Monday, 14 March 2011

Wake me when the election is over



The March 2011 New South Wales state election seems to have been greeted with a massive yawn from voters on the North Coast and even the candidates are going through the motions absent of any real political verve.
One candidate for the seat of Clarence took ennui to its outer limit by nominating and then promptly disappearing from sight so successfully that even the
local meeja can’t winkled her out – take a bow Family First’s Kristen Bromell.
In Ballina it was the Labor candidate who didn’t front a meet-the-candidates event according to The Northern Star on 9th March – take your bow Toby Warnes.
Meanwhile in Coffs Harbour a general lack of enthusiasm on the part of The Greens produced a
no-show at the ballot draw – face the audience bend forward at the waist Rodney Degens.
Even letter writing voters can’t raise much ire against particular candidates and online comments don’t sparkle – although this one raised a grin because The Daily Examiner online moderator let
an accusation stand which invites readers to suspect one Independent candidate of improper conduct:



Click image to enlarge



In an election campaign conspicuously devoid of humour the most amusing incident so far was to read of one Nationals candidate for re-election likening himself to an alien character in a Hollywood movie, John Smith from the planet Lorien - come down to earth Steve Cansdell!
With the penalty for not voting in a state election standing at a measly $55, I think that the number of no-shows amongst voters could fast outstrip totals in past elections.

Sunday, 13 March 2011

Australian Opposition all set to do the Gish Gallop*?


Having set the scene by treating the proposed carbon price mechanism guideline as a settled direct tax on Australian citizens (rather than a cost paid by polluting industries) the Australian Coalition Opposition, led by the Hon. Tony Abbott, now appears ready to reprise its attack on climate science underpinning the need for setting such a price:

I think there are increasing doubts about the proposition that anthropogenic emissions of C02 are causing global warming…….

Quoting a blog from an atmospheric scientist from the University of Alabama - who he did not name - Senator Minchin said: "It's clear that the models, and we're dealing with models, have grossly overestimated the sensitivity of temperature to increases in CO2.

"I think what's occurred is that there was a warming period from about '75 to the year 2000. It was part of a natural cycle of warming that comes in 25, 30-year cycles. The world has basically stabilised in terms of temperature since about 2000.

"There are many, many scientists who actually think we could be entering a cooling phase, and I for one think that is more than likely.

"We have stabilised in terms of world temperatures. There is a very powerful natural cycle at work, and if anything we're more likely to see a tendency down in global temperatures, rather than up."

Now the only atmospheric scientist I am familiar with at Alabama University is Professor John Christy and, as far as I can tell this academic (often characterized as a climate change sceptic) in his most recent evidence before a US House of Representatives sub-committee on 8 March 2011 does not actually say that the earth has entered a cooling period. Rather he holds that warming is occurring at a much lower rate than previously predicted and recent disastrous weather events cannot be attributed directly to global warming.

This appears to represent a small step back from his earlier evidence in 2000 based on dubious research co-authored with climate change contrarian and intelligent design believer Roy Spenser also from Alabama University. Nevertheless, Christy is still very much in the contrarian camp.

Interestingly, it is the more notorious Spencer who appears to have an identifiable blog.

*Gish Gallop

Oopps! Australian Government just about to declare Wattle illegal


A chuckle over the cornflakes this morning…..

Wikipedia says: Acacia maidenii, also known as Maiden's Wattle, is a tree native to Australia (New South Wales, Queensland and Victoria). Fitzgerald and Siournis reported in the Australian Journal of Chemistry (1965, volume 18, pp. 433-4) that a sample of the bark contained 0.36% of the hallucinogen DMT as well as 0.24% of N-methyltryptamine. However, anecdotal evidence suggests that the concentration of DMT and other tryptamines in A. maidenii is very variable and may be zero in many strains. When smoked, the bark gives a mild hallucinogenic effect. It is also a common admixture ingredient to Australian Ayahuasca brews.”

The Australian Government says: “Proposed Controlled Plant …….any plant containing DMT”

It almost goes without saying that Maiden's Wattle is one of those tall shrubs recommended for planting in NSW gardens by none other than Botanic Gardens Trust in Sydney.
Er, who’s going to tell Auntie that those lovely wattles she planted at the bottom of the garden might make her a criminal if she sells their potted seedlings at the local CWA fundraiser next year?


Though when it comes to political red faces, this week the Republican-dominated US House of Reps Appropriations Committee takes the cake based on the teensy weensy fact that the very same day a rather big Pacific Ocean tsunami barrelled towards so many shorelines this committee sent out a media release which trumpeted budgetary cuts to the very agency which runs the Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre on which so many rely for information:
-$99 million – NOAA – Operations, Research, and Facilities
-$18 million – NOAA – Procurement Acquisition and Construction

Pic from http://herbarium.0-700.pl/
Map from http://ptwc.weather.gov

Saturday, 12 March 2011

Tony Blair is coming to Australia and he wants to hold an audience.....



In July 2011 former British prime Minister and alleged war criminal Tony Blair is coming to Australia to do a little revenue raising in Melbourne, Brisbane, Sydney and Perth.

Wonder who will actually admit to paying these prices to meet him or which Australian corporations (besides Visy) might actually believe that being associated with this man will enhance business reputations?
Will someone try to claim Monbiot's bounty by performing a peaceful citizen's arrest?

An Audience With Tony Blair: Lessons in Leadership, Negotiation and Innovation

TICKET PRICES

$1,000 per person
Ticket includes a full sit down banquet meal and attendance at the pre-event cocktail party

$10,000 per Table of Ten
Tables of ten include a full sit down banquet meal and attendance at the pre-event cocktail party

$1,500 VIP Ticket
Includes a seat at one of "the best tables in the house", one ticket to private pre-event "meet and greet" cocktail party and individual photograph with Tony Blair

$15,000 VIP Table of Ten
Includes "the best seats in the house" table of ten, ten tickets to private
pre-event "meet and greet" cocktail party and individual one photograph
with Tony Blair, full page advertisement in the program, logo recognition in the program and on the screens at the event

World Day Against Cyber-Censorship today 12 March 2011

Never a truer word spoken on the Mad Monk


Abbott is behaving like a vandal. While saying he is concerned about energy prices he is wrecking any chance of them stabilising. By saying he will rescind any new carbon price approved by parliament (if, as is likely, he wins the next election) he is forcing would-be investors in the power industry to extend their capital strike.

Read the rest of Peter Martin’s “Memo to Julia: You don't have a carbon consensus” here.

Friday, 11 March 2011

NOAA Tsunami Information 11 March 2011 - predicted wave arrival times for Australian east coast

Tsunami Information

Earthquake Information

Message Time:

11 Mar 2011 07:30 UTC

Message Num:

3

Message Text:

click to read

Message Type:

a Widespread Tsunami Warning is in Effect

Warning:

Japan, Russia, Marcus Is., N. Marianas, Guam, Wake Is., Taiwan, Yap, Philippines, Marshall Is., Belau, Midway Is., Pohnpei, Chuuk, Kosrae, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Nauru, Johnston Is., Solomon Is., Kiribati, Howland-baker, Hawaii, Tuvalu, Palmyra Is., Vanuatu, Tokelau, Jarvis Is., Wallis-futuna, Samoa, American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Australia, Fiji, New Caledonia, Tonga, Mexico, Kermadec is, Fr. Polynesia, New Zealand, Pitcairn, Guatemala, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Nicaragua, Antarctica, Panama, Honduras, Chile, Ecuador, Colombia, Peru

Watch:

ETAs / Obs:

measurements

Preliminary (PTWC)

Official (USGS)

Origin Time:

11 Mar 2011 05:46 UTC

11 Mar 2011 05:46 UTC

Magnitude:

8.8 Mwp
(reviewed by PTWC)

7.9

Latitude:

38.2° N

38.3° N

Longitude:

142.5° E

142.4° E

Depth:

10 km (6.2 mi)

24.4 km (15.2 mi)

Location:

Near East Coast of Honshu Japan

More Info.:

updated earthquake information from the USGS NEIC

Predicted arrival times:  
AUSTRALIA        
CAIRNS 16.7S 145.8E 1528Z 11 MAR 
BRISBANE 27.2S 153.3E 1620Z 11 MAR 
SYDNEY 33.9S 151.4E 1651Z 11 MAR 
GLADSTONE 23.8S 151.4E 1730Z 11 MAR 
MACKAY 21.1S 149.3E 1811Z 11 MAR 
HOBART  43.3S 147.6E 1826Z 11 MAR
http://www.weather.gov/ptwc/?region=1&id=pacific.2011.03.11.073000&msg