According to Antony Green's Swing Calculator the 27-28 April 2019 Newspoll results will see the Nationals retain the Page and Cowper electorates and Labor retain the Richmond electorate.
Monday, 29 April 2019
Only 19 days out from the 2019 federal election and Newspoll results tighten
Only 19 days out from the 2019 federal election and the losing streak is
not yet over for the Morrison Government.
The last time the Coalition were ahead on a Newspoll Two
Party Preferred (TPP) basis was on 2 July 2016 when the Turnbull
Government stood at 50.5 per cent on the day of the 2016 federal election.
Which means the losing streak has now stretched to just under 34 months.
53rd Newpoll results – published 29 April 2019:
Primary Vote – Labor 37 percent (down 2 points) to Liberal-Nationals 38 per
cent (down 1 point), The Greens 9 per cent (unchanged), One Nation 4 per cent
(unchanged).
Two Party Preferred (TPP) - Labor 51 per cent (down 1 point) to Liberal-Nationals Coalition
49 per cent (up 1 point).
Voter Net Satisfaction With Leaders’ Performance – Prime Minister Scott Morrison
-1 point (down 1 point) and Opposition Leader Bill Shorten -12 points (up 2
points).
If a federal election had been held on 29 April 2019 based of the
preference flow in July 2016, then Labor would have won government with a
majority 77 seats (down 5 seats since 16 April poll ) to the Coalition's 68 seats
(up 5 seats since 16 April poll) in the House of Representatives.
According to Antony Green's Swing Calculator the 27-28 April 2019 Newspoll results will see the Nationals retain the Page and Cowper electorates and Labor retain the Richmond electorate.
In other words the
status quo is predicted to remain for another three years – the Nationals
having held Page since 2013 and Cowper since 2001. Labor has held Richmond since
2004.
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