Showing posts with label federal elections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label federal elections. Show all posts

Wednesday 28 February 2024

Newspoll 2024: fourteen months out from the likely date of the next Australian federal election and the Coalition is limping along

 

The Australian, Newspoll, 25 February 2024:


Two Party Preferred Voting Intention January 2019 to February 2024
IMAGE: The Australian, 25.02.24
Click on image to enlarge







FEDERAL FIRST PREFERENCE VOTING INTENTIONS


Australian Labor 33 (down 1)


Liberal-Nationals Coalition — 36 (no change)


The Greens — 12 (no change)


One Nation — 6 (no change)


Others — 13 (up 2)



FEDERAL TWO-PARTY PREFERRED VOTING INTENTIONS


Australian Labor 52 (no change)


Liberal-Nationals Coalition — 48 (no change)



PREFERRED PRIME MINISTER


Anthony Albanese — 47 (up 1)


Peter Dutton — 35 (no change)



LEADER'S APPROVAL


Albanese:

Approve — 43 (up 1)

Disapprove — 51 (no change)


Dutton:

Approve — 37 (no change)

Disapprove — 51 (up 1) 



NOTE:

Results are based on the responses of 1,245 participants in the YouGov survey, which are weighted to be representative of the population by age, gender, education, AEC region, household income, weighting by past vote (Federal vote and Voice referendum). This Newspoll was published in The Australian on 25.02.24



At this point in time the expectation is that Australian will go to a federal general election sometime in May 2025, roughly 14 months away. 


Fourteen months out from the May 2022 federal election in the 21 February 2021 Newspoll, Labor's primary vote stood at 36 to the Liberal-Nationals Coalition's 42.

While Labor and the Coalition stood neck and neck on the two party preferred graph at 50 points.


At the actual general election on 21 May 2022 Labor won government with a House of Representatives count of 77 seats to the Coalition's 58 seats - with minor parties & independents holding 16 seats - giving the Albanese Government a one seat majority. The Newspoll of 13 May 2023 had posited a Labor win of 54 to the Coalition's 48.



Thursday 28 September 2023

Newspoll published Monday 25 September 2023: a curate's egg, good in parts

 

Newspoll published 25 September 2023:


24 September 2023



VOTING INTENTION PRIMARY VOTE


Labor36 points (+1)

Coalition36 points (-1)

Greens11 points (-2)

One Nation6 points (-1)

Others11 points (+3)



VOTING INTENTION TWO-PARTY PREFERRED (TPP)


Labor – 54 points (+1)

Coalition – 46 points (-1)


Click on graph to enlarge











BETTER PM


Anthony Albanese – 50 points (no change)

Peter Dutton – 30 points (-1)



APPROVAL/DISAPPROVAL RATING


Anthony AlbaneseApprove 47 points (+1)

                                   Disapprove 44 points (-3)

Peter Dutton Approve 32 points (-6)

      Disapprove 52 points (+3)

      Net Approval -20 points



Aboriginal & Torres Strait Islander Voice to Parliament Referendum Voting Intention


YES36 points (-2 )

NO56 points (+3 )

UNDECIDED8 points (-1)