Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts

Wednesday 20 July 2011

Will NSW Premier O'Farrell protect local government investment in NSW North Coast sustainable urban water infrastructure?

 

From A Clarence Valley Protest on 18 July 2011:

There are ninety kilometres (90 km) of underground pipelines linking the Nymboida River with the Shannon Creek Dam in the Clarence Valley, the Rushforth Road Reservoir at South Grafton and the Karangi Dam near Coffs Harbour.  The combined value of this infrastructure to Clarence Valley and Coffs Harbour local government has been estimated at $200 million.

On 18 July 2011 The Coffs Coast Advocate reported Coffs Harbour City Cr. Mark Graham as stating:

…he had inspected a site on Wild Cattle Creek where Anchor Resources was exploring for antimony and there were already large plumes of antimony which could leach into Wild Cattle Creek and into the Nymboida River.

“There is a massive plume washing from the exploration site into the headwaters of our drinking water catchment,… There is a great need to protect the catchment of the regional water supply and our collective investment of about $200 million"

If these plumes are as reported, then the China Shandong Jinshunda Group Co Ltd through its Australian mining exploration arm, Anchor Resources Ltd, is placing local government investment, an urban water supply (which supports an estimated 3 million residents and visitors/tourists each quarter across Clarence Valley-Coffs Harbour regions) and, a high-value natural environment, at risk even before antimony mining and processing has begun.

According to a report commissioned by Clarence Valley Council in 2008; On average, domestic overnight visitors spent $118 per night, International overnight visitors spent $76 per night and domestic day trippers spent $80 per trip.

Will NSW Premier Barry O’Farrell and Minister for Resources and Energy Chris Hartcher ignore potential risks to the interests of Northern Rivers and Mid-North Coast communities in order to facilitate the interests of this international mining corporation?

Saturday 11 June 2011

Unemployment: compared to the rest of the developed world Australia is not doing too badly


U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, International Labor Comparisons

In May 2011 the official U.S. unemployment rate was 9.1 per cent, the latest figures available from the U.K. show an unemployment rate of 7.7 per cent (March) and, in New Zealand  and Canada the rate stands at 6.6 per cent and 7.6 per cent (April) respectively. Also in April 2011 Japan recorded a seasonally adjusted  unemployment rate of 4.7 per cent.

How the Australian Bureau of Statistics sees the Australian labour force in its latest release for May 2011:


MAY KEY POINTS

TREND ESTIMATES (MONTHLY CHANGE)

  • Employment increased to 11,444,200.
  • Unemployment decreased to 588,400.
  • Unemployment rate steady at 4.9%.
  • Participation rate steady at 65.6%.
  • Aggregate monthly hours worked increased to 1,602.5 million hours.


SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES (MONTHLY CHANGE)

  • Employment increased 7,800 (0.1%) to 11,440,500. Full-time employment decreased 22,000 to 8,027,100 and part-time employment increased 29,800 to 3,413,500.
  • Unemployment increased 8,900 (1.5%) to 592,800. The number of persons looking for full-time work increased 6,700 to 421,800 and the number of persons looking for part-time work increased 2,200 to 171,100.
  • The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.9%. The male unemployment rate decreased 0.2 pts to 4.5% and the female unemployment rate increased 0.4 pts to 5.4%.
  • The participation rate remained steady at 65.6%.
  • Aggregate monthly hours worked increased 6.4 million hours to 1,601.1 million hours.


LABOUR UNDERUTILISATION (QUARTERLY CHANGE)

  • Trend estimates: The labour force underutilisation rate decreased 0.1 pts to 12.0%.
  • Seasonally adjusted estimates: The labour force underutilisation rate increased 0.2 pts to 12.2%. The male labour force underutilisation rate increased 0.2 pts to 10.2%. The female labour force underutilisation rate increased 0.2 pts to 14.6%.


UNDEREMPLOYMENT RATE (TREND ESTIMATES)

MALES
The trend estimate of the underemployment rate for males fell from 5.6% in May 2001 to 5.2% in August 2002 before rising to 5.4% in May 2003. The trend then generally fell to 4.3% in May 2008 before rising to 6.3% in August 2009. The trend has since fallen to 5.3% in May 2011.

FEMALES
The trend estimate of the underemployment rate for females rose from 9.1% in May 2001 to 9.6% in February 2002. The trend then fell to 9.3% in August 2002 before rising to 9.7% in February 2004. The trend then fell to 7.8% in May 2008 before rising to 9.8% in November 2009. The trend has since fallen to 9.0% in May 2011.

Tuesday 17 May 2011

Someone forgot to tell Australia it's rooned


Oft repeated sayings sometimes have a long life because they contain an element of truth and on Friday the 13th “There are degrees of falsehood - lies, damn lies and statistics” was taken out for a spin by Mike 'Mish' Shedlock in his Howe Street (U.S.) compilation “Economic Bust in Australia:Near-Record Corporate Bankruptcies, Employment Drops Unexpectedly; Rise in Bad Home Loans;Record Low Property Transactions”.
According to Mish (artistically depicted at right) Australia is in dire straits and everyone is shortly destined for financial hell down under - but no-one has told the Oz Government or most average Aussies who think that the economy is heading in the right direction.
When you look at the numbers used by this American Chicken Little they don’t justify that scaremongering headline.
With investment advisers like Mish, perhaps Sitka Pacific Capital clients should be wary of where their money is being sent.

Pic found at Google Images

Sunday 15 May 2011

Budget Reply 2011: exposing the hollow men


The Coalition Budget Reply - old, tired and inaccurate..........

ABC TV Lateline program on 12th May 2011:

TOM IGGULDEN, REPORTER:

In the lead-up to tonight's speech, the Opposition was letting it be known Tony Abbott would be detailing new policies for small business and welfare.
He must have lost them on the walk to the chamber; there were no new initiatives, even a copy of the speech distributed to the media was a year out of date.

TONY JONES:

Well we didn't get a lot of response to the actual budget tonight in Tony Abbott's speech. So, he did talk about "forgotten families", and the Coalition's been very critical about changes to family benefits in the Swan budget. There are 1.9 million families who receive Family Tax Benefit A. Do you know how many of them Treasury estimates will lose their benefit after the changes?

ANDREW ROBB: Well as I understand it with Tamily Tax A, that almost all of those families will be affected by the decision of the Government to freeze the indexation.

TONY JONES: Well, according to Treasury, only 31,000 families will be affected by the changes.......

TONY JONES: Well in that case, do you know how many are affected by the changes, according to Treasury, in Family Tax Benefit B?

ANDREW ROBB: Well as I understand, some 44,000 families will be affected.

TONY JONES: No, it's 9,000. Apparently out of 1.6 million, 9,000 are going to be affected by the changes to family tax benefit B. Yes, 31,000 are going to be affected by changes to the other tax benefit A, and if you add them together, you get the figure you just mentioned.


Hansard transcript of Budget Reply - see Page 81.

Friday 13 May 2011

Yeah, that's the answer Uncle Joe! Put more people out of work.


Uncle Joe and The Rabbit in The Canberra Times on 11th May 2011

Now I’ve heard everything! Joe Hockey’s answer to the Australian Government’s 2011 Budget is to say tax concessions shouldn’t be taken from those rich enough to be into income splitting, family trusts and the like and other concessions and income support shouldn’t be frozen for the next four years for those singles or families earning $150,000 or more a year – instead he insists that 12,000 people should be sacked from the public service and be directed towards the dole line.
Onya, Uncle Joe. You’re the tosser giving us all a perfect example of the very class war you’re accusing the Treasurer of conducting. At least Swanee isn’t into mass layoffs to bring the federal budget into surplus.

In his call to support those earning a comfortable living, Joe ignores the fact that in August 2010 there were 9.8 million employees in this country and a good 50% of these earned less than $46,020 a year. Even if these people lived in households where their partners worked for similar wages, they would still come nowhere near having the combined incomes of Abbott & Co's newly discovered middleclass battlers. Who, incidentally, have also for many years been growing their disposable incomes at a higher rate than the less well off.
Here on the NSW North Coast it would be a safe bet to say that half of all households would have annual incomes which fall below $46,020 and a great many of these would be old age pensioners, so Hockey's plea to save the middleclass from the wicked Gillard Government falls on deaf ears in many a local home.

Here's a profile of Abbott and Hockey's 'battlers' (who appear to make up around a mere 15% of all households according to the Herald-Sun) courtesy of The Tele on 11th May and The Australian of the same day:
Family No.1 A young couple (with one small child and a high maintenance dog) whose combined incomes are more than $150,000 per year, both have successful, high-paying professional careers, own a modern McMansion in a popular suburb, with two cars in the garage as well as flashy plasma in the lounge, and yet still they loudly complain that their family income is not enough to support their preferred lifestyle.
Family No.2 A young couple (with two young children), he's in the building industry and she's an associate director in a recruitment firm, they have a combined income of around $200,000 per year, pay 18% tax, live in a decent house in an established suburb and had considered employing a nanny if the Gillard Government froze middleclass welfare rather than raising it to meet the family's expectations.
Anyone seen where I put the smallest violin in the world? I feel a sad, sad sonata coming on....

Tuesday 10 May 2011

Federal Budget 2011 Preview


The Federal Member for Page prepares the ground for tonight’s Australian Federal Government Budget Speech on ABC TV at 7.30pm

MEDIA RELEASE

Budget Preview

The Federal Budget will be brought down in Canberra tonight, and there is much speculation in the media about what might or might not be in it.

Page MP Janelle Saffin said the Budget will be well targeted to support those who need it most.

“This Budget has to address the dual challenges of lower revenues due to natural disasters and a patchwork economy where some sectors are still weak, and the price pressures caused by the massive mining boom which is gearing up again.

“The Budget will get us back in the black, get more Australians in jobs and spread the opportunities of the mining boom.

“Already we have had a number of pre-budget announcements of benefit to our region including almost $1 million extra for the Our House patient accommodation near Lismore Base Hospital. Health is always my top priority and I have been lobbying the Health Minister Nicola Roxon for health funding for our region and will be keen to see the health announcements in the Budget.

“In roads funding I can confirm that the Budget will include $62 million to start work on duplication a five-kilometre stretch of highway at Devils Pulpit State Forest (south of the Tabbimobile floodways) this financial year 2011-12.

“There is also $554.1 million in the Budget for duplicating 17.3 kilometres of the Pacific Highway between Tintenbar and Ewingsdale. This starts on the border of my electorate and will be of great interest to local motorists who regularly commute north on the highway,”

“The Budget will include $54.9 million to secure the Rural Financial Counselling Service over the next four years. I strongly lobbied Agriculture Minister Senator Joe Ludwig for this funding to continue, because of the invaluable service the Casino-based RFCS provides to farmers and rural communities in northern NSW.

“I am delighted to see that former Prisoners of War living in Page will receive a long-awaited special supplement of $500 a fortnight in recognition of their service and sacrifice in POW camps during the Second World War and the Korean War.”

Other Budget measures that will be of significant benefit to local people include the increase in the Family Tax Benefit Part A for families with teenagers.

“This is something I had lobbied for since I was first elected, because many local families were disadvantaged by the system where FTB payments were drastically cut when their son or daughter turned 16, while the costs of caring for their teenage child had not reduced.

“The changes in the Budget will mean an increase of up over $4000 for some families with 16 to 19 year olds attending school or vocational training. In Page there are about 5,900 families receiving FTB A who have children turning 16 in the next five years.

“There will be changes to the Low Income Tax Offset , increasing the proportion of the offset that is delivered in week to week pay packets from 50 to 70 per cent, so low income earners are taxed less during the year.

“This means a bit more money through the year to help with cost of living pressures, instead of waiting for it at end of financial year.

“And Budget measures for small business will include an instant tax write-off for the first $5000 of any motor vehicle purchased from 2012-13.

“The Government will continue to address skill shortages, with $281 million for additional tax free payments to encourage apprentices in critical trades to complete their qualifications.

“The $1700 Trades Apprentice Income Bonus is expected to support an extra 200,000 trade apprentices over four years in skills shortage occupations.

“This apprentice bonus scheme has been popular in the Page electorate and I am pleased to see this system of training bonuses continue to support our apprentices in completing their training.

Janelle Saffin MP
Member for Page
Tuesday 10 May, 2011

Wednesday 27 April 2011

Oi, Julia! These bees are bad news. So pull yer finga out!


In December 2010 the U.S. Government banned the import of queen bees and bee packages from Australia because it said that there was a chance of bringing bee diseases (particularly from the Asian Bee) into America.
With a display of blinding stupidity in January 2011 the Gillard Government agreed with the Asian Honeybee National Management Group that it was too hard a task to eradicate this pest bee and it would no longer try - even though these flying cane toads were still confined to North Queensland and older established bee hives were no longer being found only newer ones.
The U.S. ban is still in place and the bees have had a summer season to move into native bee territory virtually unchallenged, but now the Government is supposedly having a bit of a rethink on the subject of pest bee eradication after a Senate committee failed to support the AHNMG’s craven retreat.
Bees and honey are reliable multi-million dollar export earners for Oz or were until the former Howard Government began to mismanage biosecurity.
So it’s not time for PR spin. It’s time for eradication action.
So Jools – remember that you're Australia's number one ranga and put the toe of your prime ministerial boot up the backsides of those AHNMG wimps and make them bluddy move quickly.


Save the nation’s morning honey fix!

Tuesday 12 April 2011

NSW Northern Rivers region one of the tourism industry's solid earners


Joint media release from Federal Minister for Tourism Martin Ferguson, Justine Elliott MP for Richmond and Janelle Saffin MP for Page on 12 April 2011:

The Economic Importance of Tourism in Australia’s Regions report released today by the Federal Minister for Tourism, Martin Ferguson reveals the Northern Rivers economy is one of the largest tourism earners as well as one of the most tourism dependent regional economies in Australia.

The value of the tourism output to the Northern Rivers in 2007/08 was $1.2 billion. This was 6.1 percent of the overall output from the region, making it the fourteenth largest tourism earner and twentieth most tourism dependent region in Australia.

“Tourism is the lifeblood of many regional areas; it creates jobs where people live. Tourism is a source of employment in the Northern Rivers for many people including hospitality professionals, uni students, travellers, and older Australia’s looking for part-time employment,” said the Minister for Tourism, Martin Ferguson.

Page MP Janelle Saffin said the Northern Rivers is rightly proud of its tourism industry.

“We know regional areas see 46 cents in every dollar of tourism spending. So our local industry isn’t just important to the people who work in it – it’s important to everyone who lives here.

“Government is working across ministerial portfolios to strengthen the tourism industry. Employer Brokers is a good example, operating across the Richmond-Tweed and Clarence Valley areas. This scheme helps hotel and catering managers to find the staff they need,” Ms Saffin said.

“The Northern Rivers region has a great tourism story to tell,” said Justine Elliot MP. “We’re part of the Legendary Pacific Coast Tourism Initiative, an Australian Government TQUAL Grants project which stretches from Sydney to the Queensland border. It includes signposting, website development, branding, innovation and project management. It aims to encourage visitors to stay longer and to spend more widely across the region.”

Tourism ministers from all jurisdictions meet in Darwin later this week to discuss a two-year work program to drive greater regional tourism resilience under the National Long-Term Tourism Strategy.

The Economic Importance of Tourism in Australia’s Regions is at http://www.ret.gov.au/tourism/tra/Pages/default.aspx

Monday 4 October 2010

Gold star for the Australian economy


In coming weeks it shall be interesting to see how the Opposition's Abbott and Hockey work a negative political spin on the International Monetary Fund and the Reserve Bank of Australia's consistently positive view of the national economy.

International Monetary Fund's Australia—2010 Article IV Consultation Concluding Statement September 15, 2010:

This statement contains our preliminary policy recommendations following discussions with the Australian authorities and a range of private sector institutions. The discussions focused on the pace of exit from macro stimulus, managing the mining boom, and addressing vulnerabilities related to high household and external debt.

1. Despite growth slowing due to the global financial crisis, Australia was one of the few advanced economies to escape recession in 2009. This reflected strong demand for commodities from China, a prompt and significant macro policy response, a healthy banking sector, and a flexible exchange rate. With a mining boom now driving the recovery and dissipating spare capacity, policy stimulus is appropriately being withdrawn.
2. Australia’s growing integration with emerging Asia also underpins its favorable medium-term growth prospects. However, it brings with it vulnerabilities to which policy will need to respond. The impact on Australia’s terms of trade from industrialization and urbanization in China and the rest of emerging Asia is expected to be long lived. Careful macroeconomic management of the mining boom could permanently raise household incomes in Australia. However, shifting resources to the mining sector without giving rise to inflationary pressures will be challenging. Moreover, the growing dependence on mining may amplify the business cycle, as the economy will be more vulnerable to swings in the terms of trade.


Reserve Bank's 30 September 2010
Financial Stability Review :

The Australian financial system remains in relatively strong condition, as does the broader economy. The effects of the global crisis on the Australian economy and financial system were quite mild, and economic growth has now broadly returned to trend. This performance reflects several factors including the greater scope that existed for macroeconomic policy action in Australia to moderate the impact of the crisis, the comparatively strong balance sheets of the domestic banks in the period leading into the crisis, and the high exposure of the Australian economy to trade with the Asian region.
Indicators of the financial strength of Australian banks have generally continued to improve recently.
In aggregate, Australia’s banking system remained profitable during the crisis period, and profits have increased further in the latest half year. The flow of bad debt charges has generally peaked, while the stock of non-performing assets on banks’ balance sheets appears to be stabilising at a level that remains low in comparison with previous cyclical experience. Loan impairments and losses have been concentrated mainly in lending to businesses, particularly for commercial property. There has been some upward drift in arrears rates on the housing portfolio, though these remain fairly low overall......

The financial position of the household and business sectors in Australia remains sound. Household incomes have been growing at a solid pace and unemployment has been declining. Households continue to exhibit a somewhat more cautious approach to debt than prior to the crisis, with welcome signs that the recent housing market strength led by first-home buyers has cooled.
Notwithstanding recent cyclical variations, housing prices have shown little net change as a ratio to incomes over several years, following an earlier structural increase in this ratio associated with financial deregulation and the shift to a low inflation environment. Within the national housing market, there has been some significant regional variation, with market conditions particularly strong recently in Victoria.

In the business sector, there has been considerable deleveraging in the post-crisis period, bringing average debt-to-equity and interest-payment ratios to levels close to their lowest in three decades.
Businesses have made use of both new equity issuance and strong internal funding during this process. While this shift in business funding was in part demand-driven, there was also a notable tightening of supply in 2008 and 2009; the availability of debt funding to businesses now appears to be improving, though credit availability for some sectors, including commercial property, remains quite constrained.....

Monday 27 September 2010

That's the Ocker spirit!


"AUSTRALIANS drank less beer, smoked fewer cigarettes and left the car in the garage more often during the global financial crisis.
Figures contained in final Budget figures for the past financial year reveal the nation tightened its collective belt amid the fiscal gloom."

Seems we're a hardy lot when the chips are down according to the Final Budget Outcome 2009-10.

The Federal Treasurer is skiting that "international credit ratings agency Standard & Poor's said Australia has "exceptionally strong public sector finances even among the 'AAA' rated sovereigns" and Tony Teh Wrecker is not saying much on the subject at all.

Last Friday also saw Treasury release redacted versions of the Red Book for those interested in doing a bit of trawling:

In light of the public interest in the Incoming Government Brief for a returned Labor Government (the so-called Red Book) and consistent with the policy intent that material be published where there is a general interest in its contents, the Treasury has decided to publish the information released under the Freedom of Information Act 1982 (the Act) in relation to the Red Book. Also published is the Treasury’s brief providing an overview of the Treasury portfolio and the related support services (referred to as the administration brief).

Treasury Incoming Government Brief - Red Book - Redacted - Part 1
3,482.31kb
Treasury Incoming Government Brief - Red Book - Redacted - Part 2
3,354.36kb
Treasury Incoming Government Brief - Red Book - Redacted - Part 3
1,461.28kb
Treasury Incoming Government Brief - Red Book - Redacted - Part 4
3,805.27kb
Treasury - Administration Brief - Red Book 572.75kb

Wednesday 18 August 2010

Stimulus package debate - so who do you believe?


Still wondering if Tony Abbott and Co are right about the Rudd-Gillard Government stimulus packages?
This might assist..........

On ABC TV Q&A Opposition last night Leader Tony Abbott said this:

Well, again, it's horses for courses and don't expect miracles. Now, if spending was the sure fire answer to any problem like this, why is it that the Americans are in recession? Why is it that the British have been in a recession, because their stimulus packages were roughly the same as ours and it didn't work? What got us through the global financial crisis was not fundamentally the stimulus package. It was fundamentally the strength of our economy and I've got to say that that owes far more to the reforms of previous governments, including the Hawke Keating Government, than it does to the spending spree of the current one.

Yesterday John Quiggin also published this:

An Open Letter

We the undersigned economists are convinced by the evidence that the coordinated policies of the Australian Labor Government have prevented the Australian economy from a deep recession and prevented a massive increase in unemployment. Unlike most OECD economies we have come out of the Global Financial Crisis and the subsequent world recession with only one quarter of negative GDP growth and a smaller increase in unemployment.

We note that during a recession automatic stabilizers (increase in total unemployment benefit payments and decreased tax revenues) lead to an increased government budget deficit. In almost all the OECD countries there has been a massive increase in unemployment and in budget deficits. In Australia both have been trivial by comparison.

The Government Fiscal Stimulus package that was introduced was carefully crafted and implemented in a clever sequence. The first stage, the payment of $900 to most households, helped to boost confidence in the retail industry.

The second stage of the stimulus package (the Building Education Revolution, and the First Home Owners Grant) boosted the construction industry and created thousands of new jobs. Besides the employment effect, it also provided a much needed increase in the stock of public capital (better and greener homes, better schools) and prevented a sudden fall in house prices.

The last stage of the fiscal stimulus package (as it takes time to prepare plans etc.) was the infrastructure program that increased employment as well as increasing the stock of public capital and helping to overcome the significant short fall in Australian public infrastructure, and hence would increase future productivity, taxable capacity and the ability to repay public debt.

Just as a major corporation goes into debt to invest in its stock of capital, so does a government. Just as many householders have a debt to a bank or mortgage company, so does a government. A government has a budget deficit and a government debt, but it also has capital assets (roads, ports, better equipped schools, Broadband, etc.).

The performance of the Australian economy has been outstanding: the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Organisation for the Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) have show-cased Australia as a model economy.

We hope that the economic achievements of the Australian Labor Government will be recognized by the population.

Signed by:
P.N. (Raja) Junankar Emeritus Professor UWS, UNSW, and IZA
G. C. Harcourt Emeritus Professor UNSW and Jesus College, Cambridge
Peter Kriesler Associate Professor UNSW
John Nevile Emeritus Professor UNSW
George Argyrous Senior Lecturer University Of New South Wales
Harry Bloch Professor Curtin University
Tony Bryant Associate Professor Macquarie University
John Buchanan Director, Workplace Research Centre University of Sydney
Jerry Courvisanos Associate Professor University of Ballarat
Mamta B Chowdhury Senior Lecturer University of Western Sydney
Barrie Dyster Senior Lecturer University Of New South Wales
Corrado Di Guilmi Post Doctoral Research Fellow University of Technology
Geoff Dow Reader The University of Queensland
Steve Dowrick Professor Australian National University
Chris Evans Professor University Of New South Wales
Peter E. Earl Associate Professor University of Queensland
Craig Freedman Associate Professor Macquarie University
Giuseppe Fontana Professor of Monetary Economics LUBS - University of Leeds
James Farrell Senior Lecturer University of Western Sydney
Roy Green Dean, Faculty of Business University of Technology
Boyd Hunter Associate Professor/Senior Fellow The Australian National University
Joseph Halevi Senior Lecturer University of Sydney
Neil Hart Senior Lecturer University of Western Sydney
Sasha Holley PhD student University of Sydney
Michael Johnson Associate Professor University Of New South Wales
Steve Keen Associate Professor University of Western Sydney
Bill Lucarelli Senior Lecturer University of Western Sydney
Bruce Littleboy Senior Lecturer University of Queensland
Marc Lombard Senior Lecturer Macquarie University
Elisabetta Magnani Associate Professor University Of New South Wales
Fiona Martin Senior Lecturer University Of New South Wales
Girijasankar Mallik Senior Lecturer University of Western Sydney
Robert Marks Visiting Professor University Of New South Wales
Stephane Mahuteau Senior Lecturer Macquarie University
Eddie Oczkowski Professor Charles Sturt University
Brian Pinkstone Associate Professor University of Western Sydney
John Quiggin Australian Research Council Federation Fellow, University of Queensland
B. Bhaskara (Bill) Rao Professor University of Western Sydney
Colin Richardson Visiting Professor of Economics Imperial College, London
Tim Robinson Professor University of Technology
Frank Stilwell Professor of Political Economy University of Sydney
Ingrid Schraner Senior Lecturer University of Western Sydney
Michael Schneider Honorary Fellow. La Trobe University
Ruhul Salim Associate Professor Curtin University
Chris Terry Associate Professor University of Technology
David Throsby Professor of Economics Macquarie University
Tim Thornton Associate Lecturer La Trobe
Phillip Toner Senior Research Fellow University of Western Sydney
Roger Tonkin Lecturer Macquarie University
Sean Turnell Senior Lecturer Macquarie University
Michael White Senior Lecturer Monash university
Other Signatories
James Arvanitakis Lecturer, Centre for Cultural Research University of Western SydneyNixon Apple Industry and Economic Advisor Australian Manufacturing Workers Union
Grant Belchamber Economist ACTU
Ross Buckley Professor of International Finance Law University Of New South Wales
Brad Crofts National Economist Australian Workers' Union
Rajinder Cullinan Client Services Accountant University Of New South Wales
Sandra Egger Associate Professor Faculty of Law, University of New South Wales
Rolf Gerritsen Professor, School for Social Policy and Research Charles Darwin University
Alan Morris Senior Lecturer University Of New South Wales
George McFarlane Retired Consultant, Sanders & Associates Pty Ltd
Gillian Moon Senior Lecturer University Of New South Wales
John Milfull Emeritus Professor University Of New South Wales
J. F. Pixley Senior Research Fellow Macquarie University
Ben Spies-Butcher Lecturer Macquarie University
Peter Sheldon Associate Professor University Of New South Wales

Friday 13 August 2010

2010 Election Campaign Day 28 - Abbott puts government savings ahead of jobs


ABC TV "7.30 Report" 10th August 2010:

KERRY O'BRIEN: But you're talking about the big bang spending sprees; the big bang spending spree would have been $20 billion more than your big bang spending spree that Joe Hockey has already acknowledge a Coalition government would have spent. And in fact, if you're fair you would acknowledged that before the global crisis came along, the Rudd Government also delivered a budget that was more than $20 billion in surplus.

TONY ABBOTT: Which they did not deliver a budget. They did not deliver a budget outcome. Sure they told us ...

KERRY O'BRIEN: Because the Global Financial Crisis came along.

TONY ABBOTT: And they started spending like drunken sailors.

KERRY O'BRIEN: As you would have done.

TONY ABBOTT: And the point I make, Kerry, is that $20 billion is a very, very significant outcome.

KERRY O'BRIEN: But when you talk ...

TONY ABBOTT: And getting $20 billion off the bottom line is surely worth doing.

KERRY O'BRIEN: But when you talk about the massive amount of money overall that this country would have been in deficit - or the Government would have been in deficit - $110 billion in revenue that would have happened to you if you'd been in government, plus the $25 to $30 billion that you would have committed to a stimulus program - I mean, is that spending like a drunken - is $25 to $30 billion not spending like a drunken sailor, but $50 billion is

TONY ABBOTT: Well $25 billion! That's quite a lotta money, Kerry!

KERRY O'BRIEN: But at what point do you become a drunken sailor, is what I'm asking?

TONY ABBOTT: What I'm saying is you don't waste money, and this mob wasted ...

KERRY O'BRIEN: 200,000 unemployed.

TONY ABBOTT: ... - they wasted money. It's never right to waste money, and one of the extraordinary things is a prime minister who says a bit of waste is neither here nor there. It is always important to treat the taxpayer dollar with respect.

Tuesday 8 June 2010

No wonder the Libs like Clive!


No wonder the Ăśber Mensch of the Liberal Party like Australian mining magnate, rich listee and generous political donor Clive Palmer - he has the same take on 'truth' as Lib leader Tony Abbott.

Clive in The Bulletin on 20th May 2010:
"MINING magnate Clive Palmer will visit Central Queensland tomorrow to continue development of the Alpha coal mining project. Mr Palmer said the project will go ahead despite the Federal Government's proposal to tax the mining industry a further 40%, which he called "rubbish". He said: ''We will go ahead with that project, as finance is already approved, but any further expansion is definitely out of the question, and our other projects won't go ahead." Mr Palmer said two interstate projects, which he said could employ at least 6000 people directly, and up to 50,000 people through mining service industries, have been taken off the drawing board."

Clive in The Sydney Morning Herald on 6th June 2010:
"First out of the blocks in the race to cancel spending was Palmer, who, within days of the tax's announcement on May 2, claimed he was going to scrap exploration plans in South Australia. The problem - as Treasurer Wayne Swan quickly pointed out - was that no one in government seemed to know about the plans. ''Mr Palmer has claimed that he has scrapped a project in South Australia that neither the Federal Resources Department, nor the State Resources Department in South Australia know anything about,'' Swan said. And when it was suggested to the former staffer of Joh Bjelke Petersen that the tax might also disrupt his plans to float his privately owned empire, Palmer changed his tune. ''I don't think so....."

Clive in ABC News yesterday:
"In the heat of the public debate, Queensland billionaire and Liberal National Party (LNP) donor Clive Palmer admits he may have overstated the tax's impact on his projects in Western Australia's Pilbara region.
Mr Palmer owns one of the largest deposits of iron ore in the world, carved out in five separate projects.
The investment for the first development was secured before the super profits tax was announced.
When asked about one project Mr Palmer said was "canned", the chief geologist at Mineralogy, Mark Strizek, said the project was still going ahead.
"All approvals are done and we've also submitted the environmental approvals for the other three or four projects there, so they're all in train," he said.
Mr Palmer says he probably phrased it too strongly.
"It should have been ... slowing them down, waiting to see what happens," he said."


That Clive thinks he can tell any old tall tale is well-known, but what is not as well known is that on his personal brag page at Mineralogy he links to media articles he likes about his bankrolling of WA Lib state election campaign ads, mining expansion plans, accquistions, the sports team and anything else 'Clive' which takes his fancy. Of course what is missing from that webpage is any mention that the economy will go into free fall if the Rudd Government introduces a resources profits tax or that company expansion plans are in anyway on hold - he leaves that nonsense he spouts elsewhere well alone.

Thursday 3 June 2010

Rio Tinto releases more RSPT spin and now I'm getting annoyed


Like many other observers of the political scene, I've been waiting on Rio Tinto releasing those figures it has been proclaiming would show that the proposed Resources Super Profits Tax was really the economic ogre the Coalition and mining industry said it was.

Well the media release is out and running across the mainstream media.
But the Rio Tinto wording is rather curious.......

"Corporate taxes amounted to A$14.6 billion and royalties were A$5.7 billion in the period 2000-2009. Rio Tinto's rate of taxation over the 10 years to 2009 averaged 35.6 per cent of its earnings before tax payments in Australia."

Huh? Rio Tinto Chief Executive Tom Albanese and friends are calculating the tax rate on the mining multinational's global business enterprise, not the rate it actually pays in Australia?
A global business that earned around US$50.53 billion between 1999 to 2008 according to Rio's own 2008 financial statement and, had a combined profit after tax in 2007 & 2008 of US$12.35 billion on combined earnings of US$37.48 (before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortisation -restated) for the same two years.

Interestingly, at the time of writing Advfin Australia lists Rio's effective tax rate for the last twelve months as 26.4 per cent.

When it comes to its Australian mining interests we are told that its tax direct tax obligations were A$20.3 billion between 2000-2009 (across its 19 operating mines and smelters etc.) and that Rio Tinto has generated net profit after tax of A$37.4 billion in Australia in the 10 years to 2009.

Hold on - didn't the company write off that A$5.7 billion in royalties as business costs?

And didn't the 2007 Business Council of Australia survey also find that Taxes Collected are negative for the mining industry group because as major exporters survey participants reported a significant GST refund which more than offset other Taxes Collected?

I'm sorry Mr. Albanese, I just can't dredge up any sympathy for the mining giant you represent.
Try as I might I can find no justification for the average 35.6 per cent tax figure you complain about.

The bottom line is that I'm more inclined to believe the Federal Treasurer's estimation that; "In Australia, wholly-domestic mining companies paid an effective tax rate of only 17 per cent and multinational mining companies paid an effective tax rate of only 13 per cent".
Because these are somewhat similar percentages to those my own calculator spits out (without benefit of Shakelford and Markle).

Nor do I believe all the gloom and doom Rio Tinto predicts; with regard to this week's annual general meeting it was reported that "China's demand for iron ore, copper, coal and aluminium is expected to continue to grow over the next 15 years, after which time we expect to see increasing commodity demand from India," Mr du Plessis said. Mr Albanese said industrialisation, urbanisation and increased productivity would double demand for iron ore, aluminium and copper in that time.

In fact the longer Rio Tinto and the rest of the mining industry continue this tawdry exercise in spinning figures the more irritated I've become and, that irritation may inform my federal election vote later this year.

Australian Securities Exchange graph of Rio Tinto monthly share activity over ten years:

Sunday 30 May 2010

Australian mining industry piles on the tax distortions as it tries to win over the electorate


If one relies on media reports it would appear that the Australian mining industry might have a case against the Rudd Government's proposed Resource Super Profits Tax which is due to activate in 2012.


However, if one cares to open the media releases put out by the Mining Council of Australia the flimsy nature of arguments used by the anti-RSPT lobby begins to emerge.

To date my favourite assertion is; The super tax is, in effect, a Government-mandated sale of 40% of Australia's resources industry at a Government mandated price.
Another favourite is the statement that; For the industry as a whole in 2007-2008, ATO statistics show mining companies paid 27.8% effective corporate tax rate, which rises to 41.3% when royalties are included.
While Mining pays a higher tax rate than any other industry stands out as a blatant attempt at misdirection.

All these quotes are found in the Mineral Council's The truth about the super tax –the myths and the facts, 25 May 2010.

So let's look at the forced sale argument.
No established mining corporation is talking of selling off the parent company or subsidiaries - in the middle of a resources boom most of these companies are very profitable and likely to continue so for many years even with mooted tax reform.
The only threats being made by some mining companies is that they will reassess their scheduled mining projects in light of the proposed tax and rebate scheme.

What about that colossal corporate tax rate quoted, I hear you ask.
Well in 2007-08 there were according to the Australian Taxation Office 2007-08 statistics; 4,290 mining companies having combined incomes which totalled $160,323,192,189, which in turn had combined taxable incomes of $29,010,243,407 and net tax actually paid was $8,068,463,15 after all allowed deductions had been made.
As for royalty payments made in Australia these added up to $3,924,902,975 in 2007-08, which was a little over half of all royalty payments across all listed industries made in that financial year. (Update: A hat tip here to Peter Martin for pointing out in a recent post that mining royalties are tax deductible)

What the Tax Office also points out is the fact that of these 4,290 mining companies there were some who paid no tax at all and, these comprised 68.3% of all mining companies.
In fact the mining sector has the second-highest percentage of 'no tax paid' than any other listed industry.

How did they do that?
Well there are at least 20 deductions, rebates, concessions, exemptions, offsets etc. available to the mining industry and their combined value is literally worth billions.
The industry total for expenses claimed under R&D concessions alone was $2,508,321,897 and immediate deduction for capital expenditure $3,785,347,506, in 2007-08.

So how does the claim that the mining industry is paying a higher tax rate than any other industry fare?
Quite frankly the mining industry tax rate does not stand alone from some other listed industries in terms of comparable tax percentages to taxable income.

It is worth noting that in 2007 the Business Council of Australia in Tax Nation calculated corporate tax (as a percentage of profit) at 20% for the mining industry.
Interestingly this same document stated; Taxes Collected are negative for the mining industry group because as major exporters survey participants reported a significant GST refund which more than offset other Taxes Collected.

It is also interesting to see that the Mining Council of Australia's advertisement presently being broadcast states that the mining industry currently pays 38% tax, which is a figure significantly lower than those quoted in other council documents which had the combined company tax and royalties running at 41.3%.

Next time you see a talking head spruiking for the mining industry or catch one of the industry's televised advertisements - remember that all is not as these miners would have you believe.

Image from Mumbrella

Thursday 27 May 2010

Don't do it Swanee! Don't water down the RSPT


Here I was thinking that at last the big bloated mining companies operating in Oz might finally be made to pay a realistic tax on the huge profits they make out of a very finite resource.
Even in the middle of the global financial crisis they were all doing nicely thank you.
I switch on the radio today and find that Swan and Bowen are being tipped to back down and give in to the dishonest media campaign those same big miners are running.
Don't do it fellas - those Aussies battling their way towards retirement and facing less and less in the way of social infrastructure to help in old age are standing squarely behind this tax rearrangement.
Swanee - forget the meeja, ignore the polls, remember the people!

How some of that filthy lucre's adding up:
17 May 2010 Leighton announces third quarter profit of $400m and $37.5bn of work in hand....These are strong results for the nine months which reflect solid performances in mining and infrastructure
26 Feb 2010 ... Perilya announces net profit after tax of $28.5 million in six latest month report.
Rio Tinto's net profit after tax came to $5.43 billion in 2009
Fortescue Metals Group reported net profit after tax for the 12 months to June 30, 2009 of $626.13 million
30 June 2009 On an underlying basis, Centennial returned a record $82.0 million after-tax result.
9 September 2009 Hillgrove Resources Limited (ASX: HGO) is pleased to announce a net profit after tax (NPAT) for the six months ended 31 July 2009 of $53,973,885 (2008 6 months: $2,208,242 loss) after tax expense of $27,170,778
Industrea have announced an adjusted net profit after tax (NPAT) of $41.3 million for the 12 months to 30 June 2008, up 122% from the previous year's result
2008 Alumina Limited's net profit after tax for 2008 was $168 million...AWAC's 2008 net profit after tax was US$592 million compared to US$953 million in 2007
ERA's net profit after tax for the full year ended 31 December 2008 was a record $221.8 million, compared with $76.1 million for the same period in 2007. Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) were $318.0 million (2007: $108.0 million)

Tuesday 18 May 2010

Be afraid.......


Tony Abbott takes us back to the future in his 2010 Budget Reply.
Foreshadowing a return to Work Choices in a Mark III version.
Ever the reckless political gambler he starts his final para with the line
"The die is cast."

Sunday 2 May 2010

Henry Tax Review Final Report: overview and analysis [transcripts]


The long term tax plan we announce today will strengthen the economy and make the tax system fairer and simpler for Australian working families and businesses.
These are the first steps in a 10 year agenda that will help ensure we share prosperity fairly, maximise our opportunities, and keep Australia in the box seat as the global recovery gathers pace.
Australia faces important decisions about how we structure our tax system.
This package is carefully calibrated to make the most of the opportunities presented by commodity boom mark II, but also to address the challenges that it presents.
This is a long term plan to apply a Resource Super Profits tax to the profits earned from resources that are owned by all Australians, and use it to:
generate more superannuation savings for working families;
lower tax for all companies, especially small businesses; and
invest in our future infrastructure needs, particularly for mining states.
Excerpt from Treasurer Wayne Swan's joint press release with Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, 2 May 2010

Rudd Government's intended tax reforms outlined at Stronger-Fairer-Simpler: a tax plan for our future

Henry Tax Review Final Report:

Part 1: Overview

1.0MB

Preface

326KB

Terms of Reference

169KB

Executive summary

213KB

Chapter 1: The need for reform

240KB

Chapter 2: Designing a future tax and transfer system

223KB

Chapter 3: A tax and transfer system for the 21st century

185KB

Chapter 4: Personal taxation

214KB

Chapter 5: Investment and entity taxation

196KB

Chapter 6: Land and resources taxes

184KB

Chapter 7: Taxing consumption

169KB

Chapter 8: Enhancing social and market outcomes

212KB

Chapter 9: The transfer system

209KB

Chapter 10: Institutions, governance and administration

177KB

Chapter 11: Macroeconomic and fiscal impacts

191KB

Chapter 12: List of recommendations

295KB

Appendices

Appendix A: Acronyms

140KB

Appendix B: The Australia's Future Tax System Review Panel

165KB

Appendix C: Documents of the Review

188KB

Appendix D: Consultation

234KB

Appendix E: Research and consultancies

418KB

Appendix F: Secretariat and support

164KB

References

294KB

Glossary

293KB


Final Report: Part 2 - Detailed Analysis - Volume 1

Final Report: Part 2 - Detailed Analysis - Volume 2