Sunday 18 November 2007

Coalition set for a political drubbing, but will thoughtless preference distribution get them over the line?

The Sunday Age Taverner Research opinion poll released today again reflects the general trend and predicts a calamitous loss for the Coalition.
 
"With Kevin Rudd neither pressed nor making big errors, he remains the voters' clear and unchallenged choice and can look forward to a good majority in the lower house," Mr Mitchell-Taverner said.
"The Coalition is paying the penalty for not listening, yet imposing policies that the voters don't recognise as necessarily good for them."
The Sunday Age article:
 
However the niggle remains. Will the Howard Government get re-elected because ordinary voters didn't think through how they marked ballot papers to indicate second, third, fourth or fifth preferences.
 
The federal election result is not a first past the post proposition and at which point an individual vote exhausts is important.
It is not unknown for a party to gain federal government with seats won on preferences after losing badly in the primary vote.
So on 24 November all Australians need to mark their ballot papers wisely.
 
The NSW North Coast needs to decide if it can risk voting for the Nationals again and face being neglected by local MPs for another three years. 

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