Wednesday 9 June 2021

Less talk about a 2021 federal general election since the impact of Morrison's vaccine procurement & rollout blunders began to bite

 

The hoped for strong surge in support for the Coalition parties is not being realised, while Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison's personal support has been falling since his late April high this year.

An October 2021 federal general election is becoming less of a certainty and News Corp media is reporting that Morrison is telling colleagues that the election will not be held until 2022, with 21 May being put forward as a possible date by former senior Abbott advisor and current Liberal Party campaign director Andrew Hirst.


Newspoll 4-5 June 2021



















An online survey of 1,516 respondents conducted by YouGov between Wednesday 2 and Saturday 5 June. The previous survey was conducted on 13-15 May 2021.


Primary vote:

Coalition 41% (unchanged)

Labor 36% (unchanged)

The Greens 11% (-1)

One Nation 3% (+1)

Others 9%

* 7% uncommitted excluded


Two party preferred vote:

Coalition 50% (+1)

Labor 50% (-1)

* preference flows based on recent federal and state elections.


Performance Rating:

Morrison - Satisfied 54% (-4) Dissatisfied 43% (+5) Uncommitted 3% (-1)

Albanese - Satisfied 38% (-1) Dissatisfied 47% (+1) Uncommitted 15% (unchanged)


Better Prime Minister:

Morrison 53% (-2)

Albanese 32% (+2)

Uncommitted 15% (unchanged) 



Essential Report 8 June 2021 


A weekly online survey conducted over 5 days with 1,000+ respondents on average.


  • 40% of Australians say they now view Scott Morrison’s federal government less favourably than they did a year ago. A quarter (25%) say they view this more favourably than they did a year ago, and 35% say their views on the federal government have not changed.


  • Compared to other Australians, Victorians are more likely to say they view Scott Morrison’s federal government less favourably than they did a year ago. Just under half (48%) of Victorians say this, followed by 45% of Western Australians, 39% of Queenslanders, 37% of South Australians and 34% of those in NSW.


  • Since peaking at 70% in March, positive rating of the federal government’s handling of Covid-19 has dropped off; falling to 53% this month which is the lowest rating seen since March last year when this question was first asked.


  • Positive rating of the federal government’s handling of Covid-19 has decreased in all states since last month, however it has fallen the most steeply in Victoria where it is now 42% (down 15 percentage points from 57% in May); disapproval of the federal government’s handling of Covid-19 has increased to 36% (from 22% last month) among Victorians.


  • Just under half (48%) of participants believe that Scott Morrison would make a better PM than Anthony Albanese (50% last month).



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