Thursday, 12 September 2024

About that 2024 Harris-Trump Presidential Debate....

 

Well the first debate between 2024 presidential candidate & current US Vice-President Kamala Harris and 2024 presidential candidate & former one-term US president Donald Trump came and went yesterday.


The full debate can be found at:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VgsC_aBquUE

beginning at 5:59 minutes and ending at 1:49:25.


Here is a brief dive into a takeaway article on the debate at CNN Politics, 11 September 2024:


Harris came onstage with a clear plan: Throw Trump off his game.


It was, by any measure, a dramatic success. When the vice president mentioned Trump’s criminal conviction and outstanding legal issues, he bit. When she called him out for sinking a bipartisan immigration bill, he bit harder. And when Harris suggested Trump’s rallies were boring, he nearly choked on the bait.


Rather than engage on the issues raised by the moderators, including a few that Trump considers some of his political strengths, the former president went on at length about the entertainment value of his rallies, claims the Biden administration was legally targeting him and, in a long, bizarre spell, insisted – against all available evidence, that migrants were eating Americans’ pets.


They’re eating the dogs, the people that came in, they’re eating the cats, they’re eating the pets of the people that live there,” Trump said, after Harris criticized him for tanking the immigration bill.


Harris looked on as though she was puzzled, but rarely returned to the claims, apparently content to allow Trump go off.


Trump seemed especially aggrieved by the vice president’s aside about his campaign events. Even after Muir sought to redirect the debate to immigration – again, one of Trump’s preferred topics – the former president refused to let it go.


First, let me respond as to the rallies,” Trump said, mocking Harris’ crowds before returning to his own. “People don’t leave my rallies, we have the biggest rallies, the most incredible rallies in the history of politics.”


The first hour of the debate then ended much like it began – with Trump off on a long, narrowcast tangent about the 2020 election, which he claimed, falsely once again, was stolen from him.


Despite signals from even his running mate, Trump did not refrain from repeating the conspiracy theory du jour during the debate.


The former president brought up the unfounded conspiracy theory that migrants from Haiti living in Springfield, Ohio, are eating people’s cats and dogs.


The former president brought up the unfounded conspiracy theory that migrants from Haiti living in Springfield, Ohio, are eating people’s cats and dogs. He said at one point “in Springfield, they’re eating the dogs. They’re eating the cats. They’re eating the pets of people who live there.”


When ABC News moderator David Muir pointed out that city officials denied any evidence that migrants in Springfield were actually eating pets, Trump doubled down, saying “the people on television” were saying it. When pressed, Trump just said, “We’ll find out.”


When the debate moved to crime, Trump claimed that crime was up in the United States contrary to the rest of the world. There too Muir pointed out that, according to FBI data, crime had actually declined in the past few years.


Trump, again, deferred to a different conspiracy theory that the FBI is deeply corrupt and issuing “defrauding statements.” He argued “it was a fraud.”....


Trump repeated several of the arguments he made about abortion during his June debate with Biden. He argued that “everyone” wanted the issue returned to the states, despite widespread resistance from Democrats and some independents. He argued inaccurately that a former governor of Virginia said that babies should be executed – a reference to comments former Democratic Gov. Ralph Northam, a doctor, made about care for births after nonviable pregnancies.


And Trump repeated the false claim that some states allow abortions to be performed after a baby has been born, which drew a fact check from ABC News’ Linsey Davis.


There is no state in this country where it is legal to kill a baby after it’s born,” Davis said.


Later in the debate, Trump argued that US elections are “a mess” and claimed that Democrats are trying to get undocumented immigrants to vote in elections....


Among many disturbing statements made by Trump during the debate was his declaration that if he wins the presidential election he is intending to take control of foreign policy/international relations during the president-elect phase before his inauguration.


However, here in Australia the online audience wasn't always taking a serious approach - the response to Trump sometimes took a humorous turn.


Particularly as this Trump assertion was on many Aussie bingo cards before it actually happened.


In America.


From Australia first in anticipation and then in response.

 

Then Aussie cartoonist Matt Golding grabbed his pencils.


Over in the UK even the Number 10 Downing Street Cat was alerted to this threat.


And the memes began.






I imagine Donald Trump would have expected post-debate criticism for many of his comments and that the word racist would be used. However, I suspect that Trump never thought he would be laughed at all around the world for his use of a racist rumour weaponised for the 2024 presidential election campaign.


Wednesday, 11 September 2024

Extreme floods, rain, wind, storm, hail, heat, drought and bushfire are already impacting Australia's economic growth - now Zurich Insurance & Mandela Partners are calculating the extent tourism will be affected


"Australians have focused a lot on the transition risks of climate change: focusing on the impacts that different carbon abatement policies will have on the economy and on communities in an effort to reduce emissions. But we focus much less on the physical impacts of climate change which are already occurring and, on current projections, will continue to worsen.


Why is this? One reason is data. There are many datasets which have been used to analyse the impact of different carbon abatement policies. The same cannot be said for adaptation.


This is the core innovation of the Zurich Resilience Solutions (ZRS) capability. By mapping the physical risks of climate change across every 10 square meters in Australia, it provides unparalleled insights into the tangible impacts of climate change on different assets and locations."

["The Zurich-Mandala Climate Risk Index: The impact of climate change on the Australian tourism industry", September 2024]


For the last two decades science has been telling the Australian general public that flood, rain, wind, storm, hail, heat, drought and bushfire are the horsemen of climate change and they are upon us now - not arriving some time in a distant future. Now the insurance industry is pointing to this fact of life.


The Zurich-Mandela risk report released this month looks at the effect climate change will have on Australia's natural and manmade tourism assets.


Given the degree to which tourism underpins local economies and the wider NSW Northern Rivers regional economy generating as it does up to $1.6 billion annually supporting est.14,416 jobs, this is a serious issue for the far north, its seven local government areas and the estimated 315,775 men, women and children who live there.


The Northern Rivers tourism industry is known to be vulnerable to externalities. Since 2018, flooding and bushfires have damaged natural amenity and infrastructure, while COVID-19 restrictions reduced visitation and spend in the region, with total visitor expenditure in 2021 down $423 million on 2019 levels.

[Dept. of Regional NSW, Northern Rivers Regional Economic Development Strategy – 2023 Update]


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


Zurich Insurance Group, media release, 7 September 2024:


Zurich and Mandala release first Climate Risk Index for the Australian tourism sector

9 September 2024


Zurich Financial Services Australia (Zurich) and Mandala Partners (Mandala) today released Australia’s first Climate Risk Index for the Australian tourism sector.


Utilising Zurich’s global exposure analysis capability, the report analyses the impact of climate change on Australia’s top tourism sites – including major airports, national parks, beaches and museums – under different Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios.


The Index – the first comprehensive, quantitative climate assessment of its kind for Australian tourism – finds that currently, half of Australia’s tourism assets are in an elevated risk category, facing considerable climate and natural peril risk.


This is set to rise to between 55 and 68 per cent of Australian tourism sites by 2050 under either an intermediate (two degrees Celsius of warming by 2041-2060) or extreme (three degrees) IPCC future climate scenario respectively. Under the more extreme scenario, 80 per cent of tourism sites will experience an increase in risk between 2025 and 2050.


Australia’s tourism industry plays an important role in the nation’s economy, contributing more than $170 billion in annual expenditure and over 620,000 jobs.


In terms of economic impact, around 30 per cent (up to 176,000) of these jobs nationally could be jeopardised – 65 per cent of which are outside our capital cities – in the event of a disaster scenario similar to that experienced following the bushfires of 2019-20.


The analysis also reveals that climate risk varies significantly by geography and site type (natural or man-made).


Queensland has both the highest number of sites facing elevated risks (79 per cent) and the most sites in the highest risk category (52 per cent) compared to any other jurisdiction. After Queensland, Western Australia and the Northern Territory have 69 per cent and 63 per cent of sites in the highest risk categories, respectively. Across the southern states, the risks were relatively lower.


By site category, the Index finds that all 31 of the busiest airports in Australia fall into the highest climate risk categories, including 94 per cent in the most extreme category, due to their geographic location and susceptibility to perils such as wind and storms.


Similarly, all of the analysed wine growing regions, botanic gardens, scenic roads & rail, and rainforests & national parks were found to be in the highest climate risk categories. Natural geological formations, museums, galleries and stadia face relatively lower risk.


Justin Delaney, Chief Executive Officer, Zurich Australia & New Zealand, said: “Australia’s tourism assets not only play a significant role in an increasingly diverse visitor economy but are collectively central to our national identity.”


This analysis, conducted in partnership with Mandala, serves to highlight the critical importance of improving resilience across our tourism assets, both to ensure the sustainability and longevity of these sites and to minimise downstream economic impacts – particularly in regional areas – on employment, business formation, consumption and investment.”


More broadly, it also serves to highlight the quantum of data and insights that are available to understand the prevailing risk environment in order to shape and prepare our collective response,” Mr Delaney said.


Adam Triggs, Partner, Mandala Partners, said: “In Australia, we have focused a lot on how to reduce carbon emissions but have focused less on how to prepare for the physical impacts of climate change that we are already seeing: tourist attractions destroyed by bushfires, tourism sites made inaccessible by floods, man-made attractions damaged by hail and airports closed because of extreme winds”.


A key reason for Australia’s more limited focus on the physical impacts of climate change is a lack of data, and this is exactly the gap that our partnership with Zurich seeks to fill,” Dr Triggs said.


The release of the Climate Risk Index for the tourism sector builds upon and follows a similar analysis by Zurich and Mandala on the climate risk facing the Australian energy generation sector in November 2023, the first assessment of its kind for an entire critical infrastructure asset class.


A full version of the report is available here.


-ENDS-

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


Excerpts from the Zurich-Mandela report.




Source: Zurich Resilience Solutions using Jupiter Intelligence’s ClimateScore Global 2.6; Mandala analysis









Despite more natural sites facing climate risk overall, the proportion of man-made sites facing severe risk is higher


The Zurich-Mandala Climate Risk Index found that currently, 55% of natural tourism sites in Australia face climate risk. Of these sites, 14% are in the highest risk category, a further 23% are in the second highest category and 17% are in the third highest.


Most natural sites in Australia are either national parks, rainforests or beaches. These sites face significant risk from floods, storms and bushfires due to the potential for environmental degradation, which can permanently alter these sites. Extreme weather can also result in seasonal shifts, disrupt ecosystems and impact tourist visitation patterns.


Despite a higher volume of natural sites showing vulnerability to climate change overall, the proportion of impacted man-made sites facing severe risk is higher. Just under half of all man-made assets fall within the top three risk categories, with one quarter of these in the highest risk category. The most at-risk man-made sites are vineyards and airports, which face significant risk from heat, bushfires and flooding. Likewise, scenic roads (including bridges) and railways face significant risk....


In the 25 years from 2025 to 2050, the proportion of Australia’s tourism sites in the three highest climate risk categories will rise from 50% to 55%. Sites in the highest three risk categories are likely to face significant risk from multiple perils with a high impact on environmental degradation, tourism functionality and appeal, accessibility, and ecosystem balance (i.e. a national park with a ‘high risk’ from storms and a ‘very high risk’ from heat).


Under the more severe SSP5-8.5 climate scenario, which assumes little or no climate action and up to three degrees of warming by 2041-2060, 80% of sites will see an increase in risk between 2025 and 2050. Under this scenario, 68% of all sites will be in risk category 3 or above by 2050.....


Tuesday, 10 September 2024

WORLD WILDLIFE FUND 2024: AUSTRALIA SCORES THREE Fs ON THREATENED SPECIES REPORT CARD


World Wildlife Fund - Australia


THE 2024 THREATENED SPECIES REPORT CARD

4 September 2024

*SELECTIVE EXCERPTS*


In September 2022, WWF-Australia launched its first Threatened Species Report Card, which provided a simple but scientifically robust way to track and communicate Australia’s progress in recovering our threatened species.


The methods behind the report card were developed in collaboration with conservation scientists from the University of Queensland. After the 2022 launch, the methods were improved through a peer review process, and published as a scientific paper in an international journal (Wardet al. 2024).


We have now refreshed the report card grades with 2024 data and have compared them with the 2022 results outlined in the scientific paper.


WHAT HAS CHANGED SINCE OUR 2022 REPORT CARD?*


163 species have been newly listed as threatened


40 species have had their threatened status upgraded, e.g., from Vulnerable to Endangered


3 species have had a genuine improvement in their threat status, because the rate of their decline has slowed or stopped. These are:

o The Red Knot (Calidris canutus) which moved from Endangered to Vulnerable

o The Great Knot (Calidris tenuirostris), which moved from Critically Endangered to Vulnerable

o The Northern Siberian Bar-tailed Godwit (Limosa lapponica menzbieri), which moved from Critically Endangered to Endangered

 

There have been no new extinction listings since our 2022 Report Card. However, 15 species have been listed as extinct or extinct in the wild in the last 10 years.


*Includes listing changes between 8 March 2022 and 30 June 2024.


GRADING


We calculated a score between 0 and 1 for each indicator, where 1 is the ideal scenario. We then assigned grades using equal intervals, where:


an A grade is greater than 0.83,

a B grade is 0.67 to 0.82,

a C grade is 0.5 to 0.66,

a D grade is 0.33 to 0.49,

an E grade is from 0.17 to 0.32, and

an F grade is less than 0.16.







As the reader will observe, in this report Australia received a shockingly bad overall assessment:


Funding - FAIL/F Grade

Recovery Plans - FAIL/ F Grade

Protection - LOW PASS/ C Grade

Threat Status Improvement - FAIL/ F Grade

Persistence - SECOND CLASS PASS/ B Grade


Full WWF The 2024 Threatened Species Report Card (released September 2024) can be read & downloaded at:

https://assets.wwf.org.au/image/upload/f_pdf/file_Threatened_Species_Report_Card_Technical_Report_2024


Monday, 9 September 2024

Australian National Cabinet reaffirms its commitment to National Plan to End Violence against Women and Children 2022-2032 & identifies a $4.7 billion funding package

 

Between April 2023 and March 2024 in New South Wales there were 36,513 domestic violence assault incidents recorded and the state rate for domestic-violence related assaults reported to police was 447.1 per 100,000 persons and the NSW regional rate was 596.7 per 100,000 persons.


Across New South Wales during the same time period there were 15,728 incidents where adult women were recorded as victims of intimate partner domestic violence along with 5,926 incidents where adult women were the victims of family violence.


From April 2004 to March 2024 there were 15 domestic violence-related female murder victims in NSW - 11 were murdered by an intimate partner and 4 were murdered by a family member.


Between April 2023 and March 2024 domestic violence-related assault rates per 100,000 population in the Northern Rivers local government areas were:


Richmond Valley - 772.1

Clarence Valley - 709.8

Lismore City - 496.9

Tweed - 324.6

Byron - 312.2

Ballina - 303.1

Kyogle - 37.9.


Three of the seven local government areas exceeded the state rate for domestic violence-related assaults reported to police, two exceeded the NSW regional rate & three also exceeded the Northern Rivers estimated overall rate of 422.3 incidents per 100,000.


Note: All statistics were found in NSW BOCSAR, Trends in Domestic & Family violence – quarterly March report 2024 & Domestic Violence Assault Regional Comparison Tool


Neither New South Wales nor the Northern Rivers region are unique in the level of domestic violence-related assaults and murders within their communities, violence against women and girls is endemic within Australia.


So it was heartening to see the Australian National Cabinet's detailed announcement at the end of last week which included a $4.7 billion funding package.


Meeting of National Cabinet

Media statement

Friday 6 September 2024


National Cabinet met in Canberra today to agree practical next steps to accelerate action to end gender-based violence in a generation and deliver on the National Plan to End Violence against Women and Children 2022-2032.


First Ministers agreed that ending the national crisis of gender-based violence, including violence against children and young people, will remain an ongoing priority for National Cabinet. First Ministers acknowledged that a coordinated approach across all states and territories is required to address this national crisis.


National Cabinet is committed to maintaining a central focus on missing and murdered First Nations women and children and agreed that all government commitments on gender-based violence must explicitly consider the needs and experiences of First Nations people, and be delivered in genuine partnership with First Nations communities.


Today, National Cabinet agreed a comprehensive $4.7 billion package that harnesses important opportunities to work together to prevent violence and support legal services. It brings together efforts and funding to:


 Deliver much needed support for frontline specialist and legal services responding to gender based violence.

 Innovative approaches to better identify and respond to high-risk perpetrators to stop violence escalating.

 Address the role that systems and harmful industries play in exacerbating violence.


These actions are guided by the valuable contributions of the Rapid Review of Prevention Approaches. The recommendations of the review have guided immediate actions and First Ministers have agreed to use the review’s recommendations to inform strengthened efforts across all governments to deliver the National Plan. Governments will progressively respond to the review with the collective response overseen by Women and Women’s Safety Minister’s Meeting over time.


Today, National Cabinet signed the Heads of Agreement for a new National Access to Justice Partnership, including a critical $800 million increase in funding to the legal assistance sector over five years, with a focus on uplifting legal services responding to gender-based violence.


Under this agreement, the Commonwealth will invest $3.9 billion over five years from 1 July 2025 and for the first time will provide ongoing funding beyond the five year agreement so that the sector has long-term funding certainty.


National Cabinet agreed to negotiate a renewed, five year National Partnership Agreement on Family, Domestic and Sexual Violence Responses, to commence on 1 July 2025 and deliver over $700 million in new matched investments from the Commonwealth and states and territories.


The new agreement will support greater flexibility for states and territories to direct funding to meet local need, and will be accompanied by stronger transparency and accountability mechanisms. It will include a focus on nationally coordinated approaches to support prevention activities through frontline services, including funding for:


 Specialist services for women.

 Services to support children exposed to family, domestic and sexual violence to heal and recover.

 Working with men, including men’s behaviour change programs for perpetrators of gendered violence.


Delivering on commitments made at the May National Cabinet on gender based violence, First Ministers today agreed to deliver innovative new approaches to better identify high risk perpetrators, share information about them across systems and state boundaries, and intervene early to stop violence escalating.


First Ministers agreed to:


 Develop new national best practice family and domestic violence risk assessment principles and a model best practice risk assessment framework.

 Support enhancements to the National Criminal Intelligence System, which enables information sharing across jurisdictions, to provide a ‘warning flag’ that will assist police responding to high-risk perpetrators.

 Extend and increase nationally-consistent, two-way information sharing between the family law courts and state and territory courts, child protection, policing and firearms agencies.

 Strengthen system responses to high-risk perpetrators to prevent homicides, by trialling new focussed deterrence models and Domestic Violence Threat Assessment Centres. These centres will be able to use intelligence, monitor individuals and intervene with those at high risk of carrying out homicide.


The new risk assessment principles and trials of focussed deterrence models will be developed in close consultation with First Nations people and communities and will give specific consideration to application and implementation of approaches for First Nations people and communities.


Acknowledging the role that systems and industries can play in exacerbating violence, State and Territory First Ministers agreed to review alcohol laws and its impact on family and domestic violence victims to identify and share best practice and reforms and to report back to National Cabinet on progress.


This builds on commitments by the Commonwealth at the May National Cabinet to deliver a range of measures to tackle factors that exacerbate violence against women, including violent online pornography. The Commonwealth will announce a comprehensive response to the Parliamentary Inquiry into Online Gambling in due course.


To help break the cycle of violence, the Commonwealth will start comprehensive work with sector experts to identify gaps in supports for children and young people who have experienced or witnessed FDSV, to inform the design and implementation of new and revised initiatives and interventions. This work will include a specific focus on First Nations children and young people through culturally safe consultation and expertise.


While this comprehensive work is underway, the Commonwealth will provide an over $80 million boost to enhance and expand child-centric trauma-informed supports for children and young people.


The Commonwealth will also provide funding to establish national standards for men’s behaviour change.


The Commonwealth will immediately commence an audit of key Commonwealth government systems to identify areas where they are being weaponised by perpetrators of family and domestic violence.


This media statement has been agreed by First Ministers and serves as a record of meeting outcomes.


Sunday, 8 September 2024

The dysfunctional organisational structure of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology continues to be laid bare


The World Meteorological Organisation website describes Dr. Andrew Johnson as;

CEO and Director of Meteorology at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. He joined the Bureau in late 2016 and was reappointed for a further five-year team in 2021. He is also Australia’s permanent representative to the World Meteorological Organisation in Geneva. Andrew has held several non-executive directorships across a range of domains in the private, government owned corporation and not-for-profit sectors, both in Australia and internationally. He has a PhD from the University of Queensland and a Masters from the Kennedy School at Harvard University where he was a Rotary Foundation scholar. Andrew is a Fellow of the Australian Academy of Technology & Engineering and the Australian Institute of Company Directors.


What the website neglects to say can be found in two September 2024 media articles and one February 2024 legal judgment, which laid bare the disintegrating organisational structure of the once almost universally well-respected Australian Bureau of Meteorology and the part played by senior executives.


The Saturday Paper, 7 September 2024:


Late last month, Dr Andrew Johnson brought together the entire staff of the Bureau of Meteorology. It was intended as a town hall-style meeting to thank them for making it to the other end of a $1 billion, seven-year overhaul of the organisation.


Instead, the beleaguered chief executive told them the landmark project – designed to update the observing equipment, security and resilience of the agency – was a year past due, not close to being finished, over budget by at least $150 million, likely more, and that the bureau was now essentially broke.


At the same time, redundancies were being quietly offered across the agency.


At the beginning of the almost two-hour-long “strategy and focus” session, staff were reminded by general manager of communications Tim McLean that the presentation was an “internal bureau event” and its content marked “official: sensitive”.


The Saturday Paper has obtained an audio recording of the entire address that was leaked, a source says, because of an enduring dissatisfaction with the leadership of the agency and its alleged mishandling of hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of contracts relating to the internal transformation program known as Robust.


Over the past two years, dozens of Bureau of Meteorology employees have spoken to this newspaper about their concerns relating to the umbrella project, which seemed to them to have been plagued by delays, cost blowouts and waste. Now they have some confirmation.


In his address, Johnson seemed keen for applause when his presentation over teleconference concluded. He was met with silence.....


And now the agency is broke according to our management,” a source says, “and APS staff are cleaning up the unfinished and in many cases not-up-to-requirements work left behind by the contractors.”


Another source queries whether, even now, the figures and details finally being released are correct. Take, for example, Johnson’s claim that the entire Robust program of work was a year late and “as at 30 June, 10 per cent more than what we budgeted for when we did the budget in 2017”.


This week, a day after being sent questions by The Saturday Paper, the bureau released a media statement claiming the Robust work cost $866 million to June 30. In the leaked address to all staff, the project leader in charge of Robust was clear that the work was never finished: they just renamed it.


The work that wasn’t finalised under Robust will now happen over the next year as part of the “Robust transition program” at additional cost in terms of budget and delayed dependent upgrades....


The list of upgrades and enhancements supposed to have been delivered but that have not yet been finalised is long. It includes the Australis-II supercomputer, a second and vastly more powerful bureau supercomputer that is now more than six years overdue. Although it has been brought “online” and publicly announced as having been delivered just weeks ago, the machine is still being tested.


And so the program definitely had its challenges, and there are a few outstanding scope that we still need to deliver, and they’re now wrapped up in what we’re calling the Robust transition program, and that program has been established to complete the remaining scope that we set out in the business case,” Robust program director Nichole Brinsmead told staff during the presentation.


That includes things like finalising the tsunami [warning] replacement project, finalising the flood [warning] upgrade, completing the testing of the new supercomputer, which has dependency on the MTU [maximum transmission unit] upgrade and moving our model production capability into the new data centre.


There’s also the finalisation of the AWS [automatic weather stations], so we need to get to the point where we’ve actually completed all the testing of the new AWS local processing unit, and then we could commence rollout there. And there’s a few other components in there as well. There’s some data management, data platform capability that needs to be complete. And we’ve also had to set up a separate capability to support the primary weather services and the visualisation capability for our operational forecasting.”


A new website for the bureau, delivered almost two years late, is now public for beta testing and will be launched into full production next year. Contracts for that service, which went to Accenture for a sum of $31 million in 2019, were extended for a ninth time on July 22 and more than doubled in cost to $75 million. Similarly, costs for a data integration platform tripled from $11 million to $35 million and the contract for a data management platform more than quadrupled in fees to $67 million.


We all know the public trusts us, but that trust is contingent on being able to continue providing the service they trust. And under our current management, they’re obsessed with optics not output.”


These cost blowouts were attributed to “dependent delays due to the availability of ICT infrastructure” or additional work made at the bureau’s request. In other words, the failure to complete one Robust program measure had flow-on effects and caused delays and cost overruns in other related matters.


As previously reported by The Saturday Paper, the ongoing inability to launch the new supercomputer Australis-II from 2018 torpedoed efforts by the Bureau of Meteorology to introduce its promised 2019 release of the latest forecast simulation model, the Australian Parallel Suite 4 (APS4), a powerful upgrade from the current APS3 version.


That work was abandoned. Similarly, BoM researchers noted earlier this year that their own work on the Australian Fire Danger Rating System could not be verified in real time because Australis-II was not ready.....


Meteorologists have told The Saturday Paper these changes and various edicts from on high have led to a loss of local forecaster knowledge, and have confirmed that ordinary forecasts had reduced in quality because bureau management had not sanctioned experienced meteorologists to take small amounts of time to fix known errors in the automatic model outputs.


As these decisions accumulated, Robust projects hit serious delays that rippled through the organisation. During this, Johnson pressed the button on a Bureau of Meteorology rebrand that he claimed was not a rebrand but a “brand refresh”. All internal documents said otherwise.


The million-dollar operation was launched in October 2022 and included a new logo designed under Johnson’s direction and a ridiculed new directive that media and staff should no longer refer to the “BoM” but only to “the Bureau”. Part of the cost was attributed to the hiring of an external PR firm, The C Word Communications. The C Word founder, Jack Walden, was then hired as a general manager in the comms division. He stayed on for almost three years but has been made redundant.


Meteorologists were furious the rebrand happened at all, especially as it sucked crucial resources out of a strapped organisation in the middle of a run of severe weather.


Now, Johnson has come as close to apologising for the saga as he ever has.


Clearly, we took a lot of learnings out of the brand refresh process,” he told staff.


It didn’t go as well as we’d have liked. We’ve learned. We’ve learned deeply and reflected deeply on that, on that process.”


The fiasco sharpened attention on the BoM. Johnson concedes the criticism hurt.


I know from time to time there’s negative commentary about what it is we do,” he said.


And I know many of us feel that when we see things written in the newspapers.....


In the Federal Circuit Court case, staff found confirmation of something they’d long feared: that management were not being honest with them about the state of the organisation.


If they’re willing to mislead the court, they’re not too fussed about telling us the truth are they,” one BoM employee says. “Everything is waved away or minimised.”....


In a world where consequences are slim, BoM staff don’t expect any from this saga or the failures of the Robust program. According to an official answer to Senate estimates, Johnson “does not have a formal performance agreement” in place.


Besides, he said, the cost overruns and ongoing delays performed better than a home renovation job.


I think any fair and reasonable person would say this is quite an amazing result,” he said. “I don’t know about you, but if you want to get a tradie or a plumber or a chippie or a sparkie now, compared with what you got in 2017, everything costs more.”


As one employee noted, it was “bizarre logic”, not least because the cost blowout would end up being much more than the claimed “10 per cent”.


I don’t know a tradie charging billions of taxpayer dollars and only delivering half of what they’re supposed to and charging more than they’re supposed to,” they said.


Honestly everyone thought he was going to step down at this meeting and I think a lot of people were bitterly disappointed that he didn’t.”


Then there is the matter of the Bureau's workplace relations which when made public further shattered confidence in this organisation.


In 2018 Jasmine Chambers took up the position of General Manager, Global and National Science Relations at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), with a total remuneration package of $218,700.00 per annum.


Reading between the lines it appears Ms. Chambers offended the alpha male sensibilities of one or more senior executives in an organisation which still has a predominately male workforce.


What followed looked suspiciously like a sustained effort to remove her from employment with BOM and such employment ceased with effect on 21 December 2020.


The Sydney Morning Herald, 5 September 2024:


The Bureau of Meteorology has lost a bitterly fought unfair dismissal case that dates back more than five years, while a raft of current and former employees have come forward to describe the workplace culture as “toxic” and “chaotic”.


The Commonwealth agency dropped its appeal of an unfair dismissal decision in favour of former employee Jasmine Chambers, who joined in 2019 as general manager of global and national science relationships. The appeal case was settled out of court late last month, which means the findings from the earlier judgment stand.


In a scathing judgment in February, Judge Doug Humphreys, from the Federal Circuit and Family Court of Australia, found the bureau had breached the Fair Work Act in four ways when it drove Chambers out of the organisation in 2020.


The Chambers case concludes as five other current and former employees, speaking on condition of anonymity, have shared claims with this masthead of a “toxic” culture, “chaotic” decision-making, and bullying.


All five claim that part of the reason for low staff morale was an institutional reluctance to deal with questions about climate change and extreme weather at a time when the nation was dealing with mounting climate disasters such as bushfires and floods. The BoM denies these claims.....


The court criticised several managers, particularly chief executive Dr Andrew Johnson. The former Coalition government appointed Johnson in 2016 and renewed the position for another five years in 2021.


The court formed the view that Dr Johnson managed the bureau using a close and detailed management style, in which his views were final and not subject to any challenge,” the judgment says....


Read the full article at:

https://www.smh.com.au/environment/weather/bom-loses-illegal-sacking-case-as-staff-condemn-toxic-and-chaotic-culture-20240817-p5k35d.html



Extract from Chambers v Commonwealth of Australia ( Bureau of Meteorology ) (No 2) [2024] FedCFamC2G 100 (9 February 2024). Last updated: 3 June 2024:


"83.The Court accepts that the applicant has tried to recall her evidence as best she can and overall, the Court finds her evidence is reliable and credible.


84. Dr Brunet joined the Bureau shortly before the applicant. He had occupied senior positions within similar organisations in other countries and had moved to Australia to take up the position he occupied. While he agreed he approved the applicant’s overseas travel plan in advance, including the PTO and annual leave, he refused to accept any responsibility for the approval not complying with usual requirements. The Court accepts the applicant’s recall of a conversation in July 2019 where Dr Brunet said to the applicant “Don’t show me the rules, - you need to learn. I do not have time to read the documentation that I am approving. I have to trust my people, you and others, that you will not do the wrong thing”. The Court formed the view that Dr Brunet was not prepared to accept any personal responsibility for any matters involving the applicant where it may have negatively impacted upon his position within the Bureau. It was clear that Dr Brunet would defer in his view on any matter to that of Dr Johnson, even where he may have disagreed with that view. His Affidavit evidence needs to be carefully scrutinised and compared to the contemporary records before being relied upon....


89. Dr Johnson gave both Affidavit and oral evidence and was cross examined for some time. The Court formed a view that he had significant reservations in relation to the applicant, in that she did not come from the scientific background and that she took “strong positions” whereas in his view, the applicant should have backed off and listened. Dr Brunet described these actions as embarrassing to Dr Johnson (Court Book 175). The Court formed the view that Dr Johnson managed the Bureau using a close and detailed management style, in which his views were final, and not subject to any challenge. The fact that the applicant pushed back, seeking examples and justifications for positions, in the Court’s view, would have been a matter that would have exacerbated Dr Johnson’s negative views of the applicant....


91. Dr [Peter] Stone’s evidence is dealt with further on in this judgment. The Court found his evidence unsatisfactory and not credible or reliable. He sought to explain away issues with his evidence. His explanations were unconvincing. The lack of credibility of Dr Stone’s evidence however not only impacts upon his evidence. It impacts on the entire narrative being put forward by the Bureau. It invites negative findings as to the whole of the narrative, despite the evidence of other witnesses." 


Saturday, 7 September 2024

Images of the Week


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Celestial Emu Kalthi rising over the court house at Milparinka in north-west New South Wales, Australia.

IMAGE: Therese Elsey Photography

via @DavidSandow1

SEE: Interconnectedness and the Celestial Emu


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The Dark Emu rising over Naree Station Reserve on Budjiti Country in north-west New South Wales

IMAGE: Bush Heritage ecologist Dr Rebecca Diete