary voter registration across America and the mishmash of conflicting state and federal legislation may make the run up to November quite interesting for the rest of us watching from afar.

What is evident is the fact that it would be relatively easy under current rules for a US state apparatus to disenfranchise groups thought to be unsympathetic to the candidate favoured by its governor and it wouldn't cost real money to do so -
just stationery and postal costs.
While even the dead may be turned to advantage in other instances.

Both Democratic and Republican voter registration drives are frequently problematic also and
prospective voters can become very confused.

"Late last month, as a voter-registration drive by supporters of Senator
Barack Obama was signing up thousands of students at Virginia Tech, the local registrar of elections issued two releases incorrectly suggesting a range of dire possibilities for students who registered to vote at their college.
The releases warned that such students could no longer be claimed as dependents on their parents’ tax returns, a statement the
Internal Revenue Service says is incorrect, and could lose scholarships or coverage under their parents’ car and health insurance."

It's times like this that I'm thankful to be living in Australia - our voting system seems eminently sane compared with this American brand of political insanity.

US 08: Who said what

* Click image to enlarge
Word cloud graphic came from the stables of The New York Times.

It is interesting to note that during the Democratic Convention speech Obama used his opponent's name 78 times and spoke about God 22 times.
While during the Republican Convention speech McCain used his opponent's name 25 times and mentioned God 43 times.

The word cloud also gives lie to a recent Obama statement, supported by Biden, that McCain and Palin failed to mention issues affecting middle class Americans.

Amazing Grace...........

With 21 candidates standing at the Clarence Valley local government election, one would think that there would be an embarrassment of talent to choose from.
Sadly this is not the case when one looks at those standing for the first time or standing again after an initial unsuccessful attempt.

However, along with Janet Purcell, Grace Clague is an exception to this dismal field of wannabes.

Grace, an indigenous mother of three from Brushgrove, shone with quiet sincerity when she made a commitment to protect the cultural and economic values of the Clarence River.

She also impressed with her understanding of the financial realities of local government and the need to develop federal and state relationships which can facilitate funding outcomes.

Grace acknowledged that Clarence Valley Council's current differential rating system needed to remain in place and be fine tuned according to changing circumstances.

Reported in The Daily Examiner last Saturday she stated:
I support borrowing strictly controlled levels of finance to spread the cost of very expensive infrastructure, such as water supply, between current and future residents.

Grace Clague gets an 8 out of 10 on my ballot meter.

Frank Sartor can't understand why he's lost out - should we tell him?

Frank Sartor thinks that the current situation, which finds him without his title of planning minister and off the new NSW Rees Government front bench entirely, is all a big mistake.

He told The Age yesterday:

Mr Sartor said in nearly 17 years of elected office, he had made many contributions to the City of Sydney, of which he was former lord mayor, and the state of NSW.

He pointed to his "transformation" of Sydney, the establishment of the Cancer Institute of NSW, the Water and Energy Savings Fund - now the Climate Change Fund, the smoking ban in pubs and clubs and difficult planning reforms.


What Frank Sartor doesn't understand is how the average voter thinks.

While everyone either approves or disapproves of state policy initiatives across a broad range of community concerns, it is the politics of their own streetscapes that brings individual passions to the fore.

When Crankie Frankie stripped away the rights of residents and ratepayers to have any effective say in most local development decisions, he crossed a bridge to far.
One which is likely to cost Labor at the next election.

Premier Rees is obviously hoping that with Sartor gone, NSW voters will forget about those draconian planning reforms.

He is perhaps being overly optimistic, especially in coastal electorates where development pressure is fast stripping local identity away and leaving behind a generic 'retirement and tourism zone'.

Brendan Nelson stuns this mullet

Federal Leader of the Opposition Brendan Nelson was on the ABC TV The Insiders program yesterday morning.

A minute or two into the interview he left me looking like a stunned mullet accidentally beached on the living room carpet, when I heard him calmly suggest interfering in state politics to the extent of finding the means to call an early election in New South Wales three years ahead of the end of this government's term.

Here is what he said:
"Federal Opposition Leader Brendan Nelson says he will examine the constitutional arrangements in New South Wales to see if there is any chance of an early election."

Brendan, that strange hairstyle you sport must be eating through to your brain.
It is not up to any federal pollie to look for ways to wreck a state government or to assist others to do so, no matter how deeply concerned that political lowlife allegedly feels.