The latest data for the Roy Morgan employment series for August shows:
Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts
Wednesday 19 September 2018
State of Play Australia 2018: 11 per cent of the workforce is unemployed and 8 per cent underemployed
Roy Morgan, media
release excerpt, 13 September 2018:
Australian employment
has grown solidly over the past year however the faster rate of overall growth
in the Australian workforce due to more Australians looking for work means
unemployment has increased to a two-year high of 11% in August.
The latest data for the Roy Morgan employment series for August shows:
The latest data for the Roy Morgan employment series for August shows:
* 11,940,000 Australians
were employed in August, up 255,000 over the past year;
* The workforce which
comprises employed and unemployed Australians is now 13,416,000, up 407,000 on
a year ago;
* 1,476,000 Australians
were unemployed (11% of the workforce); an increase of 152,000 (up 0.8%) on a
year ago and the highest level of unemployment for over two years since March
2016;
* In addition 1,071,000
Australians (8.0% of the workforce) are now under-employed, working part-time
and looking for more work, a fall of 170,000 in a year (down 1.5%);
* The increase in
employment was driven by an increase in full-time employment which was up
323,000 to 7,761,000, while part-time employment fell 68,000 to 4,179,000;
* Roy Morgan’s real
unemployment figure of 11% for August is more than twice as high as the current ABS
estimate for July 2018 of 5.3%.
Source:
Roy Morgan Single Source October 2005 – August 2018. Average monthly interviews
4,000.
Full media
release can be found here.
Labels:
Australia,
statistics,
under employment,
unemployment
Tuesday 4 September 2018
What voters think of the main political parties in Australia
ABC
News, 30 August 2018:
When asked by Essential
to say which common statements fit the two major parties, the Liberals
outranked Labor on almost every negative statement and were behind Labor on
every positive statement…..
What voters think of the
Liberals and Labor
Divided
Liberal
79%
Labor
46%
Too close to the big corporate and
financial interests
Liberal
67%
Labor
36%
Out of touch with ordinary people
Liberal
69%
Labor
51%
Looks after the interests of working
people
Liberal
32%
Labor
55%
Clear about what they stand for
Liberal
33%
Labor
47%
Has a good team of leaders
Liberal
31%
Labor
39%
Understands the problems facing
Australia
Liberal
40%
Labor
48%
Have a vision for the future
Liberal
43%
Labor
48%
Extreme
Liberal
40%
Labor
36%
Trustworthy
Liberal
30%
Labor
34%
Have good policies
Liberal
40%
Labor
43%
Will promise to do anything to win
votes
Liberal
68%
Labor
70%
Moderate
Liberal
48%
Labor
50%
Keeps its promises
Liberal
28%
Labor
30%
The survey was conducted online from
24th to 26th August 2018 and is based on 1,035 respondents.
Essential Report, 28 August 2018:
Labels:
Australian politics,
poll,
statistics
Tuesday 24 July 2018
Counting Donald Trump's words and how he uses them......
The
Star, 14 July
2018:
Click on image to enlarge
There’s a lot of
dishonesty: Of all the words Trump said and tweeted as president as of
July 1, 5.1 per cent were part of a false claim.
Expressed differently: Trump uttered a false word every 19.4 words.
Expressed differently: Trump uttered a false word every 19.4 words.
Trump’s dishonesty
density is increasing: The issue isn’t just that he’s talking more these days.
It’s that what he’s saying is less truthful.
In weeks that started in
2017, 3.8 per cent of Trump’s words were part of a false claim. In 2018, it’s
7.3 per cent.
Expressed differently: in 2017, Trump said about 26 words for every one false word. In 2018, it’s down to about 14 words per one false word.
The analysis assessed
the first 30,000 words each president spoke in office, and ranked
them on the Flesch-Kincaid grade level scale and more than two dozen other
common tests analyzing English-language difficulty levels. Trump clocked in
around mid-fourth grade, the worst since Harry Truman, who spoke at nearly a
sixth-grade level.
Expressed differently: in 2017, Trump said about 26 words for every one false word. In 2018, it’s down to about 14 words per one false word.
Newsweek, 8 January 2018:
President Donald
Trump—who boasted over the weekend that his success in life was a result of
“being, like, really smart”—communicates at the lowest grade level of the last
15 presidents, according to a new analysis of the speech patterns of
presidents going back to Herbert Hoover.
Labels:
Donald Trump,
lies and lying,
statistics,
US politics
Wednesday 20 June 2018
Majority believe that funding for all ABC services should be increased or maintained, according to Essential Research survey
In May 2018 the Turnbull Government 'slashed' the ABC's 2019-2021 funding by $84 million.
Is this another example of this federal government's tin ear?
Because the Essential Report of 19 June 2018 shows majority support for ABC funding levels to be maintained or increased:
Perhaps Turnbull and Co should stop listening to the Institute of Public Affairs and seek opinion from outside that fetid conservative hothouse and places other than Parliament Drive or News Corp headquarters.
Labels:
elections 2018,
funding,
Our ABC,
statistics
Monday 16 April 2018
In Febuary-March 2018 there were 63 Notifiable Data Breaches in Australia involving the personal information of up to 341,849 individuals
In the 2016–17 financial year, the Office of the Australian Information Commissioner (OAIC) reported that it received 114 data breach notifications on a voluntary basis.
On 22
February the Notifiable Data Breaches (NDB) scheme came into force.
Between 22
February and 31 March 2018 there were 63 mandatory notifiable data breaches reported involving the personal information of up to est. 341,849 individuals, with 55 of these breaches reported in March alone.
Of these breaches:
24 were
the result of criminal or malicious attack;
32 were
the result of human error;
2 were
system fault; and
1 was
classified as “Other”.
The type of personal information involved in the data breaches:
The type of personal information involved in the data breaches:
Three of
these data breaches involved the personal information of between 10,000 and 999,999 people in each instance.
At least
15 of the 63 data breached involved personal information held by “health service providers”. Health service providers are considered to be any organisation that provides a health service and holds health
information.
Every individual whose personal information was breached was supposed to be notified by the entity holding their information, however the OAIC Quarterly Statistics Report: January 2018 - March 2018 did not specifically state that this had occurred.
Every individual whose personal information was breached was supposed to be notified by the entity holding their information, however the OAIC Quarterly Statistics Report: January 2018 - March 2018 did not specifically state that this had occurred.
Labels:
big data,
data retention,
information technology,
privacy,
safety,
statistics
Tuesday 10 April 2018
So many Newspoll losses mean democratic processes at risk as Turnbull Government strives to claw back political ground
“The Coalition now trails Labor by 47.5 per cent to
52.5 per cent in two-party terms across the four polls. This reflects a 48:52
result from Fairfax/Ipsos, the same from Newspoll, the same from Essential and
a 46:54 result from ReachTel on March 29.” [The
Sydney Morning Herald, 9 April 2016]
From
May 2014 to September 2015 the Abbott
Coalition Government experienced 30 consecutive negative Newspoll federal voting intentions
opinion polls*.
After
the sacking of Tony Abbott by his party and the installation of Malcolm
Turnbull as prime minister the Turnbull Coalition
Government saw 12 positive Newspolls before this second rendition
of a Coalition federal government itself experienced 30 consecutive negative
Newspolls from 12 September 2016 to 9 April 2018.
This
polling history indicates that the Liberal-National federal government is
likely to have only had the national electorate’s approval for around ten of
the last thirty-seven calendar months.
According
to the Australian Electoral Commission;
As
House of Representatives and half-Senate elections are usually held
simultaneously, the earliest date for such an election would be Saturday 4
August 2018. As the latest possible date for a half-Senate election is Saturday
18 May 2019, the latest possible date for a simultaneous (half-Senate and House
of Representatives) election is also Saturday 18 May 2019.
Given
that (i) between them the Abbott and
Turnbull governments have
experienced experienced only 12 positive
polls in the last 68 Newspolls; and (ii)
the Liberal Party has already admitted that during its successful March 2018 South Australian
election it had utilised
the services of one of the known “bad actors” on the international election campaign
consultancy scene, the US-based data miner i360;
it is highly likely that “bad actors” will be employed once more and over the
next four to thirteen months voters will be subjected to a barrage of
misinformation, bald lies, vicious rumour and false promises from both
Coalition politicians and their supporters in mainstream and social media.
Voters will have to fact check what they hear and read as never before.
Voters will have to fact check what they hear and read as never before.
* A
federal voting intentions Newspoll is
considered negative for one or other of the two main political parties based on two party preferred percentage results.
Newspolls surveys normally occur every two to three weeks outside of election campaign periods when they are likely to occur more often.
Newspoll results can be found at https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll.
Newspolls surveys normally occur every two to three weeks outside of election campaign periods when they are likely to occur more often.
Newspoll results can be found at https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll.
Sunday 8 April 2018
Is the U.S. becoming a country hostile to Australian tourists?
According to
the Australian Bureau of
Statistics there were 13.7 million internet subscribers in Australia at
the end of June 2017 and a 2016
Deloitte survey found that 84% of Australians had a smart phone.
An est. 20
million Australians use
a social media platform like Facebook,
Instragram or Twitter
via a desktop computer or mobile phone.
Because we
are one of the most digitally connected populations in the world the United
States is about to pose an additional risk to our personal Internet privacy and
safety if we seek any form of visa entry into that country.
ABC
News, 31
March 2018:
A US federal government
proposal to collect social media identities of nearly everyone who seeks entry
into the country has been described as a "chilling" encroachment on
freedom of speech and association.
The State Department
filed a proposal which would require most immigrant and non-immigrant visa
applicants to list all social media identities they have used in the past five
years, as well as previously used telephone numbers, email addresses and their
international travel history over the same period.
The information would be
used to vet and identify them, which would affect about 14.7 million people
annually.
The proposal goes
further than rules instituted last May. Those changes instructed consular
officials to collect social media identities only when they determined
"that such information is required to confirm identity or conduct more
rigorous national security vetting," a State Department official said at
the time.
The proposal requires
approval from the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) but it supports
President Donald Trump's campaign promise to institute "extreme
vetting" of foreigners entering the US to prevent terrorism.
The American Civil
Liberties Union expressed concern, saying the move would have a
"chilling" effect on freedom of speech and association.
"People will now
have to wonder if what they say online will be misconstrued or misunderstood by
a government official," Hina Shamsi, director of ACLU's National Security
Project, said in a statement.
"We're also
concerned about how the Trump administration defines the vague and over-broad
term a 'terrorist activities' because it is inherently political and can be
used to discriminate against immigrants who have done nothing wrong.
Australian public opinion was changing on the subject of US-Australia relations before this latest Trump Regime move against digital privacy - it began to shift after Donald Trump was elected US president......
Australian public opinion was changing on the subject of US-Australia relations before this latest Trump Regime move against digital privacy - it began to shift after Donald Trump was elected US president......
ABC
News, January
2018:
Recent polling by the United States Studies Centre
(USSC) and YouGov — surveying both Australians and Americans — gives
mixed grades on American strength after the first year of Mr Trump's
presidency. Perceptions of American strength and international security are
closely linked for large portions of the publics in both countries — with some
interesting exceptions. Our data suggest that many see the world as more
dangerous precisely because the United States is perceived to be weaker under
Mr Trump.
Almost half of Australians report that the United
States has grown weaker over the past 12 months.
Only 19 per cent of
Australians think America has grown stronger over the first year of the Trump
presidency.
Americans are less dour
in their assessments, with 36 per cent saying that the United States has become
weaker over the last year. "Weaker" leads "stronger"
by 27 points in the Australian data, but this difference is just six points
among Americans….
Does a stronger (or
weaker) America under Mr Trump affect assessments of Australia's security? It's
complicated. In the aggregate, Australians associate a stronger America with a
safer world and a safer United States, but this does not extend to assessments of
Australian security.
More than half of
Coalition voters say Australia faces more danger than a few years ago,
irrespective of assessments of American power under Mr Trump. Labor voters and
minor party supporters do associate a weaker America with a less secure
Australia.
For Greens voters — at
best sceptical about the US-Australia relationship — a weaker America makes for
a safer Australia. Most Greens voters report that America is weaker under Mr
Trump and just 32 per cent of those see heightened dangers for Australia over the
last few years; among Greens seeing America as stronger under Mr Trump, half
report things becoming more dangerous for Australia, although the small number
of Greens in our data prevent firm conclusions.
Historically, a robust,
bipartisan consensus has seen little partisanship in Australian public opinion
on the value of Australia's relationship with the United States. Our data
suggest that this equilibrium is under some stress. References to Mr Trump
activate partisan differences in Australian thinking about the United
States. While Australians (like Americans) associate increases in American
power with a safer world, a perceived link with enhanced Australian security is
weak at best (and probably inverted for Greens voters).
On the other hand,
despite large partisan divisions, Americans continue to associate American
strength with increased security for America's allies.
This proposition has
been the bedrock of Australian foreign policy and defence thinking for decades,
and remains so, Mr Trump notwithstanding. Accordingly, our data allows us to
restate the challenge for the current generation of Australian policy makers
and political leaders: articulating the value and relevance of the US
relationship to an Australian public at best unsure about the direction of the
United States under Mr Trump and the implications for Australia's security and
prosperity.
Friday 2 March 2018
Family, Domestic & Sexual Violence in Australia: "On average, 1 woman a week and 1 man a month is killed by a current or former partner"
“Family violence refers to violence between family
members, typically where the perpetrator exercises power and control over
another person. The most common and pervasive instances occur in intimate
(current or former) partner relationships and are usually referred to as
domestic violence. Sexual violence refers to behaviours of a sexual nature carried
out against a person’s will. It can be perpetrated by a current or former
partner, other people known to the victim, or strangers.” [Australian Institute of Health and Welfare; Family,domestic and sexual violence in Australia, 2018]
Australian Institute of Health
and Welfare, media
release, 28 February 2018:
New
national statistical report sheds light on family violence
The
Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW) has released its first
comprehensive report on family, domestic and sexual violence in Australia.
The
report brings together, for the first time, information from more than 20
different major data sources to build a picture of what is known about family,
domestic and sexual violence in Australia. It also highlights data gaps and
offers suggestions to help fill these gaps.
The
report, Family, domestic and sexual violence in Australia, 2018,
covers family violence (physical violence, sexual violence and emotional abuse
between family members, as well as current or former partners), domestic
violence (a subcategory of family violence, involving current or former
partners), and sexual violence (a range of nonconsensual sexual behaviours,
perpetrated by partners, former partners, acquaintances or strangers).
‘Women
are more likely to experience violence from a known person and in their home,
while men are more likely to experience violence from strangers and in a public
place,’ said AIHW spokesperson Louise York.
1 in 6
women (aged 15 or above) —equating to 1.6 million women—have experienced
physical or sexual violence by a current or former partner, while for men it is
1 in 16—or half a million men. Three in 4 (75%) victims of domestic violence
reported the perpetrator as male, while 1 in 4 (25%) reported the perpetrator
as female.
Overall,
1 in 5 women (1.7 million) and 1 in 20 men (428,800) have experienced sexual
violence. Most (96%) female victims of sexual violence reported the perpetrator
as male, while male victims reported a more even spilt (49% female and 44% male
perpetrators).
On
average, 1 woman a week and 1 man a month is killed by a current or former
partner.
While
overall the data show that women are at greater risk, certain groups are
particularly vulnerable, such as Indigenous women, young women and pregnant
women.
Children
who are exposed to violence experience long-lasting effects
‘Children
can be victims of or witnesses to family violence—and this early exposure can
heighten their chances of experiencing further violence later in life,’ Ms York
said.
Children
who were physically or sexually abused before they were 15 were around 3 times
as likely to experience domestic violence after the age of 15 as those children
who had not experienced or witnessed violence earlier in life.
Women
who, as children, witnessed domestic violence towards either their mother or
father were more than twice as likely to be the victim of domestic violence
themselves, compared with women who had not witnessed this violence.
Men who
witnessed violence towards their mother by a partner were almost 3 times as
likely to be the victim of domestic violence compared with men who had not,
while men who witnessed violence towards their father were almost 4 times as
likely to experience domestic violence compared with those who had not.
Aboriginal
and Torres Strait Islander people experience higher rates of family violence
The
report shows that Indigenous women were 32 times and Indigenous men were 23
times as likely to be hospitalised due to family violence as non-Indigenous
women and men respectively, while Indigenous children were around 7 times as
likely as non-Indigenous children to be the victims of substantiated cases of child
abuse or neglect.
Two in 5
Indigenous homicide victims (41%) were killed by a current or former partner,
compared with 1 in 5 non-Indigenous homicide victims (22%).
A
significant toll on victims and society
The
report also shows that family, domestic and sexual violence can have a profound
effect on people’s ability to work, health and financial situation.
‘People
who experience domestic violence are likely to need time off work as a result,
and women affected by domestic violence experience significantly poorer health
and mental health than other women,’ Ms York said.
For women
aged 25–44, domestic violence causes more illness, disability and deaths than
any other risk factor, such as smoking, alcohol use, being overweight, or being
physically inactive.
Domestic
violence is a leading cause of hospitalised assault, particularly among women.
In 2014–15, 2,800 women and 560 men were hospitalised after being assaulted by
a spouse or partner.
‘Family
and domestic violence is also a leading cause of homelessness. In 2016–17,
72,000 women, 34,000 children and 9,000 men sought homelessness services due to
family and domestic violence,’ Ms York said.
The
financial impacts are also substantial, with violence against women and their
children estimated to cost at least $22 billion in direct (healthcare,
counselling, child and welfare support) and indirect (lost wages, productivity
and potential earnings) costs in 2015–16.
The
importance of evidence, data gaps and looking forward
AIHW CEO
Barry Sandison said the report was a significant piece of work for the AIHW—and
one with a real human impact. But there’s more to be done.
‘We know
that family, domestic and sexual violence is a major problem in Australia, but
without a comprehensive source of evidence and analysis, tackling such a
complex issue will continue to be difficult,’ he said.
He noted
that while the report was certainly a step in the right direction, its
development had highlighted several areas where future work is needed. For
example, inconsistent definitions of violence in data collections pose a
challenge, as does the limited information available on specific at-risk groups
(such as people with disability), childhood experiences, the characteristics of
perpetrators and the service responses for both victims and perpetrators.
‘It’s
important to note that while looking only at the numbers can at times appear to
depersonalise the pain and suffering that sits behind the statistics, the
seriousness of these issues cannot be overstated,’ Mr Sandison said.
‘This
work is an excellent example of organisations working together to build the
evidence on an important issue. It was achieved through financial support and
collaboration from several Australian Government and state government
departments.’
If the
information presented raises any issues for you, these services can help:
1800RESPECT (1800
737 732, www.1800respect.org.au)
Lifeline (13
11 14, www.lifeline.org.au)
Kids
Helpline (1800 551 800, www.kidshelpline.com.au)
Men's
Referral Service (1300 766 491, www.ntv.org.au)
Further information:
Elizabeth Ingram, AIHW: Tel. 02 6249 5048, mob. 0431 871 337
Elise Guy, AIHW: Tel. 02 6244 1156, mob. 0468 525 418
Elise Guy, AIHW: Tel. 02 6244 1156, mob. 0468 525 418
Report
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