Monday 16 June 2014

Memo to those new Australian senators due to take their seats on 1 July 2014


Memo to senators-elect Joe Bullock, Matthew Carnavan, Bob Day, Chris Ketter, Jacqui Lambie, Glenn Lazarus, David Leyonhjelm, James McGrath, Ricky Muir, Linda Reynolds, Janet Rice and Zhenya Wang,

A national price on carbon pollution came into effect on 1 July 2012.

The Australian economy did not subsequently crash and burn, as then Opposition Leader Tony Abbott had predicted.

In fact the national Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increased in the 2012-13 financial year by 2.6 per cent, labour productivity rose by 2.2 per cent over the same period, the number of employed persons grew by over 122,000 nationally and, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) stood at 2.4 per cent which was the sixth lowest cost of living figure in the Australian Bureau of Statistics 12 nation international comparison table.

Likewise, the amount of greenhouse gas emissions produced by the electricity production/consumption fell by 5 per cent between January 2012 and December 2013 according to the December 2013 quarterly update of the National Greenhouse Gas Inventory released in April 2014, with a national fall across all industry sectors of 0.8 per cent.

Emissions from waste and industrial processes also began to fall.
What this all means is that the so-called Carbon Tax is working efficiently and effectively in reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

To repeal the Clean Energy Act 2011 and associated legislation and regulations would be a wanton act of ideology-driven vandalism.

Sunday 15 June 2014

That political buffoon masquerading as the NSW Nationals MP for Clarence strikes again



Photo from ABC North Coast NSW

THEN

Member for Clarence Chris Gulaptis will take his implacable opposition to the sale of electricity poles and wires to a party room meeting on the issue ahead of the June 17 State budget. [The Daily Examiner, 6 June 2014]

NOW

Nationals MP for Clarence Chris Gulaptis has voted with his party to back the State Government's proposed sell-off of electricity infrastructure.
[The Daily Examiner, 13 June 2014]

And you thought Lord of the Rings was pure fiction......



* Original image found on Twitter

Saturday 14 June 2014

The world moves on and leaves Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott lagging far behind


This was Prime Minister Tony Abbott addressing the Minerals Week 2014 Annual Minerals Industry Parliamentary Dinner on 28 May 2014:

You see, the main difference which I'm sure you know but which I suspect many of our people have forgotten, between the modern and the pre-modern world is energy consumption and it is our destiny in this country to bring affordable energy to the world.
It's particularly important that we do not demonise the coal industry and if there was one fundamental problem, above all else, with the carbon tax was that it said to our people, it said to the wider world, that a commodity which in many years is our biggest single export, somehow should be left in the ground and not sold.
Well really and truly, I can think of few things more damaging to our future.

This is where major investors and much of Australia diverge from his worldview……….

Excerpts from the Australasia Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) June 2014 BRIEFING NOTE- Fossil Fuels, Energy Transition and Risk:

In this briefing note, the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) explores regulatory, market, technology and reputational risks resulting from the transformation of global energy markets – with a focus on the implications for Australian fossil fuel investment.

Executive Summary – The Structural Decline of Coal?

 A key theme emerging in the global energy markets relates to the increasing debate on the topic of cyclical verses structural decline in the thermal coal industry.
 Evidence continues to mount that investment in renewables, distributed solar and energy efficiency combined with regulatory change is continuing to erode the traditional demand base for thermal coal.
 This is a well established trend in developed countries like Germany and the United States. Germany's coal demand was down 11% year on year in the March quarter of 2014. President Obama's use of the Environmental Protection Agency's ability to regulate air pollution combined with record solar installs and a resurgence in US wind installations to see the same end spells the progressive decline in U.S. coal demand. The Environmental Protection Agency forecasts coal demand will fall 30% by 2030 due to its emissions rules.
 Further, the evidence that China is pursuing an energy policy that is based on more of everything except coal continues to increase. The US$400bn Russia-China gas transaction is
a case in point. The doubling of China's solar target to 70GW by 2017 is another. A trebling of China's installed nuclear capacity by the end of next year is a third example.
 India is the last major bastion of growth in imported coal demand, for now. India's new Prime Minister Narendra Modi aims to kick-start investment and remove domestic growth impediments. Coal India Ltd aims to grow domestic coal production 6% over the next three years if logistics impediments are removed. If Modi is successful, more imported coal is not needed. Additionally, we question why India would lock in imported fossil fuel inflation when domestic renewables provide a more commercial solution that is able to be rapidly deployed without undermining India's current account deficit.
 Global financial markets continue to facilitate an increasing flow of capital to renewable energy. The growth of the U.S. "YieldCo" listed renewable equities sector and the global Green Bonds initiative illustrate this trend. Divestiture trends also show the increased focus on the risks of stranded fossil fuel assets….

Deutsche Bank and HSBC both Agree Not to Finance Abbot Point Coal Expansion

Deutsche Bank confirmed at its AGM in Germany that it will not fund any coal export port expansion. Co-chair Juergen Fitschen said:
"As there is clearly no consensus between the Australian government and UNESCO regarding the impacts of the Abbot Point expansion on the reef we will not consider financial applications of an expansion".

At HSBC Holdings AGM in London, the company was asked to match Deutsche Bank's commitment not to fund the Abbot Point port expansion adjacent to the Great Barrier Reef. In response, Chief Executive Officer Stuart Gulliver said it was "extraordinarily unlikely it would go near it."….

Investor Responses – Australia

AMP Capital introduces fossil fuel screening
AMP Capital announced it will screen out companies with a material exposure to fossil fuels in its Responsible Investment Leaders (RIL) range of funds, in response to client demand. This fund will now screen out companies that have more than a 20% exposure to mining thermal coal, exploration and development of oil sands, brown-coal, coal-fired power generation, transportation of oil from oil sands or conversion of coal to liquid fuels/feedstock. AMP Capital Head of ESG Research Ian Woods said: "The Charter of Operation requires the RIL funds to avoid investing in companies with a material exposure to activities that have a high negative social impact including the production and manufacture of tobacco, nuclear power (including uranium), armaments, alcohol, pornography and gambling."

Hunter Hall Ends Fossil Fuel Investments
Hunter Hall Investment Management announced it will exclude investments in fossil fuel companies. Hunter Hall's Ethical Investment Policy excludes investment in companies directly involved in tobacco, gambling, armaments, uranium, nuclear energy, cutting down old growth forests and intensive animal husbandry. CIO Peter Hall said: "The decision to exclude investments in fossil fuel companies is a natural addition to our existing list of exclusions."

Retail Australian Investors Express Concerns over Fossil Fuel Investments
Concerns about coal and gas projects on the Great Barrier Reef and other protected areas are putting banks and super-funds at risk of losing customers, with 67% indicating they would choose a bank or superfund that doesn't invest in fossil fuels over one that does, a new survey from Lonergan Research has found. The nationwide survey of 1300 randomly-selected Australians shows that 77% are concerned about their bank or super fund financing coal and gas projects in or near the Great Barrier Reef and 72% are concerned about their bank or super fund financing coal and gas anywhere in Australia. Australians are also concerned about the long-term risks involved in investing in fossil fuels with 76% believing the risks associated with these investments are growing and 75% believing that Australia has too many eggs in the mining basket

Friday 13 June 2014

Darkinjung Local Aboriginal Land Council did what the O'Farrell and Baird Governments were averse to doing - it stopped the proposed Wallarah 2 longwall coal mine in its tracks


Early in 2014 the Darkinjung Local Aboriginal Land Council took Wyong Coal Pty Ltd (First Respondent), Minister for Planning and Infrastructure (Second Respondent),Planning Assessment Commission NSW (Third Respondent) and  NSW Aboriginal Land Council (Fourth Respondent) to the NSW Land & Environment Court.

The judgment does not appear to have been published yet.

However, The Daily Telegraph reported on 13 June 2014:

THE controversial Wallarah 2 coal mine, which ICAC target Nick Di Girolamo lobbied for on behalf of Korean mining company Kores, has been put on hold and may never go ahead after a Land and Environment Court decision.
The decision was a win for the local Aboriginal Land Council, which had fought the mine on its land.
Planning Minister Pru Goward made clear last night she would not intervene in the matter, releasing a statement saying: “I have considered the judgment and I accept the decision of the court.”….

The proposed Wallarah 2 longwall coal mine put forward by the Korean-owned mining company Kores Australia Pty Ltd and, its joint venture partners Catherine Hill Resources Pty Ltd, Kyungdong Australia Pty Ltd, SK Networks Resources Australia (Wyong) Pty Ltd, SK Networks Resources Pty Ltd and progressed by Wyong Coal Pty Ltd (T/A Wyong Areas Coal Joint Venture), had already failed basic environmental and risk management standards as the 4 June 2014 NSW Planning and Assessment Commission Final Report summary indicates:

In considering the merits of the project as a whole the Commission has found that the benefits claimed for the project by the Proponent (and largely adopted in the Department’s PreliminaryAssessment Report) are not credible. The reasons are set out in detail in the Commission’s report.
The Commission essentially had two options: reject the claims and recommend that a new economic assessment be undertaken (and that it be reviewed independently); or revise the claims to a level consistent with the Commission’s findings and recommend that the revised level be utilised in any further assessment of the project…..

The potential impacts of the project have been examined in detail in this review. They can be divided broadly into those associated with subsidence (i.e. potential impacts on water supply, stream morphology, groundwater, flooding, biodiversity, built infrastructure, etc.), those associated with the proposed surface facilities (i.e. noise impacts, air impacts, water balance, etc.) and a miscellaneous group including rail transport, land development, etc.

The principal findings and recommendations of this review can be summarised as follows:

(i) Whilst there is inevitable uncertainty concerning the subsidence predictions, they
provide a basis for assessment of the potential subsidence-related impacts of the
project. There is ample scope to revise the predictions based on site-specific experience and a rigorous adaptive management regime can be imposed to ensure impacts and consequences remain within the performance criteria in any consent.

The Commission has recommended two formal reviews be undertaken: one after the
first 5 longwalls and another after the next 4. This will cover the major environmental issues likely to be encountered during this project. The Commission has also recommended that each Extraction Plan be based on subsidence predictions that have been revised utilising site-specific experience and that these revised subsidence predictions are consistent with achieving the performance criteria in the consent during mining of the longwall in question.

(ii) As presented, the project predicts risk of reduced availability of water for the Central Coast Water Supply (CCWS) in some years if the subsidence impacts on the catchment coincide with adverse climatic conditions. The maximum predicted impact on catchment yield is 300 ML/y.

The Commission has recommended that there be no net impact on potential catchment yield from the mining operation and that the maximum predicted impact should be offset by return of suitably treated water to the catchment side of the CCWS system for the period during which subsidence may impact on the Project Area catchments.

(iii) The project presents an array of water supply risks to landowners in the Project Area. The Commission has recommended a number of conditions to ensure that potential impacts are properly investigated and that landowners receive prompt compensatory supply in the event of problems.

(iv) The project will have impacts on the morphology of streams within the Project Area. These impacts are predicted to be no greater than ‘minor consequences’, unless a flood event happens to coincide with a period of particular vulnerability for a section of stream undergoing subsidence changes.

The Commission considers that, as the impacts are likely to lie within expectations for normal variation for the Project Area streams, the performance criteria should be set at ‘minor consequences’, with a requirement to return impacted streams to an equivalent or better condition than their pre-subsidence condition.

(v) The project will have some impact on flood levels and behaviour. With one exception these are considered to be manageable with standard approaches. The exception is increased delays for emergency access to some properties in major floods.

The Commission has recommended that individual emergency access and evacuation plans be prepared in consultation with the owners for each of these at-risk properties as well as Wyong Shire Council.

(vi) The project will undermine or potentially cause subsidence impacts to a substantial number of residences (some 245) and an array of other public and private infrastructure. For most of these structures the subsidence impacts are predicted to be small, the strategies for managing the subsidence impacts are well developed and, within the statutory concept of the Mine Subsidence Districts and statutory compensation scheme, are well understood.

The Commission has recommended some improvements to the performance criteria for built infrastructure and that some other types of infrastructure need to be included in the relevant provisions.

(vii) Impacts from the surface facilities on noise and air quality are expected to be both minor and manageable. Where necessary, recommendations have been included to address the residual impacts.

(viii) Potential biodiversity and aquatic ecology impacts have been reduced by removal of the eleven western longwalls under the steeper terrain in the Jilliby SCA that were included in the previous version of this project. The Commission is satisfied that the draft consent conditions attached to the Department’s PAR deal adequately with impacts on biodiversity and aquatic ecology.

Turning to the merits of the project as a whole, the Commission considers that, if the recommendations concerning improved strategies to avoid, mitigate or manage the predicted impacts of the project are adopted, then there is merit in allowing the project to proceed. However,if the recommendations are either not adopted, or adopted only in part, then the Commission’s position would probably change in favour of a precautionary approach. This particularly applies to water-related impacts.

The Commission considers that commissioning a new economic assessment designed to increase the estimated benefits so as to create a new assessment playing field cannot substitute for reducing or managing the impacts as recommended. In this context it is worth noting that the courts have consistently held that the public interest is a much broader concept than the economic value of a mining project, particularly when this value is calculated using methodologies that cannot properly estimate the costs associated with non-market impacts. The Act specifically requires a consent authority to consider the public interest in s.79C(e).

ABC TV show Clarke & Dawe reviews the Abbott Government's performance



It's Friday and the number is 13