Two very different sources, two very different results, published two days apart - who does one believe?
Roy
Morgan Research, Market
Research Update, email,
28 November 2023:
Roy
Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows support for the ALP
recovering – up 3% points: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5%
The
ALP has regained the lead on 52.5% (up 3% on a week ago) ahead of the
Coalition on 47.5% (down 3%) on a two-party preferred basis according
to the latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention conducted
last week.
The
result halts a run of three straight weeks of declines for the ALP.
On
primary vote the Coalition is now on 35%, down 2.5% from a week ago,
ahead of the ALP on 32%, up 2.5%. The Greens are unchanged on 13.5%
and One Nation is on 5%, down 1.5%.
There
has been a gain in support for Independents on 9%, up 2%, but a drop
in support for Other Parties on 5.5%, down 0.5%.
The
latest Roy Morgan Poll is based on interviewing a representative
cross-section of 1,379 Australian electors from November 20-26, 2023.
The
Australian,
Latest
Newspoll,
26
November
2023:
|
Newspoll Two Party Preferred results 10.02.19 to 25.11.23 Click on image to enlarge
|
Federal
Primary Voting Intention:
ALP
31 (-4)
Coalition
38 (+1)
Greens
13 (+1)
One
Nation 6 (no change)
Other
12 (+2)
Federal
Two
Party Preferred:
ALP
50 (-2)
Coalition
50 (+2)
Preferred
Prime Minister:
Albanese
46 (no change)
Dutton
35 (-1)
Leaders
Approval Rating:
Dutton:
Approve 37 (no change) Disapprove 50 (no change)
Albanese:
Approve 40 (-2) Disapprove 53 (+1)