Showing posts with label Delta variant. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Delta variant. Show all posts

Tuesday 30 November 2021

COVID-19 Delta & Omicron State of Play: Morrison goes to battle against any threat to his plan to throw open Australia before the 2022 federal election campaign

 

IMAGE: Courier Mail, 29 November 2021















Genomic testing has confirmed two more overseas travellers, who recently arrived in New South Wales, have been infected with the Sars-CoV-2 Omicron variant of concern. The total number of confirmed cases of Omicron Variant infection is now four individuals in this state within two days.


The Omicron Variant first entered NSW when two infected individuals flew into Sydney International Airport on Qatar Airways QR908, Doha to Sydney, at 7:06 pm on 27 November 2021, after travelling from an unspecified country or countries in southern Africa. Both people had previously been fully vaccinated against COVID-19.


The second two infected people arrived on Singapore Airlines SQ 211 at Sydney International Airport at 9:20pm on 28 November 2021 – after travelling through an unspecified country or countries in southern Africa.


A fifth individual infected with the Omicron Variant had flown into Darwin Airport from Johannesburg, South Africa on 25 November 2021, presumably on a Qantas international flight.


All five people were taken into quarantine – four at Special Health Accommodation in the Sydney area and one at the Centre for National Resilience in the Darwin area.


Out of the 11 SARS-CoV-2 variants being monitored, to date Australia has only reported 5 surfacing in this country:

B.1.1.7 (Alpha ) B.1.351 ( Beta) P.1 (Gamma ) B.1.617.2 (Delta) B.1.1.529 (Omicron). Only Delta and Omicron remain cause for concern.


As yet little is known about the Omicron Variant's reproduction rate, incubation period, or the level of illness it is likely to cause those it infects. 


Australian Prime Minister & Liberal MP for Cook Scott Morrison states he plans to call a meeting of state and territory leaders today or tomorrow to discuss how to respond to the Omicron variant, but it is "too early" to make decisions about reinstating quarantine before Christmas.


I rather think there will be a mixed reaction from States and Territories to his urging them to rigidly adhere to his own reopening timetable for internal & international borders, as well as for lessening of public health measures and the cessation of hotel quarantine.


Only Queensland & the Northern Territory have the luxury of a basic quarantine station each. For the remaining states and territory it’s hotel or home quarantine, with the difficulties these bring.


In fact, NSW was still using the COVID-19 hotel quarantine system from 21 to 27 November 2021 and, is hardly likely to feel comfortable with home quarantine until it knows more about the virulence and transmissibility levels of Omicron.


Australian Dept. Of Health table showing the number of cases (predominately involving Delta Variant) and source of infection between 22 November and 28 November 2021:






Sunday 19 September 2021

COVID-19 virus fragments detected in sewerage treatment plants at East Lismore, South Lismore and Byron Bay

 


NSW Health, media release, 18 September 2021:


Northern NSW Local Health District is urging people in the Lismore City and Byron Bay areas to get tested for COVID-19, after fragments of the virus were detected in samples from the East Lismore, South Lismore and Byron Bay sewage treatment plants.


The samples were collected on 15 September in East and South Lismore and 16 September in Byron Bay. The East Lismore treatment plant serves about 17,000 people, the South Lismore treatment plant serves about 15,500 people and the Byron Bay treatment plant serves around 9,000 people.


While there are no new confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Northern NSW Local Health District, these new detections are concerning and follow a detection at the Wardell treatment plant on 14 September.


Detections could indicate there are positive cases in the community who have not been tested. Detections can also be due to shedding of the virus by someone who may have previously had the illness and may no longer be infectious.


The detection could be due to someone in the area or someone who has since left the area, but we need everyone to remain vigilant and get tested at the first sign of even mild symptoms.....


Friday 23 July 2021

In NSW the COVID-19 community transmission count & hospital admissions grow in this highly infectious Delta Variant Outbreak

 



Scanning electron microscopic image of a cell infected with SARS-COV-2 virus particles, shown in yellow. IMAGE: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)

 

According to NSW Health data the number of community transmitted COVID-19 infections since the beginning of the Delta Variant Outbreak now stands at 1,652 men, women and children including 5 deaths as of 8pm on 21 July 2021


Those five deaths represent est. 8% of all COVID-19 deaths which occurred in the New South Wales population.


It only took the virus until Day 36 of this variant outbreak to infect 1,652 NSW residents. In 2020 the original COVID-19 virus took until about Day 214 to reach that level of cumulative community infection in the state.


Between 4-10 July 2021 a total of 97% of all COVID-19 infections had been contracted by community transmission - as opposed to 52% in the second half of 2020. 


From 12 June to 10 July 2021, 100% of locally acquired cases were genome sequenced and found to be the Delta variant of concern and 51% of overseas acquired cases were identified as having COVID-19 variants of concern Alpha (B.1.1.7), Beta (B.1.351), Gamma (P.1) and Delta/Kappa (B.1.617)]. 


As of 21 July this year, est. 44% of the state's total locally acquired COVID-19 infections since the pandemic began occurred in the last 36 days. 


According to a news report, on Wednesday 21 July 2021 there were 106 people being treated for this virus in hospital, an increase of 11 from Tuesday. Some 23 of these are patients have been placed in intensive care and 11 of these are being ventilated.


The Delta Variant Outbreak has now spread to regional/rural New South Wales and as of 12.01am on 21 July, an est. 60,342 people across Orange City, Blayney and Cabonne local government areas are under a stay-at-home public health order until 28 July 2021.

 

According to a 19 July 2021 Northern NSW Local Health District media release more than 40 close contacts of 2 infectious people who travelled through Chinderah near Murwillumbah on 13-14 July have been placed in 14-day home isolation.


UPDATE: By 8pm on 22 July 2021 the total number of locally acquired infections since the start of the Delta Variant Outbreak in NSW has reached 1,788 cases, including 6 deaths. The NSW Premier announced a State of Emergency will be declared.


NOTE:


All weekly epidemiological reports issued by NSW Health have a time lag of around 6-8 days before publication, however these reports possibly allow for a clearer understanding of how this outbreak is progressing.







NSW Health daily media releases giving overnight breakdowns of new infections can be found here:


SARS-CoV-2
IMAGE: NIAID



Monday 19 July 2021

Sometimes it feels like New South Wales and the rest of Australia is on a COVID-19 negative feedback loop


These days when I wake I am tempted not to immediately look at the bedside clock to check the time but instead to inspect the flashing date on its digital face to confirm which year I’m starting the day in.


And it’s because of little snippets of fact like these…...


In January 2020 the global COVID-19 pandemic quietly entered Australia and the state of New South Wales. However it wasn’t until February 2020 that it became obvious that the virus had firmly established itself here.


That month NSW had an unemployment rate of 4.9% (in original terms) representing est. 215,100 people with no paid employment – an increase of 10,100 on January’s unemployment numbers. 


By July 2020 the unemployment rate had risen to 7.1% when the number of individuals without a job had grown to 222,900. By which time 3,567 NSW residents had contracted COVID-19 and 51 of those people had died.


In June 2021 the highly infectious Delta variant of COVID-19 was confirmed as having entered Australia and New South Wales.


That month NSW had an unemployment rate of 5.0% representing est. 218,900 people without paid employment and, the state cumulative COVID-19 case total had reached 5,637 and 56 people had died of the infection.


So New South Wales ended the month which saw the beginning of the Delta Variant Outbreak with a higher unemployment rate and more unemployed people than it had at the end of the month when the original COVID-19 outbreak began to make itself felt


As yet there is no ABS Labour Force data compiled for July 2021, but sadly the growing  infection numbers are available on a daily basis - as of 18 July 2021 the NSW total of cumulative COVID-19 cases since the pandemic began was 6,753 people infected and 60 of that number dead from this viral disease.


I keep looking for the healthy communities and strong economies Prime Minister Scott Morrison has been boasting about since February 2021. Because, right this minute, it feels as though Australia has been catapulted back to the start of this long climb out of a pandemic and, the new 16 June 2021 starting point began with a national cumulative total of 30,291 COVID-19 cases and 910 deaths. 


Nationally the country may have ended June 2021 with a unemployment rate 0.7% lower (in original terms) than the rate in February 2020, but it is such a meagre step forward - given the east coast of mainland Australia is currently fighting a widening Delta variant viral outbreak which threatens to increase the number of people who are out of work for months to come.


Tuesday 13 July 2021

COVID-19 State of Play: Progression of NSW Delta Variant Outbreak up to 12 July 2021


NSW Health, media release, 12 July 2021











Sometime between 17-18 June 2021 it is highly likely that it became obvious to state authorities that the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 which causes a highly infectious form of COVID-19 was now loose in New South Wales.


At that point the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases in the state stood at 5,442 people, including interstate residents in NSW health facilities.


On 26 June 2021 the Berejiklian Government issued public health orders - eventually locking down Greater Sydney, Blue Mountains, Wollongong, Shell Harbour and the Central Coast.


By 8pm on Sunday 11 July 2021 the percentage of COVID-19 infections acquired in the community had grown to est. 92% of all confirmed new cases from all infection sources recorded since the Delta variant outbreak began in the state.












"NORMAN SWAN: This graph tells the story. The number of people who have been infectious while in the community keeps rising - day in, day out." [ABC “7.30” program, 12 July 2021]


To date there has only been one confirmed death in New South Wales due to COVID-19 infection since the new outbreak began on 17 June 2021.


NOTE:

See "2021 media releases from NSW Health" at

https://www.health.nsw.gov.au/news/Pages/2021-nsw-health.aspx 



UPDATE


NSW Healthmedia release, 13 July 2021




 

Sunday 11 July 2021

New South Wales - keeping on top of the pandemic one month, right back where we started from the next





9News, 10 July 2021:


New South Wales has recorded 50 new cases of COVID-19 since yesterday, breaking yesterday's record for the highest number of daily cases since April last year.


Of these locally acquired cases, 37 are linked to a known case or cluster, 14 are household contacts and 23 are close contacts. The source of infection for 13 cases remains under investigation.


Premier Gladys Berejiklian has called on more people to come forward for testing after 42,000 people were tested for COVID-19 in the last 24 hours.


The number of people hospitalised with COVID-19 has grown again overnight with a teenager also now being treated in ICU.


Of today's 50 cases, more than half were in the community while infectious.


"That is the number we need to get down to as close to zero as possible," Ms Berejiklian said.....



UPDATE



Sadly, a woman in her 90s from south west Sydney died yesterday at Liverpool Hospital. She was a close contact of a locally acquired case and was tested for COVID-19 on Friday, returning a positive result early yesterday morning.



9News, 11 July 2021:


New South Wales reported 77 new locally acquired cases of COVID-19, including 55 linked to previously confirmed cases, and one death on Sunday in the 24 hours to 8 pm on Saturday. This is the highest single-day increase of cases in the state since Bondi's cluster outbreak began in June. All of Greater Sydney, including Wollongong, Central Coast and the Blue Mountains entered a two-week lockdown on June 26 that will remain until 12:01 am on July 17..... 


Ms Berejiklian and Dr Chant again urged people not to mix with other family members from separate households. More than 50 of today's new infections close family members of previous cases. "When you get COVID, unfortunately those most impacted are those closest to you," she said. Dr Chant said that the "vast majority" of the new reported cases live in the south-west Sydney region - a number that is "extraordinarily high". "We know transmission is going through households, from household to household. And it's impacting on other close friends and work colleagues," she said.....




Friday 2 July 2021

Prime Minister Scott Morrison caught out in yet another lie about Australia's closed national border


Australia's borders were slammed shut in March last year as the coronavirus spread across the world, with the federal government trying to take advantage of the nation's island geography to safeguard it from the worst of the deadly virus. In an interview with News Corp, Mr Morrison said he did not believe Australians had an "appetite" for opening borders if it meant having to deal with more coronavirus outbreaks, lockdowns and social restrictions. "We have to be careful not to exchange that way of life for what everyone else has," he said. In a later post on Facebook, he warned borders would only be opened "when it is safe to do so". [ABC News, 9 May 2021]


The Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade has revealed more than 36,000 Australians remain stranded overseas with 4,860 considered vulnerable.…...In September, Prime Minister Scott Morrison promised to get as many people as possible on the list home by Christmas.” [AAP General News Wire, 24 March 2021]


If one reads the aforementioned quotes it would seem that Australia has had an all but impenetrable border since the COVID-19 global pandemic began and, that Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison has made it his priority to repatriate his fellow citizens stranded overseas by travel restrictions.


Then as the country braces for what is feared will be a widespread outbreak of a highly infectious SARS-Cov-2 variant*, this appears in the media - revealing that after being thwarted by the National Cabinet in his desire to open the national border at the earliest opportunity Morrison then found an underhand way of doing so. 


Note: * the Delta variant of SARS-Cov-2 which causes a highly infectious form of COVID-19 came into this country via an infected overseas traveller.



The Sydney Morning Herald, 1 July 2021, excerpt:


The data obtained by the Herald and The Age is collated from incoming passenger cards and is designed to capture the main reason for the journey for both visitors arriving and residents returning to Australia. The government publishes the data online.


During April, 2226 cards listed the passengers’ reason for arriving as “business, conferences or exhibitions”.


In the same month, 8067 cards listed “visiting family or friends” and “taking a holiday” as the reason for travel. The number was down from its peak last December when there were 10,536 arrivals for those reasons in the lead up to the Christmas holidays.


Employment was given as the reason for 5200 passenger movements while 817 of the April arrivals were for education.


Seventy two people were “attending a conference” in April – marking 533 total trips for conferences made since July last year.


The Herald excluded travellers from New Zealand from the statistics, which accounted for many of the 53,872 arrivals recorded in April…..


It was revealed by the Queensland government that its latest outbreak spawned from an unvaccinated traveller allowed to “come and go repeatedly” between Australia and Indonesia, doing multiple stints in hotel quarantine.


Meanwhile, in South Australia, the ABC reported authorities allowed a family to fly in from Indonesia on a privately funded medevac flight after testing positive for the highly infectious Delta strain.


The data shows 2400 arrivals were citizens of the UK, 1900 were citizens of China, 1400 were citizens of India and 1100 were US citizens.


Thousands of people are being allowed to travel here who are not stranded Aussies,” Mr Miles said.


In addition to the non-Australians returning, every month about 40,000 Australian citizens and about 6000 permanent visa holders are allowed to leave the country.


Many of them seek to return. Rejoining the queue, going back through hotel quarantine, putting our community at risk.”


However, Home Affairs Minister Karen Andrews accused the Queensland government of misrepresenting the data.


The data from the Australian Border Force sets out very clearly that, on average, 80 per cent of returning travellers to Australia are either Australian citizens, permanent residents, or immediate family members,” she said.


She said Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk was “arguing against her own travel to Tokyo” to attend the Olympics.


In response to questions about the infected traveller from Indonesia, Ms Andrews said the government was “going through a process of looking at” exemptions allowing people to make multiple trips despite the border closures.


However, she did not believe it was necessary to lower caps on overseas arrivals.


It’s one of the issues that we have to deal with now, which is dealing with specific needs of our economy while at the same time making sure that we are able to bring in as many vulnerable people and return as many Australians as we possibly can,” she said.


According to the Australian Border Force, between March 2020 and the end of May this year, 156,507 Australian citizens and permanent residents were granted exemptions to depart Australia, while 84,031 requests were denied.


Over the same period 49,017 foreign nationals were granted an exemption to travel into Australia and 104,507 had their request denied.


More than half of these approvals were for those proving a critical skill to Australia,” a Border Force spokesperson said.


A request may cover more than one person and individual travellers may have made multiple requests.







ABC News, 1 July 2021:


West Australian Premier Mark McGowan has expressed his anger at the "large group of people" leaving Australia during the pandemic to travel overseas, some of whom he said had been enjoying foreign holidays.


Mr McGowan said 82 people had been on four overseas trips, while eight people had left five times and two people six times.


"In other words, there's a large group of people who have been overseas on multiple occasions. And every time they go overseas, they increase the risk," he said.


The Premier said many of those trips were unnecessary, and allowing people to go overseas was "the biggest [COVID] threat vector" Australia faced.


"People book a conference in Europe, and then have a holiday while they're over there, and then come back and join the queue," Mr McGowan said.


"It's just not right. We need to crack down on this."


He said it was time to limit the number of people allowed to travel internationally.


"I actually think there is a strong argument that before anyone can go overseas, they should be vaccinated, and then we should actually crack down hugely on the number of people allowed to go overseas."