Tuesday 2 July 2013

Antony Green runs Australian Federal Election numbers based on Morgan Poll of 1 July 2013


Roy Morgan Research 1 July 2013:
Finding No. 5010 - This multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention was conducted over the last few days via Face-to-Face, Internet and SMS interviewing, June 28-30, 2013 with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,438 Australian electors aged 18+, of all electors surveyed 1.5% (down 0.5%) did not name a party.
This week’s Morgan Poll, the second since Kevin Rudd became Prime Minister, shows another swing to the ALP. The ALP 51.5% (up 2% since last Wednesday’s special snap SMS Morgan Poll) is now ahead of the L-NP 48.5% (down 2%) on a two-party preferred basis.
The L-NP primary vote is 40.5% (down 2.5%) slightly ahead of the ALP 39.5% (up 1.5%). Among the minor parties Greens support is 8.5% (unchanged) and support for Independents/ Others is 11.5% (up 1%) – including within that support for Katter’s Australian Party of 1.5% and support for the Palmer United Party of 1.5%.
If a Federal Election were held today the result would be a close ALP win according to this weekend’s multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,438 Australian electors aged 18+.
The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has improved strongly after Rudd’s return – up 12.5pts to 106 – the highest since mid March 2013. Now 43.5% (up 5%) say Australia is ‘heading in the right direction’ and 37.5% (down 7.5%) say Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction’....

Antony Green's Election Calculator 1 July 2013:

Calculations based on 1 July 2013 Morgan Poll

Metgasco continues to lose support on the NSW North Coast


Richmond Valley Council is no longer enamoured with coal seam gas mining or Metgasco Limited.....

The Northern Star 27 June 2013 

Investors do not appear to be eagerly chasing Metgasco shares either......
ASX snapshot 28 June 2013

NSW Farmers withdraws support for mining template access agreement


Monday 1 July 2013

Heads up for strong winds, heavy rain and damaging surf in the Northern Rivers area - 1 July 2013

Click on image to enlarge

Sack the letters editor at The Australian


Today's edition of The Australian carries a letter to the editor that should never have been printed.

The letter writer is wrong. The writer's understanding of geography is abysmal.

The letters editor should have seen the error in the letter, but perhaps the editor knows no  better. Then again, the letter suits the agenda of this rabid right wing rag that pretends to be a national newspaper.

Here's the letter:

Last Post, July

Kevin Rudd, a former diplomat, less than 48 hours into his new/old job, is talking up conflict with our nearest neighbour. Is this a record?

Roseanne Schneider, Yeronga, Qld


For the record, Indonesia is not Australia's nearest neighbour.

Source: The Australian, July 1, 2013

Three faces of the Opposition under two different Australian Labor Prime Ministers


Liberal Party MP Christopher Pyne during the 
43rd Australian Parliament – Julia Gillard is Prime Minister
Liberal Party Senator Michaelia Cash during the 
43rd Australian Parliament – Kevin Rudd is Prime Minister
Opposition Leader Tony Abbott during the 
43rd Australian Parliament – Julia Gillard is Prime Minister
Opposition Leader Tony Abbott during the 
43rd Australian Parliament – Kevin Rudd is Prime Minister

* Photographs found at Google Images

Does the Australian Leader of the Opposition ever tell a political truth?


This was Australian Opposition Leader Tony Abbott tweeting at 5:35 PM on 30 Jun 2013:


Now how on earth was Kevin Rudd (who was not sworn in as Prime Minister until 10am on the final day before the 43rd Parliament had adjourned in the Senate) ever going to create and put to the House of Representatives a new bill  amending the Clean Energy Act 2011 and then send it to the Senate in less than 36 hours - much less get it passed in that time period?

Because that is what would be required as the Clean Energy Act creates a fixed price for carbon between 1 April 2013 to 1 February 2016 and, as of 1 June 2013 this legislation sets that price as $24.15 until 1 April 2015 – a rise of $1.15.

The very first opportunity for Parliament to consider amending the Act would be if it sits again on 20 August 2013, which will only happen if writs for a federal general election have not been issued before then.

Abbott’s political lies are never ending.