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| The Australian, Newspoll, published evening of 20 May2022 Click on image to enlarge |
Primary Vote Percentages
Labor - 36 (down 2)
Coalition - 35 (no change)
Greens - 12 ( up 1)
One Nation - 5 (down 1)
United Australia Party - 3 (no change)
Others - 8 (no change)
Two Party Preferred Percentages
Labor - 53 (down 1)
Coalition - 47 (up 1)
If the election had been held on 20 May 2022 then it is likely Labor would have won government with est. 80 seats to the Coalition's est. 65 seats.
However, this prediction is based on 2019 preference flows and the list of independent & minor party candidates was not as long in that federal general election nor the public appetite seemingly so strong for unaligned candidates.
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