The bets are starting to be laid down on individual seats in the Australian federal election and Page on the NSW North Coast featured in Possum's probability calculations based on where the money was going last week.
Page was calculated on a two party preferred basis at 52.36%, with a win implied probability according to Sportingbet at 53% and Sportsbet at 49% - combining all comes in with an overall implied probability of a Labor win at 51% for Janelle Saffin.
It seemed that local money mebbe riding almost neck and neck as the horses approach the barrier.
This week Possum has the money running this way across five markets:
Political tragics can find the Betfair current odds for all federal electorates listed so far in the lefthand sidebar here.
This is how a sixth player Betchoice saw the NSW North Coast race on Friday 16th July 2010:
Cowper Win Only - NSW seat
1.60
NAT - Luke Hartsuyker
2.25
ALP - Paul Sefky
15.00
GRN - Dominic King
26.00
Any Other Party
Page Win Only - NSW seat
1.75
ALP - Janelle Saffin
2.00
LIB - Kevin Hogan
26.00
Any Other Party
Lyne Win Only - NSW seat
1.02
IND - Rob Oakeshott
13.00
ALP - Frederick Lips
15.00
NAT - David Gillespie
Richmond
No details yet
When it comes to the North Coast, only in Cowper are Betchoice odds favouring the Coalition.
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