Monday 4 October 2010

What the Royal Society actually concluded concerning climate change science


There is a growing suspicion being voiced that The Australian newspaper has abandoned balance in favour of headlines which can be used as ammunition against the Gillard Government.

I cannot in truth confirm this suspicion, however its October 2 headline Top science body cools on global warming and the thrust of the article below that banner bears only a passing resemblance to last month's The Royal Society paper, Climate change: a summary of the science.

The Society's considered summary in concluding remarks stated:

57 There is strong evidence that changes in greenhouse gas concentrations due to human activity are the dominant cause of the global warming that has taken place over the last half century. This warming trend is expected to continue as are changes in precipitation over the long term in many regions. Further and more rapid increases in sea level are likely which will have profound implications for coastal communities and ecosystems.

58 It is not possible to determine exactly how much the Earth will warm or exactly how the climate will change in the future, but careful estimates of potential changes and associated uncertainties have been made. Scientists continue to work to narrow these areas of uncertainty. Uncertainty can work both ways, since the changes and their impacts may be either smaller or larger than those projected.

59 Like many important decisions, policy choices about climate change have to be made in the absence of perfect knowledge. Even if the remaining uncertainties were substantially resolved, the wide variety of interests, cultures and beliefs in society would make consensus about such choices difficult to achieve. However, the potential impacts of climate change are sufficiently serious that important decisions will need to be made.
Climate science – including the substantial body of knowledge that is already well established, and the results of future research – is the essential basis for future climate projections and planning, and must be a vital component of public reasoning in this complex and challenging area.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

the australian newspaper is a joke at the moment something changed bigtime in the last year it went from right wing to extreme abetz right wing.istopped buying it stick with the herald for a more balanced nrewspaper and the guardian online. murdochs not getting no more money out of this family .come to think of it neither are telstra