Showing posts with label pandemic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label pandemic. Show all posts

Monday 26 September 2022

STATE OF PLAY SEPTEMBER 2022: So you think that the pandemic is over on the Northern Rivers?


 

As at 23 September 2022 there were est. 873 confirmed active COVID-19 cases spread across the 7 local government areas within the Northern Rivers region, according to the COVID LIVE dashboard.


All became infected in the 14 days up to 23 September.


The 26 local postcodes with multiple confirmed COVID-19 active cases between 9 to 23 September are:



2460

2462

2463

2464

2466

2469


2470

2471

2472

2473

2474

2476

2477

2478

2479


2480

2481

2482

2483

2484

2485

2486

2487

2488

2489


2490


NOTE: Postcodes are sourced from NSW Health September 2022 COVID-19 case location data. 


BACKGROUND


The Financial Review, 18 September 2022, excerpt:


The new national weekly COVID-19 reporting regime has been heavily criticised, with claims it is a mishmash of different measures, definitions and timings, with some jurisdictions not reporting testing and with the new federal report replaced by a “useless” PowerPoint document.


INDaily, 23 September 2022, excerpt:


The change from daily to weekly data releases has been widely criticised within the health sector.


State figures released last Friday differed starkly to the federal data because of different start and end dates for counting.


Epidemiologist Adrian Esterman said he agreed with colleagues who described the new format for the data dump as “useless”.


Another scientist described it as a “dog’s breakfast”.



Saturday 13 August 2022

Tweet of the Month



Friday 29 July 2022

The question has to be asked. How many of the more than 9.23 million people who caught COVID-19 in the last 2 years and five months will have their lives diminished or shortened by chronic post-COVID health conditions?


It is time Australian society stops pretending it is on top of this pandemic.......


ABC News, 28 July 2022:


NSW Health looked at data from 639,430 people infected with COVID for the first time in January when the Omicron wave took off.


The analysis was done by matching the name, and date of birth, of cases.


It showed that within five months, 20,460 people, or 3.2 per cent, had been reinfected.


Reinfection was defined as a positive test four weeks after being released from seven-day isolation, or 36 days after testing positive.


More than 20,000 people reinfected with COVID within five months


Number and proportion of the 639,403 cases in January reinfected in subsequent months








..Nick Wood, a paediatrician and immunisation expert from the University of Sydney, said in theory, the first exposure to COVID should give some natural immunity that would stop people getting as sick the second time around.


"Your prior immunological exposure, natural infection and vaccine history all probably plays into how you as the individual deal with your second infection," he said.


People who were immune-suppressed or who had ongoing respiratory problems from the first infection would be more impacted with subsequent infections, he said.


"That's all the difficulties in teasing it out how severe, but I think the general, the belief is that the second or third infection are probably less severe than the initial primary infection."


Dr Wood said the BA.4 and BA.5 sub-variants of Omicron were able to evade both vaccine-induced immunity and infection from a previous variant.


"The immunity that they generate is not enough to stop you being infected," he said.


He said that over time, experts hope that as new variants come along, the population is more able to deal with them because of past infections or vaccination……


On the 24th of this month The Sydney Morning Herald reported that:


Researchers investigating long COVID cases in Australia say 5 per cent of people infected with COVID-19 will develop the condition. The prevalence of long COVID before vaccinations were available was an estimated 10 per cent.


The 55,000 people in Australia who tested positive today ... equates to 2000 to 3000 new cases of long COVID,” Kovacic said. To date, Australia has recorded almost 9 million COVID-19 cases.


Even after accounting for reinfection “we’re looking at almost half a million people who are going to be suffering long-term symptoms in the coming months”, Kovacic said.


The Guardian newspaper reported on 27 July 2022 that a serosurvey of antibodies to the virus detected in blood donations, conducted at the Kirby Institute and the National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance (NCIRS), had found that in 5,139 blood donations received from adults between 9 June and 18 June evidence of past COVID-19 infection was detected in 46.2% of samples. A previous examination of blood donors in late February 2022 had found evidence of past infection in only 17% of blood donors.


Noni Winkler, an author of the findings and an epidemiologist at the NCIRS, said the sample size was large enough to reflect rates of the virus in the broader adult population. It should be noted that seroprevalence estimates may miss approximately 20% of infections.


According to the federal Dept. of Health, as of Thursday 27 July 2022 there were est. 373,868 confirmed active COVID-19 cases across Australia. A total of 499,566 of these cases were newly confirmed within the previous 24 hours.


At that point 5,364 COVID-19 infected people were hospitalised, with 145 in intensive care units including 38 patients requiring ventilation.


The national daily COVID-19 death toll on 27 July was 126 people.


By 27 July the cumulative total of confirmed COVID-19 cases stood at 9,235,014 – a figure that can only be described as a massive under reporting of the actual number of infected individuals between 25 January 2020 to 27 July 2022.


The cumulative total of confirmed deaths due to COVID-19 for the same time period is 11,387 deaths of men, women & children. The federal Dept. of Health records that 14 of these deaths were in children 0 to 9 years of age and est. 8,843 were in people aged 70 to 90+ years of age.


Needless to say, the highest cumulative death tolls up to 27 July are in the east coast mainland states of Victoria (4,433), New South Wales (4,051) and Queensland (1,510).


NSW Dept. of Health as at 4pm on Wednesday. 27 July 2022:








In the December 2021 - January 2022 during a SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variant surge period in New South Wales, when the public health response was visibly failing to meet even the most basic needs (information, testing & general support) of people expected to self-manage their COVID-19 infection at home, anecdotal evidence began to surface in Northern NSW that individuals and whole families were no longer reporting the result of RAT tests to NSW Health or seeking PCR testing where it was still available.


It was at that point that official government pandemic statistics in Australia were broken beyond repair as a predictive tool with regard to future pandemic behaviour and, effective federal-state public health strategies withered away in the face of continuously climbing infection and mortality figures in the most populous states.


Wednesday 20 July 2022

State of Play in New South Wales on Monday, 18 July 2022 in Year 3 of the COVID-19 pandemic

 

New South Wales



According to the latest published data at time of posting, as at 4pm on Monday 18 July 2022 there were 141,747 active COVID-19 cases across the state, with 13,544 of these being newly confirmed cases in the previous 24 hours and of whom 441 lived in the 7 local local government areas of Northern NSW.


A total of 26 people died from COVID-19 disease across the state in that same 24 hour reporting period.


Total COVID-19 deaths since the start of the pandemic within NSW now stands at est. 3,853 men & women.


2,205 confirmed cases of COVID-19 were currently hospitalised, with 60 in intensive care of which 13 required ventilation.


As at 11 July 2022 an est. 47,895 people were being self-managed or cared for by household members. It is possibly that on 18 July that number was significantly higher.


On the same day NSW Health listed 2,507 health care workers as being in COVID-19 isolation.


Additionally, in the first 17 days of July 8,776 people in NSW had been diagnosed with Influenza.


On 13 July 2022 in 10 of the 15 local health districts across NSW an est. 20% of hospitalisation capacity was being used by COVID-19 patients and the public health system stress alert indicator was:



Australia-wide



As at 18 July 2022 there were est. 341,204 active COVID-19 cases across the country, with 39,046 being newly confirmed cases in the previous 24 hours.


An est. 30 people died from COVID-19 disease across the country in that same 24 hour reporting period, with another est. 75 deaths recorded up to 4.30pm the next day, 19 July 2022.


Total deaths from COVID-19 since 25 January 2020 now stand at 10,719 men and women, with the majority being 70 years of age and older at time of death.


5,001 confirmed cases of COVID-19 were currently hospitalised across the country, with 155 patients in intensive care of which an unknown number required ventilation.


Additionally, in the fortnight up to 3 July 2022 a total of 187,431 people across the Australia had been diagnosed with Influenza.


SOURCES


NSW:

https://www.health.nsw.gov.au/Infectious/covid-19/Pages/default.aspx

https://aci.health.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0003/735267/20220713-COVID-19-Risk-Monitoring-Dashboard.pdf

https://www1.health.nsw.gov.au/IDD/#/FLU/period/%257B%2522prDisease%2522%253A%2522FLU%2522%252C%2522prLHD%2522%253A%2522X700%252CX710%252CX720%252CX730%2


Australia:

https://www.health.gov.au/health-alerts/covid-19/case-numbers-and-statistics

https://covidlive.com.au/



Monday 18 July 2022

Pandemic leaving locals without affordable housing in Northern NSW as more seachangers & treechangers leave cities for good

 


The Sydney Morning Herald, 15 July 2022:


Some tenants in regional NSW are facing displacement and homelessness due to rents spiking 30 per cent since the start of the pandemic.

The majority of council areas outside Sydney posted double-digit percentage point increases in median rents in the past 12 months to June, the latest Domain Rent Report, released on Thursday, showed.

Some tenants in regional NSW are facing displacement and homelessness due to rents spiking 30 per cent since the start of the pandemic.

The majority of council areas outside Sydney posted double-digit percentage point increases in median rents in the past 12 months to June, the latest Domain Rent Report, released on Thursday, showed.









It has left local tenants priced out of their rental markets, forcing some to leave their home towns as their budgets are eaten up by falling wages in real terms and a rising cost of living.

Domain chief of research and economics Dr Nicola Powell said the record growth in rents was driven by a strong sales market during the pandemic as city buyers took homes off the rental market and moved into them to live.

The supply of rental properties, but also the new supply pipeline of housing, hasn’t been able to keep pace with the change in demand,” she said.

We’ll see more people fall into rental stress. It does make lower-income households extremely vulnerable.”

KPMG demographer and urban economist Terry Rawnsley also said skyrocketing regional rents were a hangover of the pandemic.

He said tenants with city incomes have pushed up rents rapidly and have snapped up the historically low levels of rental supply in the regions….. 


Domain June 2022 Rental Report, excerpts:

What's happened to house and unit rents in your capital city?


Regional NSW


HousesJun-22Jun-21Jun-17YoY5-Yr
Albury$420 $365 $300
+15.1%
+40.0%
Armidale Regional$420 $370 $330
+13.5%
+27.3%
Ballina$700 $620 $485
+12.9%
+44.3%
Bathurst Regional$440 $400 $330
+10.0%
+33.3%
Bega Valley$530 $460 $360
+15.2%
+47.2%
Bellingen$525 $520 $375
+1.0%
+40.0%
Broken Hill$313 $270 $235
+15.7%
+33.0%
Byron$950 $900 $650
+5.6%
+46.2%
Cessnock$480 $400 $340
+20.0%
+41.2%
Clarence Valley$485 $450 $370
+7.8%
+31.1%
Source: Domain

 

Suburbs/Towns NSW


UnitsJun-22YoY5-Yr
Abbotsford$580
+6.4%
-3.3%
Aberglasslyn$450
Adamstown$420
+13.5%
+40.0%
Albury$300
+11.1%
+39.5%
Alexandria$565
+8.7%
-5.0%
Allawah$420
0.0%
-8.7%
Alstonville$445
+8.5%
+43.5%
Annandale$440
+4.8%
-8.3%
Armidale$275
+5.8%
+19.6%
Arncliffe$500
0.0%
-9.1%
Source: Domain

 

Saturday 9 July 2022

Quote of the Week


“We are now at 10,000 dead in Australia. The psychic cost of this many of our citizens dying from the pandemic is largely being borne now by their loved ones and those vulnerable to getting the worst of Covid – people at frontline, public-facing services, medical staff and the immunocompromised.

The shock (one of the shocks) at the start of the pandemic was that this great trauma would be shared among us equally – death distributed without care for class or colour.

But now a different reality has settled in; that this great trauma will not be shared. It will be individual and private and discrete. The trauma will not be collective because the names of the dead have not sunk into mass consciousness. The burden of this death will not be shared equally.”

[Senior writer Brigid Delaney, The Guardian, 2 July 2022]


Thursday 7 July 2022

COVID-19 Omicron cases on the rise again in NSW and an increase in hospitalisation expected


 

According to NSW Health, as at 4pm on 5 July 2022 there were 124,706 confirmed active COVID-19 cases in the state, including 13,775 newly confirmed COVID-19 infections.


Within the newly infected group were 338 individuals from across the 7 local government areas in Northern NSW.


A total of 1,822 infected people were currently hospitalised, with 64 of these COVID-19 inpatients in intensive care of which number 16 individuals required ventilation.


Sadly there were 20 confirmed COVID-19 deaths within that 24 hour reporting period.


The Sydney Morning Herald, 5 July 2022:


NSW is facing a coronavirus wave tipped to rival the Omicron summer as the state government and health bodies push for better access to antiviral treatments and expanded eligibility for fourth doses.


Chief Health Officer Kerry Chant said the NSW COVID-19 wave was expected to peak in late July or early August with hospitalisations similar to those in January. She urged the third of people who have not yet had a booster shot to do so urgently.


Disregard anything we’ve said about two doses. It’s three doses or more,” Chant said.


A national surge in coronavirus cases is being driven by the newer BA.4 and BA.5 Omicron variants, which better evade immunity from previous infection and vaccination.


Throughout June, about 30 per cent of virus deaths – three-quarters of whom were in their 80s and 90s – were not up-to-date with their shots.


But with fourth doses currently restricted to people over 65 or those with certain health conditions, Chant said she would support national vaccine advisory group ATAGI expanding eligibility when it meets on Wednesday……


Representative bodies for healthcare workers, including the Australian Medical Association and the Pharmaceutical Society of Australia, have expressed concern about waning immunity as infections rise. While a single booster shot is considered to still provide significant protection against severe illness and death, most doctors, nurses and pharmacists are now well over six months since their third dose.


In addition to expanding fourth doses, Chant and Hazzard both said they would support clearer eligibility criteria for oral antiviral COVID-19 treatments Paxlovid and Lagevrio.


Federal Health Minister Mark Butler has directed the Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee to review its conditions for subsidised access, labelling them “too restrictive”.


Antivirals are currently available for people aged 65 and over with two high-risk factors; those aged 75 and over with one high-risk factor; or moderately to severely immunocompromised people. People in these age groups may be recommended a particular antiviral, due to interactions with other medications…..


With 1782 people with COVID-19 in hospital on Tuesday, Chant said she had not recommended further public health restrictions. Instead, she encouraged the public to wear masks and take steps to reduce their risk of catching winter viruses including flu……


Full article can be read here.