Showing posts with label Fadden by-election July 2023. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fadden by-election July 2023. Show all posts

Tuesday, 18 July 2023

And this week brought another Newspoll.....

 

On Saturday 15 July 2023 there was a federal by-election in the Queensland electorate of Fadden – a safe seat for the Coalition having been held at 16 out of the 17 federal elections since the electorate was created in 1977.


The by-election was caused by incumbent Stuart Robert, a former minister in the Morrison Government resigning in anticipation of being named in the Report of the Royal Commission into the Robodebt Scheme.


As predicted the LNP candidate, Gold Coast City councillor Cameron Caldwell, won on the day with 49.06% of the first preference vote and 63.26% of the two-candidate preferred vote as at AEC recorded ballot count on 17 July.


Coincidentally, 14-15 July 2023 were the dates on which Newspoll conducted one of its national surveys of voter intentions.


This particular survey clearly indicated that if a general election had been held last Saturday, then MP for Dickson & Leader of the Liberal Party Peter Dutton & his Coalition cronies would remain on the Opposition benches.





IMAGES: The Australian, 17 July 2023

Click on graphs to enlarge


Here are the percentages revealed in this month’s survey.


Primary Vote

Labor – 36 (+2)

Coalition – 34 (-1.7)

Greens – 12 (+1)

One Nation – 7 (+1)

Others – 11 (+1)


Two-Party Preferred

Labor55 (+1)

Coalition45 (-1)


Performance Approval Rating

ALBANESE:

Satisfied 52 (unchanged)

Dissatisfied41 (-1)

DUTTON:

Satisfied36 (-2)

Dissatisfied49 (unchanged)


BY 15 JULY 2023 LABOR'S SURVEY POSITION IN COMPARISON WITH ITS POSITION ON DAY OF 2022 FEDERAL ELECTION WAS:


Primary Vote: 3.4% higher

Two Party Preferred: 1.9% higher

Better Prime Minister:

Albanese 54% - no change


BY 15 JULY 2023 COALITION'S SURVEY POSITION IN COMPARISON WITH ITS POSITION ON DAY OF 2022 FEDERAL ELECTION WAS:


Primary Vote: 1.7% lower

Two-Party Preferred: 2.9% lower

Better Prime Minister:

Dutton 29% - 1% higher.


Saturday, 15 July 2023

Fadden federal by-election, Saturday 15 July 2023 - vote count begins at approx. 6:30pm


Australian Electoral Commission vote count in the Fadden by-election in Queensland begins after close of polls at 6pm, Saturday 15 July 2023. 


The rolling ballot count should be available at:

https://tallyroom.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionPage-29422-159.htm


Mapping by Australian Electoral Commission














Won only once by Labor in the last 17 federal elections, Fadden is considered a safe Liberal Party seat - even though sitting Liberal MP & former Minister for Government Services in the former Morrison Government, Stuart Robert, prematurely retired approximately two months after giving evidence before the Royal Commission into the Robodebt Scheme.


See ABC Chief Election Analyst Antony Green's electorate profile and comments at:

 https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/fadden-by-election-2023


ABC News live coverage should be found at:

https://iview.abc.net.au/