"On November 15-17, with one week to go to the Federal election, L-NP two-party preferred support is 44.5% (up 1% from the face-to-face Morgan Poll conducted November 10/11), ALP 55.5% (down 1%).
This represents a swing of 8.2% to the ALP since the 2004 Federal election. However, in the crucial L-NP marginal seats, where Labor needs to win 16 seats to win Government, the swing is slightly less (7.7% to ALP) and varies greatly by seats and States.
The ALP looks set to win between 14 and 24 seats, which means the election result cannot yet be called."
"New South Wales: 8.8% swing to the ALP in the seven key marginal seats surveyed. The swing required to lose each is Parramatta 0.9%, Wentworth 2.5%, Lindsay 2.9%, Eden-Monaro 3.3%, Bennelong 4%, Dobell 4.8% and Page 5.5%."
Summary of Morgan Poll November 15-17 findings:
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