Wednesday, 5 January 2022

There is a growing suspicion that there could be almost 2 million cases of COVID-19 not included in NSW Health data due to Perrottett Government mismanagement of the pandemic public health response in the last three months of 2021

 

NSW recorded 23,131 new cases of COVID-19 in the 24 hours to 8pm Monday, 3 January 2022, including 2 deaths.


There are currently 1,344 COVID-19 cases admitted to hospital, with 105 people in intensive care, 27 of whom require ventilation.


There were 83,376 COVID-19 tests recorded in the 24 hours up to 8pm and, the positivity rate1 is being reported as 27.5%up 7.72% on 1 January’s positivity percentage.

It is noted that the World Health Organisation considers that it requires a positivity rate under 5% for an epidemic to be considered controlled; and then, only when the community transmission rate had declined by at least 50% over a 3-week period since the latest peak, along with a continuous decline in the observed incidence of confirmed and probable cases, as well as five other criteria met.


Total number of active COVID-19 cases in the state is est. 157,873 men, women & children – including at least one baby under 12 months of age.


Of the 23,131 cases reported to 8pm last night, 4,602 are from South Eastern Sydney Local Health District (LHD), 4,258 are from South Western Sydney LHD, 3,680 are from Western Sydney LHD, 2,969 are from Sydney LHD, 1,979 are from Northern Sydney LHD, 1,689 are from Hunter New England LHD, 927 are from Nepean Blue Mountains LHD, 703 are from Central Coast LHD, 525 are from Illawarra Shoalhaven LHD, 485 are from Northern NSW LHD, 392 are from Mid North Coast LHD, 227 are from Murrumbidgee LHD, 150 are from Western NSW LHD, 124 are from Southern NSW LHD, three are from Far West LHD, two are in correctional settings and 416 are yet to be assigned to an LHD.


Adjunct Professor James Cook University, Alan Baxter, has aired the possibility that the under reporting of COVID-19 cases in NSW may represent a little under 2 million” people.


To 8pm Monday, 3 January, 485 new cases of COVID-19 were confirmed in the 7 local governments areas within the Northern NSW Local Health District:


Byron Shire – 156 cases across postcodes 2479, 2481, 2482, 2483;

Tweed Shire136 cases across postcodes 2483, 2484, 2485, 2486, 2487, 2488, 2489, 2490;

Ballina Shire101 cases across postcodes 2477, 2478;

Lismore City43 cases across postcodes 2472, 2480;

Clarence Valley33 cases across postcodes 2460, 2463, 2464, 2466;

Richmond Valley12 cases across postcodes 2469, 2470, 2471;

Kyogle Shire4 cases in postcode 2474.

TOTAL 485


There are currently 20 COVID-19 positive patients in hospital in Northern NSW, with 4 of these in intensive care.


NOTES

1. Using Percent Positivity Calculation for Public Health Surveillance

CDC has a formula for calculating percent positivity of laboratory test results.

  • Obtain the numerator — the number of positive SARS-CoV-2 Nucleic Acid Amplification Test (NAAT) results.

  • Obtain the denominator — the total number of SARS-CoV-2 NAAT test results, both positive and negative.

  • Divide the numerator by the denominator.

  • Multiply the result by 100 to obtain the percentage.

[https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/lab/resources/calculating-percent-positivity.html]


Sources