North Coast Voices will not be posting again until Monday, 4 April 2022. The exception being one prepared post that can be triggered by an announcement of the dissolution of the Australian Parliament.
Tuesday, 1 March 2022
Another bad Newspoll for the Coalition published on 27 February 2022. But which Morrison Government MPs might lose their seats if the election night results were as bad?
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| GRAPH: The Australian |
Newspoll published 27 February 2022 in The Australian.
Survey conducted by YouGov on 23-26 February 2022.
Federal Primary Votes:
Coalition 35% (up 1)
Labor 41% (unchanged)
Greens 9% (up 1)
United Australia Party 4%
One Nation 3% (unchanged)
Federal Two-Party Preferred Vote:
Coalition 45% (unchanged)
Labor 55% (unchanged)
Preferred Prime Minister:
Morrison 42% (down 1)
Albanese 40% (up 2)
Unsure 18%
Albanese Performance:
Approve 44% (up 4) Disapprove% 43 (down 3)
Morrison Performance:
Approve 43% (up 3) Disapprove 55% (down 1)
Based on Antony Green’s Election Calculator if a federal general election had been held on 26 February then Labor would have gained government with 92 seats in the House of Representatives to the Coalition’s 53 seats and, other parties/independents would have held 6 seats.
Under this scenario Labor would gain 23 former Coalition seats and it might lead to a potential outcome such as this:
Banks NSW ALP 0.2% - David Coleman MP defeated
Ryan QLD ALP 0.5% - Julian Simmonds MP defeated
Hasluck WA ALP 0.7% - Ken Wyatt MP defeated
Menzies VIC ALP 1.0% - new Liberal candidate Keith Wolahan defeated
Bennelong NSW ALP 1.1% - no new Liberal candidate to date but defeat expected
Lindsay NSW ALP 1.5% - Melissa McIntosh MP defeated
La Trobe VIC ALP 1.6% - Jason Wood MP defeated
Brisbane QLD ALP 1.6% - Trevor Evans MP defeated
Deakin VIC ALP 1.8% - Michael Sukkar MP defeated
Dickson QLD ALP 1.9% - Peter Dutton MP defeated
Robertson NSW ALP 2.3% - Lucy Wicks MP defeated
Leichhardt QLD ALP 2.3% - Warren Entsch MP defeated
Flinders VIC ALP 2.4% - Zoe McKenzie new Liberal candidate defeated
Pearce WA ALP 2.8% - Linda Aitken new Liberal candidate defeated
Higgins VIC ALP 2.8% - Katie Allen MP defeated
Longman QLD ALP 3.2% - Terry Young MP defeated
Reid NSW ALP 3.3% - Fiona Martin MP defeated
Casey VIC ALP 3.4% - Aaron Violi new Liberal candidate defeated
Braddon TAS ALP 3.4% - Gavin Pearce MP defeated
Swan WA ALP 4.7% - Steve Irons MP defeated
Bass TAS ALP 6.1% - Bridget Archer MP defeated
Chisholm VIC ALP 6.3% - Gladys Lui MP defeated
Boothby SA ALP 6.6% - Nicole Flint MP defeated
Monday, 28 February 2022
ACOSS calls on Morrison Government to act on the 30 recommendations of the Senate Inquiry into Purpose, Intent and Adequacy of the Disability Support Pension
An est. 4.4 million Australians have a recognised disability and, included in this number are est. 1.4 million are considered to have a profound disability.
The majority of people with a disability live in private homes. Of these: 1 in 3 people need help with health care; 1 in 4 need help with property maintenance and/or household chores; and 1 in 2 aged 5 and over have a schooling or employment restriction.
About 340,000 people living with a disability are on an approved plan with the National Disability Insurance Scheme. An est. 53% of people living with a disability are participating in paid employment and 43% rely on a government payments as their sole source of income. Approximately 64% of people with a disability who are not dependents are home owners. [AIHW, "People Living With A Disability 2020"]
Based on the last published Census in 2016, there are est. 19,840 living with a disability and, who require assistance with daily living, residing in the seven local government areas of Northern NSW from the Clarence Valley to Tweed Shire on the NSW-Qld border. That represents 5% of all people in NSW with a disability who require assistance.
On 13 May 2021, the Senate referred an inquiry into the purpose, intent and adequacy of the Disability Support Pension to the Senate Community Affairs References Committee for inquiry and report by 30 November 2021. That date was extended twice and the full report was tabled on 18 February 2022.
The full 145 page report can be found at:
Below is the response to this report by the Australian Council of Social Service (ACOSS).
Key disability advocacy groups join with ACOSS to urge the Australian Government to act on the Disability S... by clarencegirl on Scribd
Help Slow The Rate of Mindless Land Clearing in NSW: there is an open e-Petition on the NSW Parliament website to End Public Native Forest Logging. If you are a NSW resident, please consider signing
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| Logging truck in the Brooman State Forest less than a year after NSW 2019-20 bushfires destroyed more than 80 per cent of the Shoalhaven's bush. IMAGE: The Bush Telegraph, 12 October 2020. |
NSW PARLIAMENT, retrieved 25 February 2022:
LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY - Signing ePetition - End Public Native Forest Logging
To sign the ePetition, confirm you are a resident of New South Wales and enter your title, first name and last name. Once you click ‘submit’ you will have signed the ePetition and will be re-directed to the Legislative Assembly’s ‘ePetitions open for signature’ page
End Public Native Forest Logging
To the Speaker and Members of the Legislative Assembly,
Public native forest logging is pushing iconic species like the koala, swift parrot and greater glider towards extinction.
The 2019/20 Black Summer bushfires burnt over 5 million hectares of forest and have left them more vulnerable to the impacts of logging. The Natural Resources Commission (NRC) and the Environmental Protection Agency have recommended that in bushfire affected areas logging should cease entirely or face tighter restrictions, as current logging practices may cause irreversible damage to ecosystems and wildlife.
Logging of public native forests is tax-payer subsidised. Forestry Corporation’s Hardwood Division has been operating at a significant loss for the past decade. In 2020/21 it ran at a loss of $20 million, with predictions that it will face losses of $15 million until 2024.
Reports also show our state forests can generate far more income through their protection than from logging, through recreation, tourism and carbon abatement.
The Western Australian and Victorian Governments have already committed to ending this industry and have developed transition plans to support affected workers and businesses.
The petitioners ask the Legislative Assembly to:
1. Develop a plan to transition the native forestry industry to 100% sustainable plantations by 2024.
2. In the interim, place a moratorium on public native forest logging until the regulatory framework reflects the recommendations of the leaked NRC report.
3. Immediately protect high-conservation value forests through gazettal in the National Parks estate.
4. Ban use of native forest materials as biomass fuel.
The petitioner of record is Ms Takesa Frank.
To sign the petition go to https://www.parliament.nsw.gov.au/la/pages/epetition-details.aspx?q=quge-8rdRlyn4PTcuMj_PA
This petition closes on 2 August 2022.
Please consider signing if you are a NSW resident.
Sunday, 27 February 2022
In an election year all incumbent governments tend to paint rosy pictures of their tenures to date. Here are a few matters to consider whenever Prime Minister Morrison or any of his Cabinet Ministers talk up their own record
On 21 February North Coast Voices took a brief look at some aspects of daily life that get an airing in an election year - jobs, unemployment, underemployment, cost of living and level of consumer confidence - those basic building blocks by which we often understand how the economy is treating ordinary Australians.
Today the focus is on how governments and industries are treating the environments in which we live. This brief outline primarily looks at the eastern half of the country and only covers gasfields & pipelines, land clearing and the looming extinction crisis.
The Guardian, 23 February 2022:
Australia is spending billions to build thousands of kilometres of new gas pipelines that may end up worthless stranded assets as the world moves to deal with climate change.
The warning comes in a new report by Global Energy Monitor tracking 600km of pipelines currently under construction and 12,200km of proposed new infrastructure across Australia, with the total value of this work amounting to $25.8bn (USD$18.6bn).
According to the report, these projects include “substantial capacity expansions planned along the existing national network”, which “highlights the Australian government’s unbridled enthusiasm” for the gas industry despite the risk of creating stranded assets.
Should they all go ahead, these pipelines would lock in decades of new production in several basins on the east coast including Beetaloo and Narrabri, and the Scarborough gas field in the north-west, by connecting them to export terminals.
The location of existing and potential future supply and infrastructure options across Australia in the 2021 National Gas Plan. Photograph: Commonwealth of Australia
While the projects tracked in the report are consistent with what appears in the 2021 National Gas Plan, it also includes the west-east pipeline proposed by former Dow Chemical Global chairman Andrew Liveris. Liveris, the deputy chair of oil and gas engineering consultancy Worley and director of the world’s largest oil company, Saudi Aramco, revived the idea of a $6bn trans-continental pipeline in 2020 as an architect of the Australian government’s gas-fired recovery in response to the global pandemic.
The proposal – first suggested in the mid-1970s – has long been considered unviable for a range of reasons and the most recent iteration has faced opposition even from within the fossil fuel sector.....
The burning of fossil fuels such as gas is a key driver of global heating. Last year the International Energy Agency said limiting global heating to 1.5C, a goal set out in the Paris agreement, meant exploration and exploitation of new fossil fuel basins had to stop in 2021.
Dan Gocher, Australasian Centre for Corporate Responsibility’s director of climate and the environment, said the scale of construction in Australia showed the “toxic level of influence” fossil fuel companies had on government.
“We don’t need the gas,” Gocher said. “Gas demand on the east coast is forecast to flatline or decline.
Read the full article here.
NOTE:
The Sydney Morning Herald, 29 September 2020:
....Santos' proposed $3.6 billion Narrabri gasfield...
...evidence that a neighbouring coal mine will cause a larger drop in groundwater levels....
Leaks of highly saline groundwater produced from test wells caused localised pollution, killing parts of the Pilliga state forest.
The long-standing concerns include the gasfield sits within a major recharge zone for the Great Artesian Basin, its greenhouse gas emissions include potent methane, and the as-yet unresolved disposal of salt brought to the surface by the 850 proposed wells.
Stuart Khan, a water expert at the University of NSW, noted in his submission that at the low end of estimates the gasfield will produce 430,000 tonnes of salt over its 25-year life – or as much as 850,000 at the high end.
The Guardian, 2 August 2021:
Traditional owners opposed to fracking in the Beetaloo Basin have condemned the Morrison government for handing tens of millions of dollars to gas companies while Indigenous communities lack basic housing and health infrastructure.
A Senate inquiry on Monday heard from a series of traditional owners in the Northern Territory about plans to open up the Beetaloo Basin to gas exploration and fracking.
The plan is part of the so-called “gas-led recovery” for stimulating economic growth following the pandemic and the federal government has already handed $21m in grants to Empire Energy, a firm with some links to the Liberal party, for exploratory drilling.
Two other companies with exploration permits, Falcon Oil and Gas and Sweetpea Petroleum, share links with tax secrecy jurisdictions, a previous hearing of the Senate inquiry has heard.
Traditional owners from Borroloola and Minyerri told the inquiry they feared fracking would poison their water and destroy the land.
The traditional owners criticised a poor consultation and consent process, saying they had been given no information about the plans or told of any risks posed to the land by the fracking process.
GetUp!, 20 February 2022:
Just hours ago, the Morrison Government confirmed it was "getting on with the job of gas exploration" by granting almost $20 million to Empire Energy to frack to the Northern Territory's Beetaloo Basin.
It comes just days after the NT was confirmed as a key election battleground, with Morrison parachuting in to kick off his unofficial election campaign on the ground.
But while Morrison invited media to watch him sink beers in a top end pub, his policies — including fracking and racist housing cuts — show Morrison only thinks of the NT and its First Nations communities as a political football ripe for exploitation.
The Guardian, 17 February 2022:
The New South Wales government has admitted that land clearing has increased threefold over the past decade, woodlands and grasslands are deteriorating, and 62% of vegetation in the state is now under pressure from too much fire.
The NSW State of the Environment 2021 report, released every three years, paints a grim picture for land and freshwater ecosystems, which are under increasing threat from habitat destruction, invasive species and the climate crisis.
The report provides an overview of the environmental issues facing the state including for biodiversity, waterways and the climate.
The number of species in NSW threatened with extinction has grown by 18 (to 1,043) since the previous report in 2018 and 64% of mammals are now considered to have suffered long-term reductions in their habitat range.
Clearing of woody vegetation increased to an annual average of 35,000 hectares between 2017 and 2019, up from 13,000 hectares between 2009 and 2015. The rate of clearing for non-woody vegetation such as shrubs and grasses was even higher.
Bird populations are declining, so too are freshwater fish populations, which were singled out as being in “very poor condition” across the state.
More than 70% of endangered plants, animals and habitats in the state are threatened by invasive species, with pest animals and weeds costing the state’s economy $170m and $1.8bn respectively each year.
The report, released on Wednesday by the NSW Environment Protection Authority, notes that although 62% of land-based species in the state are not considered to be threatened, the number of endangered species is expected to continue to grow.
Although habitat restoration and revegetation programs are in place, these are “not restoring native vegetation at the rate of permanent clearing”, the report states.
“Management and conservation efforts will not be enough to save many species without addressing key threats such as habitat removal and climate change.”
The report highlights the devastating effects of the 2019-20 bushfires disaster, which affected 62% of the state’s vegetation communities, which are now under pressure from too much burning.
It finds that although native vegetation covers 69% of NSW, the ecological carrying capacity of this vegetation is estimated to be just 31% of natural levels in the aftermath of fires.....
The full article can be read here.
On 29 January 2022 Australian Prime Minister & Liberal MP for Cook Scott Morrison in an election-focussed media release announced: "The Morrison Government will invest a record $50 million to boost the long-term protection and recovery efforts for Australia’s koalas". [my yellow highlighting]
Not one of the five aims this 'investment' involved stopping the barely regulated clearing of koala habitat including the felling of vital shelter & feed trees by the forestry industry, urban fringe developers and broad scale farming.
This was the response from the North East Forest Alliance:
Scott Morrison announcement of $50 million for Koalas is a smokescreen to cover-up his Government’s approval for increased logging and clearing of Koala habitat, while allowing climate heating to run amok, threatening the future of both Koalas and the Great Barrier Reef, according to the North East Forest Alliance.
“Without good policies on habitat protection and climate change no amount of money will save Koalas, said NEFA spokesperson Dailan Pugh.
“If Scott Morrison was fair dinkum about protecting Koala habitat the first thing he would do is to stop their feed and roost trees being logged and cleared. Money is no good for Koalas if they have nowhere to live.
“The second is to take urgent and meaningful action on climate heating, as Koalas and their feed trees have already been decimated by intensifying droughts and heatwaves in western NSW, and bushfires in coastal areas.
“If the Morrison Government doesn’t take urgent action on climate heating then neither Koalas nor the Great Barrier Reef will have a future.
“When the Morrison Government issued an indefinite extension to the north-east NSW Regional Forest Agreement in 2018 they agreed to remove the need for Forestry Corporation to thoroughly search for Koalas ahead of logging and protect all identified Koala High Use Areas from logging.
“They also agreed to overriding the NSW Governments own expert’s panel recommendations, supported by the EPA, to retain 25 Koala feed trees per hectare in modelled high quality habitat, by reducing retention down to just 10 smaller trees.
“Thanks to the Morrison Government we now have a shoddy process where a few small trees are protected in inaccurately modelled habitat, while loggers rampage through Koala’s homes, and if a Koala is seen in a tree then all they need to do is wait until it leaves before cutting its tree down.
“Now Scott Morrison is allowing the Forestry Corporation to log identified refuges in burnt forests where Koalas survived the fires.
“The situation on private lands is just as dire. Morrison did nothing to save Koala habitat when his State National Party colleagues declared war on Koalas in mid 2020 and forced his Liberal colleagues to agree to remove protection for mapped core Koala habitat and to open up protected environmental zones for logging. This too is covered by Morrison’s Regional Forest Agreement.
“If he really cared about the future of Koalas the first thing Morrison needs to do is amend the Regional Forest Agreement to ensure there are surveys by independent experts to identify core Koala habitat for protection before clearing or logging.
“Paying for the surveys and providing assistance to affected landholders would be a good use of taxpayers money.
“The second thing is to stop new coal and gas projects, because to have any chance of saving Koalas and the Great Barrier Reef we must act urgently to reduce our CO2 emissions, rather than increasing them.
With the assistance of the Environmental Defenders Office, NEFA is challenging the validity of the North East NSW Regional Forest Agreement on the grounds that the Commonwealth has not duly considered climate change, threatened species and old growth forest. The case is listed for hearing by the Federal Court on 28 March.
“For the future of Koalas, and our growing lists of threatened species, I hope we are successful” Mr. Pugh said.
—————————————————————–
NRC Advice – Coastal IFOA remake (November 2016) p41
NEFA letter to NSW Environment Minister Griffin 10/1/22 https://www.nefa.org.au/fire
[my yellow highlighting]
There is a sad list on Wikipedia containing the names of unique Australian fauna that is thought to have been driven to extinction since 1788. It includes the names of 24 birds, 4 frogs. 2 reptiles, 6 invertebrates and 26 mammals, with another 3 mammals thought to be extinct. The last extinction was listed as occurring just six years ago in 2016.
Under Australia’s Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999, effective July 2000, the list of fauna species driven to extinction include 22 birds, 4 frogs, 1 reptile, 1 invertebrate, 39 mammals with the last mammal extinction occurring in 2016 and, 1 fish listed as extinct in the wild since 2005.
There are another 470 birds, frogs, reptiles, mammals and fish on the EP&BC Act list which are considered Critically Endangered, Endangered or Vulnerable and another 8 fish which are considered Conservation Dependent. The last mammal classified as Endangered was the Koala in February 2022.
If one looks closely at this long list of disappeared and disappearing fauna, an uncomfortable fact presents itself – since 2014 the number of species which are another step closer to becoming functionally extinct at state, regional or local levels has increased and, some may be fully and irreversibly extinct in our lifetimes.
The plight of Australia's fauna is not an accident of history. It is the result of ignorance, greed, neglect and environmental vandalism, often ignored or condoned over centuries. For the first 113 years this occurred under Colonial and Dominion governments, however for the last 121 years this has occurred in an independent Federation under the by-laws, regulations and laws of the three tiers of government - local, state and federal.
It is worth remembering it is federal legislation and regulations which have precedence. A fact Prime Minister Morrison is inclined to play down whenever he finds this politically inconvenient to acknowledge.
As for climate change mitigation.....
Crikey, 24 February 2022:
Australia’s largest fossil fuel companies systematically underestimate the amount of greenhouse gas emissions they will produce, according to new analysis.
What we know:
A report by the Australian Conservation Foundation found a fifth emit significantly more greenhouse gases than originally estimated in government approval processes (The Guardian);
Some fossil fuel operations emit more than 20 times what was predicted before they were approved;
Gas giant Chevron was the worst offender, with its Gorgon LNG plant producing an additional 16m tonnes of emissions;
Whitehaven’s Maules Creek coalmine was another major offender, emitting three to four times more greenhouse gas emissions than initially estimated;
ACF lead environmental investigator Annica Schoo said it proved the federal government’s safeguard mechanism was ineffective;
It comes as the Morrison government reissues almost $20m in grants to gas drilling projects in the Beetaloo Basin after the federal court thwarted its first attempt (Renew Economy);
A new study meanwhile finds climate change has intensified the water cycle and shifted at least twice the amount of freshwater away from warm regions than previously thought (The Guardian).
NOTE:
THE ENVIRONMENT CENTRE NT INC v MINISTER FOR RESOURCES AND WATER, THE COMMONWEALTH OF AUSTRALIA and IMPERIAL OIL & GAS PTY LTD (ACN 002 699 578), judgment 23 December 2021, in part reads:
“….I find that the Contracts Decision was legally unreasonable. No question arises as to the materiality of that error so as to avoid it being characterised as a jurisdictional error. Applying the approach in Project Blue Sky at [91] per McHugh, Gummow, Kirby and Hayne JJ, I accept the applicant’s submission that, where jurisdictional error is established in the exercise of the power under s 34 of the IRD Act, the Contracts Decision is invalid and, consequently, the Imperial Contracts themselves are void.”
See:
Saturday, 26 February 2022
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