Monday 11 March 2019
State of Play 11 March 2019: as both Australian federal election and New South Wales state election grow near
A Newspoll
survey of 1,610 Australian voted was conducted between Thursday 7 March and
Sunday 10 March 2019.
The Federal Liberal-Nationals
Coalition Government suffered its 50th consecutive loss on a Two-Party
Preferred (TPP) basis since June 2016 in this latest Newspoll.
50th Newpoll results:
Primary Vote – Labor 39 percent (unchanged)
to Liberal-Nationals 36 per cent (down 1 point), The Greens 9 per cent, One
Nation 7 per cent.
Two Party Preferred (TPP) - Labor 53 per cent (unchanged)
to Liberal-Nationals Coalition 46 per cent (down 1point).
Voter Net Satisfaction With Leaders’
Performance –
Prime Minister Scott Morrison -2 points and Opposition Leader Bill Shorten -15
points.
If a federal
election had been held on 10 March 2019 based of the preference flow in July
2016 then Labor would have won government with a majority 86 seats (up 2 seats
since February poll) to the Coalition's 59 seats (down 4 seats since February
poll) in the House of Representatives.
On the basis
of these predictions voting in the NSW
North Coast electorate of Page held by Nationals MP Kevin Hogan may go down
to the wire.
Even the
sports betting is favouring Labor over the Coalition.
Meanwhile in
New South Wales just 12 days out from a the March 2019 state election and The
Guardian is reporting that that:
A new poll indicates
Labor leads the coalition 51% to 49% on a two-party preferred basis with Daley
ahead of Berejiklian as preferred premier.
The UComms/ReachTel
poll, published in the Sun-Herald, also shows the Coalition’s primary vote has
dropped to 28.7% while Labor’s remains steady at 34.1%.
While a YouGov
Galaxy poll conducted for The
Daily Telegraph shows the NSW Nationals are on the cusp of losing
Barwon and Lismore and are also facing battles in the National seats of Upper
Hunter, Tweed, Murray and Coffs Harbour, and Liberal-held Coogee, East Hills,
Penrith and Goulburn.
It is being said that the loss of six
of those ten seats would result in a post-election Berejiklian Government being
a minority government. The last minority NSW government was voted in from 1991-1995. It was a Coalition Government supported by Independents,
Labels:
Australia,
elections 2019,
NSW,
poll,
statistics
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