Monday, 8 April 2019
51st losing Newspoll in a row for Australian Liberal-Nationals Coalition Government
The losing
streak is not yet over for the Morrison
Government.
The last time
the Coalition were ahead on a Newspoll Two Party Preferred (TPP) basis
was on 2 July 2016 when the Turnbull Government stood at 50.5 per cent on the
day of the 2016 federal election.
Which means the
losing streak has now stretched to 33 months.
51st Newpoll results
– 7 April 2019:
Primary Vote – Labor 37 percent (down 2
points) to Liberal-Nationals 38 per cent (up 2 points), The Greens 9 per cent
(unchanged), One Nation 6 per cent (down 1 point).
Two Party Preferred
(TPP) - Labor 52
per cent (down 1 point) to Liberal-Nationals Coalition 47 per cent (up 1 point).
Voter Net Satisfaction
With Leaders’ Performance –
Prime Minister Scott Morrison 2 points and Opposition Leader Bill Shorten -14
points.
If
a federal election had been held on 7 April 2019 based of the preference flow
in July 2016, then Labor would have won government with a majority 82 seats
(down 2 seats since March poll) to the Coalition's 63 seats (up 4 seats since
March poll) in the House of Representatives.
In Page the current odds are Labor $1.64
Coalition $2.05 Greens $31.00, in Richmond
Labor $1.05 Coalition $7.50 Greens $31.00, and in Cowper Independent $1.72 Coalition $1.93 Labor $21.00 Greens $51.00.
UPDATE
According to
Antony Green’s Swing
Calculator Newspoll
results for 4-7 April 2019 mean that the electorates of Page and Richmond will
both have Labor MPs while Cowper will have a Nationals MP after the May federal
election.
The IPSOS
poll of 3-5 April 2019 produces the same results.
Labels:
Australia,
elections 2019,
poll,
statistics
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