What do the latest Australian Government sea level rise projections mean for the Clarence Coast?

The latest Australian Government sea level rise projections contained in the November 2009 Climate Change Risks to Australia's Coasts report indicate that:

Between 40,800 and 62,400 residential buildings in New South Wales may be at risk of inundation from a sea-level rise of 1.1 metres and storm tide associated with a 1-in-100 year storm. The current value of the residential buildings at risk is between $12.4 billion and $18.7 billion.....

Inundation analysis is based on 1.1 metres of sea-level rise using medium resolution elevation data.
A storm tide allowance (1-in-100 year event) based on CSIRO modelling is included in the analysis for Tasmania, Victoria and New South Wales, although storm tide values for New South Wales are likely to be underestimates as they do not include a wave setup component.

What does this mean for the Clarence Coast in Northern NSW?

At first glance these projections indicate that the coastal and estuary zones may face:

(i) a loss of beach and foreshore along the length of Bundjalung National Park;

(ii) loss of all Yamba coastal beaches;

(iii) loss of most of Hickey and Dart islands as well as other smaller lower Clarence River islands;

(iv) the one road into and out of Yamba permanently breached by estuary waters at multiple points;

(v) loss of foreshore and part/all of some residential properties in the Crystal Waters-West Yamba area;

(vi) loss of foreshore and part of residential and agricultural properties on Palmers, Goodwood and Micalo islands;

(vii) loss of foreshore and part of residential properties in Iluka, Marandowie Drive permanently breached by estuary waters;

(viii) loss of beach and/or foreshore in parts of Yuraygir National Park;

(ix) loss of foreshore at Brooms Head, Sandon and Red Rock;

(x) loss of foreshore and residential property in Wooli; and

(xi) loss of some foreshore on both sides of the Clarence River up to Maclean and beyond to Brushgrove; and

(xii) possible inundation of part of the Pacific Highway passing through the Lower Clarence.

* Interactive seal level rise map here.

* Interactive map showing estimated altitudes here.

Don't be alarmed. It's just the CIA - hunting toads!

Conservation In Action (CIA) Landcare volunteers and NPWS staff will be out at night across the Clarence Valley in organised cane toad hunts this summer. In an effort to reduce the numbers of this introduced pest which decimates local frog and reptile populations where ever it establishes a permanent presence.

If you would like to join these volunteers:
Phone: 0411 020 394
Email: toads@cvcia.org.au or Sharon@cvcia.org.au
Website: www.cvia.org.au

Next volunteer training day/night event and hunt is Saturday 28 November 2009 (booking essential).

Contact Sharon or visit the website for details.

Why climate change science is the new Sisyphus

A NSW North Coast 'catastrophic climate change' denier in full cry when writing a letter to the editor last week.
How on earth can science counter such strongly-held belief that everyone is wrong except those who just know in their hearts that there is no such thing as man-made global warming?

NSW North Coast could lose in vicinity of 2,000 homes in latest climate change 'worst case' scenario

From the Australian Government report Climate Change Risks to Australia's Coasts released on 14 November 2009.

Number of residential building in NSW local government areas at risk of sea water inundation

Click images to enlarge

Tweed Heads inundation projections

Fighting back against gene patents in 2009

This year the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) and the Association for Molecular Pathology have led a court challenge to the legality of the U.S. Patent Office practice of granting patents on genes.

COMPLAINT against United States Patent and Trademark Office, Myriad Genetics, Lorris Betz, Roger Boyer, Jack Brittain, Arnold B. Combe, Raymond Gesteland, James U. Jensen, John Kendall Morris, Thomas Parks, David W. Pershing, Michael K. Young. (Filing Fee $ 350.00, Receipt Number 687779)Document filed by American Society For Clinical Pathology, College of American Pathologists, Association For Molecular Pathology, Haig Kazazian, Arupa Ganguly, Wendy Chung, Harry Ostrer, David Ledbetter, Stephen Warren, Ellen Matloff, Elsa Reich, Breast Cancer Action, Boston Women's Health Book Collective, American College of Medical Genetics, Lisbeth Ceriani, Runi Limary, Genae Girard, Patrice Fortune, Vicky Thomason, Kathleen Raker.(ama) (Entered: 05/12/2009)

According to the ACLU on 2 November 2009 and WebWire on 3 November 2009:

Several major organizations, including the American Medical Association, the March of Dimes and the American Society for Human Genetics, filed friend-of-the-court briefs in support of the challenge to the patents on the BRCA genes.

and

The court noted the significance of this case. The court's opinion stated, "The widespread use of gene sequence information as the foundation for biomedical research means that resolution of these issues will have far-reaching implications, not only for gene-based health care and the health of millions of women facing the specter of breast cancer, but also for the future course of biomedical research… The novel circumstances presented by this action against the USPTO, the absence of any remedy provided in the Patent Act, and the important constitutional rights the Plaintiffs seek to vindicate establish subject matter jurisdiction over the Plaintiffs' claim against the USPTO".

This case has survived a plaintiff's motion to dismiss and is going forward.

With patents now being held on approximately 20 per cent of identified human genes, this court case is of more than passing interest.

Where's a copper when you need him?

A mate was down in Yamba visiting rellies last week when he took a walk to the local shopping centre.
Being a bit slow on his pins he started to cross Treelands Drive at the point which has a pedestrian island in the centre of the road.
Without warning, a big semi headed for Bi-Lo supermarket crossed over to the wrong side of the road and travelled about five truck lengths before doing a wide turn into the Yamba Fair carpark entrance.
And truckies wonder why they have such a bad rep on the NSW North Coast....

Climate Change Risks to Australia's Coasts - report nobbled by department?

Screenshot which came up with any attempt to read Chapter 5

Like many other Australians today, I went to the Federal Department of Climate Change website to download the latest report Climate Change Risks to Australia's Coasts announced with some fanfare earlier in the day.

Small problem. The very chapter of intense interest; Chapter 5 identifies the key risks to built infrastructure with a particular focus on residential buildings at state and local government scales. Risks to infrastructure, services and industries in the coastal zone are also summarised according to the relevant web page - well it has gone missing.

Departmental IT ineptitude or a sudden realisation that many people could for the first time fairly accurately assess the risk to their property values and that might be politically just a tad too uncomfortable for the states and local government?

Minister for Climate Change and Water Penny Wong much earlier in the day speaking on the ABC Radio AM program:

This is a very important step in providing the information Australia needs.

Over to you, Minister Wong.......