Thursday, 21 December 2023

About that infill re-development proposal for Yamba Hill & CBD


The General Manager

Clarence Valley Council

2 Prince St, Grafton, NSW 2460

council@clarence.nsw.gov.au


21 December 2023


COPY TO:

Cr. Peter Johnstone (Mayor)

Cr. Jeff Smith (Deputy Mayor)

Crs. Allison Whaites, Debrah Novak, Greg Clancy, Ian Tiley, Karen Toms, Steve Pickering, William Day


Dear Sir,


RE: Clarence Valley Council Draft Local Housing Strategy and Draft Affordable Housing Policy – on public exhibition until 9am Friday 22 December 2023


Draft Local Housing Strategy (final form 27 October 2023) a 158 page document and Affordable Housing Policy 2015 (final form 11 October 2023) a 7 page document, lay out Clarence Valley Council's proposal for future residential development in the upper and lower Clarence Valley.


These documents speak to using medium density infill development to more closely align urban area demographics with what local and state governments consider 'ideal'. NSW Government policy suggests that infill development can exceed surrounding building heights provided 10-15 per cent of a new building's total floor area can be considered 'affordable housing'.


When it comes to Yamba there are two infill proposals.

One for above existing shop residential flats /apartments raising an undisclosed number of commercial buildings to heights of 18 metres in the town CBD. Foreshadowing increased pressure on town parking which already frequently has cars cruising the main and side streets repeatedly trying to find a parking spot - a situation made worse by visitors in holiday periods. Added to that the street shadows cast by the raised height of buildings in a central business district where casual outdoor dining is enjoyed by residents & visitors alike. Entrance to these above shop flats/apartments will require stairs and this will potentially limit residency to those without mobility or other health issues, those who are not frail aged and perhaps not be accommodation favoured by parents with very small children.


The second infill proposal is for 152 R3 Medium Density dwellings on Yamba Hill, which after demolition of up to 70 existing houses on selected lots will see the net new infill dwellings reduced to est. 82 "Premium townhouses in desirable location near to the ocean" 12 meters in height. [Clarence Valley Council, October 2023].


The three housing types shown as examples of infill dwellings in the "Draft Local Housing Strategy" at page 42 were Dual Occupancy, Terrace Houses and Manor House which is simply a two story block of flats.

All of them shared the same features: internal staircases, common walls and an indication that there would be little to no cross ventilation into some of these dwellings. In the case of the block of flats there was no architectural feature which would lessen the heat hitting the buildings outer walls.


So many of Yamba's existing two-bedroom duplex dwellings, due to inappropriate building design & small lot size, experience both hot and cold extremes to a degree larger housing tends to avoid.


Given Australia's average air-surface temperature has increased to1.47 ± 0.24 °C since national records began in 1910 [CSIRO online, retrieved 21.12.23] and the average global temperature is 1.2°C above pre-industrial levels and expected to begin to consistently surpass 1.5°C from 2024 onwards [Hansen, James et al, November 2023,"Global Warming Acceleration"], I would have expected Council to indicate that it realises that vulnerable people are going to start dying during heat extremes in just such multiple dwelling designs it offered as examples. After all it does briefly mention under Strategic Directions, "Adapt to climate change and reduce exposure to natural hazards".


By the same token, given science has made it clear that tropical storms are now moving polewards, slowing down but growing in destructive force and are predicted to occur as Category 2 cyclones as far south as the NSW coast with Corindi Beach as the range limit [Bruy`ere, C.L. et al, Sept 2022, "Using large climate model ensembles to assess historical and future tropical cyclone activity along the Australian east coast"] it is not unreasonable to expect there would be some mention of housing designs with wind loading standards higher than 57 m/s.


As a general observation I was disappointed that the necessary broad brush approach to population demographics was not refined once specific re-development sites were outlined [See Appendix].


I suggest that Council gives serious and detailed consideration to the exacerbated climate change risks that urban areas now face and, consider amending the two documents to include ways to limit the degree to which such risks affect the built environment. Thus making it clear to all stakeholders that Council expects and will insist on a higher level of structural safety built into infill house designs and development applications.


I further suggest that Council reconsider the impact that increased building height associated with shoptop housing may have on the character of CBD streetscapes which form part of the tourist experience of Yamba and, from which local income is derived which supports the Clarence Valley regional economy bottom line.


In anticipation and appreciation of your assistance with this matter.


Sincerely,


[signature & address redacted]


Yamba NSW 2464



APPENDIX


PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION


Yamba, a coastal urban precinct covers an est.16.92km of degraded sand hills, a section of elevated coastline with unstable soils, predominately soft estuarine & ocean shore lines, drained marshland, small tidal water courses, subverted natural flood ways and, a former natural flood storage area historically used as pasture but now under development.


It is bordered by the Clarence River (north), Sullivans Road-southern limits of an established golf course (south), Pacific Ocean (east) and Oyster Channel (west).


TOWN POPULATION


As of 2022 the town's resident population is est. 6,403 persons with a population density calculated at 378.5 persons per sq.km [.id Community: Demographic Resources, "Yamba Community Profile", online version].

NOTE: Yamba's current resident population is thought to represent a little over 10 per cent of the total Clarence Valley population [Clarence Valley Council, October 2023]


The Yamba estimated resident population had remained stable at between 6,168 and 6,403 persons in the six financial years 2017 to 2022, indicating a population growth of just 235 individuals or an average population change percentage of less that one point [.id, Yamba Community Profile].


BUILT ENVIRONMENT


The built environment includes two distinct shopping precincts, a mixed light industrial estate, a marina, various forms of holiday/tourist accommodation, two hotels, two sports-based social clubs, a number of small restaurant/cafes, a cinema, a post office, two banks, two primary schools, a digital TAFE space and, approx. 3,643 dwellings with an average household size of 2.1 persons [ABS Census 2021].


PUBLIC TRANSPORT


Public transport in the town consists of 8 daily bus movements out of Yamba from Monday to Friday which follows a set route through 10 town streets. With 4 bus movements on Saturday, Sunday & public holidays.

There are 8 daily bus movements into Yamba from Monday to Friday and 4 bus movements on Saturday, Sunday and public holidays. Wait times between buses on weekdays is between an hour and a half to two hours depending on the time of day.

The bus service is supplemented by one taxi nominally operating 7 days a week from 7:30am to 10:00pm. However due to post-pandemic state-wide movement restrictions which affected the local economy this taxi service sometimes has to use the Yamba taxi to service Maclean township as well and, on occasion it is not on the road at all due to staffing issues. The one rideshare vehicle nominally operating in Yamba has restricted hours.



HOUSING


The permanently occupied residential dwellings are est. 2,783 dwellings, with the remaining 860 unoccupied residential dwellings presumably being either investment properties, second homes, deceased estates or for sale as vacant possession on Census Night.

NOTE: Holiday rental & AirBnB accommodation were excluded from the occupied residential dwelling count in Census 2021 and presumably their number can be found in the 411 dwelling difference between the occupied & unoccupied residential dwellings and the overall total of undifferentiated dwellings in the town [ABS, Yamba (NSW) 2021Census: All persons QuickStats].


By 2021 the residential housing profile was:

Separate house — 2,091

Semi-detached, row or terrace house, townhouse etc — 474

Flat or apartment —161

Other — 44. [ibid]

NOTE: An est. 71.9 per cent of all occupied residential housing had between 2 to 3 bedrooms.


Of the occupied residential dwelling an est. 69.3 per cent were owner occupied while another 27.2 per cent were occupied by persons renting their accommodation [op cit].



VACANT LAND WITHIN TOWN PRECINCTS


Within town precincts there is sufficient vacant land with residential zoning — much of it with active development consents and some of it in the process of site preparation in anticipation of subdivision & sale/lease. Included in active consents & proposed developments are medium density subdivisions and manufactured home estates.


It is currently estimated over 2,000 people will be housed in active & pending development consents should these be fully realised.


EMPLOYMENT WITHIN THE TOWN


People of workforce age comprise 56.6 per cent of the town population. In June Quarter 2023 the Maclean-Yamba-Iluka unemployment rate was 3.6 per cent in a labour force of 7,013 persons. The unemployment rate for the same quarter in Grafton was 6.4 per cent and unemployment across the entire Clarence Valley in June 2023 was 4.7 per cent.


Sectors where employment is frequently found in the town:

Cafes and Restaurants, Accommodation, Aged Care Residential Services, Primary Education, Supermarket and Grocery Stores.


CURRENT POPULATION DEMOGRAPHICS


Age groupings as a percentage of the town population:


  • 0-14 years—13% compared with Northern NSW at 16.3% & all of NSW at 18.2%;

  • 15-24 years—7.4% compared with Northern NSW at 9.7% & all of NSW at 11.8%;

  • 25-39 years—13.1% compared with Northern NSW at 14.9% & all of NSW at 21.4%;

  • 40-54 years—14.1% compared with Northern NSW at 17.7% & all of NSW at 19.1%;

  • 55-64 years—14.8% compared with Northern NSW at 14.8% & all of NSW at 11.9%;

  • 65-79 years—27.7% compared with Northern NSW at 19.9% & all of NSW at 13.1%; and

  • 80 years & older—10.0% compared with Northern NSW at 6.8% & all of NSW at 4.6%. [.id, Yamba (NSW)

    Locality snapshots]

    NOTE: An est. 37.7% of Yamba's population are between 65 to 85+ years of age. While 61.4% of those over 15 years of age are living as legally married or de facto partners.


POPULATION MOVEMENT


Total migration into the Yamba-Angourie area in 2022 & 2023 combined was est. 1,435 persons and migration out of the area was est. 941 persons, resulting in net migration of est. 494 people [.id, Angourie – Yamba: Components of population change].



PROPOSED INFILL ON YAMBA HILL


The section of Yamba Hill which Council has indicated it intends to designate as suitable for R3 medium density infill redevelopment falls with ABS SA1:10401188228 covering 0.39 sq.km with an equivalent population density of 758.9.


Council proposes to allow the demolition of approximately 70 dwellings to be replaced by 152 dwellings in the form of townhouses, with building heights of 12 metres which translate into two floors.


The net dwelling increase will be 82 newly erected dwellings and a projected increase in population on this section of Yamba Hill in the vicinity of 172 persons. Given the description of the housing types anticipated it is highly likely internal access to dwellings would involve staircases.


All newly housed persons would be able to access the direct bus route via Yamba Street. However, as there is a 1hr:30min to 2 hour wait between all weekday bus movements and 2 hour waits on weekends, anyone without access to a car would have to rely on the taxi service or walk between 320 to 800 metres downhill to Yamba Central Business District.

If on foot the return journey via Yamba Street goes from a level 9m elevation increasing by degree up to a 17m elevation near the top of that section of Yamba Hill.

Wednesday, 20 December 2023

Locums, agency staff and volunteers are the face of public hospital health care in the NSW Northern Rivers region in 2023-2024

 

Clarence Valley independent, 13 December 2023:


Staff shortages amongst doctors, nurses, and specialists on the north coast has seen the Northern NSW Local Health District spend $148 million in the 2022-2023 financial year on agency staff.....


In July 2023, The Sydney Morning Herald revealed that NSW Health was spending about $1 billion annually on temporary health workers, with $148 million spent on locum doctors who are paid up to $4000 a day, while working in under resourced regional hospitals.


Northern NSW Local Health District NNSWLHD Chief Executive, Tracey Maisey said the past few years have been challenging, navigating the COVID-19 pandemic, floods and bushfire emergencies.


Despite these challenges our staff have succeeded in delivering high quality and positive outcomes of care,” she said.


When vacancies exist, NNSWLHD engages agency medical and nursing staff to supplement the permanent workforce across the District.


The 2022 floods had a significant impact on local communities and our local workforce, and agency staff played an important role in supporting our services throughout this period.


In the 2022-23 financial year, the costs associated with our agency workforce totalled $148 million.”


The $148 million spent in the 2022-23 financial year on locum staff equates to about 13 per-cent of the Northern NSW Local Health District NNSWLHD annual budget, with more than $68 million paid in wages and $16 million spent on accommodation for these staff.....


Recruitment of staff is ongoing.


An overseas nursing recruitment program conducted earlier in 2023 is bolstering local nurse numbers, with the first of 60 new nurses already settling into their roles at hospitals across the District,” Ms Maisey said.


In partnership with our staff and expert external support we have developed a comprehensive recruitment campaign, and there are recruitment and retention incentives for critical roles.


We are supporting the retention of existing staff by assisting eligible staff on temporary contracts to transition to permanent employment and are working with our facilities to support them to improve internal recruitment processes and timeframes.


We have also increased our new graduate nursing numbers, as well as offering permanent positions rather than traditional fixed term contracts.”


The Northern NSW Local Health District board has also looked at the issue of creating a volunteer arm in its service provision and in November 2023 issued a media release which stated in part:


Northern NSW Local Health District (NNSWLHD) is calling for community members to join the Healthcare Helpers volunteer program, with a range of roles available in health facilities for 2024.


Applications are now open for volunteer roles supporting patients, visitors and healthcare staff in facilities in Tweed, Nimbin, Ballina, Lismore, Maclean, Grafton, Bonalbo, Urbenville and Kyogle.


NNSWLHD Volunteering and Fundraising Manager, Claire Quince said the volunteers support health staff and improve the experiences of patients and visitors.


After welcoming 30 new Healthcare Helpers to Lismore, Grafton and Maclean Hospitals in June this year, we are now expanding the program to the District’s other health facilities,” Ms Quince said.


In addition to meet and greet roles in hospital public areas, we are introducing companion volunteers to provide social support to patients undergoing surgical procedures, cancer treatment and dialysis rehabilitation, as well as new mothers in the maternity ward.


Our residential aged care facilities at our Multi-Purpose Services are also recruiting companion volunteers to provide social support and assist with outings for aged care residents.”

Tuesday, 19 December 2023

CLIMATE CRISIS: I don't know how many times and in how many ways governments & big business will have to be told the world had run out of time before they accept the science. A moot point because it is already too late


It is hard reading the United Nations Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Paris Agreement (COP28) final document titled "Outcome of Global Stocktake" Revised Advance Version, 13 December 2023.


It announces itself pleased that the world is on track to limit global warming to "an increase in the range of 2.1–2.8 °C with the full implementation of the latest nationally determined contributions" by the 196 parties to the 2015 Paris Agreement (COP21).


The document posits that the world has until 2050 before it needs to have completed "transitioning away from fossil fuels in energy systems" by using, among other things, "renewables, nuclear, abatement and removal technologies such as carbon capture and utilization and storage, particularly in hard-to-abate sectors, and low-carbon hydrogen production". This tool kit is expected to keep the global surface temperature of the Earth at an average1.5°C with no or limited overshoot.


The Closing Plenary Remarks of COP28 President Dr. Sultan Al Jaber were just as unrealistic:

"Excellencies, colleagues and friends. First let me say As-Salamu Alaykum … and thank you…We have travelled a long road together… in a short amount of time. Over the last two weeks, we have worked very hard to secure a better future for our people and our planet. We should be proud of our historic achievement. And the United Arab

Emirates…my country… is rightly proud of its role in helping you to move this forward.

Ladies and gentlemen, the world needed to find a new way. By following our North Star, we have found that path. We have delivered a comprehensive response to the Global Stocktake and all the other mandates. Together, we have confronted realities and we have set the world in the right direction. We have given it a robust action plan to keep 1.5 within reach. It is a plan that is led by the science. It is a balanced plan, that tackles emissions, bridges the gap on adaptation, reimagines global finance, and delivers on loss and damage. It is built on common ground. It is strengthened by inclusivity. And it is reinforced by collaboration.

It is an enhanced, balanced, but… make no mistake… historic package to accelerate climate action. It is…the UAE Consensus".....


The situation we find ourselves in is very different from the unrealistic imagining of government and industry representatives in Dubai UAE over the fourteen conference days between 30 November to 13 December 2023.



Fig. 1. Global temperature relative to 1880-1920 based on the GISS analysis.[1],[2] 













Global Warming Acceleration: El Nino Measuring Stick Looks Good

14 November 2023

James Hansen, Makiko Sato, Reto Ruedy


Abstract. Global warming is accelerating because the drive for warming, Earth’s energy imbalance, has doubled in the past decade. Measurement of the acceleration is hampered by unforced tropical (El Nino/La Nina) variability, but a good measuring stick is provided by warming between successive large El Ninos. Strengthening of the current (2023-24) El Nino has raised it to a level similar to the 1997-98 and 2015-16 El Ninos. The first six months of the current El Nino are 0.39°C warmer than the same six months of the 2015-16 El Nino, a global warming rate of 0.49°C/decade, consistent with expectation of a large acceleration of global warming. We expect the 12-month mean temperature by May 2024 to eliminate any doubt about global warming acceleration. Subsequent decline of the 12-month temperature below 1.5°C will likely be limited, confirming that the 1.5°C limit has already been passed.


Global temperature has increased 0.18°C/decade since 1970 (Fig. 1). Temperature prior to the current El Nino was ~1.2°C above the preindustrial level (taken to be the 1880-1920 average, the earliest period with reasonable global coverage of instrumental measurements). The goal of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change[3] and the Paris Agreement[4] is for the rate of warming to slow down so that global warming stabilizes at a level of 1.5°C or less. We find,[5] on the contrary, that global warming post-2010 must be in an accelerated warming phase, based on a large increase in Earth’s energy imbalance, which is the immediate drive for global temperature change. We project an acceleration of the post-2010 warming rate by 50-100 percent (yellow area in Fig. 1). Thus, global temperature is now accelerating past 1.5°C and it could reach 2°C in the 2030s, barring purposeful actions to reduce or reverse Earth’s energy imbalance.

Acceleration of global warming has been hidden so far by the large natural variability of global temperature, especially because of the unusual 3-year period of strong La Ninas that ended this year. If we wait long enough, say another decade, the changed trend will be obvious, but we need to understand the situation sooner. We will argue elsewhere[6] that actions to cool the planet should be taken within less than a decade if we are to have a good chance of avoiding polar climate change amplifications that would be difficult, if not impossible, to reverse.....

[my yellow highlighting]


Read the full paper at:

https://mailchi.mp/caa/global-warming-acceleration-el-nino-measuring-stick-looks-good?e=[UNIQID] 


Monday, 18 December 2023

Representatives of national governments and industry representatives have flown out of the United Arab Emirates safe in the knowledge that they can do as they please while Earth continues to overheat towards the point of global extinctions

 

Suggested reading.....


United Nations COP28, First... by clarencegirl

 

This document apparently caused a round of self-congratulatory clapping at the conclusion of COP28. 

As the following excerpts indicate government representatives and industry lobbyists has gone home having given themselves permission to do as they please.


18. Acknowledges that significant collective progress towards the Paris Agreement temperature goal has been made, from an expected global temperature increase of 4 °C according to some projections prior to the adoption of the Agreement to an increase in the range of 2.1–2.8 °C with the full implementation of the latest nationally determined contributions;....


28. Further recognizes the need for deep, rapid and sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions in line with 1.5 °C pathways and calls on Parties to contribute to the following global efforts, in a nationally determined manner, taking into account the Paris Agreement and their different national circumstances, pathways and approaches:


(a) Tripling renewable energy capacity globally and doubling the global average annual rate of energy efficiency improvements by 2030;


(b) Accelerating efforts towards the phase-down of unabated coal power;


(c) Accelerating efforts globally towards net zero emission energy systems, utilizing zero- and low-carbon fuels well before or by around mid-century;


(d) Transitioning away from fossil fuels in energy systems, in a just, orderly and equitable manner, accelerating action in this critical decade, so as to achieve net zero by 2050 in keeping with the science;


(e) Accelerating zero- and low-emission technologies, including, inter alia, renewables, nuclear, abatement and removal technologies such as carbon capture and utilization and storage, particularly in hard-to-abate sectors, and low-carbon hydrogen production;


(f) Accelerating and substantially reducing non-carbon-dioxide emissions globally, including in particular methane emissions by 2030;


(g) Accelerating the reduction of emissions from road transport on a range of pathways, including through development of infrastructure and rapid deployment of zero and low-emission vehicles;


(h) Phasing out inefficient fossil fuel subsidies that do not address energy poverty or just transitions, as soon as possible;


29. Recognizes that transitional fuels can play a role in facilitating the energy transition while ensuring energy security;..... 

[my yellow highlighting]


Sunday, 17 December 2023

NSW Knitting Nannas staying the course in the face of burdensome state anti-protest laws

 

The Knitting Nannas are to be admired for their sheer tenacity & commitment to non-violent protest


 

Environmental Defenders Office, News, 13 December 2023:




Supreme Court rules parts of NSW anti-protest laws are unconstitutional



Parts of harsh anti-protest laws passed in NSW last year have been found to be unconstitutional after a legal challenge by two Knitting Nannas protesters who argued they impermissibly burdened the implied freedom of political communication. [1]


Two Knitting Nannas, Helen Kvelde and Dominique Jacobs, took legal action to defend the right to protest in October 2022, after the NSW Government passed new laws following a series of climate-related demonstrations.


On behalf of Helen and Dom, the Environmental Defenders Office launched a constitutional challenge to s 214A of the Crimes Act 1900 that criminalised certain conduct such as remaining “near” any part of a “major facility” (such as Martin Place Station) if that conduct “causes persons attempting to use the major facility to be redirected”, on the basis it impermissibly burdens the implied freedom of political communication.


The Nannas also asked the court to find the amendments to the Roads Regulation 2018 that altered the definition of “major bridge, tunnel or road” under s 144G of the Roads Act 1993 beyond regulation-making power and therefore invalid.


Today, the Supreme Court upheld parts of the constitutional challenge, declaring parts of s 214A of the Crimes Act are invalid because they infringe on the implied freedom of political communication. However, the court found the amendments to the Roads Regulation 2018 valid.


In delivering his reasons Justice Walton said: “Section 214A imposes an unjustified burden on the implied freedom to communicate on governmental and political matters, which is an indispensable incident of the constitutionally prescribed system of government … [this] conclusion concerns the provision of subs 214A (1) (c) (vis-a-vis the partial closure of major facilities) and subs 214A(1)(d) which thereby renders those subsections invalid.”


Helen Kvelde said: “We are happy the court has given some acknowledgement to the democratic right to protest.


“But these laws to me feel like a distraction. As if both Labor and the Liberal Party are trying to get the population angry with protesters instead of angry against politicians for failing to protect us from climate emergency.


“I’m not sure what we can do next, but it doesn’t feel right to just let this go. We need to fight for our democratic right to protest peacefully. I wish people would understand that ultimately these laws could affect anyone – anyone the government of the day does not like.”



REFERENCES


[1] Kvelde v State of New South Wales [2023] NSWSC 1560


Grata Fund supports people and communities to hold powerful government and corporate leaders to account and achieve systemic change through the courts. Grata has provided financial backing to remove the barriers of adverse costs to this important piece of public interest litigation.


Saturday, 16 December 2023

Cartoon of the Week


John Shakespeare


Tweet of the Week *WARNING GRAPHIC CONTENT*