Showing posts with label climate change. Show all posts
Showing posts with label climate change. Show all posts

Thursday, 12 December 2024

HOUSING 2024 STATE OF PLAY: All renters deserve to live in a safe, healthy and energy efficient home. But do they?

 

In November 2024 the Consumer Policy Research Centre (CPRC) in partnership with Anika Legal and Consumer Action Law Centre (CALC) released a 23-page report entitled "Too Hot, Too Cold, Too Costly: Victorian Renters Pay the Price for Energy-Inefficient Homes".


Although this report is principally based on small group research conducted in one Australia state, the housing circumstances it describes are common to many towns and villages across the country, both in metropolitan and regional areas.


It should be noted that although the report appears to address private rental situations, it is not unknown for renters in government subsidised social housing to experience health & safety issues relating to a lack of energy efficiency built into dwellings they rent and/or experience delays in receiving needed repairs to the rental property.


The following excepts are drawn from the first 15 pages of the report.


How can we make it easier for people who rent to keep their home warm in winter and cool in summer? How can we make sure that the cost of energy isn’t excessive for people who rent?


All renters deserve to live in a safe, healthy and energy efficient home. Recent quantitative research has highlighted how rental homes with poor energy efficiency cause harm.


Up to 40% of households renting in Australia experience energy hardship, threatening their financial stability, health and housing security.


A national survey by Better Renting found that three in four renters in Australia are cutting back on heating and cooling to reduce energy costs. Only 22% of renters in Victoria have adequate ceiling insulation in their home, and 38% described their home as being too cold "almost all the time" in winter.


This report looks closely at the experiences of a group of renters in Victoria. Anika Legal, in partnership with Consumer Action Law Centre (CALC), provided financial counselling and legal advice to renters. This research investigated the experiences of these clients in terms of energy inefficiency in their rental properties, as well as the impacts on health and financial wellbeing resulting from inefficient energy use. The research also examined renters’ understanding of their rights, knowledge of complaints pathways, and experiences of dispute resolution.


Consumer Policy Research Centre (CPRC) provided an independent analysis of findings, jointly reported here, in collaboration with Anika Legal. 


Overall, the results tell a targeted story of the challenges people face enforcing their rights as renters. There is a clear link between energy efficient homes and decreasing cost of energy use. However, the incentives for a landlord to make a home energy efficient do not go far enough to adequately protect renters. As one of our renters posited, a car needs a roadworthy. Why doesn’t a house?.....


Our renters reported living in energy inefficient and faulty homes


Most of our renters told us that the energy efficiency of their homes was ‘poor’ or ‘very poor’.

They cited critical structural faults hindering the overall energy efficiency, examples included holes in the roof, gaps in floorboards, single pane windows, and draughty doors.


Additionally, several renters found major faults within their air conditioning units, electric water heaters, gas pipes and/or plumbing system. Some renters reported damage to key facilities in their home including a broken toilet valve, shower screen and fence. One renter said that their home had numerous faults and even lacked necessities including a front door lock, security gate/screen, kitchen exhaust fan and smoke alarm....


Our renters believed that the poor energy efficiency of their homes, combined with unrepaired faults, directly contributed to the increase in their energy and water bills. Our renters were concerned about their ability to clear existing debts and cover any future increase in energy and water prices.


Our renters and their households experienced significant negative impacts due to poor energy efficiency and faults in their homes


Our renters reported that poor energy efficiency resulted in a range of negative impacts on their household. Of these impacts, financial costs and health and safety concerns were the most significant.


Our renters often felt that they had to choose between turning on the heating during colder weather or enduring the cold to save money. When our renters did turn on their heating, they often felt stressed about how they would cover the additional cost to their energy bills. This resulted in these renters experiencing a lower sense of wellbeing and feeling disempowered and insecure in their current living situation. When our renters did not turn on their heating, they reported feeling concerned about the physical and mental health impacts associated with being cold all the time....


In addition, our renters were concerned about the health and safety risks posed by faults including leaky water and sewerage pipes. For instance, several of our renters were worried about the presence of mould in their homes and others identified the safety risk of puddles around water leakages. One renter even recounted an experience where their young son was hospitalised after slipping in a puddle of water that had leaked from a bathroom tap. These risks caused renters to feel anxious over the health and safety of their household.


Further, another renter reported experiencing negative impacts including stress, anxiety, relationship tension and less time to enjoy leisure activities. These impacts occurred after the renter had endured major gas leaks for several months....


Our renters are picking up the slack when landlords don’t act


Our renters often prefer to fix the problem themselves

When encountering a problem with their home, our renters tend to contact their friends, family, community workers, or often find a way to fix the problem themselves. Our renters take it upon themselves to purchase repair materials, appliances and other household products to regulate temperatures inside their homes, incurring out of pocket expenses for these improvements.


For example, several of our renters opted to purchase cheap standing heaters, fans, new blinds, and/or electric blankets. In other cases, one renter chose to seal gaps to prevent cold draughts, while another decided to patch holes in the roof....


Our renters are concerned about rent increases


Many of our renters are concerned that even basic improvements made to a property might lead to an increase in rent. One renter shared an experience where a neighbour’s rent was increased despite the landlord having already received a reimbursement for the property to be improved in line with minimum standards....


Our renters are aware of power imbalances, and this can influence their actions


Our renters recognised the power imbalance between themselves and their landlords, understanding that landlords control both rent prices and the security of their tenancy. This precarious dynamic often left renters feeling powerless and influenced the extent to which renters were willing to engage with their landlords. One renter expressed that they did not want to draw attention to themselves or remind their landlord of their presence. This sentiment was echoed by another renter who preferred to manage any repairs themselves to avoid potential retribution from their landlord.....


The full report can be read and downloaded at

https://anika-clerk.s3.amazonaws.com/documents/Too_Hot_Too_Cold_Too_Costly_-_December_2024.pdf


Tuesday, 26 November 2024

Thousands of people answered the call of Rising Tide and successfully protested at Newcastle coal port in New South Wales over the course of four days

 

After the Supreme Court set aside a Minns Government decision to cut off access to Newcastle Harbour in an effort to prevent a four-day climate protest, NSW Police were left trying to herd cats on port waters for most of Sunday, 24 November 2024. 


The result was that thousands of people of all ages answered Rising Tide's call for a peaceful protest at what is said to be the world's largest coal port and shipping was disrupted as planned.


Here's how the Newcastle Protestival went down from the perspective of police, protestors and media.

The Canberra Times, 24 November 2024







NSW Police News


Over 100 people arrested in Port of Newcastle


Sunday, 24 November 2024 12:47:08 PM


Police have arrested over 100 people as a police operation continues in the Port of Newcastle.


Just after 10am today (Sunday 24 November 2024), a large group of people entered a shipping channel and interfered with the movement of vessels.


138 people have now been arrested after refusing to comply with a direction to move away from the channel.


The police operation is ongoing.


For their own safety and that of the other users of the port, police request that people refrain from entering the harbour with the intention to obstruct other users of the port. We also encourage all participants to follow the directions of police.


The community is reminded that under NSW legislation, the safe passage of vessels is protected. Unlawful activity may result in fines or imprisonment.


The NSW Police Force will adopt a zero-tolerance approach to actions which threaten public safety and the safe passage of vessels.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pMNwXVEeiRY


Charges laid as police operation continues - Port of Newcastle


Sunday, 24 November 2024 06:20:26 PM


170 people have been arrested this weekend over the disruption of a major facility and failure to comply with marine safety directions in the Port of Newcastle.


Yesterday (Saturday 23 November 2024), two men and a woman were charged with not comply with direction by authorised officer relating to safety.


Just after 10am today (Sunday 24 November 2024), a large group of people entered the shipping channel and presented serious safety risks to themselves and others, causing significant disruptions to the operation of the harbour.


156 adults and 14 youths have now been charged in total - 138 with disruption of a major facility, and 32 with not comply with direction by authorised officer relating to safety. Two were refused bail to appear at Newcastle Local Court tomorrow (Monday 24 November 2024).


34 people were required to be retrieved from the water during arrests, ten people required assistance from police to return to shore, and one police officer suffered a fractured ankle.


Unrelated to activities in the water, there were numerous traffic infringements issued, and a further five charges were laid.


Despite disruptions, the harbour remains open and continues to operate with 31 shipping movements over the weekend since Friday (22 November 2024).


The police operation is ongoing.


The NSW Police Force recognises and supports the rights of individuals and groups to exercise their rights of free speech and peaceful assembly; however, the priority for NSW Police is always the safety of the wider community and there will be zero tolerance for illegal and dangerous behaviour.


Andrew George, 35, from the Lismore area in the Northern Rivers region was charged with two offences, including seriously disrupting a major facility and operating a vessel as to interfere with others use of waters, before being released on bail.


ECHO, 25 November 2024:


Police minister condemns protesters

Minister for Police Yasmin Catley has released a statement on behalf of the government thanking police for protecting public safety and condemning arrested protesters.


Minister Catley has described as reckless the behaviour of those she says think it ‘acceptable to waste critical policing resources and endanger officers with self-serving stunts’ and ‘irresponsible theatrics’.



GRAPHICS: @RisingTideAus



Monday, 18 November 2024

Clarence Valley State of Play: as the first day of Summer draws closer memories of past summers surface

 

Right now the Clarence River flow at Newbold Crossing is registering in the >80% stream flow percentile, the Shannon Creek side dam is at 99% capacity and soil moisture is for the most part within acceptable limits across the Clarence Valley which is classified 100% non-drought.


However, the Australian Summer officially begins on 1 December 2024 and air temperatures and water evaporation rates are bound to rise.


So how is the New South Wales Combined Drought Indicator (CDI) Map likely to look come December?


Where we are going?


NSW Dept. of Primary Industries and Regional Development, Climate Branch, Drought Forecasting, 17 November 2022:









NOTE: The DPIRD drought forecast for NSW presents the ‘Most Likely’ Combined Drought Indicator (CDI) category for the forecast period. The Most Likely CDI category is determined by identifying the 'mode' of the CDI. The mode is the category that appears most frequently across all possible forecast outcomes in the ensemble run. It is the most common prediction for drought conditions in the forecast period based on the model's simulations.


Where have we been along the Clarence Valley drought history continuum, 20 November 2019 to 9 October 2024?

Click on graphs to enlarge


Fine Flower & environs




Heifer Station & environs




Grafton & environs




Maclean & environs




Yamba


*All maps & graphs were created on 17.11.24 using interactive tools created by NSW Dept. of Primary Industries and Regional Development, Climate Branch





Combined Drought Indicators


The NSW Combined Drought Indicator (CDI) includes four indicators for rainfall, soil moisture, plant growth and drought direction which, used together, can indicate the five phases of drought.


Rainfall Index (RI)

The RI is the percentile rank of rainfall aggregated over 12 months. The ranking is made using a 30 year (1980-2010) baseline which captures recent big shifts in climate variability, and factors in climate change. This provides an index between 0 and 100 where values approaching 0 are close to driest, and those approaching 100 close to the wettest, for any given region. Percentile-based indices like the RI have a uniform distribution regardless of their climatic setting, which is an attractive feature in NSW given the presence of rangeland, temperate and sub-tropical climates which have skewed, normal and log-normal rainfall distributions.


Soil Water Index (SWI)

The SI is calculated using the same procedure as the RI, but uses a soil moisture field derived from the DPI AgriModTM soil water balance. Plant available soil water from layer one (0-10cm) and layer two (11-45 cm), the assumed maximum rooting zone, are aggregated and used to calculate the SWI. Similar to the RI, the SWI is an index between 0 and 100. In most districts of NSW a value of 0 means there is no plant available water held in the profile. The SWI is a hydrological index, but its configuration means that it is more useful as an indicator of conditions for dryland than irrigated agriculture.


Plant Growth Index (PGI)

The PGI is calculated using the same general procedure as the RI, using the output from DPI’s crop and pasture models. Crop stress and pasture growth data are taken from DPI AgriModTM, and the percentile rank calculated for each day. If the predominant land use in a given area is cropping, the PGI uses the crop-derived data, otherwise it uses the pasture growth indicator. The PGI is an agronomic drought index which is not only sensitive to moisture but also temperature variation and seasonal events such as frost. It is important to note that the PGI tracks the influence of climate on production potential across broad areas only. This provides a regional indicator of conditions. In the paddock, management decisions like fertiliser application and timing, sowing times and stocking rates drive outcomes on the ground, and in-field conditions can be above or below the regional indicator reported by EDIS.


BACKGROUND


The main water supply (other than the village systems of Wooli and Minnie Water) in the Clarence Valley is sourced from the Nymboida River, flowing through a section of the wider Clarence River catchment area.


At this time of year the Clarence Valley urban water supply is drawing around 14.26ML/per day from the river weir.


The Nymboida River also gravity feeds water to Shannon Creek Dam when required and, if the Nymboida river flow is too low (less than 225 Megalitres a day) or turbid post-flood, the Clarence Valley's principal urban areas receive water sourced from the off-stream storage at Shannon Creek.


Overall, Shannon Creek Dam is used to supply the Clarence Valley’s water about 5% of the time. Right now this dam is at 99% capacity.


This scenario is complicated by the fact that historically the Clarence Valley also supplies water out of the catchment to Coffs Harbour City local government area and this draw on catchment water is constant and always exceeding an optimal sustainability level for average daily drawn down.


Sunday, 6 October 2024

The most immediate climate change scenario for New South Wales coastal zone 2024-2050 has been refined by AdaptNSW using NARCliM 2.0 data

 

The Earth is beginning to periodically exceed an annual global air-sea temperature of 1.5°C - the first 12-month period to exceed 1.5°C as an average was February 2023 to January 2024 when the EU Union Copernicus Climate Change Service stated the annual average as 1.52°C above pre-industrial levels.


According to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology the national temperature dataset covering the last 114 years since meteorological observations began to be collated in this country reveal that by 2024 Australia's average temperature over the continental land mass has already warmed by 1.5°C plus or minus 0.23°C since 1910.


The NSW and Australian Regional Climate Modelling (NARCliM 2.0) released in August 2024 states:


NSW and the ACT have already warmed by

1.4°C since national records began in 1910.

This local warming figure represents surface air temperature over land in NSW and is not directly comparable to average estimates of global warming which include surface air temperature over both land and ocean. Surface warming occurs faster over land than the ocean. Significant impacts from climate change are already occurring in NSW and are expected to be felt more widely in the future.....


The NARCliM "New South Wales Climate Change Snapshot" (August 2024) can be found at:

https://www.climatechange.environment.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/2024-08/NARCliM2-Snapshot-NSW.pdf


and


NARCliM "North Coast Climate Change Snapshot" (August 2024) covering the coastal zone from the Port Macquarie district up to the Tweed district on the NSW-Qld border at:

https://www.climatechange.environment.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/2024-08/NARCliM2-Snapshot-NorthCoast.pdf


The bottom line is that based on climate science and recorded data to date, across the the next 26 years to 2050 the NSW North Coast and its communities are predicted to experience:


  • Average temperature increase of 1.7°C;


  • Hot days per year will increase by 8.6 days;


  • Severe fire weather days per year will increase by 0.5 days;


  • Average annual rainfall will be reduced by somewhere between -0.6% to -11.5%. The rainfall ensemble range would see fluctuations of between -12.1% to -26.1% & +10.9% to +11.9%.

  • Sea level will rise by 23cm [0.23m].


In this NARCliM scenario sea level rise is expected to have a major impact on NSW's coastal communities in the coming decades with seawater inundation expected to continue to rise for centuries and last for millennia.



Modelling predicts that north-east NSW sea levels will rise ahead of the remainder of the state's coastal ocean and North Coast low lying coastal flood plains and coastal settlements will experience this sea water inundation.



BACKGROUND


NSW Government, AdaptNSW, August 2024:



For over a decade, the NSW and Australian Regional Climate Modelling (NARCliM) project has provided robust climate change projections to support government, business and communities to mitigate and adapt to climate change.


NARCliM2.0 offers 150 years of continuous climate model data, including historical data and future projections, spanning from 1951 to 2100, at a 4km resolution across NSW and south-eastern Australia.


Wednesday, 18 September 2024

CLIMATE CHANGE STATE OF PLAY 2024: “Now we are finding that atmospheric CO2 levels are increasing faster than ever. We must recognize that these are clear signals of the damage carbon dioxide pollution is doing to the climate system, and take rapid action to cut fossil fuel use as quickly as we can.”


In a month where Australia is breaking the lowest seasonal temperature records in parts of Australia just weeks after setting maximum temperatures records in another seasonal extreme - while some countries in Europe are either experiencing heatwaves or wildfires at the same time others are experiencing heavy snowfalls or catastrophic flooding - it is no longer being whispered but shouted out that "global warming is now becoming so extreme and non-linear that combined with habitat destruction, pollution, and overkilling of species it threatens collapse in the natural world including human systems within years not decades" [Ben See, climate activist, September 2024].


This is happening because although for decades now global heating of the Earth system has been unequivocal, detected acceleration of Earth heating has never been so sharply evident as it has become in the last two years.


2024 is also the year when evidence suggests that the rapid increase in CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere being recorded may now be independent of the amount of greenhouse gas emissions being released into the atmosphere by human activity. In other words, global warming's effect on the Earth may have passed a tipping point from which there is no return to a pre-industrial era global climate for millennia.


16 September 2024:


"The global temperature according to NASA data. Anyone who is still wondering about #ExtremeWeather and flooding has either missed out on several decades of climate research or deliberately repressed it. #Flood" **

Click on graph to enlarge



Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf, (@rahmstorf) Head of Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research & Professor of Physics of the Oceans, Potsdam University


** Text of tweet translated from German to English by Google Translate



U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), News Release, 6 June 2024:


During a year of extremes, carbon dioxide levels surge faster than ever


The two-year increase in Keeling Curve peak is the largest on record


June 6, 2024 — Carbon dioxide is accumulating in the atmosphere faster than ever — accelerating on a steep rise to levels far above any experienced during human existence, scientists from NOAA and the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego announced today....


From January through April, NOAA and Scripps scientists said CO2 concentrations increased more rapidly than they have in the first four months of any other year. The surge has come even as one highly regarded international report has found that fossil fuel emissions, the main driver of climate change, have plateaued in recent years.


Over the past year, we’ve experienced the hottest year on record, the hottest ocean temperatures on record and a seemingly endless string of heat waves, droughts, floods, wildfires and storms,” said NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad, Ph.D. “Now we are finding that atmospheric CO2 levels are increasing faster than ever. We must recognize that these are clear signals of the damage carbon dioxide pollution is doing to the climate system, and take rapid action to cut fossil fuel use as quickly as we can.” ....


Wednesday, 11 September 2024

Extreme floods, rain, wind, storm, hail, heat, drought and bushfire are already impacting Australia's economic growth - now Zurich Insurance & Mandela Partners are calculating the extent tourism will be affected


"Australians have focused a lot on the transition risks of climate change: focusing on the impacts that different carbon abatement policies will have on the economy and on communities in an effort to reduce emissions. But we focus much less on the physical impacts of climate change which are already occurring and, on current projections, will continue to worsen.


Why is this? One reason is data. There are many datasets which have been used to analyse the impact of different carbon abatement policies. The same cannot be said for adaptation.


This is the core innovation of the Zurich Resilience Solutions (ZRS) capability. By mapping the physical risks of climate change across every 10 square meters in Australia, it provides unparalleled insights into the tangible impacts of climate change on different assets and locations."

["The Zurich-Mandala Climate Risk Index: The impact of climate change on the Australian tourism industry", September 2024]


For the last two decades science has been telling the Australian general public that flood, rain, wind, storm, hail, heat, drought and bushfire are the horsemen of climate change and they are upon us now - not arriving some time in a distant future. Now the insurance industry is pointing to this fact of life.


The Zurich-Mandela risk report released this month looks at the effect climate change will have on Australia's natural and manmade tourism assets.


Given the degree to which tourism underpins local economies and the wider NSW Northern Rivers regional economy generating as it does up to $1.6 billion annually supporting est.14,416 jobs, this is a serious issue for the far north, its seven local government areas and the estimated 315,775 men, women and children who live there.


The Northern Rivers tourism industry is known to be vulnerable to externalities. Since 2018, flooding and bushfires have damaged natural amenity and infrastructure, while COVID-19 restrictions reduced visitation and spend in the region, with total visitor expenditure in 2021 down $423 million on 2019 levels.

[Dept. of Regional NSW, Northern Rivers Regional Economic Development Strategy – 2023 Update]


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


Zurich Insurance Group, media release, 7 September 2024:


Zurich and Mandala release first Climate Risk Index for the Australian tourism sector

9 September 2024


Zurich Financial Services Australia (Zurich) and Mandala Partners (Mandala) today released Australia’s first Climate Risk Index for the Australian tourism sector.


Utilising Zurich’s global exposure analysis capability, the report analyses the impact of climate change on Australia’s top tourism sites – including major airports, national parks, beaches and museums – under different Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios.


The Index – the first comprehensive, quantitative climate assessment of its kind for Australian tourism – finds that currently, half of Australia’s tourism assets are in an elevated risk category, facing considerable climate and natural peril risk.


This is set to rise to between 55 and 68 per cent of Australian tourism sites by 2050 under either an intermediate (two degrees Celsius of warming by 2041-2060) or extreme (three degrees) IPCC future climate scenario respectively. Under the more extreme scenario, 80 per cent of tourism sites will experience an increase in risk between 2025 and 2050.


Australia’s tourism industry plays an important role in the nation’s economy, contributing more than $170 billion in annual expenditure and over 620,000 jobs.


In terms of economic impact, around 30 per cent (up to 176,000) of these jobs nationally could be jeopardised – 65 per cent of which are outside our capital cities – in the event of a disaster scenario similar to that experienced following the bushfires of 2019-20.


The analysis also reveals that climate risk varies significantly by geography and site type (natural or man-made).


Queensland has both the highest number of sites facing elevated risks (79 per cent) and the most sites in the highest risk category (52 per cent) compared to any other jurisdiction. After Queensland, Western Australia and the Northern Territory have 69 per cent and 63 per cent of sites in the highest risk categories, respectively. Across the southern states, the risks were relatively lower.


By site category, the Index finds that all 31 of the busiest airports in Australia fall into the highest climate risk categories, including 94 per cent in the most extreme category, due to their geographic location and susceptibility to perils such as wind and storms.


Similarly, all of the analysed wine growing regions, botanic gardens, scenic roads & rail, and rainforests & national parks were found to be in the highest climate risk categories. Natural geological formations, museums, galleries and stadia face relatively lower risk.


Justin Delaney, Chief Executive Officer, Zurich Australia & New Zealand, said: “Australia’s tourism assets not only play a significant role in an increasingly diverse visitor economy but are collectively central to our national identity.”


This analysis, conducted in partnership with Mandala, serves to highlight the critical importance of improving resilience across our tourism assets, both to ensure the sustainability and longevity of these sites and to minimise downstream economic impacts – particularly in regional areas – on employment, business formation, consumption and investment.”


More broadly, it also serves to highlight the quantum of data and insights that are available to understand the prevailing risk environment in order to shape and prepare our collective response,” Mr Delaney said.


Adam Triggs, Partner, Mandala Partners, said: “In Australia, we have focused a lot on how to reduce carbon emissions but have focused less on how to prepare for the physical impacts of climate change that we are already seeing: tourist attractions destroyed by bushfires, tourism sites made inaccessible by floods, man-made attractions damaged by hail and airports closed because of extreme winds”.


A key reason for Australia’s more limited focus on the physical impacts of climate change is a lack of data, and this is exactly the gap that our partnership with Zurich seeks to fill,” Dr Triggs said.


The release of the Climate Risk Index for the tourism sector builds upon and follows a similar analysis by Zurich and Mandala on the climate risk facing the Australian energy generation sector in November 2023, the first assessment of its kind for an entire critical infrastructure asset class.


A full version of the report is available here.


-ENDS-

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


Excerpts from the Zurich-Mandela report.




Source: Zurich Resilience Solutions using Jupiter Intelligence’s ClimateScore Global 2.6; Mandala analysis









Despite more natural sites facing climate risk overall, the proportion of man-made sites facing severe risk is higher


The Zurich-Mandala Climate Risk Index found that currently, 55% of natural tourism sites in Australia face climate risk. Of these sites, 14% are in the highest risk category, a further 23% are in the second highest category and 17% are in the third highest.


Most natural sites in Australia are either national parks, rainforests or beaches. These sites face significant risk from floods, storms and bushfires due to the potential for environmental degradation, which can permanently alter these sites. Extreme weather can also result in seasonal shifts, disrupt ecosystems and impact tourist visitation patterns.


Despite a higher volume of natural sites showing vulnerability to climate change overall, the proportion of impacted man-made sites facing severe risk is higher. Just under half of all man-made assets fall within the top three risk categories, with one quarter of these in the highest risk category. The most at-risk man-made sites are vineyards and airports, which face significant risk from heat, bushfires and flooding. Likewise, scenic roads (including bridges) and railways face significant risk....


In the 25 years from 2025 to 2050, the proportion of Australia’s tourism sites in the three highest climate risk categories will rise from 50% to 55%. Sites in the highest three risk categories are likely to face significant risk from multiple perils with a high impact on environmental degradation, tourism functionality and appeal, accessibility, and ecosystem balance (i.e. a national park with a ‘high risk’ from storms and a ‘very high risk’ from heat).


Under the more severe SSP5-8.5 climate scenario, which assumes little or no climate action and up to three degrees of warming by 2041-2060, 80% of sites will see an increase in risk between 2025 and 2050. Under this scenario, 68% of all sites will be in risk category 3 or above by 2050.....