So what would the results of the first three voter intention surveys conducted by Newspoll and Roy Morgan Research look like on the ground, in the two federal electorates of Richmond and Page in the Northern Rivers region and, in the neighbouring electorates of Cowper, New England and Lyne?
Would seats change hands at the 2022 federal general election?
Morgan Poll 4-16 January 2022
Nationally a 7.5% swing to Labor
 |
| Antony Green's Federal Election Calculator 2022 |
Outcome
National Party holds Page (1.9%) Cowper (4.4%) Lyne (7.7% ) and New England (10.1%).
Labor Party holds Richmond (11.6%)
Newspoll 25-28 January 2022
Nationally a 7.5% swing to Labor
 |
| Anthony Green's Federal Election Calculator 2022 |
Outcome
National Party holds Page (1.9%) Cowper (4.4%) Lyne (7.7% ) and New England (10.1%).
Labor Party holds Richmond (11.6%)
Newspoll 9-12 February 2022
Nationally swing of 6.5% to Labor
 |
| Anthony Green's Federal Election Calculator 2022 |
Australian Labor Party wins federal government, however the Member for Cook (NSW) Scott Morrison retains his seat (12.5%).
Outcome
National Party holds Page (2.9%) Cowper (5.4%) Lyne (8.7% ) and New England (11.1%).
Labor Party holds Richmond (10.6%)
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