Two very different sources, two very different results, published two days apart - who does one believe?
Roy Morgan Research, Market Research Update, email, 28 November 2023:
Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows support for the ALP recovering – up 3% points: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5%
The ALP has regained the lead on 52.5% (up 3% on a week ago) ahead of the Coalition on 47.5% (down 3%) on a two-party preferred basis according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention conducted last week.
The result halts a run of three straight weeks of declines for the ALP.
On primary vote the Coalition is now on 35%, down 2.5% from a week ago, ahead of the ALP on 32%, up 2.5%. The Greens are unchanged on 13.5% and One Nation is on 5%, down 1.5%.
There has been a gain in support for Independents on 9%, up 2%, but a drop in support for Other Parties on 5.5%, down 0.5%.
The latest Roy Morgan Poll is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,379 Australian electors from November 20-26, 2023.
The Australian, Latest Newspoll, 26 November 2023:
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| Newspoll Two Party Preferred results 10.02.19 to 25.11.23 Click on image to enlarge |
Federal Primary Voting Intention:
ALP 31 (-4)
Coalition 38 (+1)
Greens 13 (+1)
One Nation 6 (no change)
Other 12 (+2)
Federal Two Party Preferred:
ALP 50 (-2)
Coalition 50 (+2)
Preferred Prime Minister:
Albanese 46 (no change)
Dutton 35 (-1)
Leaders Approval Rating:
Dutton: Approve 37 (no change) Disapprove 50 (no change)
Albanese: Approve 40 (-2) Disapprove 53 (+1)
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