Sunday 25 March 2012

Speaking up for the NSW North Coast in opposition to coal seam gas mining


NSW Legislative Council Hansard, March 15 2012:

The Hon. JEREMY BUCKINGHAM [10.39 a.m.], in reply: I thank all members for their contributions to the debate—despite half of them being categorically wrong. At the outset, I must say it is disappointing to hear the Government's response to the Coal Seam Gas Moratorium Bill 2011. The Hon. Scot MacDonald called this bill "facile". I think that is a damning indictment of him rather than of the bill. The community will not be thanking the Government today. By voting against the bill the Government is opening the door just a fraction more to an industry that has unequivocally proven itself to be neither clean or safe nor good for our economy. I say to the Labor Party upfront that The Greens will support its amendments and I think the Government should take note of that. We congratulate the Labor Party on putting aside its history and the party's involvement in the beginning of this industry and standing up for the community today.

We support the move to have a moratorium pending the outcome of the Independent Expert Scientific Committee's bioregional assessments. I also note at the outset the authentic and heartfelt contribution from the Hon. Luke Foley during the adjournment debate when he discussed coal seam gas exploration in the Putty Valley, his comments on the environment generally and Labor's proud commitment to protecting our environment. I urge the Shooters and Fishers Party and the Christian Democratic Party, despite what they have said previously, to take note of the hundreds of phone calls and emails that have flooded all members' offices over the past week.

These have not been from Greens members or activists. In the main, they have been from farmers and mums and dads across the State who have genuine concerns about the potential for this industry to cause very real harm to their communities, their families' health, local water supplies and agricultural land. I urge members of those two parties to vote for the second reading of this bill and to back Labor's amendments. The Premier has said he will support the Federal bioregional assessments. Let us call on him to do that. Let us put a moratorium in place until those assessments are done. The community demands at least that much.

Since I introduced the bill last year, more and more evidence of the destructive nature of the coal seam gas industry has come to light. More and bigger public meetings have been held. More groups have formed in local communities across the State, all committed to protecting their land and water where this Government and the previous Government both failed them. The coal seam gas industry is at war with the New South Wales community, from Kangaroo Valley in the south to Kyogle in the north and everywhere—and I mean everywhere—in between. People are absolutely fed up with what they see as an assault on their way of life, on their businesses and on the future prosperity of their communities.

Last month, in Lismore 600 people turned up for a public meeting at the Soldiers Club. I spoke at that forum and it was clear to me that for many it was their first time at such a meeting. At least half were local farmers, with many from the Casino area where Metgasco continues to pursue its project in the face of clear community opposition. The meeting resulted in the formation of a new Lismore-based coal seam gas campaign group, and another has formed in Channon to the north. I understand that 150 people turned up to their first meeting held the following weekend. At that meeting I was approached by some members of the North Coast community who have, very eloquently and with clear understanding of their local geology and ecology, mapped out the risks of the industry to their region. They started their plea quoting this Government's own words back to it, highlighting the Government's commitment to use the strategic land use process for identifying land use practices for different areas ahead of the granting of exploration licences.

The Government has failed to deliver this, so now the community has made its voice clear. The Northern Rivers community has put together a plea to heed local concerns and this document has been backed by eminent scientists and academics with links to the region. They end this document with the following conclusion:


For the Northern Rivers there is little to be gained and much to be lost from allowing the Coal Seam Gas industry to operate in our region. ... We believe critical evaluation will show the destructive potential of this industry and the potential for loss of irreplaceable community and natural assets. In any cost-benefit analysis our region will lose; please help us to protect our water, our ecology, and our home.

I seek leave to incorporate this plea and the supporting letters from the academics in Hansard.

Leave not granted.


The plea and supporting letters in pdf form here.

It must be something in the town water up Grafton way


Fair dinkum, they’re a weird mob around Grafton way. They like nothing better in the idle hours than thinking up ways to do away with democracy or wreck the lower Clarence River.
Here’s a few recent samples from the-poor-are-scum & build-it-and-be-b*ggered brigade….

·         Scott Thomson
The government keeps telling us how good our economy is while businesses close their doors so lets see what you think of these ideas.
1/ Voting should be limited to those that are working and paying taxes.If you are unemployed there is no right to vote. The exception being returned service men and aged pensioners. They have earned that right and have the life experiences to sit in judgement.
2/ All welfare payments be conditional to drug testing ............. if you can afford to do drugs you dont need government funding.
3/ Changes in Prime Minister shall come out of THAT politicians pocket. Why should we the tax payer pay for removalsits to and from the lodge? Why should we pay for all the reprinting of stationary? Same for ministers when they change portfolio let THEM pay for their stationary out of their ever swelling pay packet. It is a tax deduction after all!!
February 26 at 9:33am
·         Christopher Blanchard
So, are the NIMBYS going to form an action group against the proposed More to Goodwood Island rail link or is it something that we will at least take the time to investigate? Goodwood Is. could have been expanded years ago and provided growth for the Clarence with both export and coastal shipping , but the river mouth MUST finally be allowed to be cleared!
March 6 at 5:41am
LG Olen in a letter to the editor in The Daily Examiner:
"Access from the proposed dual railway line to the foreshores of Lake Wooloweyah {which has no access to the sea that is over a kilometre and a half distant as the crow flies} could well reduce the cost of this {coal port} project by hundreds of millions of dollars. Lake Wooloweyah could well become a major port for international shipping and a doorway for international tourism."

March 24

Saturday 24 March 2012

Queensland Election 2012 on the night - links to live coverage


For everyone fascinated with politics north of the Rio Tweed. Links which will be live at close of polls in Queensland on 24 March 2012.


Queensland Electoral Commission - provisional polling results begin to be posted after 7pm.

The Courier Mail newspaper online - Queensland Votes 2012

ABC News online - listen live or stream. Election 2012 webpage
ABC News Radio - results from 7pm
ABC Radio Brisbane

Website

goldcoast.com.au - live election updates from 10.30am

Twitter

http://twitter.com/antonygreenabc
http://twitter.com/abcelections

Hashtags
#qldvotes
#yourvote12

Let's put Lindsay on the front page

This morning while yarning with a couple of mates outside the paper shop Tweedy, who was/is an avid reader of the Tweed Daily (warning: don't ask him what he thinks about APN's decision to virtually take his favourite read out of circulation - it's no longer a daily, hence the website's title), remarked about a letter in today's edition of his paper. Read the letter below.


Lindsay yet to make front page

I was having a cold ale with an old bloke who's 87 (don't worry Lindsay, I won't mention your name) when a friend on his way out tapped Lindsay on the shoulder and said "Be good." Lindsay muttered under his breath, "If I could be bad, I would want it on the front page of the Daily News".

George Kelly, Terranora

Photograph & video of the rare Australian Featherless Drongo


Parasitus palma

Family: Cuculidae
Sparse plumage
Usually solitary but sometimes seen with Noisy Miners
Natural habitat is degraded land and open cut mines
Call is similar to that of the European Common Cuckoo
Recognizable by its clumsy flight
Untidy nest construction
Frequently lays eggs in nests of other avian species
Aggressive feeder
Has been the subject of an international banding program by
LaRouche Movement
Citizens Electoral Council
Christopher Monckton, 3rd Viscount Monckton of Brenchley
Nominated for protected species status by
Liberal and National Parties of Australia

Video of the Featherless Drongo in the wild


http://youtu.be/TryXOPcLW2A

Australian health professionals are sometimes a bitter pill to swallow

Friday 23 March 2012

A word on the subject of divorce


The Dawn Magazine, Tuesday 15 May 1888, on the Divorce Extension Bill:

Tasmanian marine environment Red Map to go national at end of 2012



This year Red Map goes national. Congratulations to the Red Map team and their project partners.
Hopefully, the NSW North Coast will get behind this worthwhile project.


Each year over 120,000 Tasmanians go fishing at least once. Imagine ....120,000 potential 'citizen scientists' collecting valuable data about the marine environment! We did.
Welcome to REDMAP.
Redmap invites the Tasmanian community to spot, log and map marine species that are uncommon in Tasmania, or along particular parts of our coast. The information collected is mapped and displayed on the site, demonstrating, in time, how species distributions may be changing; it does not require extra fishing – just remember to log your sighting. Please always follow the correct rules and regulations outlined in the in the Recreational Sea Fishing Guide when fishing and there is also valuable information in the Recreational Marine Fishing Code of Practice.
Sightings are divided into two categories – those with a photo that can be ‘verified’ by a marine biologist, and sightings without photos that we call community sightings (anecdotal). All the information collected, with and without photos, is mapped and will be used in the following years to map the ‘story’ of what changes are occurring in our marine environment.
Redmap also provides educational resources on Tasmanian marine environments, marine species and climate change. Tell your school about the resources here on the website or tell us what else you’d like to know that isn’t here and we’ll add it to our ‘wish list’!

How much did NSW Nats Steve Cansdell's 2011 six month term in office cost?


It cost the NSW National Party $77,889.71 and donors $2,000 to get Steve Cansdell re-elected as the Member for Clarence on the Far North Coast in March last year.
It also cost state taxpayers one general election ballot and one by-election ballot in the Clarence Electorate in 2011, because he suddenly resigned.
Based on the NSW Electoral Commission’s cost projection for the 2011 state election, the total for two Clarence ballots would be in the vicinity of $903,000.
Add to that parliamentary salary paid between March and September 2011 which comes in at around $68,000, and it’s likely Steve the Speeder cost all and sundry at least $1million.
One million is a lot of moolah to spend because a less than honest politician had to admit to an offence committed in 2005 and resign when outed in September 2011.

Pic from The Northern Star in March 2011

Thursday 22 March 2012

The many faces of Clive Palmer in 2012



Poor ol’ Clive – his billions can’t protect him from himself.

Courier Mail 31st January 2012

9 News 3rd February:

International Business Times 23rd  February:

Bigpond Money 15th March:

Yahoo! 7 Finance 15th March:

The Age 17th March:

The Sydney Morning Herald 20th March:

News.com.au 20th March:

Courier Mail 21st  March:

The Australian 21st March:

Dorrigo Environment Watch calls on international agencies to come and see what mining will place at risk on Dorrigo Plateau


From A Clarence Valley Protest on 20 March 2012:

UNESCO & IUCN invited to see what mining would place at risk on the Dorrigo Plateau

Our mission is "To raise community awareness of risks to human and environmental health"

Press Release
Invitation to UNESCO & IUCN to visit the Dorrigo Plateau

By copy of this Press Release Dorrigo Environment Watch have invited the UNESCO World Heritage Centre and the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) monitoring team (who are currently visiting Australia to monitor impacts of mining on the Barrier Reef) to also schedule in a visit to the Dorrigo Plateau.

The Dorrigo Plateau has 4 different mining companies with current exploration licences and recent drilling has been undertaken for gold and antimony across the Plateau. There is concern that the Gondwana Rainforests of Australia World Heritage Area values could be compromised if any mining developments were approved on the Plateau.

Dorrigo Environment Watch will ask the NSW and Australian Governments to zone the plateau a ‘no go zone’ for mining to ensure that the world heritage values and vital ecosystem services (which underpin our food, fisheries, fibre and drinking water) are protected for present and future generations. Australia has an obligation to abide by our world heritage agreements to protect the Gondwana Rainforests. A ‘no go zone’ would serve as an appropriate Government commitment and celebration for the 25 year anniversary of the World Heritage listing of our Gondwana rainforests.

For more information or comment please contact Trevor Deane on 02 6657 4005.

Coal Seam Gas Non-Violent Direct Action and the Law - training day at Grafton 25 March 2012

 

Environmental Defender's Office
New South Wales (Ltd)
Weekly Bulletin 15 March 2012

Training in Grafton: Coal seam gas non-violent direct action and the law
The Clarence Alliance Against CSG has organised a non-violent direct action training day to provide information on non-violent direct action and the law.
EDO Senior Solicitor Sue Higginson will be one of the presenters on the day.
When: Sunday 25 March, 10.00am-4.00pm
Where: Grafton Community Centre, Duke St, Grafton.
Those attending are asked to bring lunch and a gold coin donation to assist with venue hire.

An embarrassing fan from Australian Foreign Minister Bob Carr's past


In 2005 the $500 a head Ultimate Media Bob Carr Tribute Dinner was held celebrating Bob Carr’s 10th anniversary as NSW Premier.
The Medich Property Group brought two tickets in order to rub shoulders with this pollie.
Not long after that dinner Carr announced his resignation from state parliament.
Five years later the Managing Director of the Medich Property Group was charged with conspiracy to murder Michael McGurk.
The director is currently on bail for this charge and has appeared as a witness before ICAC regarding that allegation and other matters.
Medich Property Group Pty Ltd was wound up in 2011.

Wednesday 21 March 2012

Pacific Highway politics - now and then. According to NSW North Coast MPs and others


Recently Commonwealth-State funding arrangements for Pacific Highway upgrades have been in the news, with the NSW O’Farrell Government waxing eloquent about the alleged unfairness of the Federal Gillard Government.

Even though the NSW Premier has known for at least ten months that funding provisions in the AusLink agreement were going to be enforced by the Federal Government.

A tendency to point the finger, assign blame and pass the buck appear to be prominent character traits of Australian politicians of all political persuasions - as illustrated in the quotes below.

However current and past Nationals MPs Fraser, Gulaptis, Hartsuyker and Causley, both in and out of government, have raised this tendency to an art form - ignoring as they do the terms and conditions of successive AusLink Memorandums of Understanding between the Commonwealth and NSW, commencing during the initial terms of the Federal Coalition Government led by John Howard and the NSW Labor Government led by Bob Carr.

NOW

Here is the NSW Nationals Coffs Harbour MP and Assistant Speaker Andrew Fraser on 22 February 2012 according to that NSW Hansard:

I move:
That this House calls on the Commonwealth Government to agree to maintain the historic 80:20 Commonwealth-State funding formula to ensure the completion of the Pacific Highway upgrade by 2016.

This is NSW Nationals Clarence MP ‘Steve’ Gulaptis popping up in support on the same day:

…Those on the other side should be encouraging their cohorts in the Federal Parliament to agree to the 80:20 split so that we can meet that 2016 deadline. I commend the motion to the House.

While this is Federal Transport Minister Antony Albanese according to ABC Mid North Coast NSW on 1 March 2012:

The New South Wales government says it cannot afford a 50-50 split and the 2016 duplication deadline may have to be shelved.
It wants the Federal government to pay 80 per cent of the project costs.
But minister Anthony Albanese says that's not the deal that was agreed on.
"It's in writing, it's part of the Auslink agreement developed by the Howard government 50-50 funding.”

THEN

The Northern Rivers Echo reporting on NSW Nationals Clarence MP Steve Cansdell on 14 March 2011:

The National Party’s Steve Cansdell has also made a similar promise to have a major upgrade of the Pacific Highway completed by 2016.

On 27 October 2009 NSW Nationals Coffs Harbour MP Andrew Fraser was calling on the NSW Government:

The Pacific Highway is a state road that effectively causes the loss of one life a week. The state government should pour the money it receives from the increased registration charges for heavy vehicles back into regional roads.

While Federal Nationals Cowper MP Luke Hartsuyker was saying in the House of Representatives on 27 February 2006:

I move:
That this House:
(1)
notes:
(a)
that the Pacific Highway is a State road designed, built, owned, and maintained by the New South Wales State Government;

And again on 8 February 2006

The Pacific Highway, of course, is a New South Wales state government road, designed, built, owned and maintained by the New South Wales government. It does receive substantial funding under AusLink…..

With the NSW Roads and Traffic Authority stating in 2006:

The Pacific Highway between Newcastle and Brisbane forms part of the Australian Government's AusLink National Network.

This was NSW Labor Minister for Roads Joe Tripodi  answering a question in the Legislative Assembly concerning the Howard Government’s Auslink agreement on 14 September 2005:

The NSW Government was forced to sign up to the Federal Government s Auslink agreement on roads and transport funding or risk losing Federal roads funding altogether.
(1) and (2) The NSW Government had been trying to negotiate a better deal for the State, but the Federal Government had refused to budge.
The bottom line is that signing this agreement means NSW has to pay an extra $298 million for roadworks but not signing would have cost us $940 million. This is because Auslink means the States have to foot the bills for maintenance and safety works which used to be funded by the Commonwealth.
It was either sign up and get some funding or don t sign and get nothing.
Under the Auslink agreement, the Federal Government reduced funding levels for maintenance, and stops the funding of safety and urgent minor works.

Further back, this was the Federal Nationals Page MP and member of the Howard Government Ian Causley speaking at the Pacific Highway Summit on 13 May 2005 regarding federal government plans to create Auslink and implement the National Land Transport Plan:

Project costs will be shared with the State Government, 50/50 agreement has been requested.

GIVING WIKIPEDIA THE FINAL WORD


The Pacific Highway was never part of the Federally funded system of National Highways. This appears to be because when the Commonwealth funding of the 'national highway' system began in 1974, the longer New England Highway was chosen rather than the Pacific Highway as the Sydney–Brisbane link due to its easier topography and consequent lower upgrade costs.
Yet the highway was undeniably heavily used by interstate traffic and its upgrade was beyond the resources of the New South Wales Government alone. The NSW Government and the Commonwealth Government argued for years about how the responsibility for funding the highway's upgrade should be divided between themselves, only coming up with a mutually acceptable upgrade package just after the 1996/1997 financial year. The Highway is now part of the AusLink National Network and new projects are funded 50/50 by the Federal and State governments.

Belligen Readers Writers Festival 23-25 March 2012



Click on images to enlarge

Quotes of the Week

Tuesday 20 March 2012

Provest haz teh problems


Geoff I No Nothing Provest, the NSW North Coast MP for Tweed, is having a few problems. Not only is a local business & residents group taking in the him to court, he appears to have been caught taking a suspect political donation.

14  March 2012:


15  March 2012:

* TWEED Nationals MP Geoff Provest has been accused of accepting an illegal political donation says he did not realise the company involved was a property developer.
In question time today, Opposition Leader John Robertson asked Premier Barry O'Farrell what action he would take against the parliamentary secretary for police, Mr Provest, who he claimed had accepted a $2500 donation from developer Power Group. Under NSW laws, donations from property developers are banned, and at the time of the Power Group donation in March 2011 were restricted to a $2000 cap per individual candidate. In a personal explanation following question time, Mr Provest said he had always been "full and frank" with his pecuniary interests. "I did not realise that Power Industries and or (managing director) James Power may have been prohibited donors," Mr Provest said.


16 March 2012:

* In a statement, Mr Provest blamed the blunder on a volunteer.
"I have held myself at arm's length from the financial side of my campaign and relied on my agent to adhere to the new legislation," he said.
"I am disappointed that this has happened and have today revoked the appointment of my agent."
"My former agent was a volunteer within the party organisation and was not an expert in the very complex legal issues surrounding the new legislation.''

* "I did not realise that Power Industries and/or (managing director) James Power may have been prohibited donors," he said. "I'm now seeking advice from the NSW Election Funding Authority and if those donations are not permitted under the legislation they will be dealt with accordingly." He issued a statement yesterday denying the company was a property developer in NSW, but admitted the amount breached the cap.

Yellow Pages online entry at 19 March 2012

'My dirty little secret' is out





WINNERS of the ABC Open project 'Up Close' were announced yesterday, with Wooloweyah photographer Louise Gumb receiving a special mention for her photograph titled 'My dirty little secret'.
The image, a self-portrait of her own feet was the only entry made by Maelstrom Made Design, the design company owned by Louise and her husband Dan Gumb.
[The Daily Examiner,14 March 2012]

Maelstrom Made Design can be found here.

Monday 19 March 2012

Newspaper nicknames


Readers of newspapers can, at times, be very cruel. For some, all they have to do to get their daily fill is stroll out through the front door and pick the day's copy up off the driveway (if the deliverer has been on target), out of the rose bushes or (and I swear this is true) if the deliverer has it really in for you, off the roof.


Column8 in today's Herald provides further samples of homework it set its readers. The task was simple enough. All that was required of readers was to tell the Herald (aka Granny) the nickname they gave their newspapers. Previously, The Courier-Mail was said to be the 'Curious Snail', The Cairns Post is the Cairns Ghost (it's thin and wispy at times), The West Australian is the Wet Alsatian and the SMH is The Sydenham Awning Herald ("it works better said than read".

Today, the Western Advocate is the Western Abdicate, The Canberra Times is The Crimes and our own local rag, The Daily Examiner, is 'the one minute's silence' (that's how long it takes to read it).
 
Our neighbours are somewhat kinder, they call it the 'Egg Timer' but Elsie, who lives up the street, calls it 'The Daily Exterminator'. At our place it's referred to as 'The Rapper' - most mornings it takes longer to get the plastic wrap off it than it does to read it, but that's nothing to whinge about. In fact, that task can be quite a challenge and test the grey matter a lot more than a Rubic Cube.

Note to DEX editor and staff: don't get your knickers in knots over those comments. DEX is just like our pet greyhound - you're 'family' and we still luvs ya, warts and all.

Julie Bishops other life?

Lismore protestors redecorate Christian Democrat anti-gay marriage truck


StarOnline on 18th March 2012:
“Lismore’s gay and lesbian community has grounded a truck displaying signage with anti-gay messages which warn of the dangers of same-sex marriage to children.
Locals staged a protest throughout the night and this morning, blockading the truck by parking another vehicle in front it while around 10 – 15 protesters sat behind it to demand the signage be taken down.
Overnight, slogans featuring the words ‘equal love’ and ‘love not hate’ were graffitied over the truck’s signage and the vehicle was covered with coloured streamers and glitter.
A local demonstrator, who requested not to be named, said the protest was not formally planned but was a, “groundswell community response.”
“There were a lot of families there who were distressed and offended by the message,” she told the Star Observer.
“This truck has been travelling the state and no-one is doing anything about it.”


Pics from @ABCNorthCoast

Sunday 18 March 2012

Paddy's fly in the ointment - a postscript to his one big day in the year


The main agenda item at the Table of Knowledge at the local watering hole on Saturday afternoon was traffic congestion in the Lower Clarence area.

Paddy started proceedings by asking, "Where's the worst traffic spot in the Lower River area?"

Bazza replied, "Fair go, Paddy, what do you mean by 'worst'?"

"Ok, I'm referring to congestion, near misses, places you really dread, that sort of stuff."

There was a pregnant pause and then it started!

Without dissent, the intersection of Yamba Road and Treelands Drive in Yamba was given the nod, with quite a few of the lads really going to town about that part of the world and venting their spleens well and truly.

After the ambient temperature fell and normal blood pressure levels returned, Paddy chuffed, "Well fellas, I'm going to tell you something you're not going to like.

"I've been told by a very reliable source (everyone at the table knows Paddy's source is his neighbour Tom, who thinks he knows everything about everything) the Council has no intentions of putting a roundabout in there before 2015 and even then there's no iron-clad guarantee it'll ever get built.

The remarks that flowed after that announcement are not fit for publication.

Paddy continued, "My source has it on very good authority a roundabout at that intersection is on the list of things to think about at council's meeting on Tuesday, but sure as eggs they'll vote along the lines of let's do nothing until 2015 and then we'll have another think about it."

Paddy then sought and was granted an early leave pass. He was taking his good wife out for dinner for his birthday. Thoughtful bloke our Paddy is.

The session wound up shortly after Paddy's departure with all and sundry heading off to their respective abodes, However, Charlie (also known as 'The Prince') had one final shot across the bow.

"Oi, lads, I reckon Paddy's pulling our legs. You all know what today the 17th, is, don't you."

The Cansdell Saga: surely even O'Farrell wouldn't be so stupid?



One paragraph in a letter to the editor in The Daily Examiner on 14 March 2011 certainly raised a few eyebrows in the Clarence electorate:

The other opinion [allegedly that of an unnamed party stalwart ] might be even funnier – Premier Barry O’Farrell is about to announce Steve Cansdell’s appointment as a parliamentary or ministerial adviser.

For all those rabid rednecks baying to the moon about Laura Norder in NSW


A little reminder to the lock 'em up and throw away the key mob fronting the bar at the Bowlo most weeks:


The effect of arrest and imprisonment on crime
Release date: Tuesday, 13 March 2012 Embargo: 10.30am

Increasing the risk of arrest and the probability of imprisonment are much more effective in preventing property and violent crime than increasing the length of prison terms, according to a new study of the effectiveness of the criminal justice system in controlling crime, released today by the NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research. The study is one of the most comprehensive ever carried out in Australia into the effectiveness of the criminal justice system in controlling crime. It examined the effect of changes in the probability of arrest, the probability of imprisonment and the length of the average prison term on trends in property and violent crime across every Local Government Area (LGA) in NSW between 1996 and 2008. Special measures were taken to control for other factors that influence crime, such as household income and drug use. The study also controlled for the effect of crime on the criminal justice system. The Bureau found that a 10 per cent increase in the risk of arrest in the long run produces a 1.35 per cent reduction in property crime, while a 10 per cent increase in the imprisonment risk produces a 1.15 per cent reduction in property crime. Similarly, in the long run, a 10 per cent increase in the risk of arrest for violent crime produces a 2.97 per cent reduction in violent crime, while a 10 per cent increase in the risk of imprisonment produces a 1.7 per cent reduction in violent crime. Although increasing the risk of arrest appears to exert a stronger effect on property and violent crime than increasing the risk of imprisonment, the differences were not found to be statistically significant. Arrest and imprisonment, however, were found to exert significantly stronger effects on violent crime than on property crime. A 10 per cent increase in the risk of arrest in the long run produces a 2.97 per cent reduction in violent crime, compared with a fall of only 1.35 per cent reduction in property crime. Similarly, a 10 per cent increase in the imprisonment risk reduces violent crime by 1.7 per cent compared with a 1.2 per cent reduction in property crime. The stronger effect for violent crime may be at least partly due to the higher risk of arrest for violent crime relative to property crime. The 30 day clear-up rate for non-domestic assault, for example, is 21.7 per cent, compared with 3.7 per cent for burglary. Interestingly, the study found that household income exerted a much stronger effect on crime than the criminal justice system. A 10 per cent increase in household income was estimated to produce an 18.9 per cent reduction in property crime over the long term and a 14.6 per cent reduction in violent crime. The effect of income on property crime is more than 14 times larger than the effect of arrest, while its effect on violent crime is nearly five times larger. Commenting on the findings, the Director of the Bureau, Dr Don Weatherburn, said that they were very reassuring given that Australia currently spends more than $11.5 billion annually on law and order. In per capita terms, this amounts to $511.00 per person per annum. “At the same time, it is important to bear in mind that the study did not examine the cost-effectiveness of current policy in controlling crime.” “Overseas research suggests that it is possible in some circumstances to cut crime and spend less doing it than we currently spend locking people up. The NSW Drug Court is a good example.” Further enquiries: Dr Don Weatherburn, 9231-9190

The study