On Saturday 15 July 2023 there was a federal by-election in the Queensland electorate of Fadden – a safe seat for the Coalition having been held at 16 out of the 17 federal elections since the electorate was created in 1977.
The by-election was caused by incumbent Stuart Robert, a former minister in the Morrison Government resigning in anticipation of being named in the Report of the Royal Commission into the Robodebt Scheme.
As predicted the LNP candidate, Gold Coast City councillor Cameron Caldwell, won on the day with 49.06% of the first preference vote and 63.26% of the two-candidate preferred vote as at AEC recorded ballot count on 17 July.
Coincidentally, 14-15 July 2023 were the dates on which Newspoll conducted one of its national surveys of voter intentions.
This particular survey clearly indicated that if a general election had been held last Saturday, then MP for Dickson & Leader of the Liberal Party Peter Dutton & his Coalition cronies would remain on the Opposition benches.
IMAGES: The Australian, 17 July 2023
Click on graphs to enlarge
Here are the percentages revealed in this month’s survey.
Primary Vote
Labor – 36 (+2)
Coalition – 34 (-1.7)
Greens – 12 (+1)
One Nation – 7 (+1)
Others – 11 (+1)
Two-Party Preferred
Labor – 55 (+1)
Coalition – 45 (-1)
Performance Approval Rating
ALBANESE:
Satisfied – 52 (unchanged)
Dissatisfied – 41 (-1)
DUTTON:
Satisfied – 36 (-2)
Dissatisfied – 49 (unchanged)
BY 15 JULY 2023 LABOR'S SURVEY POSITION IN COMPARISON WITH ITS POSITION ON DAY OF 2022 FEDERAL ELECTION WAS:
Primary Vote: 3.4% higher
Two Party Preferred: 1.9% higher
Better Prime Minister:
Albanese 54% - no change
BY 15 JULY 2023 COALITION'S SURVEY POSITION IN COMPARISON WITH ITS POSITION ON DAY OF 2022 FEDERAL ELECTION WAS:
Primary Vote: 1.7% lower
Two-Party Preferred: 2.9% lower
Better Prime Minister:
Dutton 29% - 1% higher.
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