On the afternoon of Sunday 21 July 2024 President Joe Biden Jr. announced he would not be standing for re-election as U.S. president and endorsed his Vice-President Kamala Harris as a presidential nominee in his place.
Nationwide News,
22 July 2024:
Trump’s
chances drop as Democrats rake in millions
Donald
Trump’s re-election odds have taken a dip after Joe Biden announced
he was dropping out of the race, according to bookmakers.
MarketWatch
reports betting websites are giving Trump about a 60 per cent chance
of winning the November election.
While
still the clear favourite, the former president had previously
reported a 65 per chance before Mr Biden’s announcement and 69 per
cent chance after his assassination attempt.
Meanwhile,
Harris has a 38 per cent chance of winning the race to the White
House, the outlet reports.
It
comes as Democratic fundraising platform, ActBlue, announced it
raised $27.5 million in just five hours after Mr Biden announced his
withdrawal and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris.
“Small-dollar
donors raise over $27.5 million on ActBlue in the first five hours of
Vice President Kamala Harris’ presidential campaign. Grassroots
supporters are energised and excited to support her as the Democratic
nominee,” it wrote in a post on X.
Within hours of Biden's announcement AJC Politics released these polling numbers from Georgia:
Thumbnail sketch of who will be voting in November 2024
An
est. 224 million Americans will be eligible to vote in November 2024.
Around 161 million are registered voters of which est. 49% are
Democrats or favour the Democratic Party & est. 47% are
Republicans or favour the Republican Party. [Pew
Research Centre, online, July 2024]
In
2024 Hispanic, Black and Asian citizens make up only est. 15% of
Republican voters and est. 39% of Democrat voters. It appears that
historically the majority of those voting at US national elections
are "non-Hispanic Whites" over 30 years of age. [ibid]
On
past national voter turnout since World War Two it is likely only
est. 50-66% of those eligible to vote will actually do so. The fate
of 339.8 million men, women and children hangs on the outcome of that
vote.