Showing posts with label Omicron Variant. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Omicron Variant. Show all posts

Wednesday, 20 July 2022

State of Play in New South Wales on Monday, 18 July 2022 in Year 3 of the COVID-19 pandemic

 

New South Wales



According to the latest published data at time of posting, as at 4pm on Monday 18 July 2022 there were 141,747 active COVID-19 cases across the state, with 13,544 of these being newly confirmed cases in the previous 24 hours and of whom 441 lived in the 7 local local government areas of Northern NSW.


A total of 26 people died from COVID-19 disease across the state in that same 24 hour reporting period.


Total COVID-19 deaths since the start of the pandemic within NSW now stands at est. 3,853 men & women.


2,205 confirmed cases of COVID-19 were currently hospitalised, with 60 in intensive care of which 13 required ventilation.


As at 11 July 2022 an est. 47,895 people were being self-managed or cared for by household members. It is possibly that on 18 July that number was significantly higher.


On the same day NSW Health listed 2,507 health care workers as being in COVID-19 isolation.


Additionally, in the first 17 days of July 8,776 people in NSW had been diagnosed with Influenza.


On 13 July 2022 in 10 of the 15 local health districts across NSW an est. 20% of hospitalisation capacity was being used by COVID-19 patients and the public health system stress alert indicator was:



Australia-wide



As at 18 July 2022 there were est. 341,204 active COVID-19 cases across the country, with 39,046 being newly confirmed cases in the previous 24 hours.


An est. 30 people died from COVID-19 disease across the country in that same 24 hour reporting period, with another est. 75 deaths recorded up to 4.30pm the next day, 19 July 2022.


Total deaths from COVID-19 since 25 January 2020 now stand at 10,719 men and women, with the majority being 70 years of age and older at time of death.


5,001 confirmed cases of COVID-19 were currently hospitalised across the country, with 155 patients in intensive care of which an unknown number required ventilation.


Additionally, in the fortnight up to 3 July 2022 a total of 187,431 people across the Australia had been diagnosed with Influenza.


SOURCES


NSW:

https://www.health.nsw.gov.au/Infectious/covid-19/Pages/default.aspx

https://aci.health.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0003/735267/20220713-COVID-19-Risk-Monitoring-Dashboard.pdf

https://www1.health.nsw.gov.au/IDD/#/FLU/period/%257B%2522prDisease%2522%253A%2522FLU%2522%252C%2522prLHD%2522%253A%2522X700%252CX710%252CX720%252CX730%2


Australia:

https://www.health.gov.au/health-alerts/covid-19/case-numbers-and-statistics

https://covidlive.com.au/



Sunday, 19 June 2022

Under reporting of COVID-19 cases in New South Wales is now a sick joke being played on the population



As of 4pm on Friday, 17 June 2022, Australia-wide there were est. 208,173 active cases of COVID-19 recorded by the Australian Government Dept. Of Health.


Of these, 30,302 confirmed cases had been reported in the prior 24 hours.


A total of 2,817 cases were currently hospitalised on 17 June, with 93 in intensive care units and of these 30 people requiring ventilation.


In the 24 hours to 4pm on 17 June 51 people had died as a result of contracting COVID19. As government agencies do not update on weekends it is noted that covidlive.com.au reported a further 64 deaths on Saturday 18 June.


In New South Wales up 4pm on Friday 14 June 2022 there were 85,386 active cases of COVID-19 and in the 24 hours up to 4pm 17 June there were 8,119 newly confirmed COVID-19 cases.


A total of 1,344 cases were currently hospitalised on 17 June, with 45 in intensive care units and of these 18 requiring ventilation.


In the 24 hours to 4pm on Friday, 17 June 25 people had died as a result of contracting COVID-19.


Since the SARS-CoV-2/Covid-19 pandemic first entered Australia and NSW in late January 2020, NSW Health has recorded a total 2,704,725 confirmed cases of COVID-19 – a conservative figure given the ongoing under reporting of infection numbers – and 3,387 deaths.


The seven local government areas in the NSW Northern Rivers region recorded the following newly confirmed COVID-19 case numbers as at 4pm on Friday, 17 June 2022:


Tweed Shiredetails not available

Ballina Shiredetails not available

Byron Shiredetails not available

Lismore Citydetails not available

Richmond Valleydetails not available

Clarence Valleydetails not available

Kyogle Shiredetails not available


TOTAL 242 cases – 77 confirmed as positive by Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) tests & 165 confirmed positive by Rapid Antigen Tests (RATs).


In the four weeks to 17 June 2022 the seven local government areas in the NSW Northern Rivers region recorded the following number of confirmed COVID-19 cases:


Tweed Shire443 cases confirmed by PCR tests. All cases confirmed by RATs excluded from the count;

Ballina Shire250 cases confirmed by PCR tests. All cases confirmed by RATs excluded from the count;

Byron Shire104 cases confirmed by PCR tests. All cases confirmed by RATs excluded from the count;

Lismore City167 cases confirmed by PCR tests. All cases confirmed by RATs excluded from the count;

Richmond Valley126 cases confirmed by PCR tests. All cases confirmed by RATs excluded from the count;

Clarence Valley123 cases confirmed by PCR tests. All cases confirmed by RATs excluded from the count;

Kyogle Shire16 cases confirmed by PCR tests. All cases confirmed by RATs excluded from the count.


TOTAL 1,229 casesthis figure includes only cases confirmed as positive by PCR tests and deliberately excludes all positive RAT testing.


Note: Under reporting of COVID-19 infection in the Northern Rivers region over the four week period ending 17 June 2022 is possibly in the vicinity of more than 1,229 persons bringing the estimated total number to anywhere between 2,458 to 3,687 infected people spread out over the 7 local government areas.


Saturday, 18 June 2022

Tweet of the Week

 

 

Monday, 14 March 2022

STATE OF PLAY NSW March 2022: it's not just flooding that appears to be going on forever in NSW, COVID-19 disease is too


 

In New South Wales as at 4pm on Sunday 6 March 2022 there were 9,017 confirmed new cases of COVID-19 and 108,980 active COVID-19 cases across the state composed of people who had tested positive in the last 14 days.


A total of 1,066 people with COVID-19 disease were currently in hospital, with 49 in intensive care and of these 14 requiring ventilation.


As of week ending 28 February 2022 there had been 39,481 cases of COVID-19 being managed at home or in insecure accommodation.


Five people had died as a result of COVID-19 in the 24 hours up to 4pm 6 March 2022 – 4 women and 1 man with ages ranging from in their 60s to in their 80s.


That brought the total number of NSW COVID-19 deaths since the pandemic began in 2020 to 1,948 individuals.


In the Epidemiological Week 9 ending 5 March 2022 the Omicron variant (B.1.1.529) was the dominant COVID-19 variant of concern circulating in the NSW community, with both of the main sub-lineages of the Omicron variant (BA.1 and BA.2) circulating in the state – infecting 1,208 people.


The average number of COVID-19 PCR tests which were positive in the week ending 5 March was 12.1% (a jump of 2.5 % since the preceding week) and above the 3% positivity considered by WHO as indicating a level of disease containment.


In Northern NSW there were 136 confirmed new cases in the 24 hours up to 4pm 6 March 2022, with 7 COVID-19 positive patients in local hospitals.


The 136 new confirmed cases in the 7 local government areas within the Northern NSW Local Health District were distributed as follows:


NOTE: The following postcode list may not be complete due to changes to the location data set.


Tweed Shire – 43 cases across postcodes 2484, 2485, 2486, 2497, 2489, 2490;

Clarence Valley 44 cases in postcode 2460;

Lismore City – 14 cases in postcode 2480;

Ballina Shire12 cases in postcodes 2477, 2478;

Byron Shire10 cases in postcodes 2481, 2482;

Kyogle Shire6 cases in postcode 2474;

Richmond Valley 6 cases in postcode 2470;

Tenterfield 1 cases in postcode 2475; Tenterfield is not in the Northern NSW Local Health District but shared postcodes are included in Northern NSW data.


Over the next 3 days the daily confirmed new COVID-19 cases grew by 13,018 on 7 March, 13,179 cases on 8 March and 16,288 cases on 9 March. Deaths over those 3 days increased by a total of 18 individuals.


As at 4pm on Thursday 10 March 2022 there were 14,034 confirmed new cases of COVID-19 and 133,783 active COVID-19 cases across the state composed of people who had tested positive in the last 14 days. At 3pm 10 March the national total of active COVID-19 cases was 245,042 people.


A total of 998 people with COVID-19 disease were currently in hospital, with 39 in intensive care and of these 15 requiring ventilation.


As of week ending 9 March 2022 there had been 57,635 cases of COVID-19 being managed at home or in insecure accommodation.


Nineteen people had died as a result of COVID-19 in the 24 hours up to 4pm 10 March 2022 – 5 women and 14 men with ages ranging from in their 50s to in their 90s.


That brought the total number of NSW COVID-19 deaths since the pandemic began in 2020 to 1,985 individuals.


In Northern NSW there were 140 confirmed new cases in the 24 hours up to 4pm 10 March 2022, with 7 COVID-19 positive patients in local hospitals.


The 140 new cases in the 7 local government areas within the Northern NSW Local Health District were distributed as follows:


NOTE: The following postcode list may not be complete due to changes to the location data set.


Tweed Shire – 42 cases across postcodes 2484, 2485, 2486, 2487, 2489, 2490;

Clarence Valley – 41 cases across postcodes 2460, 2464;

Byron Shire – 20 cases across postcodes 2481, 2482;

Kyogle Shire – 5 cases across postcodes 2474;

Lismore City – 14 cases across postcode 2480;

Ballina Shire – 11 cases across postcodes 2477, 2478;

Richmond Valley – 7 cases across postcodes 2469, 2470, 2473;


By 24 February 2022 flooding had begun within the boundaries Northern NSW Local Heath District (NNSWLHD). In the 24 hours up to 4pm on that date the number of confirmed new COVID-19 cases in Northern NSW stood at 281 cases, with 29 currently in hospital including 4 in intensive care. One death was reported.


By 28 February at the height of Northern Rivers flooding the number of confirmed new COVID-19 cases was reported as being 220 cases, with 20 in hospital including 2 in intensive care.


At which point the number of people being tested for COVID-19 in Northern NSW was falling well below 200 a day. On 10 March 2022 NNSWLHD stated:


While there has been a decrease in the number of COVID-19 cases reported in Northern NSW over the past week as people understandably prioritised the immediate flood response, case numbers have been increasing more generally across NSW during this same period.

This suggests there may be a substantial number of potentially unreported COVID-19 cases in Northern NSW at present. [my yellow highlighting]




As at 4pm on Friday 11 March 2022 there were 12,850 confirmed new cases of COVID-19 and 139,873 active COVID-19 cases across the state composed of people who had tested positive in the last 14 days.


A total of 966 people with COVID-19 disease were currently in hospital, with 40 in intensive care and 15 of these requiring ventilation.


As of 11 March 2022 there was no new data revealing the number of cases of COVID-19 being managed at home or in insecure accommodation.


Four people had died as a result of COVID-19 in the 24 hours up to 4pm 10 March 2022 – 1 woman and 3 men with ages ranging from in their 70s to in their 90s.


That brought the total number of NSW COVID-19 deaths since the pandemic began in 2020 to 1,989 individuals.


In the week ending Friday 11 March 2022 there were 83,035 confirmed COVID-19 cases recorded in NSW and the preceding week there had been 63,334 confirmed cases recorded. This represents a case number growth of 19,701 people.


In Northern NSW there were 176 confirmed new cases in the 24 hours up to 4pm 11 March 2022, with 8 COVID-19 positive patients in local hospitals and 1 death recorded of a person aged in their 70s from the Byron region.


The 176 new cases in the 7 local government areas within the Northern NSW Local Health District were distributed as follows:


NOTE: No postcodes available as location data set not yet updated


Tweed Shire – 49 cases

Clarence Valley – 43 cases

Lismore City – 34 cases

Ballina Shire – 20 cases

Byron Shire – 18 cases

Kyogle Shire – 7 cases

Richmond Valley – 5 cases


NSW Health reported for the 24 hours up to 4pm Friday 11 March 2022:


Data provided in the latest weekly report indicates that reported cases of COVID-19 have increased in NSW, while hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions for people with COVID-19 have stabilised during the last two weeks after previously declining.


Reported daily cases of COVID-19 in NSW have increased from 9,466 on 4 March to 12,850 today. Reported case rates continue to be highest in people aged 10-19 years. [my yellow highlighting]


The Omicron variant (B.1.1.529) is currently the dominant COVID-19 variant of concern circulating in the NSW community, with both main sub-lineages of the Omicron variant (BA.1 and BA.2) identified.


As at 4pm on Saturday 12 March 2022 there were 13,093 confirmed new cases of COVID-19 and 146,715 active COVID-19 cases across the state composed of people who had tested positive in the last 14 days.


A total of 965 people with COVID-19 disease were currently in hospital, with 44 in intensive care and 20 of these requiring ventilation.


As of  12 March 2022 there was no new data revealing the number of cases of COVID-19 being managed at home or in insecure accommodation.


Seven people had died as a result of COVID-19 in the 24 hours up to 4pm 12 March 2022 – 4 women and 3 men with ages ranging from in their 40s, 50s, 70s to in their 80s & 90s.


That brought the total number of NSW COVID-19 deaths since the pandemic began in 2020 to 1,996 individuals.


In the week ending Saturday 12 March 2022 there were 87,091 confirmed COVID-19 cases recorded in NSW and the preceding week there had been 66,521 confirmed cases recorded. This represents a case number growth of 20,570 people.


In Northern NSW there were 130 confirmed new cases in the 24 hours up to 4pm 11 March 2022, with 9 COVID-19 positive patients in local hospitals. 


The 130 new cases in the 7 local government areas within the Northern NSW Local Health District were distributed as follows:


NOTE: No postcodes available as location data set not yet updated


Tweed Shire – 31 cases

Clarence Valley – 28 cases

Lismore City – 22 cases

Byron Shire – 29 cases

Ballina Shire – 11 cases

Richmond Valley – 8 cases

Kyogle Shire – 1 cases


As of 12 March 2022 there are est. 2,264 active COVID-19 cases in Northern NSW Local Health District.


NSW Health continues to suggest that there may be a substantial number of potentially unreported COVID-19 cases in Northern NSW at present due to social and physical disruption during the February-March 2022 Flood.


As at 4pm on 12 March 2022 only 4,948,656 men, women and children in NSW are fully vaccinated (3 doses COVID-19 vaccine) out of an est. resident population of 8,189,266 people. This represents est. 60.42% of the state's total population.  [my yellow highlighting]


"COVID-19 cases are expected to double in the next four to six weeks as a new, more transmissible version of the Omicron strain spreads across Australia. 

Although there’s no evidence yet that it causes more severe illness, BA.2 is about 25% to 30% more transmissible, a key concern with many Queensland and NSW residents displaced and homeless after the devastating floods." [Crikey, 11 March 2022] 


UPDATE



Wednesday, 19 January 2022

Is hoping this SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variant is the last phase of the global pandemic just wishful thinking based on federal government propaganda and not science?


Denial of the science of epidemiology is widespread, even among ‘experts’. We are told repeatedly that SARS-CoV-2 will become ‘endemic’. But it will never be endemic because it is an epidemic disease and always will be.” [Professor Raina MacIntyre, (UNSW) Principal Research Fellow and Professor of Global Biosecurity, Head Biosecurity Program, Kirby Institute which conducts research in epidemiology, vaccinology, bioterrorism prevention, mathematical modelling, genetic epidemiology, public health and clinical trials in infectious diseases, writing in The Saturday Paper, 15 January 2022]



ABC News program, CoronacastInterview by Tegan Taylor with Dr. Norman Swan14 January 2022:


"Is Omicron the last variant?" [Duration: 21min 21sec]

"We're all no doubt very tired of the pandemic by now and could be forgiven for hoping now that Omicron has landed in Australia, once we get over the current outbreak it's all over.

But according to evolutionary virologist Eddie Holmes, sadly Omicron won't be the last and in fact the next variant probably won't evolve from Omicron.

So what can we do apart from get vaccinated and hope this terrible roller coaster ride will somehow end soon?"


Click here to start listening:

https://abcmedia.akamaized.net/news/audio/podcast/coronacast/cvp_20220114_episode444_when_will_end.mp3


Monday, 17 January 2022

Living the pandemic ' new normal' in New South Wales January 2022


Want to know why in New South Wales chaos is the 'new normal'?


COVID-19 published data finally confirmed a truth - by week ending 9 January 2022 only 78.3% of total NSW population was fully vaccinated. Note: it’s possible that government was using June 2019 or 2020 population totals which would result in a lower fully vaccinated percentage total.


What this means is when Dominic Perrottet became premier in early October 2021 the real vaccination rate of the total state population (ABS pop. 30 June 2021) was under 55% & by 25 November 2021 it was still not the loudly boasted about 80% total. Even with est. 42% of the population aged 12 to 90 years of age & over being fully vaccinated.  And he knew those vaccination rates were misleading as he had been a member of NSW crisis cabinet since its creation.


Yet knowing all this Perrottet still kept Morrison & Berejiklian’s insane 'living with COVID’ push alive by further reducing public health protections in the face of a new Omicron Variant Outbreak combining with an existing Delta Variant Outbreak. 


The NSW Premier and MLA for Epping intentionally opened up vulnerable villages, towns & cities in 128 local government areas and communities them to fend for themselves.


The rest is history. Because ‘opening up’ the state with a real full vaccination rate well under the promised 70-80% (a percentage range much of the expert advice to government was based on) and, with the bare minimum of a test, trace, contact & isolate public health structure in place, the combined Delta-Omicron infection growth began to surge and is on its way to being an epidemiological tsunami which will toss New South Wales this way and that for at least the next six weeks, perhaps longer.


This because, despite the fact that full vaccination of those 12 to 90 years of age & older has now reached est. 86.1%, a significant number of those vaccinated since 22 February 2021 no longer have a high level of protection against the virus. 


By the week ending 9 January 2022, 68.9% of all COVID-19 cases hospitalized across the state were patients who had been fully vaccinated sometime in the last 22 months and, as of 15 January only 25.4% of all fully vaccinated NSW residents have received a vaccine booster injection to increase waning immunity levels.


Even reinstating a weak mishmash of previous public health restrictions is not going to change what is happening now that the virus has reached the status of uncontrolled.


The exact number of daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly and annual COVID-19 cases which have occurred in the New South Wales resident population can no longer be reliably quantified. The 'let it rip'  mentality of the Australian and NSW Coalition Governments had overseen the disintegration of a public health response to SARS-CoV-2 the virus and COVID-19 the infectious disease it caused.  A situation which was laid bare by December 2021 when it became impossible to test or count every person in the state who was displaying/fallen ill with COVID-19 symptoms.


There were at total of 23,456 new confirmed COVID-19 cases reported by NSW Health to 8pm Saturday 15 January 2022, with the deaths of 20 people of whom 14 people were vaccinated against COVID-19 and six people were not vaccinated.

NOTE: The aforementioned total new cases includes both positive PCR and RAT results, but excludes those 11, 204 positive RAT results included in 15 January figures which actually occurred in the last 7 days. It seems that the difficulty in sourcing a RAT has resulted in only est. 2,478 COVID-19 positive home being reported within the last 24 hours to 8pm 15 January.


Currently there are 2,650 COVID-19 cases admitted to hospital, including 191 people in intensive care, 61 of whom require ventilation.


As of 8pm 15 January there are 342,838 active COVID-19 cases in the state - less than 1% of these people would currently be in hospital and the remainder are understood to be self-managing their illness outside of a hospital setting either in the home or insecure accommodation.


Currently NSW Health is recording the incidence of COVID-19 diagnostic testing in the last four weeks up to 15 January as 125 PCR tests done per 1,000 head of population. Since 26 November 2021 a large proportion of all positive PCR tests have not had genomic sequencing.


According to NSW Health of the 20,978 new cases confirmed by PCR testing as at 8pm on Saturday 15 January 2022: 4,063 are from South Western Sydney Local Health District (LHD), 3,139 are from Western Sydney LHD, 2,336 are from South Eastern Sydney LHD, 1,875 are from Northern Sydney LHD, 1,858 are from Sydney LHD, 1,755 are from Hunter New England LHD, 1,458 are from Illawarra Shoalhaven LHD, 989 are from Nepean Blue Mountains LHD, 686 are from Northern NSW LHD, 610 are from Central Coast LHD, 571 are from Murrumbidgee LHD, 489 are from Southern NSW LHD, 439 are from Western NSW LHD, 257 are from Mid North Coast LHD, 67 are from Far West LHD, 2 are in correctional settings, and 384 are yet to be assigned to an LHD.


To 8pm 15 January, 686 COVID-19 cases confirmed by PCR testing were recorded across 7 local government areas in Northern NSW Local Health District:


Tweed Shire353 cases

Byron Shire126 cases

Ballina Shire 84 cases

Lismore City49 cases

Clarence Valley33 cases

Richmond Valley28 cases

Kyogle Shire13 cases

TOTAL 686

NOTE: NSW Location database is only updated 5 days out of every seven so postcodes for 15 January not yet available at time of posting.


Currently there are 52 COVID-19 positive patients in hospital in Northern NSW, with 8 of these in ICU.



IMAGE: found on Twitter


The Weekend Australian reported on 16 January 2022:


It is as we feared,” Dr Chris Ingall, from the hospital’s medical staff council, told the publication.


We are seeing an almost exclusively unvaccinated population in the hospital and exclusively unvaccinated in the intensive care ward at this point.


We predicted this, we said there would be a tsunami here, everyone predicted it would sweep through the pockets of the unvaccinated.”…..


One of the people in ICU is Mullimbimby-based tarot card reader and reiki master Helen Dean who had previously protested against vaccine mandates.


She caught the virus last month and has been on a ventilator since Christmas Day…...


The Daily Telegraph reported she was taken off life support on Saturday but remains in ICU…..


Meanwhile, NSW Health data has revealed the impact anti-vaxxers are causing on the health system.


Of NSW’s Covid deaths, 420 were unvaccinated while just 96 had the jab.


The Daily Telegraph also estimated the cost of ICU per patient per day is about $4375.


SOURCES