The second Newspoll survey of the year polling 1,567
voters was conducted from 7 February to 10 February 2019.
The results
were:
Primary vote – Labor 39 per cent (up 1
point) to Coalition 37 per cent (unchanged).
Two-party preferred vote – Labor 53 (unchanged)
to Coalition 47 per cent (unchanged).
The two-party preferred result represents
a 31 month long losing streak for the Liberal-Nationals Coalition to date.
If a federal election had been held on
10 February 2019 the swing to Labor would have been 2.5 percent.
This would have given Labor 82 seats
in the House of Representatives to the Coalition’s 63 seats (Liberal 38, LNP
16, Nationals 9).
Based on
these percentages then at the May 2019 federal election Labor MP for Ballina Justine Elliot will comfortably retain the seat she has held since
2004, Nationals MP for Page Kevin Hogan
will likely lose the seat he has held since September 2013, it is uncertain if
the Cowper electorate will vote in a
Nationals candidate, Nationals MPs David
Gillespie and Barnaby Joyce will
probably retain their seats which both have held since 2013.
These
percentages would also see the current Prime Minister Scott Morrison, Treasurer Josh
Frydenberg, Minister for Health Greg
Hunt, Minister for Human Services Alan
Tudge and Minister for Agriculture and Water Resources David Littleproud probably retaining their seats but as members of
the Opposition benches. With Attorney-General Christian Porter fighting to keep his seat on those same benches
and Minister for Home Affairs Peter
Dutton losing the seat of Dickson which he has held since 2001.
It would seem that most destructive and disruptive Liberal MP for Warringah Tony Abbott is also likely to retain his seat.
It would seem that most destructive and disruptive Liberal MP for Warringah Tony Abbott is also likely to retain his seat.
The overall makeup of the House of Representatives will possibly look like this:
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| https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll |
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