Federal Labor hanging on in the latest opinion poll

Federal Labor must occasionally be doing something right even if The Australian newspaper isn’t reporting it.

This week’s Essential Research opinion poll shows Labor neck-and-neck with the Coalition on a two-party preferred basis which is calculated on vote distribution at the last general election.

However, first preference voter intention is still favouring the Coalition by three percentage points and, unless the bleed across to the ideologically popular Greens slows it is possible that Labor will continue to trail in the minds of those voters polled.

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,844

Click on image to enlarge

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.