Showing posts with label 2024 US presidential election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2024 US presidential election. Show all posts

Monday, 11 November 2024

The good news for Australia after the 2024 US presidential & general election: It is highly unlikely at this stage that many American are considering moving to another country to avoid a second Trump Administration and if they did it's probable that Australia wouldn't be their first choice



Internet searches are fickle things. Results very much depend on the search engine employed, exact key words or phrases used, timespan chosen and whether AI has decided to mess with the search results. 


So looking at Internet searches using Google Chrome without AI from 12pm on Sunday, 3 November 2024 in Sydney Australia (8pm Saturday, 2 November in Washington DC) to 12pm on Sunday, 10 November 2024 (8pm Saturday, 9 November in DC), the Google Trends graph below indicates a point when at least a few people in the US began to feel uncomfortable with the new political landscape developing before their eyes.


That point was at 5pm on Tuesday, 5 November on the US west coast and 7pm on the east coast.





Click on graphs to enlarge






 

So despite some U.S. talk show hosts and a few YouTube accounts talking about the level of fear and/or 'buyer remorse' developing among the population at the looming prospect of a second Trump Administration, it seems that like Scarlett O'Hara on the big screen and the peoples of Europe in the late 1930s the majority of Americans will 'think about it tomorrow'.



Saturday, 9 November 2024

Cartoons of the Week



Cathy Wilcox



Pat Hudson


David Rowe




















































First Dog On The Moon

 


Thursday, 7 November 2024

TUESDAY 5th NOVEMBER 2025: It's all over bar the shouting. America has voted for its own demise as a world leader



Before midnight on Wednesday, 6 November 2024 in Australia, news out of America was that Donald John Trump, court declared rapist, convicted fraudster and national security risk, was set to be elected as the 47th U.S. president having been its 45th president from 2017 to 2021.

Trump aka 'Putin's Bitch' declared victory after he reached and past the 270 Electoral College votes required to be declared elected - depending on which U.S. news outlet one was viewing - by around 6pm AEDST.

At first, second and third glance Australia remains unimpressed by the man and the politician.










There were isolated but genuine expressions of pleasure from some international quarters.... 




Tuesday, 5 November 2024

Today in America an est. 262.08 million people will have woken & looked about to see how many among them decided to vote in the US presidential election which will decide the fate of a nation and its est. 335,893,238 men, women & children*


Basically the U.S. presidential election boils down to a two horse race - with the bookies (U.S. Electoral College) not the jockeys or the punters laying their bets (registered voters & their ballot papers) deciding the outcome for the country and the national economy. 


On Tuesday, 5 November 2024 these two horses are attempting to win by a length:


Republican candidate & a former president, Donald John Trump, born 14 June 1946.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YA631bMT9g8

and 

Democrat candidate & U.S. Vice President, Kamala Devi Harris, born 20 October 1964.



ABC News Live (U.S.) will have 5 November live election day coverage on YouTube live from midnight Sydney time at

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DYpNU_3oPYk


ABC News (Australia) USA Votes live from 6am 6 November 2024 at

https://iview.abc.net.au/show/usa-votes-election-day


NBC News (US) Decision 2024 live blog updates at


https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/live-blog/presidential-election-2024-live-updates-rcna175556

and

NBC News voting results by state at

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-results


NOTE: 

* U.S. population numbers as of 1 July 2023 obtained at 

https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/popest/2020s-national-detail.html

** Australia's east coast AEST is 16 hours ahead of Washington & New York and 19 hours ahead of San Francisco & Los Angeles.


Saturday, 3 August 2024

Video Clip of the Week


 

Sacked by the national electorate in 2020 former one-term president Donald J Trump confirming he is refusing to debate Vice-President Kamala Harris during the 2024 US presidential election campaign


Tuesday, 23 July 2024

The landscape changed suddenly this week in the two party - two person political cage fight that is a US presidential election campaign in the 21st Century


On the afternoon of Sunday 21 July 2024 President Joe Biden Jr. announced he would not be standing for re-election as U.S. president and endorsed his Vice-President Kamala Harris as a presidential nominee in his place.


Nationwide News, 22 July 2024:


Trump’s chances drop as Democrats rake in millions


Donald Trump’s re-election odds have taken a dip after Joe Biden announced he was dropping out of the race, according to bookmakers.


MarketWatch reports betting websites are giving Trump about a 60 per cent chance of winning the November election.


While still the clear favourite, the former president had previously reported a 65 per chance before Mr Biden’s announcement and 69 per cent chance after his assassination attempt.


Meanwhile, Harris has a 38 per cent chance of winning the race to the White House, the outlet reports.


It comes as Democratic fundraising platform, ActBlue, announced it raised $27.5 million in just five hours after Mr Biden announced his withdrawal and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris.


Small-dollar donors raise over $27.5 million on ActBlue in the first five hours of Vice President Kamala Harris’ presidential campaign. Grassroots supporters are energised and excited to support her as the Democratic nominee,” it wrote in a post on X.


Within hours of Biden's announcement AJC Politics released these polling numbers from Georgia:








Thumbnail sketch of who will be voting in November 2024


An est. 224 million Americans will be eligible to vote in November 2024. Around 161 million are registered voters of which est. 49% are Democrats or favour the Democratic Party & est. 47% are Republicans or favour the Republican Party. [Pew Research Centre, online, July 2024]


In 2024 Hispanic, Black and Asian citizens make up only est. 15% of Republican voters and est. 39% of Democrat voters. It appears that historically the majority of those voting at US national elections are "non-Hispanic Whites" over 30 years of age. [ibid]


On past national voter turnout since World War Two it is likely only est. 50-66% of those eligible to vote will actually do so. The fate of 339.8 million men, women and children hangs on the outcome of that vote.