Sunday 22 October 2023

THOMAS MAYO: Although the Voice referendum was lost, and despite the racist vitriol it unleashed, the movement for Indigenous rights and recognition has grown

 

The Saturday Paper, October 21 – 27, 2023, No. 472:


Although the Voice referendum was lost, and despite the racist vitriol it unleashed, the movement for Indigenous rights and recognition has grown. By Thomas Mayo.



Analysis: The movement that follows the Voice


As a parent of five, I am acutely aware of the way in which our children absorb everything – conversations, body language, snippets of the news and the bits and pieces they share with friends at school. We try our best to protect them from the harsh realities of the world until we think they are ready. They might seem oblivious to it all, but they know more than they tell, as if they are reciprocating our care.


Though I knew this of our children, I wasn’t prepared for my 12-year-old son’s reaction to the referendum loss on Saturday. When I called my wife soon after the loss became official, to see how they were, she told me he had cried. He went to bed early, barely consolable.


The next day, when I checked in on them, she told me William was okay. She remarked on how he had mentioned several times that he felt calm that morning, as if the feeling were strange to him. We came to realise he had been feeling the weight of the referendum on his little shoulders. For the first time since the loss, I cried too.


The Indigenous leadership of the “Yes” campaign called for a week of silence that ends today. There was a need for contemplation after an intense campaign. Anyone who put up their head for “Yes” was brutalised. We were labelled communists, greedy elites, puppets of the United Nations and promoters of a racially divided Australia. None of this is true.


The racist vitriol we felt was at a level not seen for decades in Australia. Indigenous advocates for the Voice could not speak out about the abuse without some sections of the media, whose audiences we needed to persuade, falsely claiming that we were calling all “No” voters racist. Even if only in the way the headlines were worded.


Respected Elder and lifelong champion for Indigenous peoples Marcia Langton probably experienced the worst of this. The stories with negative headlines exploded and continued for more than a week because she dared to mention the race-baiting of the “No” campaign.


The “No” side, on the other hand, was barely scrutinised. When their figureheads claimed racism against them, some journalists showed sympathy and the “Yes” campaign was scapegoated. When leading spokespeople for the “No” campaign were racist beyond reasonable denial, their leaders doubled down defiantly. Most of the media’s focus quickly moved on. The abhorrent “No” campaign cartoon, depicting me in a racist trope and printed in The Australian Financial Review, is one example of many.


In the week of silence, I have had time to reflect on last Saturday’s outcome. I have concluded Indigenous peoples were correct to take the invitation in the Uluru Statement from the Heart to the Australian people. We were not wrong to ask them to recognise us through a Voice.


For a people with inherent rights but who are a minority spread across this vast continent – with a parliament that will continue to make laws and policies about us – it is inevitable that we will need to establish a national representative body to pursue justice. We need to be organised.


Delaying the referendum was never an option, not even when the polls were going south. Had we convinced the government to postpone the referendum, we would still be wondering what could have been, especially if the gaps continue to widen. We had a responsibility to try now, to use the rare opportunity we had, in the interests of our children. At least now we know where we stand.


While the outcome was disappointing, in all my years of advocacy for Indigenous rights, I have never felt such levels of solidarity.


As a leader of the campaign, I accept that, although we tried our best, we failed. I agree there were aspects of the “Yes” campaign that could have been better and I ponder what else I could have done. These thoughts hurt, like an aching emptiness in my chest.


An honest assessment compels me to mention Opposition Leader Peter Dutton as well. Dutton has shown he is bereft of the qualities held by the Indigenous leaders I have worked with. He is well short of the calibre of his opposite, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese.


While Albanese listened to Indigenous peoples respectfully, Dutton ignored us when in power. When Albanese negotiated the constitutional alteration with the Referendum Working Group, he did so in good faith, while Dutton was duplicitous, two-faced, deceitful.


At the next federal election, the record will show the prime minister had a go. He followed through with his pre-election promise to hold a referendum in this term of parliament. He kept his word, even when the going got tough, whereas Dutton has already reneged on his promise to hold another referendum should the first one to fail to pass.


It is noteworthy, because it exposes that this is all politics on his part. If he ever becomes prime minister, it is an indication that he places no value in speaking with Indigenous people before making decisions about them. His promise of a second referendum was decided without consulting Indigenous leaders, not even his own spokesperson on Indigenous affairs.


None of this is bitterness on my part, just truth. Peter Dutton chose politics over outcomes. His career came before fairness. He sought victory at any cost.


When I go home on Sunday – just my 25th day in Darwin this year, having worked almost every day since May 21, 2022 – I can proudly tell my son that though the referendum failed, the movement for Indigenous rights and recognition has grown.


In 2017, we were almost 4 per cent of the population calling for Voice, Treaty and Truth-Telling. As of Saturday, we are nearly 40 per cent, walking together. Almost seven million Australians voted “Yes”. Both major parties would kill for a first preference vote like that.


Probably the most important analysis from the referendum was that polling booths in predominantly Indigenous communities across the entirety of the country overwhelmingly voted “Yes”. We have thoroughly established that this is fact: a great majority of Indigenous people support constitutional recognition through a Voice to Parliament. We seek self-determination over who speaks for us. Claims otherwise are an incontrovertible lie.


To my fellow Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people, I say we continue our push for our common goals. Don’t be silenced. Be louder, prouder and more defiant. Of course, you will be. The survival of our culture and our babies depends on it.


To the parents I met so many times, who turned up for their first doorknock with their little ones in tow, their “Yes” shirts worn proudly, sunscreen smeared on their faces: keep having those conversations with your neighbours at every opportunity. Keep turning up.


To the small number of people who registered to attend the town hall in Yamba and Grafton, and the hundreds more who turned up without registering, and who expressed their gratitude at how the forum had brought the community together: stay committed to this unselfish cause. In regional communities across the country, the town hall attendances were magnificent. Keep turning up.


To the random members of the public who have hugged me, to the beautiful Elders who treated me like a son, to the fellow union members who organised their communities, not just their places of work, maintain the love for what makes this country unique – more than 60,000 years of continuous heritage and culture.


While the outcome was disappointing, in all my years of advocacy for Indigenous rights, I have never felt such levels of solidarity.


Across the country, lifelong friendships have been made. I have new Aunties and Uncles, like the strong Aboriginal women at Baabayn Aboriginal Corporation in Mount Druitt, who themselves have formed bonds with the local ethnic communities as they campaigned for “Yes”. I love you, Aunties.


In this campaign we saw Liberals and Nationals give speeches alongside Labor and the Greens. We saw corporate chief executives leafleting with union officials. All denominations have prayed together. The “Yes” rallies, more than 200,000 people strong, brought colour, joy and diversity to the streets, in unity with Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people.


Late this week, ending the week of silence, an official statement from Indigenous leaders was made public. In summary: we continue our calls for our voices to be heard, for reform and for justice, and we need your ongoing support.


This is the task ahead. I say to all the hundreds of thousands of people I have spoken with over the past six years, the many friends I have made on this journey: we were always on the right side of history. Young Australians voted “Yes” with us. Imagine what we can achieve if the almost seven million Australians who voted “Yes” continue to have conversations with their neighbours, meeting “No” voters with an understanding that they may have voted “No” because of the lies they were told. In time, we will turn the “Nos” into “Yeses”.


Let us talk of our strengths while addressing our weaknesses. Let us believe in ourselves, our communities and our country, rather than looking over our shoulders at the shadows Peter Dutton has thrown across Australian politics. Let us call on the parliament to shine a light on those shadows, those deathly shadows, lest they continue to undermine our democracy. Ask yourself, which group will be targeted next?


When I was writing my first book about the Uluru Statement from the Heart, published in 2019, my son was just eight years old. He asked me what the title of the book would be. When I asked him what he would call it, he proceeded to do a series of armpit farts. We both laughed. Then I told him I would call it Finding the Heart of the Nation. He asked me, “Where is the heart of the nation?”


I put my laptop down beside me on the couch. I pulled him close. I put my hand on his chest, and I said, “The heart of the nation is here.”


The heart of the nation is still here. It always was and it always will be, waiting to be recognised by our fellow Australians. Whether you voted “Yes” or “No”, I say to you with humility and respect, open your hearts and your minds henceforth. The truth should be unifying, not divisive.


This article was first published in the print edition of The Saturday Paper on October 21, 2023 as "After the vote".


Thomas Mayo is an Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander man, assistant national secretary of the Maritime Union of Australia and author of six books, including Dear Son – Letters and reflections from First Nations fathers and sons and the bestselling children’s book Finding Our Heart.


October 21, 2023



Friday 20 October 2023

From Port Macquarie-Hastings to Tweed on the NSW-Qld border drought conditions on the North Coast & Far North Coast are intensifying

 

Combined Drought Indicator
NSW Dept. of Primary Industries
Click on image to enlarge






As of 14 October 2023 est. 40 per cent of the NSW North Coast from Port Macquarie-Hastings to the NSW-Qld border is "Drought Affected".


Another 44.2 per cent is in "Drought" and, a further 15.6 per cent is experiencing "Intense Drought"


The Northern Rivers regions local government areas with the most land classified as in "Intense Drought" are Clarence Valley and Richmond Valley


Typically intense drought field conditions are; Ground cover is very low, soil moisture stores are exhausted and rainfall been minimal over the past 6-12 months.


The Rainfall Index across these valleys has been dropping since the beginning of May 2023 and generally a lessening of soil moisture has been occurring since April.   


The Soil Water Index (SWI) with a range of 0 to 100 is now falling alarmingly in sections of these valleys.


As an example, Taloumbi & Harwood parishes in the Clarence Valley and Coraki & Richmond parishes in the Richmond Valley - all designated as in intense drought - had SWIs of 0 on 14 October 2033. 


While Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) forecasting indicates that heat may be an issue going forward.


BOM, screenshot,10 Oct 2023


Thursday 19 October 2023

Australia has been in less than zero population growth from natural increase for over 40 years and continues to supplement its short & long term production & workforce needs through overseas migration


Births, Australia: Statistics about births and fertility rates for Australia, states and territories, and sub-state regions, Reference period 2022, Australian Bureau of Statistics, statistical series.




Click on table to enlarge


Total fertility rate is the number of registered births per woman.

Crude birth rate is the number of births per 1,000 estimated resident population.

Net reproduction rate is the average number of daughters surviving to reproductive age per woman.

Sex ratio is the number of male births per 100 female births.

All statistics are based on year of registration unless otherwise specified.



Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), media release, 18 October 20232:


Australian women are having fewer children, and having them later in life according to data released today by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).


Emily Walter, ABS head of demography said; “Today’s data continues a trend we’ve seen in births over the last 40 years, with the average age of both mothers and fathers steadily increasing since the mid 1970s.


In 1975, less than 20 per cent of births were to mothers who were between 30 and 39 years old, but now nearly 60 per cent of births are to mothers in this age group.”


Australian women are also having fewer children. The total fertility rate has remained lower than the replacement rate (considered to be 2.1 babies per woman to replace her and her partner, in the absence of overseas migration) since 1976.


In 2022, this was 1.63 births per woman, which was lower than the 2021 rate of 1.70 births per woman, but higher than the 1.59 births per woman recorded in 2020.


Although total fertility remains low, the fertility rate for women in their late 30s and early 40s has significantly increased.


From 1991 to 2022, the fertility rate of mothers aged 35-39 years has almost doubled from 36.0 to 69.3 births per 1,000 women, and for mothers aged 40-44 years, it has nearly tripled from 5.5 to 15.8 births per 1,000 women.


In contrast, the fertility rate of teenage mothers has reached an all-time low of 6.8 births per 1,000 women, from 22.1 births per 1,000 women in 1991.” Ms Walter said.


The falling fertility rates of women aged under 30 years and the rising fertility rates of women in their thirties and early forties, are consistent with women having their first and subsequent births later in life.


This shift towards older parenthood largely follows from young people tending to reach the milestones which usually precede parenthood (i.e. leaving the parental home, gaining economic independence, and marrying or forming long-term de facto relationships) later than was seen in previous decades.


In 2022:

  • Australia registered a total of 300,684 births, a decrease of over 9,000 from 2021 but higher than 2020 numbers.

  • Women aged 30-34 years had the highest fertility rate (114.9 births per 1,000 women or about 1 birth for every 9 women), followed by women aged 25-29 years (83.0 births per 1,000 women).

  • Of women aged 15-49 years, women in the 45-49 years cohort continue to have the lowest fertility rate (1.1 babies per 1,000 women).

  • The fertility rate of women aged 15-19 years was the lowest on record (6.8 babies per 1,000 women).

  • The Northern Territory recorded the highest total fertility rate (1.73 babies per woman), followed by New South Wales and Queensland with 1.71 babies per woman.

  • The Australian Capital Territory had the lowest total fertility rate (1.41 babies per woman).


When one looks at the seven local government areas which make up the NSW Northern Rivers region, in 2022:


Ballina – 439 registered births, total fertility rate 1.83

Byron – 364 registered births, total fertility rate 1.42

Clarence Valley – 575 registered births, total fertility rate 1.42

Kyogle – 95 registered births, total fertility rate 2.40

Lismore – 466 registered births, total fertility rate 1.84

Richmond Valley – 262 registered births, total fertility rate 2.27

Tweed – 1,060 registered births, total fertility rate 2.00.

[Table 3.1 Births, Summary Local Government Area]


It would appear that despite high rainfall & rain dumps, east coast low storms and record floods, in 2022 the stork still managed to deliver a good many bundles across this region.


Wednesday 18 October 2023

BUSHFIRE STATE OF PLAY IN NORTHERN RIVERS REGION SPRING-SUMMER 2023 : by 1am on Wednesday 18 October 15 fires were active & all were at "Advice" level

 

The NSW Rural Fire Service interactive mapping “Fires Near Me” showed 15 bushfire incidents in the Northern Rivers region at 1:16am this morning, Wednesday 18 October 2023.


These were spread across the local government of Clarence Valley (7), Kyogle (6), Byron (1) and Tweed (1).


Only one was classed as grassfire with remaining 14 being bushfires and, all were at “Advice” level.


Late last night the bush fire burning in the Tyagarah Nature Reserve north of Byron Bay and moving in a northerly direction towards Brunswick Heads was listed as “Advice” with the rider “Residents of Brunswick Heads should monitor conditions and be alert for smoke and embers.


Byron-Brunswick fire. IMAGES: The Echo, 17.10.23





As at 1:24AM Wednesday 18 October 2023 the NSWRFS fire danger rating for all seven local government areas in the Norther Rivers region – Ballina, Byron, Clarence Valley, Kyogle, Lismore, Richmond Valley, and Tweedwas listed as “Moderate”, as were the the 6 coastal local government areas immediately to the south of our region.


According the Bureau of Meteorology at 8:30 pm EDT last night, Tuesday 17 October 2023, the general weather advice for the Northern Rivers is as follows:


Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system with its centre near western Victoria is drifting across southeast Australia while a low pressure system over the Tasman Sea is slowly moving east, bringing coastal showers together with cool and gusty southerly winds along the coast. Temperatures will gradually increase during the latter part of the week as the high stalls over the Tasman Sea while a trough reaching South Australia deepens into a low pressure system and heads towards Tasmania. A cold front associated with the low looks set to cross the state during the weekend with little rainfall for most parts.



Tuesday 17 October 2023

AUSTRALIAN SOCIETY: and "No" vote in the October 2023 national referendum continues to grow as ballot count continues

 


Election analyst with public broadcaster ABC Antony Green


Current Yes/No percentages by vote type. No% has lifted 4% with the addition of Pre-Poll and Postal votes, the biggest shift I've ever seen.” 


@AntonyGreenElec



Monday 16 October 2023

It is hard not to view the results of the 14 October 2023 national referendum as a deliberate & brutal slap in the face to Australia's First Nations

 

The "No" Map of Australia
Green = NO Orange = YES
The Sydney Morning Herald
15 October 2023






As at Sunday, 15 Oct 2023 8:52:10 PM AEDT the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) national referendum vote count majority percentages stood at:


NO – 60.69%

YES – 39.41%.

[https://tallyroom.aec.gov.au/ReferendumNationalResults-29581.htm]


None of the six Australian states returned a majority Yes vote and of the two mainland territories only the ACT returned a majority Yes vote of 60.78%. 


According to the senior economics correspondent for The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald by Sunday afternoon the vote count confirmed that 6 of the 78 federal electorates held by Labor had voted "Yes" and 55 of the 56 federal electorates held by Coalition MPs in the House of Representatives had voted "No" in the referendum.


In New South Wales the majority percentages stood at:


NO – 59.52%
YES – 40.48%.


In the NSW Northern Rivers federal electorates of Page and Richmond the majority percentages at Sunday, 15 Oct 2023 3:45:05 PM AED:


PAGE – No 68.04% and Yes 31.96%

RICHMOND – No 56.79% and Yes 43.21%


From where I stand this is a shocking response at national, state, territory and regional level to the invitation contained in the Uluru Statement From The Heart.


In 1967 we were counted, in 2017 we seek to be heard. We leave base camp and start our trek across this vast country. We invite you to walk with us in a movement of the Australian people for a better future.”


I can only read the 2023 national referendum result as a deliberate and brutal slap in the face to the more than 983,700 First Nations people of Australia [ABS 2021] and, especially to the majority of those 534,209 Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders of voting age who were enrolled to vote. [AEC June 2023].


First Nations people make up est. 4.8% of the Northern Rivers resident population [.id community 2021]. There is no assessment of the First Nations vote in this region during the referendum period. However, mainstream media has offered some broad statistics covering some polling catchments in the 2023 national referendum.


UPDATE


********

The Guardian, 15 October 2023, published 5:25pm:


Regions with a high proportion of Indigenous Australians overwhelmingly voted yes in the referendum – including the community where prominent no campaigner Jacinta Nampijinpa Price’s family is from.


The yes vote in polling catchments where Indigenous Australians formed more than 50% of the population was, on average, 63% in favour of enshrining an Indigenous voice to parliament, according to political analyst Simon Jackman, who estimated the proportion of Indigenous Australians at each polling area based on data from the 2022 election.


But the referendum was defeated under the weight of much of the rest of the country voting no. Nationally, only 39.6% of the population voted in favour, while 60.4% ruled it out.


This was so important for Indigenous people,” said Yanyuwa woman and Labor senator for the Northern Territory, Malarndirri McCarthy, on the ABC on Saturday night, as the reality of the defeat sunk in.


I want to emphasise the point of that to all Australians, that this was always going to be about the 3% of the population who are asking for an advisory body to the constitution.”


In the Northern Territory seat of Lingiari, which takes in Alice Springs and where 40% of the population is Indigenous, 58% voted against the voice and 42% voted in favour.


But 74% of the 11,000 people that live in Lingiari’s remote areas voted yes, according to figures provided by Labor MP for Lingiari, Marion Scrymgour.


The highest vote in support of yes was in Wadeye, at 92.1%. The Tiwi Islands voted 84% in favour, and Maningrida recorded an 88% yes vote.


Only one of the 20 mobile remote polling booths in the seat recorded a majority no vote.


In Yuendemu, the community home to the family of Price, shadow minister for Indigenous Australians, three in four people voted yes.


If only people down south had seen what Aboriginal people in the bush were voting for, then maybe we would have had a different result,” said Scrymgour.


We can’t change last night, but we can change what happens going forward.”


Some regions in Queensland, where only 31.3% of the state’s population voted yes, showed a similar break away trend for communities with a high Indigenous population.


McCarthy pointed out early polling results from Queensland showed on Palm Island, where the population is 93% Indigenous, three in four voted yes.


On Mornington Island, where 77% of the population is Indigenous, McCarthy said 79% voted yes. And in Lockhart River, where almost 80% of people are Indigenous, 66% voted in favour.


The overall result was at odds with claims made by Price on Saturday night during her speech celebrating the no camp’s win, in which she said a vast group of Indigenous Australians did not support the proposal.


It was suggested that 80% of Indigenous Australians supported this proposal, when we knew that that was not the case,” Price said of the figure often quoted by the yes camp to prove to Australians Indigenous Australians backed the proposal that came from Indigenous leaders.


When I knew, having spoken to people throughout the Northern Territory, to Indigenous people from the Northern Territory and right across the country, particularly in my role as the shadow minister for Indigenous Australians, that a vast group of Indigenous Australians did not support the proposal.”


Price also questioned the impartiality of the commission’s delivery of remote polling, saying “remote communities are exploited for someone’s else’s agenda”.


An AEC spokesperson rejected suggestions of interference at remote polling, telling Guardian Australia “the ability to campaign at any polling place, including in remote communities, was of course the same for everyone”.


We were pleased to have delivered the largest remote voting offering ever with a 25% increase in the number of votes taken in remote communities,” the spokesperson said.


This was off the back of record rate of enrolment overall, as well as for Indigenous Australians.”


Scrymgour said the number of young Indigenous Australaians voting in the referendum was greater than recent government elections.


I don’t want them to feel depressed or to feel alienated or to feel that their vote went nowhere,” she said. “So we just need to make sure we continue to give them hope. And that tomorrow things will get better.


This is a setback, but we’ve had many setbacks over many years, and we’ll continue to fight.”