Tuesday 19 January 2010

Australia's 2009 greenhouse gas emissions report card shows good intentions are never enough to drive meaningful change


Although government and the media are inclined to place a very positive spin on these figures from The Climate Group's Greenhouse Indicator Annual Report 2009:Victoria, New South Wales, Queensland and South Australia and Australian Petroleum Use and Emissions Annual Report 2009, one has to wonder what Australia's total greenhouse gas emission levels are given that two states and one territory are missing from the electricity calculations (the Australian Capital Territory appears to be included with NSW).

What the national petroleum and electricity production and consumption profile suggests is that Australia spent 2009 merely marking time in relation to her total national greenhouse gas emissions, given that this year's figures come off the back of a national estimated increase of 553 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent, or 1.1 per cent, in 2008 and an energy sector increase of 42 per cent from 1990 to 2007, and by another 1.5 per cent in 2008 according to the Federal Minister for Climate Change and Water in June 2009 and the east coast's total 2008 greenhouse gas emissions were 19 per cent higher than in 2000.

Excerpts from the aforementioned The Climate Group documents:

2009 Results
Across Victoria, NSW, Queensland and South Australia annual emissions were 5.3 million tonnes lower in 2009 than in 2008.
This is a fall of 1.8 per cent for the year.
The decrease was not uniform across all states.
Annual emissions in Victoria and Queensland registered the smallest relative reduction, with falls of 0.5 per cent (543,500 tonnes) and 1.1 per cent (852,210 tonnes) respectively.
Emissions in NSW and South Australia declined more substantially, down by 3.1 per cent (3,201,360 tonnes) and 4.2 per cent (730,210 tonnes) respectively.....
Electricity
Across the four states the total electricity generated during 2009 was 1.9 per cent lower than 2008. Coal was responsible for 87.8 per cent of all scheduled electricity generation, down from 88.9 per cent the previous year.
The share of gasfired generation rose from 8.4 to 9.3 per cent and the share of renewable generation increased slightly from 2.7 to 2.8 per cent.
The overall greenhouse intensity of scheduled electricity generation remained virtually identical to 2008.
In 2009, greenhouse intensity of electricity generation was 0.9267 tonnes CO2e per MWh. In 2008, it was 0.9282 tonnes CO2e per MWh.
In Victoria, electricity demand fell by 2.0 per cent in 2009 compared with the previous year.
Generation from brown coalfired generators increased by 1.1 per cent, while 27 per cent less electricity was produced from gas.
A fall in demand combined with a smaller decline in generation meant that Victoria's net export of electricity to other States was 73 per cent higher in 2009 than in 2008.
About 4.6 per cent of electricity produced in Victoria was exported in 2009 compared with 2.6 per cent in 2008.
In NSW, electricity demand fell by 1.2 per cent in 2009.
Generation from black coalfired generators in NSW fell by 6.1 per cent with gas‐fired generation achieving a 191 per cent growth due to new power stations being commissioned.
However, this was coming off a very low base of 0.6 per cent of total generation in 2008, rising to 1.7 per cent of generation in 2009.
Net imports from other states grew by 61 per cent compared with 2008 levels representing 5.6 per cent of overall electricity demand in 2009, up from 3.4 per cent in 2008.
In Queensland, electricity demand grew by 1.5 per cent this year compared with 2008.
Generation from black coal‐fired generators fell by 3.0 per cent while gas‐fired generation increased by 16 per cent.
The net export of electricity to other states from Queensland was 24 per cent less than the amount exported in 2008. In 2009, Queensland exported 8.1 per cent of the electricity it generated, down from 10.5 per cent in 2008.
In South Australia, electricity demand increased by 0.1 per cent in 2009.
Generation from coalfired generators fell by 2.8 per cent while electricity produced from gasfired generation was 11.5 per cent lower, meaning that total generation fell by 4.3 per cent in 2009.
Subsequently, South Australia went from being a marginal net exporter of electricity in 2008 to a net importer in 2009.....
Petroleum
Total emissions from petroleumbased fuels were 95.630 million tonnes across all four states.
In contrast to the previous year, 2009 has seen a decrease in sales of petroleumbased fuels across all states, except in SA.
Victoria was the state that had the greatest fall in emissions from petroleum, with emissions falling by 2.1 per cent or 540,000 tonnes.
NSW and Queensland only recorded slight reductions of 0.2 and 0.3 per cent respectively.
South Australia was the only state to register and increase – a marginal rise of 3000 tonnes or 0.3 per cent.
These reductions in petroleum sales come despite positive population growth in each of the states, and growth in Gross State Product in each state.
Across the different types of petroleumbased fuels, results were mixed. Diesel sales were up across all states except for in Victoria were they fell.
Petrol sales fell in Victoria and Queensland, remained the same in NSW and increased in South Australia.....
National Overview of Petroleum
During the 12 months from October 2008 to September 2009, the use of petroleumbased fuels across Australia produced 120.7 million tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions.
This represents around 20 per cent of the Australia's total emissions.
This was a reduction of 1.6 million tonnes or 1.3 per cent on the previous 12 months and went some way to reversing a 2.9 per cent rise in emissions from petroleum based fuels between 2007 08.
This decline in petroleum emissions occurred despite a rise in population of 2.1 per cent across the country.
The use of and resulting emissions from LPG, petrol, diesel and other fuels all fell this past year with the exception of aviation fuel, emissions from which saw a small growth of 0.1 per cent to 16.1 million tonnes .
It is likely that the fall in overall petroleum use and emissions is largely due to the global financial crisis, which has curtailed business and industrial growth, especially in heavy industry and resources sectors.
The GFC also affected consumer confidence....

New South Wales emissions for the week ending 14 Jan 2010*:
1.972 million tonnes CO2e
This year to date: 3.808 million tonnes CO2
Last year to date: 3.699 million tonnes CO2


* NSW’s emissions from energy grew by 13% or 136,000 tonnes due mainly to an increase in emissions from coal-fired generation. Emissions from coal-fired electricity, which accounted for 85% of electricity generation in NSW this week, grew by 11% or 118,000 tonnes with a number of generation units coming online to meet the higher demand. Electricity demand grew by 14%. NSW imported 6% of its electricity demand from other states, compared to 11% last week. Emissions from gas grew by 25% or 24,000 tonnes. Emissions from petroleum products fell by 0.8% or 5,000 tonnes. This week’s Indicator is 3.8% higher than the same week in 2009 and total emissions to this stage of 2010 are 3.0% higher than the similar stage last year. This week’s Indicator is 29% above the average equivalent 1990 weekly emissions and 11% above the equivalent 2000 weekly average.

Cycling for a brighter sustainable future on the NSW North Coast?


Over the years I have heard many Yamba residents, who happen to enjoy cycling, express concerns over the fact that the only road between their town and Maclean is nigh on impassable for two-wheeled traffic and, that Yamba might as well be an island when it comes to bicycle travel.
People who enjoy a long brisk walk rarely proceed even as far as Yamba bridge due to the uncomfortable proximity of vehicular traffic.

If for no other reason than a collective lower carbon footprint, NSW North Coast local government should be actively pursuing linking its small towns via designated cycle lanes, when these same towns are within easy reach of the recreational cyclist.

The immediate spin-offs would possibly be first expressed as an increased exchange of disposable income between towns and higher tourists traffic (something Northern Rivers towns tirelessly work towards achieving).

Cycle track

IT'S time that a cycle track and walking path were constructed between Yamba and Maclean.
The Maclean to Yamba road is always busy throughout the year for work, school and other traffic - and especially at peak tourist times. Walkers and recreational cyclists in Yamba take their lives in their hands if they venture past the Oyster Channel bridge.
Increasing numbers of people cycle for recreation and fitness. We are urged to look after our health and fitness by walking.
Let's see Clarence Valley Council get on and provide this much needed infrastructure.

S SCHMOLKE, Yamba.
[The Daily Examiner, letter to the editor, 29 December 2009]

Cycling

FULL praise to Sue Schmolke for raising the issue of cycle paths in Yamba and Maclean.
Not that long ago I had to leave my car at Maclean for repairs, and because I had been a cyclist over many years I decided to take my bike with me and ride home to Yamba.
The trip back was a delight, but I am afraid to say there were parts of the road where I couldn't get off and I heard cars being slowed down as they inched their way past me.
Suffice to say, I won't be doing this again, but it seems such a shame in these days when most of us should be exercising more.
I am sure we have all seen small family groups arriving in Yamba with vans or trailers. More often than not there are bikes somewhere on the load.
This alone must give some credence to what Sue Schmolke is saying.
This comment is not intended as criticism of our council. In many ways their outlook has been marvellous with quite a few cycleways already in existence.
What is needed, however, are more ways of keeping cyclists of all ages, particularly children, out of harm's way.
More or better cycleways, plus attention to the verges on existing roads, can only add to the success that is Yamba and Maclean.

ALLAN TOWNSEND, Yamba.
[The Daily Examiner, letter to the editor,16 January 2010]

How much notice is the blogosphere taking of Rudd and Abbott at the start of 2010?


There was probably some method in the Mad Monk's verbal incontenience during the last few weeks - without it he may not have come close to keping pace with a prime minister who was being talked about even when he was going low profile during the parliamentary break.
This curve compares the popularity of queries tony abbott and kevin rudd in the blogosphere. Two terms closely related during some time period have similar looking popularity curves in that time interval, and hence these curves can be used to analyze relation between two topics. *


* BlogScope is an analysis and visualization tool for blogosphere which is being developed as part of a research project at the University of Toronto. It is currently tracking over 40.99 million blogs with 1116.38 million posts. BlogScope can assist the user in discovering interesting information from these millions of blogs via a set of numerous unique features including popularity curves, identification of information bursts, related terms, and geographical search

Monday 18 January 2010

Just how seriously should we take those conspiracy theorists and should government be concerned?


Conspiracy theories have probably been around since humankind began to congregate in large numbers, but there is little doubt that the Internet has allowed the genre to flourish and endure as never before.
So much so that academic papers are now written on the subject.

Many millions of people hold conspiracy theories; they believe that powerful people have worked together in order to withhold the truth about some important practice or some terrible event. A recent example is the belief, widespread in some parts of the world, that the attacks of 9/11 were carried out not by Al Qaeda, but by Israel or the United States. Those who subscribe to conspiracy theories may create serious risks, including risks of violence, and the existence of such theories raises significant challenges for policy and law. The first challenge is to understand the mechanisms by which conspiracy theories prosper; the second challenge is to understand how such theories might be undermined. Such theories typically spread as a result of identifiable cognitive blunders, operating in conjunction with informational and reputational influences. A distinctive feature of conspiracy theories is their self-sealing quality. Conspiracy theorists are not likely to be persuaded by an attempt to dispel their theories; they may even characterize that very attempt as further proof of the conspiracy. Because those who hold conspiracy theories typically suffer from a crippled epistemology, in accordance with which it is rational to hold such theories, the best response consists in cognitive infiltration of extremist groups. Various policy dilemmas, such as the question whether it is better for government to rebut conspiracy theories or to ignore them, are explored in this light. [Sunstein, Cass R. and Vermeule, Adrian, Conspiracy Theories (January 15, 2008), Harvard Public Law Working Papers,SSRN abstract] Download full paper here.

What the authors are politely implying is that conspiracy theorists are often credulous and ignorant. What they appear to be advocating is intervention on extremist websites and fora, by salting these venues with government-approved alternative explanations either openly or anonymously.

But should government be encouraged to act in a surreptitious manner?
Will anonymous debate by government agencies only confuse the legitimacy/strength of any response to a social or political issue, no matter how far out that response may become?
Aren't the crooked debating techniques which government already frequently employs (along with the PR firms it sometimes hires to assist) enough of a burden in any public debate?
Are conspiracy theories generally so destructive that they warrant government action by way of blogosphere black-ops?

Some false conspiracies manifest as rather vaguely held beliefs like this one found at Agmates Community Site:
Communists now control the executive branch of the US government. They completely control the Secretariat of the UN. They tried to deal with Lord Monckton at Copenhagen.
They control many bureaucracies in Australia including CSIRO. This is not a good situation. It is time for action! It is time for the silent majority to stand up.


While others are more elaborate constructions such as the enduring threat of Illuminati world domination by 'lizard' people. This classic example was found at Educate-Yourself:
There is a worldwide conspiracy being orchestrated by an extremely powerful and influential group of genetically-related individuals (at least at the highest echelons) which include many of the world's wealthiest people, top political leaders, and corporate elite, as well as members of the so-called Black Nobility of Europe (dominated by the British Crown) whose goal is to create a One World (fascist) Government, stripped of nationalistic and regional boundaries, that is obedient to their agenda. Their intention is to effect complete and total control over every human being on the planet and to dramatically reduce the world's population by 5.5 Billion people. While the name New World Order is a term frequently used today when referring to this group, it's more useful to identify the principal organizations, institutions, and individuals who make up this vast interlocking spiderweb of elite conspirators.....

Some potential conspiracies register on the news cycle and then fade away:
Is information warfare to blame for the damage to underwater internet cables that has interrupted internet service to millions of people in India and Egypt, or is it just a series of accidents?

Yet others are elaborate constructions, such as alternative explanations for the collapse of the World Trade Towers in New York found within the broad church which is the 9/11 Truth Movement:
In this paper, I call for a serious investigation of the hypothesis that WTC 7 and the Twin Towers were brought down, not just by impact damage and fires, but through the use of pre-positioned cutter-charges. I consider the official FEMA, NIST, and 9-11 Commission reports that fires plus impact damage alone caused complete collapses of all three buildings. And I present evidence for the controlled-demolition hypothesis, which is suggested by the available data, and can be tested scientifically, and yet has not been analyzed in any of the reports funded by the US government. [Jones, SE (2006) "Why indeed did the WTC Buildings Completely Collapse?",Journal of 9/11 Studies]

A few can be said to have had widespread mainstream media dissemination, such as the al Fayed assertion that his son and Princess Diana were murdered. A belief which saw cause of death open to debate for a number of years until a much-delayed formal inquest.

More than one conspiracy theory appears to have had a strong political impact.
The 9/11 theories and the "there is no man-made global warming' view would have to fall into this category. The former because so many individuals in Muslim countries appear to believe that Islamic extremists were not involved in the attack and the latter because it has given conservative politicians and polluting industries an excuse to either ignore or sideline the issue of catastrophic climate change.

This is an early example of The Myth of Global Warming:
The SwindleThe Great Global Warming Swindle
Sea Levels Not Rising Except In The Lies of the IPCC
Solar Cycles, Not CO2 Determine Climate Global Climate Explained (If you Want To Worry)
Suspend Disaster The Myth Of Global Warming
A Load Of Hot Air Climate Change Hysteria is Costing Us
The Ice Age Cometh The Real Danger Of An Ice Age
Global Warming Messy Models, Decent Data, and Pointless Policy
Hot Politics Doctoring Of Reports By UN Experts
Cool Climate The Absurdity Of Trying To Control Climate
A Pagan Fantasy The Effect Of Accepting Popular Paranoia As Truth

With what is possibly the largest modern anti-science set of beliefs, the Global Warming Conspiracy, developing a loose but increasingly sophisticated organizational structure, its claims becoming even more brazen and its media coverage almost guaranteed, I suspect that the real question politicians are privately asking each other is "Will this false {insert name} conspiracy theory change voter intention and will this be to my advantage?"

I expect that during the Australian federal and state election campaigns in 2010 voters will have to keep a wary eye on the origins of all forms of information, because I cannot see any political party resisting the urge to secretly insert its own brand of misinformation into the online political debate through a multitude of "Stan of Wagga Wagga", "Cheryl at Toongabbie", Marge from Moonee Ponds" and "Bruce via Brisbane" false persona or the mainstream media forego the urge to foster its own political pets with a plethora of unsupported "unnamed sources".

Abbott won't rule out putting a nuclear power station on a headland near you


Now that headline's a bit rich I know {slaps own hand}.
It may have been the meaning of the words the Federal Leader of the Opposition strung together in a radio interview aired on ABC News Radio early last Friday morning, but it was obviously not what Tony Abbott wanted to convey to the Australian electorate as he began his pursuit of the 'green vote'.
The fact that I posted the headline is a good indication of the level of faith I place in Abbott's sudden discovery that he is a "practical environmentalist" committed to a green country and economy.
His vision for Australia is a frightening mixture of naivity and old, limited solutions based on an idea that the environmental problems can be somehow kept seperate from the issue of climate change and an historical failure to assign a direct economic cost to pollution by industry.
It was hard to keep a straight face when I realised that his Murray-Darling solution would require the country to mark time for the entire first term he was in office and already vested interest have signalled opposition to his plan - as happened when the Coalition last mooted a similar plan.
As for his saying that he wouldn't vigorously pursue nuclear energy production if he became prime minister - I won't even pretend that I don't consider this a whopping political lie by a deliberately deceitful pollie.
The man changes his public policy positions more times than he changes his shirt, but I suspect that his private goals haven't altered much over the years because his support for nuclear options surfaces fairly regularly in media releases.
There are only moral barbarians found on that racetrack to The Lodge these days
.
Possum has a handle on the size of the Coalition's credibility problem.



















One of Possum's graphs over at his post "Abbott's Green Army" which tell the story.

Sunday 17 January 2010

Rolling Stone magazine calls Rupert Murdoch a climate killer


This month Rolling Stone magazine takes a sharp American pen to the growing band of climate change disinformation peddlers in an article titled The Climate Killers: Meet the 17 polluters and deniers who are derailing efforts to curb global warming.


The Disinformer
Rupert Murdoch
CEO, News Corporation

In 2007, when the world's most powerful media baron announced his newfound conviction that global warming "poses clear, catastrophic threats," it seemed as though the truth about climate change might finally get the attention it deserves. Murdoch promised that not only would News Corp. itself become carbon-neutral by 2010, but that his media outlets would explain the urgent need for a cap on carbon emissions. Climate change, he pledged, would be addressed as a sober reality across the News Corp. empire, whether as a plot element on 24 or in a story on Fox News. "I don't think there's any question of my conviction on this issue," Murdoch declared. "I've come to feel it very strongly."

Since then, however, Murdoch and his media operations have become the nation's leading source of disinformation about climate change. In October, Fox Business ran an extended segment on "The Carbon Myth," inviting a hack scientist to "make the case" that more carbon pollution is actually "good for the environment." The Wall Street Journal has continued to lie not only about the reality of global warming but about Obama's efforts to prevent it, denouncing climate legislation as "likely to be the biggest tax in American history." The New York Post insisted that the Copenhagen climate negotiations were little more than a meet-up for "shamsters, scam artists and assorted 'global warming' opportunists" who planned to "transfer a trillion bucks from the economies of the world's developed nations to Third World kleptocrats — with God-only-knows how much cash sticking to the fingers of well-connected U.N. bureaucrats." And on Fox News, right-wing attack dog Sean Hannity misinformed his viewers that 2009 — the fifth-hottest year in the past 130 — was "one of the coldest years on record." Hannity then summed up the deranged denial that permeates Murdoch's media empire: "I don't believe climate change is real," he said. "I think this is global-warming hysteria and alarmism."

Among others included in this list are:
The Profiteer
Warren Buffett
CEO, Berkshire Hathaway

The Fake Protestor
Jack Gerard
President, American Petroleum

Burning Man
Rex Tillerson
CEO, ExxonMobil

The Drudge of Denial
Marc Morano
Founder, Climate Depot
God's Denier
Sen. James Inhofe
Republican, Oklahoma

The Hack Scientist
Fred Singer
Retired physicist, University of Virginia

The Tea Partiers
Charles and David Koch
CEO and Executive Vice President, Koch Industries


In the same January 2010 issue Rolling Stone also ran with As the World Burns: How Big Oil and Big Coal mounted one of the most aggressive lobbying campaigns in history to block progress on global warming which included this observation:

Over the past year, the corporations and special interests most responsible for climate change waged an all-out war to prevent Congress from cracking down on carbon pollution in time for Copenhagen. The oil and coal industries deployed an unprecedented army of lobbyists, spent millions on misleading studies and engaged in outright deception to derail climate legislation. "It was the most aggressive and corrupt lobbying campaign I've ever seen," says Paul Begala, a veteran Democratic consultant.

The sheer futility of Internet censorship - mind numbingly stupid racist webpage still exists


At the end of last week Granny Herald mentioned that Google had taken down a website at the request of an Australian citizen:
"Google has agreed to take down links to a website that promotes racist views of indigenous Australians.
Aboriginal man Steve Hodder-Watt recently discovered the US-based site by searching "Aboriginal and Encyclopedia" in the search engine.
He tried to modify the entry on Encyclopedia Dramatica, a satirical and extremely racist version of Wikipedia, but was blocked from doing so.
Mr Hodder-Watt then undertook legal action, that resulted in Google acknowledging its legal responsibility to remove the offensive site.
His lawyer, George Newhouse, said the site was "one of the most offensive sorts of racial vilification you could possibly find".
"It portrays indigenous Australians in the most unsavoury light possible, and you wouldn't want a child stumbling across it," he told ABC Radio.
Mr Newhouse said Google agreed to take the link down after he filed an official complaint to the Australian Human Rights Commission."
I imagine that this news report gave Federal Communications Minister Stephen Conroy a warm fuzzy feeling in the middle of his little tum tum. The good ship HMAS Censorship was afloat.
Except that the Google search engine index still contains links to the website, as well as at least one direct link to the offending webpage along with cache {and no, I won't link to it because it's too bluidy ripe} and the entire page can be easily viewed again as it's internally linked from the website's homepage.
Not only that, but now this supposedly censored page contains a very offensive cartoon of the man who complained to Google Inc.
According to the relevant Google search results; "In response to a legal request submitted to Google, we have removed 4 result(s) from this page. If you wish, you may read more about the request at ChillingEffects.org" and "we have removed 1 result(s) from this page" appear.
Chilling Effects displays a letter which states; "Google received a complaint about a website that allegedly violates the Australian Anti Discrimination Act. Accordingly, Google removed the website from Google.com.au".
However, three days later and I'm able to view the updated nasty, spiteful webpage with ease on Google.com.au.
By the end of this week I expect that there will be other links to this alleged satire growing out there in cyberspace, as it is already starting off with well over 3,000 sites (including Twitter) linking in from Uzbekistan through to China, Europe, Australia and the Americas.
If Google can't effectively censor the dynamic World Wide Web, what hope do you think you have, Stevo?

Saturday 16 January 2010

The arts are a growth industry on the NSW North Coast


Family Connections by Michael Philp, Men's Business Exhibition
at the Northern Rivers Community Gallery, Ballina

The Arts Northern Rivers team is an enthusiastic and capable promoter of arts on the NSW North Coast.

It has produced a two-page advocacy brochure which outlines a dynamic local scene:

The Northern Rivers region of NSW is a vibrant growth centre for arts and creative industries in Australia.

The region has the highest creative industry employment growth in NSW - more than double the growth rate of Sydney, and the highest "density" of creative workers per capita in the state outside Sydney (NSW Creative Industry: Economic Fundamentals, February 2009).

Located on the far north coast of NSW, the region is internationally renowned for its creative communities such as Byron Bay, Lismore, Murwillumbah, Nimbin and Yamba, it has become a centre for increasing numbers of sophisticated export oriented creative businesses.

The estimated economic impact of Creative Industries earnings in 2006 was $187.6 million. (Imagining the Future, Cathy Henkel 2006).

Employment in the arts and creative industries in the region is growing at 25% faster than the rest of the regional economy, and the Northern Rivers now has the highest concentration of visual artists outside the capital cities, and the largest cluster of screen industry workers outside Sydney and Melbourne.

Strongest Sectors

• visual arts and design eg. furniture exporter Zaishu, jewellery by Riley Burnett, eco-textiles and homewares by Bird and renowned visual artists James Guppy and Angus McDonald, and Indigenous visual artists Karla Dickens and Garth Lena
• writing and publishing eg celebrated writers such as Robert Drewe, Di Morrissey, Marele Day, and emerging children’s writer Tristan Bancks
• screen and digital content eg. the animated children’s series DirtGirlWorld; drama series East of Everything, and the feature film Lou, and many broadcast documentaries
• music and performing arts eg Grinspoon, Troy Cassar-Daley, Vitamin Records, Studio 301, Rocking Horse Studios, local comedians Mandy Nolan and Arj Barker
• cultural festivals East Coast Blues Festival, Splendour in the Grass, Byron Bay Writers Festival, Wintersun Festival, Lismore Lantern Parade
• arts education sector Southern Cross University, North Coast TAFE, SAE Colleges

Unfortunately the region has recently lost Splendor in the Grass to a Queensland venue. One of the very few backward steps taken in the last decade of cultural enrichment, which has seen as many as 76 exhibitions spaces/galleries/museums feature local artists and travelling exhibitions with the number of entertainment venues featuring local performers or touring shows ranging from pubs and clubs through to larger outdoor settings.

Northern Rivers Arts & Creative Industries Strategy 2008 - 2012 (Part 1)
Northern Rivers Arts & Creative Industries Strategy 2008 - 2012 (Part 2)
Northern Rivers Arts & Creative Industries Strategy 2008 - 2012 (Part 3)
Northern Rivers Arts & Creative Industries Strategy, Mapping Report, 2008 - 2012

Come in spinner! Time to lay bets on who'll win the 2010 Race to The Lodge


Antony Green has narrowed the dates for the 2010 federal election in Australia down to a Saturday between 3rd July and 18th September and online betting has the current odds posted.

Sporting Bet:
Australian Federal Election 31 Dec 2010
Scheduled for 2010/2011. Pay Out on Party That Provides the Prime Minister
Straight
Labor 1.20
Coalition 4.25

LuxBet:
Australian Federal Election Fri 31st Dec 20:00
Event Notice: Thu 30th Jul 12:52
Outright Winner
Australian Labor Party 1.12
Coalition 6.00

Centrebet:
AUST FED ELECTION (Sch: 2010/11)
LABOR $1.14 (in from $1.16)
COALITION $5.15 (out from $4.75)

Betfair:
Next Federal Election
Labor 1.2
Coalition 4.9

Paddy Power:
Is offering odds on NT, SA, Vic & Tas and what looks like the next federal election.

Monday 31st May 2010, 22:00
Winning Party
Australian Labour Party 1/5
Liberal National Coalition 3/1
Australian Greens 100/1
Family First Party 250/1

Friday 15 January 2010

China's cyberdoor kicked down by Google



Sometime in the last three days Google flung China's door to the global Internet wide open.
This is the YouTube link on www.google.com.cn to videos showing the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre.
Amnesty International commentary on the student protests is also able to be viewed, including this photo:


A China Daily article on Google's stand against China's Internet policy and recent hacking attempts is also intermittently available, although there have been reports that Baidu (dominant search engine backed by Chinese Government) is blocking access to Google's official blog post but not to links mentioning it.

How green is the Internet?


How green is the Internet? Not green at all would have to be the answer to that question.

Information and communication technology is said to directly contribute a whopping 2% of global carbon emissions according to Bell Labs research and the average network user consumes an estimated 25 watts of energy.

This means that worldwide the use of landlines, mobile phones, blackberries, personal computers etc. result in more greenhouse gas emissions in a year than total annual emission levels from entire countries like Australia and, the industry's carbon levels are expected to more than double over the next decade if communication technology is allowed to continue as usual.

In an effort to reduce this dismal state of affairs a consortium (which includes the University of Melbourne's Institute for a Broadband-Enabled Society) has formed under the banner Green Touch to work towards an energy efficiency level, via changes in coding techniques which might eventually see the world's communications networks run for three years on the energy it currently takes to collectively power these networks for a day.

ITNews reports that the Australian Government already spent $1.411 million over three consecutive financial years on investigations used to create the nucleus of the URL blacklist it intends to use to censor the Internet from mid-2011, but what will the cost be in carbon terms once ISPs operating in this country have to run a mandatory filtering program against the online activity of every Australian user?

Google Gives China A Minties Moment


Google Inc. deserves a slap on the back and a free beer......
Here's what it posted on its blog on 12th January 2010 about the current situation in one of the few countries imposing mandatory Internet censorship:
"Like many other well-known organizations, we face cyber attacks of varying degrees on a regular basis. In mid-December, we detected a highly sophisticated and targeted attack on our corporate infrastructure originating from China that resulted in the theft of intellectual property from Google. However, it soon became clear that what at first appeared to be solely a security incident--albeit a significant one--was something quite different.
First, this attack was not just on Google. As part of our investigation we have discovered that at least twenty other large companies from a wide range of businesses--including the Internet, finance, technology, media and chemical sectors--have been similarly targeted. We are currently in the process of notifying those companies, and we are also working with the relevant U.S. authorities.
Second, we have evidence to suggest that a primary goal of the attackers was accessing the Gmail accounts of Chinese human rights activists. Based on our investigation to date we believe their attack did not achieve that objective. Only two Gmail accounts appear to have been accessed, and that activity was limited to account information (such as the date the account was created) and subject line, rather than the content of emails themselves.
Third, as part of this investigation but independent of the attack on Google, we have discovered that the accounts of dozens of U.S.-, China- and Europe-based Gmail users who are advocates of human rights in China appear to have been routinely accessed by third parties. These accounts have not been accessed through any security breach at Google, but most likely via phishing scams or malware placed on the users' computers............

These attacks and the surveillance they have uncovered--combined with the attempts over the past year to further limit free speech on the web--have led us to conclude that we should review the feasibility of our business operations in China. We have decided we are no longer willing to continue censoring our results on Google.cn, and so over the next few weeks we will be discussing with the Chinese government the basis on which we could operate an unfiltered search engine within the law, if at all. We recognize that this may well mean having to shut down Google.cn, and potentially our offices in China.
These attacks and the surveillance they have uncovered--combined with the attempts over the past year to further limit free speech on the web--have led us to conclude that we should review the feasibility of our business operations in China. We have decided we are no longer willing to continue censoring our results on Google.cn, and so over the next few weeks we will be discussing with the Chinese government the basis on which we could operate an unfiltered search engine within the law, if at all. We recognize that this may well mean having to shut down Google.cn, and potentially our offices in China...."

Taking all that in Stevo? Still don't see the yawning slippery slope you are setting Australia on with your daft plan to nationally censor the Internet?
Let's hope that Google does stand up to China and takes whatever economic hit comes its way, so that "do no evil" begins to mean something again across the more than 150 international Internet domains this company holds.

# OpenNet Initiative maps showing known levels of online social, national security, political & IT technology information censorship around the globe.

Thursday 14 January 2010

Is this going to be the year of takedown notice?


It was only the eleventh day of the year when I took a look at the Chilling Effects database to see if there had been any movement on its Cease & Desist list.
I was rather surprised to find that there had been 29 takedown requests since 1 January 2010 - the majority alleging copyright infringement.


Seems the music and film industries are starting the year off as they mean to continue. Even hustler.com was yelling about copyright protection - something it has been doing since November 2009.

The blogger Patrick Frey from Patterico's Pontifications also started the year with a takedown request from a photographer, which was publicly refused on 9 January 2010 in a post on that blog.

Cryptome (an American whistleblower site) had one of its hosted webpages deleted at the beginning of the year, in response to Microsoft's November 2009 request which alleged unlawful sale of its product. The emails exchanged are here.

Cryptome held firm on another takedown demand in late 2009, this time by Yahoo! which objected to Internet users knowing how much it was charging the U.S. Government to supply information about their accounts and, a very interesting series of ISP spying price list links can be found below that email exchange.

As I write, the Chilling Effects C&D file now contains over 3,000 entries and rather surprisingly only about eleven of these involving allegation of defamation.

Thankfully Wikipedia does not feature yet this year, as this October 2009 letter indicated that it had entered deep water with one of its posts and the wiki team probably would like a quiet 2010.

The international whistleblower site Wikileaks hasn't woken up for the year yet, so I don't know how it is faring.

FARK!! It looks like being hot and steamy across the Northern Rivers for the rest of summer


According to the Oz Bureau of Meteorology on 6th January this year:

Pacific Ocean warming near its peak
"Central Pacific Ocean temperatures remain well above El Niño thresholds. Trade wind strength returned to near normal over the past fortnight, slightly reducing the excessive warmth of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. However, significant areas remain more than 2°C above average at the surface, and over 4°C warmer than normal at depth. Climate models suggest that tropical Pacific temperatures may have peaked for this event, though are likely to remain above El Niño thresholds until the southern autumn. Despite a rise in recent days, the Southern Oscillation Index has generally remained at levels typical of an El Niño event over the past fortnight. Similarly, cloudiness and rainfall near the equator have remained enhanced, typical of a mature El Niño event. The influence of El Niño events on Australian rainfall typically declines by mid to late summer. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has a reduced impact upon Australia over the summer months."

In practical terms this means the NSW North Coast has a fair chance of baking for the rest of summer.

BOM maps can be found here and here.

Wednesday 13 January 2010

Vehicles and beaches are not a good mix


The Daily Examiner on 11 January 2010
Click on image to enlarge

It's the height of summer once more and families with children are flocking to North Coast beaches for a day of sun and surf. Older residents are also seeking a little relief from the heat with a beach walk at the end of the day.

As usual the issue of vehicles driving onto and along the beach surfaces at this time of year, as is shown by the above opinion piece.

It always amazes me to see obviously healthy and otherwise active men take a four-wheel drive onto the beach, just so that they don't have to walk a mere quarter mile to set up their rods and reels for a little beach fishing.

However, what actually offends me is the sight of a carload of young adults, too lazy to use their legs, pelting down the beach on a bit of a sightseeing spree.

Old people, children and in leash-free areas the family pet (as well as the unwary tourist) are all expected to quickly move out of the way of these driving bullies.

At Minnie Water the curiously legless folk have even taken to using the beach as a carpark before they enter the surf.

Like the regular users of Pippi Beach at Yamba, I also get tired of the broken glass and dangerous mess (left behind after night time beach parties) which I am sometimes forced to skirt around on an early morning walk along local beaches.

It's no wonder that residents are becoming wary of going onto certain Clarence Valley beaches and permanently banning vehicles is being quietly discussed around more than a few dinner tables.

Update:

The Daily Examiner online comment gives Clarence Valley Council a hint.

Posted by yambaman from Yamba, New South Wales
12 January 2010 7:26 a.m.
Can't understand why Stafford Sheldon thinks he'll be unpopular for suggesting Pippi Beach be closed to 4 wheel drive vehicles, most of Yamba would agree - who wants the drunken yobbos driving on our beaches and leaving a mess behind, if they had to walk they'd drink at the pub!
Posted by janelle from Yamba, New South Wales
12 January 2010 11:37 a.m.
I absolutely agree with Stafford Sheldon and the comment above. I don't see why they have to drive onto the beach at all, ever. We apparently have an obesity problem so make them walk!!! And as far as leaving behind all that rubbish, well how hard is it to clean up after yourself. Shouldn't be allowed thru the tick gate I say.....
Posted by cherylmcc from Yamba, New South Wales
12 January 2010 7:23 p.m.
The 4 wheel drives are hazardous to people enjoying that part of Pippie Beach when they are gather speed for the climb back off the beach. A lot of families now use that part of the beach especially with the holiday units just across the road, maybe when it was decided to allow access to these vehicles at this part of the beach it was not used as much then. There should be a review of who uses the beach by the council before someone is hurt . Plus it is not a very very long beach that they have access to so what is the point of them going down there.
Posted by Popeye from Yamba, New South Wales
12 January 2010 7:30 p.m.
I hate it when people leave rubbish behind. I'm always picking it up when I walk around so that Yamba doesn't get like the Gold Coast. Have a look at the mess left on Hickey Is at the far end of Whiting Beach where people appear to have been camping and drinking heavily.

It's conspiracy theories and dubious 'facts' galore over at Agmates, as it falls under the spell of an articulate fantasist



But surely part of Mr Spencer's problem is the land he owns.
It's hilly, rocky marginal land that would be of little use for anything outside a few goats and rampant bushfires.
Bigpond News on 11 January 2010

When members of the Spencer family went public on 8 & 9 JJanuary 2010, with their concerns that the media, certain websites and fora had lost the plot when discussing Peter Spencer's hungerstrike protest, I wondered how one of the principal offenders Agmates Community Site would react.

On January 8 contributors at this site did indeed begin to react - just not to the criticism of the part they are playing in the silly little drama being played out at "Saarhanlee".

At one thread the Spencer family is attacked for going public, but the issue of the accuracy of what Agmates itself was publishing is not addressed.

For good measure one contributor also suggested that the police are monitoring Agmates - though why and what for is never fully revealed.

A call to blockade local government administrative centres across the country brought a smile to my face, as did the claim that the Peter Spencer issue will bring the Rudd Government down.

However, what I enjoyed most was watching the idea form amid the chatter that the somewhat anti-Labor newspaper, The Australian, was either slanting its coverage at the request of the Rudd Government or because it had been threatened by that same government.
I'm sure that the newspaper would be rather puzzled as to why some thought this might actually have happened in this instance and, perhaps even been a mite indignant that it was also thought to have completely ignored reporting on Peter Spencer for 47 days straight until the family spoke out.
It seems that the Agmates family never let facts get in the way of a good story, so casually brushed aside The Australian's articles published on 18 December 2009 and 5 January 2010.

Less amusing was the assertion that Kevin Rudd's "dirt squad put them [Spencer family] up to it" and the very strange X Files-style whisper that there is something extremely valuable on or under Peter Spencer's land which the government seeks to obtain by actively forcing him off it.

There was only one thread which advised caution when it came to some conspiracy theories, however this warning was from a representative of a lobby group/website which freely indulges in these theories itself at times. To its credit, as of 13 January this particular group continues (on another thread) to advise Agmates against going down the weird road.

Yet another Agmates thread has this audio statement by Peter Spencer. If you listen, particularly enjoy the fact that near the end he attempts to draw the Petrov Affair into the 1970 gun incident and, the crew on this particular discussion thread did not bat an eyelid when he implied this 1954 event actually occurred close to the time he threatened to self-harm.

On 12 January 2010 Agmates congratulated itself on the number of visitors to these discussion threads - I of course was one of these and I have to say that, although my jaw dropped on occasion and I laughed aloud at other times, little that was posted on this website was of any real value in looking at the issue of compensation for farmers who may be negatively affected by native vegetation legislation. As a lobbying effort it was going nowhere fast and, following Mr. Spencer's directions meant credibility became hopelessly lost somewhere in the back paddock many days ago.

Perhaps the final word should go to Geoff Cockfield quoted in The Australian yesterday:

SUPPORTERS of hunger-striking farmer Peter Spencer risk derailing debate on vital issues of property rights with their fringe views, a leading agri-politics expert has warned.
Heated online debate over Mr Spencer's 50-day protest atop a tower is continuing, often lurching into conspiracy theories.
Geoff Cockfield, a specialist in agri-environment policy from the University of Southern Queensland, said it was not helping the NSW farmer's cause that he should be compensated for not being allowed to clear his land near Cooma.
"You always have fringe populists in rural areas thriving around particular issues, whatever they might be," he said.
"They start plausibly enough, just picking on minor irritations people have about governments, but as you get more information we start to get into the worldwide conspiracy.
"There's quite a few mainstream agri-politicians and economists and public policy people who would be sympathetic to the argument that if we are actually preventing full use of property rights in the interests of some sort of supra-national agreement on carbon sequestration, then what's the case for everyone bearing the cost of that?
"I think it's a strong case," he said, "but it creates a problem for the various farm organisations who have been working away on the issue.
"Who do you associate with?"


UPDATE:
Peter Spencer reportedly ended his hungerstrike on 13 January 2010.

Tuesday 12 January 2010

NSW North Coast Aboriginal Mental Health First Aid Training Course, South Grafton 22 & 23 February 2010


North Coast Area Health Service is offering the following training course, co-ordinated by The Centre for Rural and Remote Mental Health.

Aboriginal Mental Health First Aid Training Course

When: Monday 22 and Tuesday 23 February 2010 at 8.30am – 4.30pm (both days)
Where: South Grafton Services Club, Wharf Street, South Grafton NSW
Cost: Free
Refreshments: Morning Tea, Lunch and Afternoon tea are provided at no cost for both days.
Enrolments Close: Friday 19 February, 2010
Course Applications: Contact Georgia-Lee Pollard
Drought Mental Health Assistance Package Project Officer
Centre for Rural & Remote Mental Health
Locked Bag 6005
Orange, NSW 2800
Phone: (02) 6363 8426 Mob: 0429994025
Fax: (02) 6361 2457
Email:
georgia.pollard9@gwahs.health.nsw.gov.au
For venue details or any last minute issues call Andrew Little on 0488 229 699

Course Outline:
The course covers helping people in mental health crisis situations and/or in the early stages of mental health problems.
Participants will learn the signs and symptoms of common mental health problems, where and how to get help and what sort of help has been shown by research to be effective.
Presenters:
William Warner and Leanne Scholes-Asper
What to bring to the course?
All necessary resources are provided although participants are free to take a pen and paper for note taking if they wish.

Lower Clarence Aboriginal Mental Health First Aid Training Course 8 & 9 February - venue to be announced.

Fox News: what more can be said?


Still chortling over this NYT knifing of Fox News CEO Roger Ailes:
"I am by no means alone within the family or the company in being ashamed and sickened by Roger Ailes's horrendous and sustained disregard of the journalistic standards that News Corporation, its founder and every other global media business aspires to," said Matthew Freud, who is married to Ms. Murdoch and whom PR Week magazine says is the most influential public relations executive in London.
Hat tip to Larvatus Prodeo for tweeting a link.

Monday 11 January 2010

Sh*t happens....


We finally decided to upgrade the old pit toilet on the farm.

It was a hard decision since it was agreed that a septic system would use too much flushed water and the potential to cause problems with the ecological balance of a swamp near the house was too great.

Not that toilet water would have been a problem in this year of five local floods, but dry years do occur.

We finally decided that a composting system would be the best in our situation.

It was then we had a great stroke of luck, the son-in-law was at an auction and there, large as life, was a brand new unused state of the art composting toilet.

The fact that he was over 1,000 kilometres away from the farm did not cause him to hesitate - at the fall of the gravel he was the proud owner of a massive virgin crapper at a bargain basement price.

So this Christmas he loads the dunny on the back of a trailer behind the family car and heads north to the farm, turning heads all the way up the Pacific Highway.

On the family's arrival at the farm we wander around the house yard, beers in hand, working out where the new toilet should be sited.

It had to be conveniently placed near the house, yet have a good view and not interfere with other aspects of the house yard design. A few beers later we agreed on the best site for the new toilet.

It was time to get the ditch dingo working, since the base section has to be buried over one metre into the soil.

About 800cm into the dig we struck solid clay - the heavy solid sticky type. It was useless to continue digging as this type of clay will expand quickly when wet. So the decision was made to build up the soil around the compost unit instead.

The new toilet now nick-named The FARTUS (apologies to Dr Who) was in place and waiting for the actual building of the toilet hut section. One of the cousins who had been in the Navy said he thought that the new installation looked like a submarine conning tower.

That night it rained and stormed, then it rained again.

The misty morning light revealed the sight of the composting toilet bobbing incontinently in a muddy sea. We now had a Collins-type sub.

So later that day we downed a few more beers (I had switched to rum and coke by this stage) and decided that this was a sign from Huey. The whole toilet situation had to be re-thought.


Graphic from My Little Family's Genealogy

Minister for Aging Justine Elliot shines a welcome light on aged care facilities



The Federal Minister for Aging and MP for the NSW North Coast Richmond electorate, Justine Elliot, promised last year to name and shame those aged care providers who were not meeting standards set for residential aged care.

Since then there has been a steady trickle of media reports on nursing homes which were found to be sub-standard in some manner. However, it is the Dept. of Health and Aging which has published the official non-compliance lists.

List by state and current as of 4 January 2010 (details of notices of non-compliance remain on this list until such time as a sanction is imposed on the relevant approved provider or the provider has addressed the non-compliances):
  • Australian Capital Territory
  • New South Wales
  • Northern Territory
  • Queensland
  • South Australia
  • Tasmania
  • Victoria
  • Western Australia

  • Archived Notices of Non-Compliance list aged care services, by state and in alphabetical order, which have remedied the problems within their facilities.

    Although the low number of currently non-complaint facilities and the growing list of those which have fixed sub-standard practices is reassuring, it is of some concern to note that issues of reportable assaults and patient malnurition feature in details concerning some of these nursing homes.

    I am sure that there would be many in the aged care industry who would not agree with the Minister's course of action.

    Just as I am equally sure that families who have a member in aged care would be reassured that residential facilities are being regularly monitored for compliance -especially families faced with the limited choice rural and regional Australia has to offer.

    Keep up the good work, Ms. Elliot.

    ** Aged Care Providers' Financial Data for 2006-2008 here. This is de-indentified data broken down by generic categories city and regional.

    Photograph from Google Images