Showing posts with label population. Show all posts
Showing posts with label population. Show all posts

Thursday, 22 September 2022

Australia's Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population has reached 984,000 men, women & children or 3.8 per cent of the total Australian population

    

It has been estimated that the Aboriginal population of Australia in January 1788 may have been as high as more than one million men, women and children.


By the time the 1921 national census was conducted only 72,000 people were identified as being of Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander origin.


The August 2021 Census has revealed a guardedly happier story.....


Australian Bureau of Statistics, media release, 21 September 2022:


Source: Estimates of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians, June 2021


Australia's Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population has reached 984,000 or 3.8 per cent of the total Australian population, according to the latest population figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).


ABS Demography Director Emily Walter said that over the five years to June 2021, the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population increased by 23.2 per cent, or 185,600 people.


"This is higher than the 5.5 per cent increase for the non-Indigenous population over the same period" said Ms Walter. “We have seen similar increases in the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population between past Censuses, and they are partly explained by changing identification over time.”


While Victoria was the fastest growing state or territory for the Aboriginal and Torres Strait population with an increase of 36.2 per cent, it remains the jurisdiction with the lowest proportion of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people (1.2 per cent). The Northern Territory had the highest proportion of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people relative to its total population size (30.8 per cent).


New South Wales had the largest Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population (339,500 people), followed by Queensland (273,200 people) and Western Australia (120,000 people). These three states comprised almost three-quarters of the total Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population of Australia.


The Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population had a younger age structure than the non-Indigenous population. One-third (33.1 per cent) of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people were aged under 15 years, with just 5.4 per cent aged over 65 years. This compares to 17.9 per cent of the non-Indigenous population aged under 15 years and 17.2 per cent aged over 65 years.


This younger age structure is the result of more babies being born and people dying younger in the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population compared with that of the non-Indigenous population”, said Ms Walter.



Click on image to enlarge



Thursday, 30 June 2022

A Glimpse at Official Highlights of the Australian Bureau of Statistics 2021 Census

 

The last national Census night was Tuesday,10 August 2021.


 This census counted 25,417,978 Australian residents who were in Australia on Census night (including people imputed for non-responding dwellings). The Post Enumeration Survey (PES) estimate for the same population was 25,608,022 persons.


Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), National, state and territory population


  • Australia’s population was 25,766,605 people at 31 December 2021.

  • The quarterly growth was 63,400 people (0.2%).

  • The annual growth was 128,000 people (0.5%).

  • Annual natural increase was 138,500 and net overseas migration was -3,600.


Australian Bureau of Statistics, media releases, 28 June 2022, extracts on the broad subjects of:


POPULATION


https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/people-and-communities/snapshot-australia/2021#population


The 2021 Census counted nearly 25.5 million people (25,422,788) in Australia, excluding overseas visitors, on Census night. This is an increase of over two million people (2,020,896), or 8.6 per cent, since the 2016 Census.


Australia’s Census count has more than doubled in the last 50 years, with the 1971 Census counting over 12 million people (12,493,001).


The Census counted more than 800,000 (812,728) Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people on Census night, 3.2 per cent of the total people counted. This is an increase of over 25 per cent (25.2 per cent) since 2016.


Australia continues to become more diverse, with over 1 million (1,020,007) residents arriving in Australia from 2017 to 2021. Over four out of every five (83.7 per cent) of these arrivals were in 2017 to 2019, before the COVID-19 pandemic.


With these new arrivals, we have seen the proportion of Australian residents that are born overseas (first generation) or have a parent born overseas (second generation) move above 50 per cent (51.5 per cent).


Beyond these headline numbers the Census provides rich information about the nation, giving insight on cultural diversity, families and homes, to how we changed during the pandemic.


Dr David Gruen AO, Australian Statistician, said “Every stat tells a story and today we are sharing a glimpse into the stories of almost 25.5 million Australians. This accurate and valuable data reveals who we are as a nation and how we have changed.


Thank you to the millions of people across Australia who completed the 2021 Census. It was important that everyone participated to ensure that every community is represented in the Census data.


Census data is used to inform important decisions about transport, schools, health care, infrastructure and business at the community and national level. The high response rate means that Census data provides accurate insights to tell your community’s story.”


The 2021 Census achieved a response rate above the Australian Bureau of Statistics target obtaining data from 10 million (10,852,208) dwellings during the height of the global COVID-19 pandemic. The dwelling response rate was 96.1 per cent, up from 95.1 per cent in 2016.


The Statistical Independent Assurance Panel, established by the Australian Statistician to provide assurance of Census data quality, concluded that the 2021 Census data is fit-for-purpose, is of comparable quality to the 2011 and 2016 Censuses and can be used with confidence.


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https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/people-and-communities/snapshot-australia/2021




The 2021 Census of Population and Housing has delivered a snapshot of the different generations that make up Australia.


The latest data reveals that, within a very small margin, numbers of Millennials (25-39 years old) have caught up to Baby Boomers (55-74 years old) as the largest generational group in Australia. In the 1966 Census, nearly two in every five people (38.5 per cent) were Baby Boomers.


Baby Boomers and Millennials each have over 5.4 million people, with only 5,662 more Baby Boomers than Millennials counted on 10 August 2021. Over the last ten years, the Millennials have increased from 20.4 per cent of the population in 2011 to 21.5 per cent in 2021. In the same time, Baby Boomers have decreased from 25.4 per cent in 2011 to 21.5 per cent in 2021.


Dr David Gruen AO, Australian Statistician, said “The data collected by the Census assists governments and community organisations to understand the needs of each generation. We see that an increasing number of Baby Boomers are needing assistance with core activities – with 7.4 per cent reporting a need for assistance, compared to 2.8 per cent across the younger generations. This information will help frame policy that delivers positive outcomes for our communities.”


Census data shows the important role Baby Boomers are providing in caring for other peoples’ children, often their grandchildren. Around one in eight (12.8 per cent) Baby Boomers reported caring for other peoples’ children, and of these two thirds are female (67.5 per cent). They are also the generation most likely to volunteer and provide unpaid assistance to others.


Millennials are of working age and are upskilling, representing 40 per cent of people attending vocational education, including TAFE, and 48 per cent of people currently serving in the regular service of the Australian Defence Force.


Millennials and Baby Boomers report quite different religious affiliations, with nearly 60 per cent (56.8 per cent) of Baby Boomers reporting a Christian religious affiliation compared to 30 per cent of Millennials (30.6 per cent). More than 45 per cent (46.5 per cent) of Millennials reported that they had no religion compared to 30 per cent of Baby Boomers (30.7 per cent).


Generation Z (10-24 years old) represent 18 per cent of Australia and 30 per cent of the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population.


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FIRST NATIONS PEOPLES



https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/people-and-communities/snapshot-australia/2021#aboriginal-and-torres-strait-islander-communities


The 2021 Census provides an updated snapshot of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) said today.


The Census found that 812,728 people (3.2 per cent of the population) identified as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander, an increase of over 25 per cent (25.2 per cent) since 2016.


Of the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people counted, 91.4 per cent identified as Aboriginal, 4.2 per cent identified as Torres Strait Islander, and 4.4 per cent identified as both Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander.


The Census also revealed growing numbers of older Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples, with over 47,000 (47,677) aged 65 years and over in 2021, up from 31,000 in 2016 and 21,000 in 2011. The median age for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people increased slightly to 24 years in 2021, up from 23 years in 2016 and 21 years in 2011.


Traditional languages continue to be an important part of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander households, with 167 Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander languages spoken at home in 2021 by over 78,000 (78,656) people.


The most widely reported language groups spoken were Arnhem Land and Daly River Region Languages, Torres Strait Island Languages, Western Desert Languages, Yolngu Matha and Arandic.


The 2021 Census introduced a new question on service with the Australian Defence Force (ADF). It found that over 3,000 (3,159 or 3.7 per cent) currently serving members and over 11,000 (11,610 or 2.3 per cent) former serving members identify as having Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander origin.


Dr David Gruen AO, Australian Statistician, said “The Census collects vitally important information for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander communities that will help governments and local organisations plan for health, education and community services into the future.


The ABS is undertaking further analysis of the insights that Census data provides for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. We look forward to sharing these in our future releases.”


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INTERNATIONAL ANCESTRY and LANGUAGE


https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/people-and-communities/snapshot-australia/2021#culturally-and-linguistically-diverse-communities


The Census provides a snapshot of the cultures and languages that make up Australia by providing data on cultural diversity, country of birth, ancestry and languages used at home.


The 2021 Census found that almost half of Australians have a parent born overseas (48.2 per cent) and the population continues to be drawn from around the globe, with 27.6 per cent reporting a birthplace overseas.


The Census shows that Australia has welcomed more than one million people (1,020,007) into Australia since 2017. The largest increase in country of birth, outside Australia, was India with 220,000 (217,963) additional people counted. India has moved past China and New Zealand to become the third largest country of birth behind Australia and England.


The second largest increase in country of birth was Nepal, with an additional 70,000 (67,752) people, meaning the population of Nepali born has more than doubled since 2016 (an increase of 123.7 per cent).


The top five reported ancestries in the 2021 Census followed previous trends and were English at 33.0 per cent, Australian at 29.9 per cent, Irish at 9.5 per cent, Scottish at 8.6 per cent and Chinese at 5.5 per cent.


The number of people who used a language other than English at home has increased by nearly 800,000 (792,062) from 2016 to over 5.5 million people (5,663,709). 850,000 (852,706) of this group reported that they do not speak English well or at all.


Mandarin continues to be the most common language other than English used at home, with nearly 700,000 (685,274) people using Mandarin at home. This is followed by Arabic with just over 367,000 (367,159) people. Punjabi had the largest increase, with the 2021 Census showing over 239,000 (239,033) people using Punjabi at home, an increase of over 80 per cent (80.4 per cent) from 2016.


Dr David Gruen AO, Australian Statistician, said “The Census captures the extent of the linguistic diversity across Australia. 2021 Census data collected information on over 250 ancestries and 350 languages.


The information collected in the Census provides important data to help plan services and support for culturally and linguistically diverse communities at the local level. For example, by understanding the growing population groups in their area, community groups can provide in-language services at the local level”.


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HOUSING and HOUSEHOLDS


https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/people-and-communities/snapshot-australia/2021#our-families-and-households


There were nearly 11 million (10,852,208) private dwellings counted in the 2021 Census, an increase of nearly one million (950,712) since 2016. These dwellings were comprised of separate houses (70 per cent), apartments (16 per cent) and town houses (13 per cent). The proportion of apartments continues to increase, with apartments accounting for nearly one third (30.9 per cent) of the increase in private dwellings since 2016.


The 2021 Census separately identified high rises (nine or more storeys) for the first time and found that over half a million people (550,592) live in Australia’s 370,000 (368,943) high rise apartments. Over 2.5 million people (2,620,903) or 10.3 per cent of us now live in apartments.


Not all dwellings were occupied on Census night (such as vacant holiday homes or vacant investment properties), with the 2021 Census finding more than one million (1,043,776) unoccupied dwellings.


Many alternative dwellings were also counted on Census night, including caravans (58,155), cabins and houseboats (29,369).


Two thirds of households (66.0 per cent) own their home outright or with a mortgage, very similar to Censuses back to 1996 (67.8 per cent). However, the proportion of households that own outright has dropped from 40 per cent in 1996 (41.6 per cent) to 30 per cent in 2021 (31.0 per cent).


Households that own with a mortgage have increased from about a quarter of all households (26.2 per cent) in 1996 to 35 per cent (35.0 per cent). Over the last 25 years, the number of homes owned outright has increased by 10 per cent, while the number owned with a mortgage has doubled (increased by 96.8 per cent).


When travelling to and from our homes, we are a nation of drivers. 91 per cent of households (91.3 per cent) reported having at least one vehicle and more than half (55.1 per cent) reported having two or more vehicles.


Dr David Gruen AO, Australian Statistician, said “The Census provides a unique snapshot of where people slept on Census night. During the Census, we reached people staying in hotels, those travelling on Census night, and even Australians working offshore.


The information collected about how people live and what type of home they live in will help inform community planning for new housing and support existing living arrangements within the community”.


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HEALTH


2021 is the first time Census has collected information on diagnosed long-term health conditions. Over two million people reported having at least one of the following conditions - mental health (2,231,543), arthritis (2,150,396) or asthma (2,068,020), with these being the most reported long-term health conditions.


Almost 4.8 million (4,791,516) people reported having one of the ten long-term health conditions listed on the Census form, while nearly 1.5 million (1,490,344) had two of these health conditions and over 750,000 (772,142) had three or more of these long-term health conditions. A further one million (1,009,836) indicated that they had at least one other long-term health condition that was not listed on the form.


The proportion of those with a long-term health condition increased with age. More than three out of every five (62.9 per cent) people aged 65+ reported having at least one long-term health condition compared with one out of every five (22.1 per cent) 15–34 year olds.


Females were more likely to report a long-term health condition than males, with 34 per cent (33.9 per cent) of females having one or more long-term health conditions compared with 30 per cent (29.5 per cent) of males. Males most commonly reported asthma and mental health conditions, while the most commonly reported long term health conditions reported by females were arthritis and mental health conditions.


Asthma is the most commonly reported health condition for 0–14 year olds, with a notable difference between male children with 7.4 per cent reporting asthma compared to 5.3 per cent of female children.


Census data on long-term health conditions can be split by other characteristics such as geography, cultural background or family type. For example, the 2021 Census shows over half of people born in Greece (56.1 per cent) and Italy (53.7 per cent) reported one or more long-term health conditions.


Dr David Gruen AO, Australian Statistician, said “For the first time, we have data on long-term health conditions across the whole population. This is critical data to inform planning and service delivery decisions about how treatment and care is provided for all Australians.


Census data will help provide a more detailed picture of Australians’ health. Census data complements existing ABS health surveys by providing additional insights about the communities that require services to support complex health needs”.


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For further information about 2021 Census data go to:

 www.abs.gov.au/census/find-census-data.


NOTE:

  • The Census net undercount was 0.7% (190,044 persons).

  • The Northern Territory recorded the highest net undercount (6.0%) while the Australian Capital Territory recorded a net overcount (-0.6%).

  • Males were more likely to be missed in the Census (1.3% net undercount) compared with females (0.2%).

  • The net undercount for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people was 17.4%.


The total net undercount on the night in New South Wales was 0.0%. This was attributed by the ABS to people having limited movement across the state due to COVID-19 lockdowns in place at the time.


Sunday, 23 January 2022

COVID-19 Pandemic in Australia: land values, housing markets and potential for population movement


In the last two years when talking about the SARS-CoV-2 virus and COVID-19 the focus has been on the number of people falling ill or dying, jobs lost, schools closed, difficulty in accessing vaccines or diagnostic services, the shortage of goods & services and economic impacts felt at a micro or macro level.

In commenting on change this pandemic has wrought, access to housing and household wealth sometimes rate a mention. Here is a quick sketch of two of the building blocks underpinning that aspects of our lives at state and national level.  

 The NSW Valuer-General determines land values across the state.

Over 40,000 property sales were analysed to determine land values as of 1 July 2020.

Overall land values increased across New South Wales by 3.6% from $1.70 trillion to $1.80 trillion in the 12 months leading up to 1 July.

However, not all sectors saw a growth in land values.

Although residential land values across the state saw an overall increase of 4.0% (coming back from a fall in 2019),  with industrial land seeing an overall value increase of 5.5% along with a total 4.8% rise in the combined value of rural land - it was another story for commercial land.

Commercial land values experienced an overall decrease of 6.6% which according to VG News: July 2021  was "largely due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic". Having received greater disruption than the residential land sector. 

House prices in most capital cities had been expected to experience a cyclical upswing in 2020 but the onset of the pandemic saw house prices contracting in all capital cities except Canberra in the June Quarter 2020. However the Reserve Bank's cash rate reductions, lower interest rates and government policy responses saw the market bounce back, according to KPMG Economic's paper The Impact of COVID-19 on Australia's Residential Property Market in 2021.

The expected Australian population reduction of over 1 million people by the end of this decade compared to pre-pandemic population forecasts is beginning to be felt across the economy and, along with an anticipated return to equilibrium and higher mortgage rates is predicted to temper the housing market for the next 2-3 years. 

Despite these factors affecting the housing market in 2022 and 2023, KPMG’s analysis predicts that house prices are expected to be between 4-12% higher and unit values are expected to be between 0-13% higher than would have been the case in the absence of COVID-19.

For renters in capital cities there appears to have been an overall but seemingly temporary fall in rent payable - between March and November 2020, capital city unit rents dropped by 5.4 per cent, while house rents increased by 1.1 per cent. 

This pattern is relatively consistent across all capitals though the difference is most significant in Melbourne and Sydney where unit rents fell 7.6 per cent and 6.6 per cent respectively while house rents have seen a much smaller reduction of around 1 per cent. 

These March to November falls in rents did not seem to occur in regional areas in NT, Qld, NSW Vic, Tas, SA or WA in analysis supplied in AHURI Final Report No. 354: Pathways to regional housing recovery from COVID-19, April 2021.

By 20 January 2022 realestate.com.au was beating a commercial drum stating that the housing market had been booming since November 2021 - due in part to an alleged rise in investor confidence, the "influx of expats", limited housing stock and low interests rates, along with a demand for more space and a regional exodus from cities.  

Wooli NSW

Yamba NSW

Iluka NSW

Evans Head NSW

Here are four of the housing market profiles found in the 2021 Suburb Report Card interactive which can be found here. Click on images to enlarge.


















POPULATION BACKGROUND


An Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) media release of September 2021 and linked data stated that there were 293,500 births and 162,500 deaths from 31 March 2020 to 31 March 2021.


The resulting natural increase was down 4 per cent from the previous year and continued the trend of a gradual decline over the past 5 years, driven mainly by decreasing births.


However, due to international border closures a natural increase of 131,000 people was the predominate population growth during that March to March period.


Again according to the ABS Regional internal migration estimates, provisional October 2021


In the March 2021 quarter there was a net loss of 11,800 people from Australia's greater capital cities through internal migration. This was the largest net loss on record since the series started in 2001, surpassing the previous record net loss set in the September 2020 quarter (-11,200).


The net loss was the result of 54,400 arrivals.... and 66,300 departures (up slightly from 66,000) to non-capital city areas.

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