Monday 12 October 2009

Because Andrew Bolt brandishes a truncated graph, once more it's time to look at that global warming data again


On Sunday 11 October 2007 journalist Andrew Bolt was a guest on the ABC Insiders program and that gave rise to a post on his News Ltd blog on the same day.

In this post Mr. Bolt presented a graph which he thinks demonstrates that the world has stopped warming and hence there is no climate change going on.

Now that graph (left) apparently came via the Watts Up With That blog from information compiled by Dr. Roy Spenser an anthropomorphic climate change sceptic and supporter of the legitimacy of Intelligent Design Theory.

However, when one looks at NASA graphs of those same years placed within a longer time scale it is obvious that although there are 'plateau' periods the overall global temperature has been steadily trending upwards since at least 1880.
The report of the RSS graph (which relies on the same data as Spenser and Bolt) indicates that there are significant variations within those plateau and NASA points out that past plateau have been known to last for up to 9-10 years in living memory.

"Despite the fact it's been warmer and cooler at different times in the last 10 years, there's no part of the last 10 years that isn't warmer than the temperatures we saw 100 years ago." Josh Willis, NASA, 22 September 2009.

Global Annual Mean Surface Air Temperature Change

Line plot of global mean land-ocean temperature index, 1880 to present. The dotted black line is the annual mean and the solid red line is the five-year mean. The green bars show uncertainty estimates. [This is an update of Fig. 1A in Hansen et al. (2006)] January-September (9 months) mean is used for 2009 data.

(Last modified: 2009-10-06)

Our traditional analysis using only meteorological station data is a lin e plot of global annual-mean surface air temperature change derived from the meteorological station network [This is an update of Figure 6(b) in Hansen et al. (2001).] Uncertainty bars (95% confidence limits) are shown for both the annual and five-year means, account only for incomplete spatial sampling of data. January-September (9 months) mean is used for 2009 data.

(Last modified: 2009-10-06)


While Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) released this satellite derived global chart opposite for September 2009:

According to RSS, September 2009 was warm compared to normal with a global temperature anomaly of +.476 C. Keep in mind, the RSS temperature data covers the latitudes between 82.5 North and 70 South across the globe, so large areas of the polar regions are omitted.
Based on RSS data alone, September 2009 was the warmest month compared to normal since January of 2007 and the warmest September since September of 1998, when the anomaly was +.494 C.

Is Nicola Roxon suffering from a lack of foresight?


Maud up the Street is one of many in New South Wales who were diagnosed with cataracts in both eyes this year.
Like a large number of other pensioners she will have to go on the Medicare waiting list as there's no money in the pot for private surgery of any sort.
Maudie's livid over reports that Federal Health Minister Nicola Roxon has stated that if the Senate doesn't agree to pass legislation introducing a reduced Medicare benefit for all cataract surgery, the government will automatically cancel the whole rebate anyway leaving those with diminished eyesight to find the entire cost of this operation and presumably both the pre-op and post-op visits.
Maudie reckons Roxon classing retaining your eyesight as a "minor surgical procedure" misses the point entirely.
Reasonable eyesight is one of the main supports of autonomy and independence for those getting on in years, so I agree with my friend that Ms. Roxon is getting a little too uppity in how she approaches the matter.
If saving health care dollars is such a big issue, perhaps the Minister should consider proposing a lesser reduction in the rebate to meet the ophthalmologists halfway - before Oz turns into a land where the poor are distinguished by higher levels of blindness than the general population.
How about it, Nic?

Sunday 11 October 2009

Local government thin ice pivot, slide and glide on the NSW North Coast


It seems like only yesterday that local government across the nation was up in arms over the constant cost-shifting by state and federal governments, which saw councils being asked to do more and more with less and less.
Indeed there was a formal inquiry into this very subject in 2003.

So I'm somewhat bemused to hear that one NSW North Coast council (which is known to complain about straightened financial circumstances from time to time) is now committed to allocating funding for improvements in a national park for which it has no responsibility, legal or otherwise.

This is the first time I have heard of local government actually encouraging other tiers of government to off-load their own financial obligations onto council ratepayers or council's own coffers. To the tune of a ballpark figure of $22,000+ no less.

So take a bow, Clarence Valley Council, for a dubious Yuraygir National Park coastal walkway decision based on an even more dubious attempt at a trust fund raid.

One has to wonder which councillor (or councillors) is trying to curry favour with either the Rees Labor Government or the Sussex Street mob and, for what purpose?
Surely not pre-selection hopes resurfacing?

Cartoon from Google Images

Just don't get Barack Obama's Nobel Peace Prize? Well join a growing crowd.....



I have to admit that I was one of those who, on hearing that US President Barack Obama had been awarded the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize, went; "Whaaa?"
To see if I was the odd man out I did a quick swing across cyberspace on Saturday afternoon and this is what I found:

According to Mashable: The Social Media Guide Obama's Nobel Peace Prize: 69% of Twitter Users Don't Get It and drew this graph. Click to enlarge

Many in US media skeptical of Obama's Nobel Prize reported the AFP.

Nancy Gibbs at Yahoo News thought The Last Thing Obama Needs Is the Nobel Peace Prize but her colleague Gregory Katz played another tune with Obama's Nobel Peace Prize triumph praised by many.

The Taliban pointed out the irony of getting a peace prize while conducting an escalating war in The Age's article Taliban condemns Obama's Nobel Prize.

The Brisbane Times informed us his Kenyan family 'honoured' by Obama's Nobel Prize.

The Sydney Morning Herald ran with Obama urged to use Nobel as spur to peace

Al Jazeera expressed surprise but went with Obama: I do not deserve Nobel prize


Teh Man himself was suitably humble according to a White House presser REMARKS BY THE PRESIDENT ON WINNING THE NOBEL PEACE PRIZE and a twee blog post Happy Birthday Bo! (which should come with an excess sugar warning).

While the Norwegian Nobel Committee released a short four paragraph announcement which started all the fuss by awarding the prize to Obama primarily for his "vision" and "attitudes".
Ever obliging, the Nobel Committee invites us to Ask the 2009 Nobel Laureates a Question! via its website.

Before the year is out Obama will probably be wishing that he hadn't won, because everytime the US death toll in Afghanistan rises some grieving mother is likely to toss that prize right back in his face.

Saturday 10 October 2009

Funniest line of the week.......


From The Borowitz Report:

Elsewhere, NASA bombed the moon, saying it was the one spot President Bush missed.

FBI current terrorist watchlist too big and riddled with errors


From THE FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION'S TERRORIST WATCHLIST NOMINATION PRACTICES, May 2009:

The federal government's consolidated terrorist watchlist was created in March 2004 by merging previously separate watchlists that were once maintained by different agencies throughout the federal government.1 The watchlist is managed by the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), through its supervision of the Terrorist Screening Center (TSC). The watchlist is used by frontline screening personnel at U.S. points of entry and by federal, state, local, and tribal law enforcement officials.2 The watchlist serves as a critical tool for these screening and law enforcement personnel by notifying the user of possible encounters with known or suspected terrorists and by providing instruction on how to respond to the encounter. Each day the watchlist is updated with new or revised biographical information on known or suspected terrorists gathered by U.S. intelligence and law enforcement agencies, including the FBI. Within the FBI, submitting the name of a known or suspected terrorist to the consolidated terrorist watchlist is referred to as a watchlist nomination. In general, individuals who are subjects of ongoing FBI counterterrorism investigations are nominated for inclusion on the watchlist, including persons who are being preliminarily investigated to determine whether they have links to terrorism. In certain circumstances, FBI policy also allows for the nomination of an individual for whom the FBI does not have an open terrorism investigation. Since the establishment of the watchlist in 2004, the FBI has nominated or processed the nominations for more than 68,000 known or suspected terrorist identities.3 As of December 31, 2008, the consolidated terrorist watchlist contained more than 1.1 million known or suspected terrorist identities.4........... In total, more than 62,000 watchlist records have been created using the FBI's processes for nominating individuals who are not being investigated for terrorism. Additionally, we found almost 24,000 FBI watchlist records that were based on an FBI investigation but not sourced to a current terrorism case classification. Many such watchlist records that we reviewed were based on cases that had been closed years ago and should have been removed at that time. [My highlighting]

If one bothers to read this U.S. Dept. of Justice audit it quickly becomes obvious that this terrorist name/profile list is not being accurately updated and is riddled with errors, including in some instances the names of dead people.

And so many pooh-poohed when the ACLU first pointed out problems with the list and set up its Terror Watch List Counter.

I can't help but wonder if the Rudd Government were to introduce a national mandatory ISP-level Internet filtering scheme, would we see the Australian Communications and Media Authority/Censorship Board list of banned URLs increase with similar rapidity (although it would be hoped with a more modest total) as those born-again flying monkeys the Minister for Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy appears to favour pile on complaints about their pet hates?

Evans Head's Dawn Undery is a living treasure


Images from Dawn Undery website and Lismore Regional Gallery

click on images to enlarge

Dawn Undery, now retired to Evans Head on the NSW North Coast, is one of Australia's leading botanical artists.
She is exhibiting at Lismore Regional Gallery until the end of October 2009.

A NSW Nats ROFL

Now NSW Nationals MP for Ballina Don Page is probably a nice bloke in private, but I had to laugh at his expense last Thursday as he did his well-polished softshoe pollie dance.
There he was, his phizog in almost every frame and one sound bite (along with captioned name and job title) of a teev news story about six groups in Bangalow receiving funding from the NSW Government's climate change grants.
Then in The Far North Coaster online magazine he was at it again
congratulating the successful applicants who scored a combined total of $59,000 in grants.
All done without Page managing to identify the state government in question as the Rees Labor Government.
Fair dinkum, the opportunistic pettiness of pollies as a species is beyond imagining!

Friday 9 October 2009

Paternalistic system entrenched by state pension grab says CPSA, but doesn't reveal full extent of Commonwealth-State duplicity


Excerpts from recent Combined Pensioners and Superannuants Association media releases concerning the recent increase in the base pension rate for single pensioners:

Paternalistic system entrenched by pension grab

"By taking a quarter of the pension increase away in public housing rents, state governments are entrenching the paternalistic notion that pensioners should be grateful for anything that they get" said Charmaine Crowe, CPSA Policy Coordinator.
"It says to pensioners in public housing that they owe the state governments something because they were lucky enough to secure public housing in the first place."
CPSA calls on the Federal Government to make good on their assurance that they will "take whatever actions are required to ensure that this money is delivered permanently to the pensioners of Australia" (Treasurer Wayne Swan, ABC Radio, 29 September 2009).
"This pension increase is in response to the fact that the pension was seriously inadequate - seriously inadequate for pensioners in public housing, as it was seriously inadequate for home-owners and pensioners renting privately."
"Pensioners are sick and tired of having to battle to get anywhere. It seems as soon as pensioners win one battle, they're faced with ten more."
"The extra $30 a week is needed for pensioners to pay higher electricity bills, pay higher water bills, and to pay for higher-priced groceries. By taking away a quarter of the increase, it is clear that state governments do not comprehend the cost pressures facing pensioners everyday."

State governments see dollar signs in the pension increase

"The increase in public housing rents also tells private landlords that it's okay to charge pensioners more for a roof over their heads." "It's disgraceful that some of the poorest people in our community will be footing the bill for state infrastructure, when every cent they receive is needed for the essentials in life."

What the CPSA doesn't point out is the fact that the Rudd Government went as far amending the Aged Care Act 1997 in order to honour its commitment to protect the September 2009 pension increase for those single pensioners in aged care accommodation, but only quarantined $20.18 per fortnight. So that these pensioners are also not seeing the full benefit of the recent $60 per fortnight increase in the base pension.

What the Rudd Government has done is use this pension increase as a backdoor way of increasing funding to both the NSW Government public housing sector and public/private aged care providers.

Making a mockery of its 2009-10 budget pledge; The Government is reforming the pension system to improve pension adequacy, make its operation simpler, and ensure its sustainability into the future.
The global financial crisis is a timely reminder of the importance of an adequate safety net for older Australians.
and Jenny Macklin - Minister for Families, Housing, Community Services and Indigenous Affairs joined us the morning, pensions fall under her portfolio.
She confirmed that the budget announcement of $32.49 for single pensioners will be money in the hand. That is - on top of their current payments and allowances

This is a cynical exercise worthy of the former Howard Government and, I expect that quite a few pensioners on the NSW North Coast will remember Labor's tricky move when it comes time to cast their votes at the next state and federal elections.

North Coast Voices turns two in blog years



North Coast Voices celebrates its second birthday today.
Everyone here would like to say a big thankyou to all who have visited this blog and stayed to read and sometimes comment.
A special thanks also to those locals who decided to participate by using Guest Speak to add their views to the post mix.