Tuesday, 14 September 2021

Pandemic State of Play NSW September 2021: "hospital in the home"

 


News.com.au, 13 September 2021:



The wife of a Sydney man stricken with Covid-19 has given a harrowing account of how the “hospital at home” program is operating revealing her husband was told to remain at home even when he was coughing up blood.



The family, who spoke to news.com.au on the condition of anonymity, have raised serious concerns over the “call centre” approach to caring for patients which often involves call centre operators, not doctors or nurses, running through check lists of symptoms with patients.



Doctors have raised concerns about the “hospital in the home” Covid treatment system after more than 15 people died at home since August 1.



NSW has been left with little choice other than to rely on the hospital at home program after the number of Covid infected patients ballooned and the number of people in hospital and ICU continues to rise.



There are currently over 14,000 people with “active” Covid infection in NSW and the vast majority are being left alone at home to battle the illness.



In the case of the 37-year-old man whose family spoke to news.com.au, he was “fit and healthy” and had no underlying conditions.



He is incredibly fit and healthy, a rugby player, he’s very into his health and his diet and fitness and doesn’t have any pre-existing health issues,’’ his wife said.



My husband was diagnosed on September 2. He had really mild symptoms at that point. He received a text. He was told to isolate. And they told him to stay home. They said they would call him every day,’’ she said.



But he didn’t have a GP contacting him. We just had NSW Health Unit contact which was like a call centre. He never really saw a doctor at all. He did have one phone call with a doctor.”



In the first week, she said she was given a list of things that would require her husband’s case to be escalated or taken to hospital. The woman is trapped in Victoria where she was trying to help him over the phone.



If you’ve got freezing cold skin and you can’t warm up no matter what you do. If you’ve got shortness of breath, chest pain, infrequent urination, and if you’re coughing up blood. So those are the things. We felt in good hands at that point. Then, he started to deteriorate,’’ she said.



A week ago on Sunday, he started “coughing up blood and having respiratory distress”.



We monitored that overnight and on September 6, we called NSW Health to tell them that he was presenting with one of those symptoms, requiring hospitalisation along with shortness of breath,’’ the man’s wife said.



They then told us that the health advice had changed, and that that was very normal and that we should not be alarmed. And that he should continue to stay home and just take Panadol, which I thought was really striking because I don’t see how the health advice on coughing up blood could change. I could not understand it. The system was overwhelmed, struggling, I can understand that. But I don’t see why the health advice would change.



The woman said she “knew something was not right”.



We had that anxiety, we kind of knew it wasn’t right. And that’s when I called the ambulance on September 6, because the blood, it was quite a lot of blood, it’s like in his mucus, it was not just like a few droplets, the mucus that he was bringing up was entirely blood.”



At this stage, the man was home alone in an apartment with a flatmate who was also battling Covid. But the ambulance said he should still stay at home.



The ambulance arrived and did a check. They were satisfied with his vitals, at that point. And they told him to monitor the colour of his blood. So if it changed to a deep red or brown, he should call them again. So he felt quite good at that point because he’d had medical attention. NSW Health called him to follow up and said that they would have a GP contact him every day, from that point to monitor where he’s at with those systems and the colour of the blood, and his breathing.”



However, the promised daily contact from a GP never happened. The next time the man contacted his wife he was so sick he couldn’t speak.



Well, the GP, he called one time, one time was on Thursday, that’s like in four days. It was getting worse. And then on Saturday morning, my husband sent me a text message saying that he needed an ambulance. He couldn’t even speak.



So I called the ambulance and it attended, and they did an oximeter reading and took him to hospital because he did need oxygen, and they were concerned about it. They put a camera down (his throat) to check what’s going on and then they removed all the blood in his respiratory tract, and gave him three injections. They gave him one to open up his lungs. And yeah he’s receiving oxygen.



The woman said she was terrified her husband could have died at home.



BACKGROUND



Well into the second year of the global SARS-CoV-2 pandemic’s intrusion into Australia and New South Wales was at a point on 15 June 2021 of having no locally acquired COVID-19 transmission for the last 41 days and infection growth in the community had ceased.



The only COVID-19 infections within NSW were those that had come into the country from overseas and just 39 confirmed active cases from all sources remained.



By this time NSW had been vaccinating those people 16 years of age up to 90+ years since 22 February 2021.



On 16 June 2021 the Berejiklian Government became aware that the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 had entered the state and suddenly there were 4 locally acquired cases within 24 hours.



Three days later that had climbed to 10 cases, two days after that the number rose to 25 and the average growth factor of locally acquired cases was calculable again at 1.4.



In that first week the West Hoxton superspreader event had occurred and its risk disastrously underestimated by the Berejiklian Government and its advisers.



The Bereijiklian Government continued to underestimate the nature and virulence of the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 over the coming weeks until basic public health social measures, contact tracing systems and the NSW hospital system began to buckle under the the caseload numbers.



The public health system alert level turned Red on 26 June 2021 in metropolitan areas and then statewide by 17 August, where it has remained ever since.



By 12 September 2021 Covid-19 confirmed infections remained at over 1,000 recorded per day and the number hospitalised on a given day was similarly high. Deaths of those with a COVID-19 diagnosis were being announced daily.



The average growth factor of the Delta strain fluctuates weekly but never falls below 1.3.  A safe level is 1 or below for 4 or more weeks, at which point community transmission is thought to cease.



However, intransigent as ever, the Berejiklian Government, openly encouraged by Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison and in defiance of the wishes of National Cabinet, maintains its intention to open NSW borders and significantly lower public health social measures around mid-October 2021. At which time its 70% fully vaccinated 16 year-olds to 90yrs and over target is expected to be reached.



It is highly unlikely that 70% of the real NSW resident population numbering est. 8,172,500 men, women and children (ABS Dec 2020) will be fully vaccinated by mid-October this year or that viral infection growth in the community will have ceased.



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Of the 1,257 locally acquired COVID-19 cases in NSW Local Health Districts reported for the 24 hours to 8pm on Sunday 12 September 2021:



427 are from South Western Sydney LHD,

314 are from Western Sydney LHD,

181 are from Sydney LHD,

127 are from South Eastern Sydney LHD,

78 are from Nepean Blue Mountains LHD,

27 are from Illawarra Shoalhaven LHD,

22 are from Northern Sydney LHD,

18 are from Hunter New England LHD,

16 are from Central Coast LHD,

12 are from Western NSW LHD,

7 are from Far West LHD,

2 are from Southern LHD,

8 are in correctional settings,

18 cases are yet to be assigned to an LHD.



There were est. 35 public hospitals where on 12 September 2021 a combined total of 1,189 COVID-19 patients were currently admitted and est. 20 of these hospitals had a combined total of 222 infected patients in intensive care unit beds.


As at 7 September 2021 there were 3,446 people with a COVID-19 infection receiving "hospital in the home' care in New South Wales and another 445 receiving "out of hospital care".


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Sources:



Monday, 13 September 2021

Clarence Valley libraries re-open today, 13 September 2021


Welcome news for Clarence Valley local library fans! 


From today library members will once again be able to visit their local library to select books, DVDs and magazines from the shelves and book computers now libraries are no longer in Regional Lockdown. 


All Clarence Valley libraries will re-open during their normal opening hours at each location, with COVID-19 restrictions in place.


Conditions of entry:


  • Masks are mandatory 


  • Everyone will be required to QR Code or Concierge Check-in


  • Check-in Social distancing will be enforced and all visitors will be required to hand sanitise on entry and exit


  • Visitor numbers will be restricted and vary between libraries, due to social distancing requirements

   

  • Access to WiFi will be available Meeting rooms and Study rooms are open using 4sqm rule

 

  • PC bookings will be available by appointment only – 45 Minute bookings 


  • The mobile library will be open for browsing, with one person/family permitted inside at a time. 


Also, remember the eLibrary still has over 7000 eBooks, eAudiobooks, eMagazines and eMovies ready to download now, for free, on your smartphone, tablet or PC.


NSW Government DPI lease on its existing cattle tick inspection & treatment facility at Kirra in South East Queensland is currently suspended - Saffin calls for facility to remain in operation and a long-term plan to be developed to protect North Coast cattle industry

 


MICK VEITCH MLC
SHADOW MINISTER FOR AGRICULTURE
SHADOW MINISTER FOR REGIONAL NSW

JANELLE SAFFIN MP
MEMBER FOR LISMORE



NSW LABOR CALL FOR ADVISORY GROUP ON NORTH COAST TICK FACILITY



NSW Labor are calling for a regional stakeholder advisory group to be urgently formed to help develop a path forward to tackle the threat of cattle tick infestation on NSW North Coast farms.



NSW Shadow Minister for Agriculture Mick Veitch and Lismore MP Janelle Saffin are making this joint call as the NSW Government lease on the existing tick facility at Kirra in South East Queensland is currently suspended.



Mr Veitch and Ms Saffin insist until a long-term plan is agreed upon by the government to mitigate this issue, the Kirra facility must remain open and operational.



The State’s successful cattle tick program was established in 1920 in recognition of the grave threat of tick infestation for the NSW cattle industry. To not have a current management plan in place neglects the needs of many farmers on the NSW North Coast.



Mr Veitch said, “The NSW Government’s consultation on this has been woeful.



“NSW Agriculture Minister Adam Marshall needs to step in and sort out a long-term solution to an issue which puts many local farmers’ livelihoods at risk.



Ms Saffin, who has been in close consultation with Tweed Shire graziers’ regarding their concerns said, “The Government’s priority must be ensuring the community that our multi-million-dollar cattle industry is protected from threats such as this”



DATE: WEDNESDAY, 8 SEPTEMBER 2021



Sunday, 12 September 2021

NSW Berejiklian Government moves itself behind the veil in September 2021 as state pandemic numbers grow to record levels


THE THREE AMIGOS: Premier Berejiklian (left) Prime Minister Morrison (middle) & Deputy Premier Barilaro (right),
Architects of the 2021 NSW Delta Variant Outbreak
 IMAGE: The Northern Leader, 16.010.2019















By the last day of 2020 in News South Wales there were 4,739 recorded COVID-19 infections for that year and only 2,043 (or 43.11%) of these were due to community transmission. Total deaths with a COVID-19 diagnosis stood at 56 people.


However, as a state population we had cause to be cautiously optimistic.


We had weathered two ‘waves’ of the global pandemic – the initial one in March-April when the original SARS-CoV-2 virus began to spread and total cases passed the 3,000 mark and then later in June-September when the number of people falling ill began to climb again until the total reached 4,038 individuals.


Compared to other regions around the world infection numbers and the death toll was relatively low in proportion to the NSW population.


And the federal government had promised Australia a national vaccination program in early 2021 to be completed within six to eight months.


News South Wales is now in the last quarter of 2021.


The national vaccination program is still nowhere near complete – it is plagued by vaccine shortages, poor distribution planning and the Morrison Government's outright mismanagement. Lengthy wait time for vaccination appointments are still being experienced and eligibility for vaccination is problematic given children have been excluded for much of the roll out to date.


As of 9 September 2021 only est. 33% of the total population of 25.8 million men, women & children in Australia have been fully vaccinated. In New South Wales that percentage is still well below a safe level at an est. 42.11% fully vaccinated.


The highly infectious NSW Delta Variant Outbreak began on 16 June 2021 and, despite being initially told by members of the Berejiklian Government that this variant form was unlikely to make people as sick as the original SARS-CoV-2 strain, it was not long before public hospitals admissions began to steadily climb.


From 16 June to 9 September 2021 the Delta Variant has infected via community transmission 34,804 men, women and children in New South Wales and 162 of these people were dead.


Those particular deaths represent 74.31% of all COVID-19 related deaths in NSW since the SARS-CoV-2 virus first entered the state in January 2020.


Public hospitals have a combined total of over 1,000 COVID-19 inpatients occupying hospital beds on every day now and by 9 September the total number currently in intensive care units reached 205 very ill individuals.


The Berejiklian Government has been repeatedly warning the general public that we are going to see the rise in infection, hospitalization & deaths continue during September and October and, that the date or month the NSW Delta Variant Outbreak will peak is still uncertain.


Despite this scenario, on 10 September 2021 NSW Premier & Liberal MP for Willoughby Premier Gladys Berejiklian announced that the 11am daily government COVID-19 update press conference would cease from Monday 13 September 2021. Being replaced by a NSW Health video giving daily updates, on which the Premier & some of her Cabinet Ministers may appear from time to time.


The reason given for her personal absence from any future structured daily television appearance concerning the COVID-19 pandemic is that these daily press conferences prevent her "doing my job properly.


This walk away from public scrutiny and accountability for the decisions made by the premier and her ministers is worrying. 


Coming as it does on the heels of the removal of a section of the NSW Health daily online media releases after 26 August 2021 (which contained the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases who had been infectious in the community and for how long), the cessation of publication of a full list of "venues of concern" known to have been frequented by infectious individuals, combined with an obvious reluctance to mention in front of television cameras the total number of fully vaccinated NSW residents who have later contracted COVID-19 and the total deaths to date in this cohort.


That a gradual contraction of the range of statistics now included in NSW Health's daily media releases is being considered has been hinted at by the Premier in recent days and, it is possible that a daily confirmed case count will disappear by the end of the year - even though it is likely epidemic levels of confirmed cases are still being recorded each day.


Such a contraction of easily accessible pandemic information would not be for the benefit of the general public. Rather a muting of information on the status of the NSW Delta Variant Outbreak would be more likely to benefit the Morrison Government, as its MPs and senators gear up for the next federal election.


This effort to move the NSW Government behind the veil and answerable to no-one also began as the Berejiklian Government commenced a staged opening up of regional New South Wales, ahead of that 70% fully vaccinated target for those between 15 years of age and over 90 years which triggers a statewide opening that is optimistically pencilled into industry diaries for sometime in October-November this year.


In New South Wales this trigger will apparently be used independently of where other states or the national average vaccinated percentage is with regard to the 70% fully vaccinated target.


One cannot avoid a suspicion that Berejiklian may have gone into 'hiding' because she has not been quite truthful with the general public about the road this Delta Variant is expected to travel and at what speed.


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


"All of us have to start accepting that we need to live with Covid. Because Covid will be around for three or four years and it’s not practical to do everything the same [ie continue to suppress the disease]…..we have to make sure that as a government we normalise the way we do things every day…..But we also have to accept, that we all of us have to start thinking about what living with Covid really means…"  [NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian at the 11am daily government COVID-19 update press conference on 10 September 2021]


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


I want to welcome the New South Wales plan to reopen,” he said on Thursday. “This plan keeps the deal, keeps the faith with the people of Australia and the people of New South Wales, set out in the national plan.”  [Australian Prime Minister & Liberal MP for Cook in NSW, Scott Morrison on 9 September 2021 - as quoted by columnist Laura Tingle in the Financial Review, 11 September 2021]


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


A new normal Friday morning in New South Wales “living with Covid”…..



DAY 87: NSW Health data showed that, as of 8pm Friday 10 September 2021, the number of locally acquired COVID-19 infections since the 16 June beginning of the Delta Variant Outbreak in NSW now totals 36,374 people - inclusive of 170 deaths. There are currently 1,164 COVID-19 cases admitted to hospital, with 221 people in intensive care, 74 of whom require ventilation.


NSW recorded 1,599 new locally acquired cases of COVID-19 up to 8pm.


From January 2020 to 10 September 2021 the cumulative total of COVID-19 infections from all sources had reached 42,000 cases.


The deaths up to Day 87 of the NSW Delta Variant Outbreak represent 75.22% of all NSW deaths with a COVID-19 diagnosis since the pandemic first entered Australia and the state in January 2020.


According to NSW Health a cumulative total of 1,037,036 NSW residents had been fully vaccinated by 8pm on 10 September 2021 out of an est. state population (ABS Dec 2020) of 8,172,500 men, women and children. That figure reveals that only est. 12.68% of the entire NSW population was fully vaccinated. *It should be noted that a different figure and percentage might be reached using the Australian Government’s ADF managed Operation COVID Shield data for the same period.




Saturday, 11 September 2021

Tweet of the Week


 



Lede of the Week

"NSW Police have slapped former Prime Minister Tony Abbott with a $500 fine after he was photographed maskless in Manly on Wednesday.

The infringement notice was issued after he was snapped chatting with a friend at the beach by a concerned bystander who promptly took photographs and reported him to police." [news.com.au, 10 September 2021]


Cartoon of the Week


Matt Golding


Meme of the Week

 

From the Twitterverse