Monday, 13 March 2017

The optics are bad for the Turnbull Government in 2017


On 9 December 2015 the Tenterfield Star reported that Federal Nationals Leader and Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce had been spending big on electoral offices and travel:

BARNABY Joyce has gone on the defensive after he skyrocketed to the top of the pile for claimed expenditure.
The Member for New England has registered $1,073,991.45 in expenses over the first six months of 2015, new documents have revealed.

A year later and, in addition to another hefty bill for office facilities, from January to June 2016 Joyce received the following payments from the Dept. of Finance:

$76,459.42 air travel costs for self & family members
$23,668 accommodation in Canberra & when travelling
$17,907.20 private car costs
$12,123.98 chauffeured car for self & family members.

So it comes as no surprise that this meme appeared in March 2017:

Following hot on the heels of these media reports.

News.com.au, 8 March 2017:

Figures provided to the department today show Human Services launched more than 103,000 assessments into overpaid welfare recipients in November and December alone.
The department ramped up its recovery efforts in September with the number of assessments increasing from 844 in August to more than 62,000 the next month.
Overall, about 216,000 investigations were launched from September to December and 133,078 debts were recovered.
More than 97,000 people were charged a “recovery fee”as they had not provided information about their income or a reasonable explanation for the lack of information.
Five and a half thousand people had their debts waived as they were under $50 and were not cost effective to pursue or because there was an administration error or unusual circumstances.
Greens Senator Rachel Siewert, chair of the senate inquiry, said the government “should be ashamed” of calling in debt notices over Christmas.
“A large portion of those had a recovery fee applied, meaning struggling Australians are paying debts they may not owe as well as additional recovery fees,” she said.
“I continue to hold deep concerns that people are complying and paying debts off that don’t exist - 2875 people so far have had their debts reduced to zero since the program began but I suspect many people are still in the process of reassessment and review.
“Unfortunately the Department couldn’t provide these figures and took that question on notice.
“I fear far more people did not challenge the debt so the figure could be far worse.
“It is a shame the Department has steadfastly supported the system with some adjustments despite overwhelming evidence that it is causing great distress to struggling Australians.”
Centrelink’s “aggressive” debt collection tactics came under fire at the Senate inquiry.
The inquiry heard elderly welfare recipients have received inaccurate debt notices of thousands of dollars, generated by the automated system, before it was confirmed they owed just $50.
Senators also heard private debt collectors, engaged by Centrelink to recover debts, have threatened to seize clients’ assets or take them to court if they failed to pay what was owed to the agency.
The Community and Public Sector Union raised concerns Centrelink staff have faced increased aggression from welfare recipients since the scheme launched.
Staff have dealt with swearing, threats, physical aggression and spitting as clients faced increased financial stress from debt recovery notices, CPSU national deputy president Lisa Newman said.
The union is pushing for the scheme to be suspended while the government reviews it.
Australian Council of Social Services bosses raised concerns that Centrelink was not subject to consumer protection laws.

The Sydney Morning Herald, editorial excerpt, 11 March 2017:
More than 36,000 of those letters did not result in any debt to Centrelink. What's more, about 6600 welfare recipients first learnt of their alleged debt from debt collectors.
Mr Tudge blamed those people for failing to update addresses on their Centrelink files.
While his department head Kathryn Campbell claims the system has been adjusted to reduce that risk, she also blamed welfare recipients – for not replying to the initiating letters.
Worse, Ms Campbell said she would not discuss potential solutions to systemic flaws with the Australian Council of Social Service or unions representing staff who have to handle the backlash.
The justification Ms Campbell gave for not meeting with unions or ACOSS was that the media was interested in the issue. The justification Mr Tudge gave on ABC radio was that unions and ACOSS "frankly have a philosophical objection" to widespread compliance checks.
 The Herald suspects Mr Tudge and his department have a philosophical objection to legitimate public scrutiny.
Thank goodness the media are holding the department and the minister to account because, failing that, thousands of people would be demonised in secret and there would be no Senate committee inquiry exposing the flawed process.
The committee began public hearings this week into the error rates of debt notices; the government's response to concerns raised by affected individuals; whether the debt recovery scheme complies with Australian privacy and consumer laws; and the adequacy of the data matching of Centrelink and ATO information.
Deputy Commissioner of Taxation Greg Williams told the inquiry the ATO had "reached out" to the Human Services Department as flaws emerged in the robo-debt system, but was told its help was not required. 
"We are involved in identity matching and the provision of data, but we are not involved in the data-matching that occurs on the DSS/DHS side," Mr Williams said. "We are trying to maintain the level of integrity in the role of the ATO in this exercise."
The Senate inquiry is also accepting submissions from people who have been forced to deal with the system. 
The first submission on the committee's website comes from a "a teacher, university lecturer and single mother who has been working part-time since my son was nine months old". She tells how the system "impacted my mental health and caused significant stress over the Christmas period. Not only did I suffer, but my inability to fully engage with family at this time also impacted them." She spent eight hours on the phone with Centrelink only to find that her debt was $0. "Apparently this was a mistake and a day later … it was up to over $1300," the submission says. "On receipt of the second letter I broke down in tears again ... it turned out I had been overpaid by Centrelink less than $1.80 a week. I am hard-working, smart and determined to fight this because I knew I reported my income to the best of my ability. There will be a lot of people who are not in the mental headspace, or have the ability to work out that Centrelink are wrong."
The price of a system with insufficient human oversight and flawed safeguards is too great. The Senate committee should propose alternatives that offer taxpayers value for their welfare dollar without demonising innocent people.

Australia at the sharp end of global warming


“Australians endured another intense summer, with more than 200 record-breaking extreme weather events driven by climate change” [Climate Council, 7 March 2017]


World Weather Attribution (WWA), media release, March 2017:

Extreme Heat:

A look at the recent record high temperatures in Australia

New South Wales, located in southeastern Australia, just experienced its hottest summer on record (Figure 1). Temperature records across the central and the eastern parts of Australia were broken, leading the Australian Bureau of Meteorology to issue a Special Climate Statement on the exceptional heat. For example, January 2017 saw the highest monthly mean temperatures on record for the cities of Sydney and Brisbane, and the highest daytime temperatures on record for Canberra. Overall, Australia experienced its 12th hottest summer on record.
There were three distinct heat waves in southeast Australia during January and February, with the highest temperatures recorded from February 9th to the 12th. For much of the country, the heat peaked on the weekend of February 11th and 12th, when many places hit upwards of 113°F (45°C). The 2016-2017 heatwaves broke long-standing records in central New South Wales that were originally set back in January of 1939 (Figure 2).
The WWA team and colleagues from the University of New South Wales conducted a rapid attribution analysis to see how climate change factored into the exceptionally warm summer (December to February) of 2016-2017. The team also looked at the hottest three-day average February temperatures in Canberra and Sydney.
 Figure 1: New South Wales, located in southeastern Australia, reported its hottest summer (Dec. 2016 – Feb. 2017) on record while the northwestern part of Australia reported cooler than average temperatures. Map shows temperature deciles. Source: Australian Bureau of Meteorology

Figure 2: Time series (1910-2016) of summer mean temperature anomalies for New South Wales. The 2016-2017 heatwaves broke long-standing records in central New South Wales that were originally set back in January of 1939. Source: Australian Bureau of Meteorology

Regional Level: New South Wales
The New South Wales record hot summer can be linked directly to climate change. Two different methods were used to reach this conclusion. First, drawing from a previously published analysis using coupled model simulations, we see that average summer temperatures like those seen during 2016-2017 are now at least 50 times more likely in the current climate than in the past, before global warming began. The team also performed an analysis based on the observational series from ACORN-SAT. This approach is similar to previous analyses used for record heat in the Arctic in 2016 and Central England in 2014. Comparing the likelihood of this record in the climate of today compared with the climate of around 1910 (before global warming had a big impact on our climate system and when reliable observations are available), the team again found at least a 50-fold increase in the likelihood of this hot summer.
The team then looked at the maximum summer temperature for New South Wales (see graphic below). Based on climate model simulations (weather@home and CMIP5) and observational data analysis (ACORN-SAT), maximum summer temperatures like those seen during 2016-2017 are now at least 10 times more likely in the current climate than in the past, before global warming began. In the past, a summer as hot as 2016-2017 was a roughly 1 in 500-year event. Today, climate change has increased the odds to roughly 1 in 50 years — a 10-fold increase in frequency. In the future, a summer as hot as this past summer in New South Wales is likely to happen roughly once every five years. In addition, climate change has increased the intensity of an exceptionally hot summer like this by roughly 1ºC (1.8°F). In the future, the intensity increases by roughly 2°C (3.6°F).
Local Level: Canberra and Sydney Heatwaves
The team also looked at the local scale to see if a climate change role could be measured in the heat waves that hit Canberra (population ~380,000) and Sydney (population ~4.9 million). Climate has much larger variability at the city level compared to a big area like New South Wales. This can make it more difficult to see the influence of climate change within the overall noise of the weather system.
In Canberra, temperatures hit 96.8oF (36°C) on February 9th and 104oF (40oC) on both February 10th and 11th. Using the weather@home model and ACORN-SAT observations, we analyzed three-day average maximum temperature. Both the observational data and the climate model simulations show that climate change increased the likelihood of the kind of extreme three-day heat observed in Canberra. The weather@home results point to at least a 50 percent increase in the chance of a heatwave like that.
For Sydney, a coastal city, the effect of climate change on this heat wave is less clear. Observations show that climate change increased the chance of such a heat wave occurring, but the high year-to-year variability makes identifying a clear human influence more difficult.
The Future
The heat seen this past summer across parts of Australia is still rare in our current climate. However, if greenhouse gas emissions are not dramatically reduced, intense summer heat will become the norm in the future.
For Further Information Contact:
Andrew King (University of Melbourne): andrew.king@unimelb.edu.au
Sarah Kirkpatrick (University of New South Wales): sarah.kirkpatrick@unsw.edu.au
David Karoly (University of Melbourne): dkaroly@unimelb.edu.au
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh (KNMI): persvoorlichting@knmi.nl (press office)


*****ENDS*****

Excerpts from The Climate Council’s Angry Summer 2016/17: Climate Change Supercharging Extreme Weather report released on 7 March 2017:



In just 90 days, more than 205 records were broken around Australia.
The state-wide mean temperature in summer was the hottest for New South Wales since records began, with temperatures 2.57°C above average.
Sydney had its hottest summer on record with a mean temperature 2.8°C above average.
Brisbane had its hottest summer on record in terms of mean temperature at 26.8°C, equivalent to 1.7°C above average.
Canberra had its hottest summer on record in terms of daytime temperatures and recorded temperatures of at least 35°C on 18 days, already far higher than what is projected for 2030 (12 days).
Adelaide experienced its hottest Christmas day in 70 years at 41.3°C.
Moree in regional New South Wales experienced 54 consecutive days of temperatures 35°C or above, a record for the state.
Perth had its highest summer total rainfall on record of 192.8 mm.......
The impacts of the last Angry Summer of 2013/14 cost the Australian economy approximately $8 billion through absenteeism and a reduction in work productivity. The economic impact from the 2016/17 Angry Summer has not yet been quantified.

The Australia State of the Environment (SoE) 2016 Overview was tabled in the Australian Parliament on 7 March 2017.

Sunday, 12 March 2017

Next time a member of the Turnbull Government asks you, your family or community to tighten belts for the good of the country remember this......


Those people elected to govern the country and who decide national economic and social policies (which can make or break ordinary individuals and families) enter into to a class of salary earners whose members enjoy an above average lifestyle whilst in 'employment'.

A financial outcome which tends to cushion them from the harshest economic facts of life.

In 1901 the average annual wage of a person living in Australia was £46 [Australian Bureau of Statistics A Snapshot of Australia, 1901]. That represented less than £1 per week.

The Australian Parliament was established by the UK Australian Constitution Act 1900. Section 48 of the Constitution determined that all members of the Parliament would receive an ‘allowance’ of 400 pounds per annum, until the Parliament decided otherwise [Remuneration Tribunal, A Brief History Of Parliamentary Remuneration, 2012]. This averaged out at over £7 per week.
While in that same year a member of federal parliament’s base annual pay was $199,040 plus allowances & entitlements or est. $3,827.69 take home pay each week for each of the 224 federal parliamentarians – more if the member sits on a committee/s, is a parliamentary secretary, assistant minister, minister or one of a smaller number of shadow ministers. Plus a generous electoral allowance and free travel, as well as both a subsidised car and subsidised away from home accommodation & food 
Parliamentarians’ base salaries have increased 19 times in the last 20 years. Can the average worker say that about his or her hourly rate?
Remember this the next time the Turnbull Government asks you, your family or community to tighten belts for the good of the country. Just as importantly remember this when you vote in 2018-19.

Australian Fair Work Commission: Who's Who - a member cheat sheet for 2017 and other matters


The Fair Work Commission (FWC), formerly known as Fair Work Australia, is the Australian industrial relations tribunal created by the Fair Work Act 2009. It replaced the Australian Industrial Relations Commission (AIRC) and a number of AIRC members became part of the FWC organisational structure.

As part of a four-yearly review of modern awards the Full Bench of the Fair Work Commission handed down a decision on Sunday penalty rates for workers in hospitality and retail sectors on 23 February 2017.

For the purposes of this review the Full Bench was composed of:

Justice Iain Ross, President
Vice President Joseph Catanzariti
Deputy President Ingrid Asbury
Commissioner Peter Hampton
Commissioner Tim Lee

In 2016 the Queensland Labor Government made a submission to the FWC modern awards review opposing cuts to penalty rates, along with the ACT Labor Government, the Victorian Labor Government and South Australian Labor Government

As did the federal parliamentary Labor Party (The Loyal Opposition) as well as the state parliamentary Labor Party in Tasmania , New South Wales and Western Australia.

The Turnbull Federal Coalition Government was notable by its absence in the list of submissions. As was the Coalition state governments in Tasmania, New South Wales and Western Australia.


A full list of submissions, including those by unions and industry/employer groups can be found here.

As this probably will not be the last time the Fair Work Commission decides to extend its brief to cutting the hourly rates of ordinary workers, a closer look at who is making these decisions is merited.

This is as much as I could glean to date concerning the current makeup of the Commission in March 2017:

Fair Work Commission President

Justice Iain Ross AO  – Labor Government appointee 2012 to 2024

Vice Presidents

Joseph Catanzariti  - Labor Government appointee 2013 to 2024
Adam Hatcher SC  - Labor Government appointee 2013 to 2028

Deputy Presidents

Jennifer Acton – Labor Government appointee 1992 and then Labor Government appointee 2009 to 2020
Lea Drake – Labor Government appointee 1994 and then Labor Government appointee 2009 to 2018
Reginald Hamilton - Coalition Government appointee 2001 and then Labor Government appointee 2009 to 2022
Matthew O'Callaghan - Coalition Government appointee 2001 and then Labor Government appointee 2009 to 2021[resigned February, leaving April 2017]
Jonathan Hamberger - Coalition Government appointee 2004 then Labor Government appointee 2009 to 2024
Peter Sams AM – Labor Government appointee 2012 to 2021
Anna Booth – Labor Government appointee 2012 to 2021
Ms Ingrid Asbury - Labor appointee 2013 to 2028
Ms Anne Gooley - Labor appointee 2013 to 2018
Mr Val Gostencnik – Labor appointee 2013 to 2028
Jeffery Lawrence – Labor appointee 2013 to 2017
John Kovacic – Labor Government appointee 2013 to 2022
Geoffrey Bull – Coalition Government appointee 2015 to 2022
Melanie Binet – Coalition Government appointee 2016 to 2034
W. Richard Clancy - Coalition Government appointee 2016 to 2036
Lyndall Dean - Coalition Government appointee 2016 to 2037

Commissioners

Paula Spencer - Coalition Government appointee 2001 then Labor Government appointee 2009 to 2029
Bruce Williams – Coalition Government appointee 2006 to 2023
Anna Cribb - Labor Government appointee 2009 to 2019
Ian Cambridge -
Labor Government appointee 2010 to 2033
John Ryan -
Labor Government appointee 2010 to 2017
Peter Hampton -
Labor Government appointee 2010 to 2025
Julian Roe -
Labor Government appointee 2010 to 2017
Michelle Bissett
– Labor Government appointee 2010 to 2022
Chris Simpson – Labor Government appointee 2010 to 2034
Tim Lee – Labor Government appointee 2011 to 2029
Susan Booth – Labor Government appointee 2011 to 2022
Donna McKenna Labor Government appointee 2012 to 2025
Bernie Riordan -
Labor Government appointee 2012 to 2027
David Gregory -
Labor Government appointee 2012 to 2019
Nickolas  Wilson - Labor Government appointee 2013 to 2025
Leigh Johns OAM - Labor Government appointee 2013 to 2034
Tony Saunders - Coalition Government appointee 2015 to 2039
Tanya Cirkovic - Coalition Government appointee 2015 to 2028
Christopher Platt - Coalition Government appointee 2015 to 2026
Katrina Harper-Greenwell - Coalition Government appointee 2016 to 2033
Jennifer Hunt - Coalition Government appointee 2016 to 2038

Additional members – can be found here.

Saturday, 11 March 2017

The real Donald J. Trump tweeting in his preferred language


Дональд Дж. Козырь
@realDonaldTrump

Джефф Сессии честный человек. Он не сказал ничего плохого. Он мог бы отметил свой ответ более точно, но это было явно не ....

6:22 вечера - 2 марта 2017
  

Just because it is beautiful...........(24)


Painted Bunting
Passerina ciris
Male
Home range South-East USA
Photography by: Danita Delimont/Getty Images

Friday, 10 March 2017

Clarence Valley Council: did he jump or was he pushed?


Did Clarence Valley General Manager Scott Greensill jump or was he pushed out the door on 3 March 2017?

Today’s joint statement by Clarence Valley Council Mayor Jim Simmons and Mr. Greensill announcing the general manager's resignation effective 5pm on 10 March 2017 is correct in so far as the resignation occurred.

If one leaves aside the fact that within days of council’s 21 February 2017 ordinary monthly meeting there was a strong rumour abroad that a majority of councillors had formally expressed a view that they had no confidence in the general manager.

If that rumour is true, then the general manager’s position was untenable. He had as near as was possible been politely handed his hat and shown the door.

The upside for the general manager is that he can now afford to take an extended paid holiday before he needs to look for new employment, given his 2015 renegotiated contract still had so long to run and a lump sum payment would have been inevitable.

Brief History

Thursday, 2 March 2017
Saturday, 4 March 2017