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According to the latest Newspoll survey, taken exclusively for The Australian on the weekend, the ALP's primary support went up three percentage points to 36 per cent as the Coalition's crashed five points to 41 per cent - its lowest since March last year.
On a two-party-preferred basis, calculated on preference flows at the 2010 election, Labor and the Coalition are even on 50 per cent each. At the 2010 election, in which Labor lost its parliamentary majority, the two-party-preferred vote was 49.9 per cent for the Coalition and 50.1 per cent for the ALP, with the Greens on a primary vote of 11.8 per cent.
The Age 17 September 2012:
*PREFERENCES FOR AREA AND AGE WERE ALLOCATED BY HOW PREFERENCES FLOWED NATIONALLY AND BY STATE IN 2010 ELECTION. ALL FIGURES ARE IN PERCENTAGES. THE ACNIELSEN/AGE POLL IS CONDUCTED ON THE TELEPHONE NATIONWIDE. INTERVIEWS WERE CONDUCTED ON SEPTEMBER 13 - 15 WITH 1400 ELECTORS. THE MAXIMUM MARGIN OF ERROR TO APPLY TO THIS SAMPLE IS APPROXIMATELY 2.6%. UNCOMMITTED VOTERS (4%) WERE REDISTRIBUTED. FIGURES MAY NOT ADD TO 100% DUE TO ROUNDING.
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 2,077 respondents
First preference/ leaning to | Election 21 Aug 10 | 4 weeks ago 13/8/12 | 2 weeks ago 27/8/12 | Last week 3/9/12 | This week 10 Sept 2012 |
Liberal | | 46% | 46% | 44% | 44% |
National | | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6% | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% |
Labor | 38.0% | 32% | 32% | 34% | 34% |
Greens | 11.8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
Other/Independent | 6.6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
