Sunday 18 November 2007

What's a former PM worth?

Brisbane's Courier Mail http://www.news.com.au/couriermail/story/0,23739,22775928-953,00.html
reports that on top of a post-PM package of more than $300,000 a year, John Howard is expected to earn upwards of a million dollars from non-executive positions, international speaking tours and consultancy work.

A few quick calculations done on the back of a beer coaster reveal that during Howard's time at the helm, where he and Janette have lived off the public purse, he must have been able to stash away well in excess of
$1.5 million as savings. Hence, he'll head off in to the sunset very well heeled . And, remember, in addition to his pension that is tax-payer- funded he takes with him heaps of other lurks and perks. What a jerk!

That's quite a reward for wrecking the future of working families!

The scary side of Australian elections

Armagnac Esq. points to the stuff of nightmares.
 
"Last week's 4 Corners had interviews with several people in marginals, following their reactions to various announcements as we entered the campaign. The one who embodied the difficulties faced by social democratic parties more than any other was the woman with the godfrigginalmighty mcmansion.

There she was, with a huge behemoth behind her, or indoors with vast plasma TV and a thousand other spoils. I don't begrudge her this, beyond thinking there's no accounting for taste and moderation. But all she cared about was her pocket. Each promise to give her a handful more bucks caught her attention, to the point that she was coming across as a potential swinger. No wider issue even registered.

A swinging voter in a marginal; key election winning territory. And she, with all her needs and a busload of wants amply met, could not care less about any policy that impacts anyone except her.

She's a natural creature of the Right; singularly greedy and lacking empathy. Yet in a marginal dictatorship she's all that counts, politically speaking.

She's undecided. They're undecided. I hope I'm wrong and he slams it through next weekend. I do give Kev odds-on, but only just. The champagne's corked and stashed. It ain't over 'till the CUB lady sings."
 

Coalition set for a political drubbing, but will thoughtless preference distribution get them over the line?

The Sunday Age Taverner Research opinion poll released today again reflects the general trend and predicts a calamitous loss for the Coalition.
 
"With Kevin Rudd neither pressed nor making big errors, he remains the voters' clear and unchallenged choice and can look forward to a good majority in the lower house," Mr Mitchell-Taverner said.
"The Coalition is paying the penalty for not listening, yet imposing policies that the voters don't recognise as necessarily good for them."
The Sunday Age article:
 
However the niggle remains. Will the Howard Government get re-elected because ordinary voters didn't think through how they marked ballot papers to indicate second, third, fourth or fifth preferences.
 
The federal election result is not a first past the post proposition and at which point an individual vote exhausts is important.
It is not unknown for a party to gain federal government with seats won on preferences after losing badly in the primary vote.
So on 24 November all Australians need to mark their ballot papers wisely.
 
The NSW North Coast needs to decide if it can risk voting for the Nationals again and face being neglected by local MPs for another three years. 

Campaign Day 35 - eye of the storm

Only another six more nights until the dawn of polling day. A preternatural calm has descended on my house as we wait to see if Australia decides that enough is enough and gives Howard the boot. It almost feels like being in the eye of the storm.
If we could only convince the pollies to head for their backyard storm shelters now, so that this endless drone of campaign nonsense can cease - white hat good, black hat bad, baa baa baa.

Saturday 17 November 2007

Peoples front in full swing on the NSW North Coast during 2007 federal election campaign

All in all the Nationals candidates on the NSW North Coast did not have a good week.
 
Deputy Prime Minister Mark Vaile joined Nationals candidate for Page, Chris Gulaptis, at a press conference yesterday and spent most of his time defending WorkChoices and that Regional Partnerships Program rort.
 
Chris Gulaptis faced consecutive negative newspaper adverts by his old partner in Clarence Valley property development, and now may have to explain why it is that this former partner's statement about when this partnership ended doesn't appear to match what Gulaptis previously told the NSW Pecuniary Interest Tribunal.
 
Nationals candidate for Richmond Sue Page has just found out that the latest The Northern Star survey shows it is likely that she will be trounced on election day.
 
While both these candidates and retiring Nationals Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives, Ian Causley, have been embarrassed by one of Causley's cousins abandoning the Nationals and coming out very publicly against WorkChoices in the national media.
 
The Sydney Morning Herald on WorkChoices and grassroot movement:
The Northern Star on latest Richmond opinion poll:
The Daily Examiner on Vaile and Gulaptis press conference:
The Daily Examiner on that Baker advertisement:

Mud, slurs and innuendo in the fight for Page and Richmond electorates

Well the dirt is beginning to fly on the NSW North Coast as the battle for voter allegiance hots up in the electorates of Page and Richmond.
 
Nationals supporters are not repeating their now famous whispering campaign which falsely accused a past Labor candidate of drug running, nevertheless during this federal election they are showing enough venom to have rated a mention or two in the local media.
 
"A spokesperson for Ms Elliot said the call to keep it clean followed revelations that staff at a local hospital had received a postcard fraudulently claiming that Labor would introduce compulsory unionism and a fee of $20 per week per worker."
 
"The Echo has unfortunately found itself used as a vehicle for a dirty-tricks campaign of slurs and innuendos through a letter which we recently published denigrating Labor candidate Janelle Saffin.
The Northern Star had already refused to publish the letter and we should have done the same.
On closer investigation the letter writer turns out to be a recent recruit to the National Party and the information he was peddling came from a controversial Sydney columnist making wild and spurious remarks against Ms Saffin, remarks which have already been roundly condemned by the editors of the region's two daily newspapers.
To her credit, Ms Saffin ignored the attacks, both then and now."
 
Not a peep is being uttered out loud about the reputations of Nationals candidates because of that party's penchant for sending threatening letters to local correspondents in letters to the editor columns (including defenceless pensioners) and past litigation against regional newspapers.
Although one delicious rumour about the Nationals candidate for Page has broken past this barrier of fear.
 
The Northern Rivers Echo articles yesterday: